| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2_1_'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23E03A3E;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_2_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M312.9,93.7c-28.8-30.8-70.7-48.4-115-48.4c-3.8,0-7.6,0.1-11.3,0.5c-71.5,4.8-106,55.7-109.6,61.3%20c-5.4,6.7-50.7,68-20.3,152.6l0.6,1.8C57.6,262.4,87.2,353,193,353l0,0c5.6,0,11.5-0.3,17.4-0.8c79.1-6.9,137.8-65.3,142.8-141.9%20C356.3,166.2,342,124.8,312.9,93.7'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M305.4,100.6c-29.7-31.7-73.5-48-118.3-44.9C116,60.5,84.4,113.4,84.4,113.4s56.4,17.1,64.1,19.5%20c5.4,1.6,40.4,10.4,56.3,19c3.3,1.8,6.5,5.5,9.7,8.8c2.4,2.5,4.6,4.9,6.9,6.8c4.2,3.4,8.2,6.3,12.2,9.2%20c9.7,7.1,18.2,13.1,22.2,22.4c3.4,8,3.5,16.4,0.5,24.1c-2.7,6.7-8,12.8-14.4,17c0.7-3.4,1.5-8.3-3.1-11.3%20c-2.1-1.3-12.6-3.8-19.7-4.6c-3.4-0.3-41.5-2.1-94.3,26.4c15.8-21.2,27.2-24.7,27.2-24.7c-0.5-2.5-85.5,31.9-85.5,31.9%20s29.4,94.1,142.8,84.1c73.9-6.5,128.9-60.6,133.7-132.7C345.8,168.2,332.4,129.5,305.4,100.6%20M281.8,233.8%20c10.7-23.6,5.4-49.2-12.8-69.5c-5-5.6-11.3-9.5-17.3-13.1c-3.9-2.4-8-4.9-11.6-7.9c-1.7-1.4-3.1-3.3-4.6-5.2%20c-1.8-2.5-3.9-5.4-6.9-7.4c-16.7-12.2-36.5-16.5-55.9-22.2c-9.2-2.7-18.1-4.7-26.5-7.7c10.5-7.2,23.8-12,38.4-13.3%20c4.6-0.5,9.1-0.7,13.7-0.7c43.1,0,80.5,21.6,100.5,58c19.9,36.3,18.7,80.4-3.4,115.2c-22.7,35.7-62.9,54.6-108.4,50.8%20c-27.2-2.2-56.3-16.6-65.2-32c5.5-3.4,55.2-29.7,89.3-19.1c9.7,0-5.8,23.7-5.8,23.7S261.6,278.4,281.8,233.8'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M197.7,162.3c-18.2,0.7-35.1-21.3-49.1-6.8c2.7,0.7,8.3-1.4,9.1,1.1C150.5,185,197.3,192.4,197.7,162.3'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) ATL | 89.5 | 86 | 91.1 |
 MIA | 100.0 | 89 | 84.3 |
Scoring Opportunities
ATL
75
+13
-11
88
MIA
80
+8
-9
88
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
ATL
0.88 43.8%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | ATL | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 77 0% | 89 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | ATL | Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST) | 77 0% | 89 100% |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | MIA | Chalmers 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 74 0% | 89 100% |
| Q4 - 0:31.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 74 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | ATL | MISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Bosh 3' Jump Shot (27 PTS) | 74 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 74 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:09 | ATL | Horford 13' Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 74 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:10 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 72 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:11 | ATL | Wade BLOCK (3 BLK) | 72 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:13 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 72 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:14 | ATL | MISS Smith 4' Jump Shot | 72 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 72 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 72 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:25 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 72 0.1% | 83 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:26 | ATL | MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 0.1% | 83 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:38 | MIA | Chalmers 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 72 0.2% | 83 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:54 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 72 0.5% | 81 99.5% |
| Q4 - 1:55 | ATL | MISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 0.6% | 81 99.4% |
| Q4 - 2:08 | MIA | Wade Traveling Turnover (P4.T10) | 72 0.9% | 81 99.1% |
| Q4 - 2:23 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 72 0.4% | 81 99.6% |
| Q4 - 2:24 | ATL | MISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 2 | 72 0.5% | 81 99.5% |
| Q4 - 2:24 | ATL | MISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 2 | 72 0.7% | 81 99.3% |
| Q4 - 2:52 | MIA | James 2' Driving Dunk (20 PTS) | 72 1.2% | 81 98.8% |
| Q4 - 3:10 | ATL | Horford Foul Turnover (P2.T13) | 72 1.7% | 79 98.3% |
| Q4 - 3:14 | ATL | Hawks Rebound | 72 2.9% | 79 97.1% |
| Q4 - 3:15 | ATL | Anthony BLOCK (2 BLK) | 72 2.0% | 79 98.0% |
| Q4 - 3:32 | MIA | Wade 2' Layup (26 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 72 4.4% | 79 95.6% |
| Q4 - 3:37 | ATL | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 72 6.0% | 77 94.0% |
| Q4 - 3:51 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 72 8.5% | 77 91.5% |
| Q4 - 3:51 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 72 9.1% | 76 90.9% |
| Q4 - 3:53 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 72 11.6% | 75 88.4% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | ATL | MISS Smith 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 72 13.0% | 75 87.0% |
| Q4 - 4:19 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 72 16.5% | 75 83.5% |
| Q4 - 4:20 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 72 15.7% | 75 84.3% |
| Q4 - 4:20 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS) | 72 12.5% | 75 87.5% |
| Q4 - 4:39 | ATL | Crawford 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 72 16.0% | 74 84.0% |
| Q4 - 4:48 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 70 11.7% | 74 88.3% |
| Q4 - 4:49 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 70 10.4% | 74 89.6% |
| Q4 - 5:11 | ATL | Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 70 9.5% | 74 90.5% |
| Q4 - 5:11 | ATL | Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 69 8.9% | 74 91.1% |
| Q4 - 5:12 | ATL | Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 68 7.1% | 74 92.9% |
| Q4 - 5:13 | ATL | Anthony BLOCK (1 BLK) | 68 5.6% | 74 94.4% |
| Q4 - 5:28 | MIA | Bosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9) | 68 7.1% | 74 92.9% |
| Q4 - 5:44 | ATL | Crawford 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 68 5.0% | 74 95.0% |
| Q4 - 6:11 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 66 4.5% | 74 95.5% |
| Q4 - 6:11 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 66 4.7% | 73 95.3% |
| Q4 - 6:24 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 66 5.8% | 72 94.2% |
| Q4 - 6:25 | MIA | MISS James 15' Turnaround Jump Shot | 66 7.2% | 72 92.8% |
| Q4 - 6:50 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 66 5.8% | 72 94.2% |
| Q4 - 6:51 | ATL | MISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 | 66 6.0% | 72 94.0% |
| Q4 - 6:51 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 66 7.1% | 72 92.9% |
| Q4 - 6:52 | ATL | Crawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 65 5.9% | 72 94.1% |
| Q4 - 6:54 | MIA | MISS Bosh 7' Fadeaway Jumper | 65 5.4% | 72 94.6% |
| Q4 - 7:13 | ATL | Powell 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST) | 65 4.9% | 72 95.1% |
| Q4 - 7:31 | MIA | Bosh 9' Hook Shot (22 PTS) | 63 3.8% | 72 96.2% |
| Q4 - 7:53 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 63 4.8% | 70 95.2% |
| Q4 - 7:54 | ATL | MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 5.3% | 70 94.7% |
| Q4 - 8:09 | MIA | Bosh 2' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) | 63 7.0% | 70 93.0% |
| Q4 - 8:10 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 63 9.0% | 68 91.0% |
| Q4 - 8:13 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3' Driving Layup | 63 10.5% | 68 89.5% |
| Q4 - 8:30 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 63 8.9% | 68 91.1% |
| Q4 - 8:31 | ATL | MISS Powell 10' Jump Shot | 63 9.6% | 68 90.4% |
| Q4 - 8:52 | ATL | Hawks Rebound | 63 11.2% | 68 88.8% |
| Q4 - 8:53 | MIA | MISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot | 63 10.5% | 68 89.5% |
| Q4 - 9:19 | ATL | Smith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11) | 63 9.6% | 68 90.4% |
| Q4 - 9:38 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 63 11.8% | 68 88.2% |
| Q4 - 9:39 | MIA | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 63 11.1% | 68 88.9% |
| Q4 - 9:54 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 63 9.6% | 68 90.4% |
| Q4 - 9:55 | ATL | MISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 10.2% | 68 89.8% |
| Q4 - 10:20 | MIA | Wade 2' Layup (24 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 63 12.2% | 68 87.8% |
| Q4 - 10:25 | ATL | Wade STEAL (3 STL) | 63 14.8% | 66 85.2% |
| Q4 - 10:33 | ATL | Powell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 63 17.9% | 66 82.1% |
| Q4 - 10:34 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 16.9% | 66 83.1% |
| Q4 - 10:43 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 63 14.8% | 66 85.2% |
| Q4 - 10:44 | ATL | Wade BLOCK (2 BLK) | 63 15.7% | 66 84.3% |
| Q4 - 11:00 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 63 17.9% | 66 82.1% |
| Q4 - 11:01 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 63 17.5% | 66 82.5% |
| Q4 - 11:01 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 63 15.6% | 66 84.4% |
| Q4 - 11:17 | ATL | Smith 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) | 63 18.0% | 65 82.0% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 61 15.0% | 65 85.0% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 61 15.6% | 64 84.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 61 18.0% | 63 82.0% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 61 18.0% | 63 82.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 12' Jump Shot | 61 20.3% | 63 79.7% |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | ATL | Crawford 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 61 18.2% | 63 81.8% |
| Q3 - 0:35.0 | ATL | Wilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 59 15.1% | 63 84.9% |
| Q3 - 0:36.0 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 59 14.4% | 63 85.6% |
| Q3 - 0:56.0 | ATL | Crawford 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 59 12.8% | 63 87.2% |
| Q3 - 1:13 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 57 10.7% | 63 89.3% |
| Q3 - 1:14 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot | 57 10.2% | 63 89.8% |
| Q3 - 1:25 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 57 9.1% | 63 90.9% |
| Q3 - 1:26 | ATL | MISS Williams 7' Hook Shot | 57 9.5% | 63 90.5% |
| Q3 - 1:36 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 57 10.7% | 63 89.3% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot | 57 10.1% | 63 89.9% |
| Q3 - 2:05 | ATL | Horford 3' Layup (20 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 57 9.1% | 63 90.9% |
| Q3 - 2:14 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 55 7.7% | 63 92.3% |
| Q3 - 2:16 | MIA | MISS James 2' Driving Layup | 55 7.3% | 63 92.7% |
| Q3 - 2:36 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 55 6.4% | 63 93.6% |
| Q3 - 2:37 | ATL | MISS Crawford 9' Jump Shot | 55 6.8% | 63 93.2% |
| Q3 - 2:52 | MIA | Jump Ball Chalmers vs. Crawford: Tip to Smith | 55 7.6% | 63 92.4% |
| Q3 - 2:54 | MIA | Jump Ball James vs. Wilkins: Tip to | 55 7.6% | 63 92.4% |
| Q3 - 3:16 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 55 6.6% | 63 93.4% |
| Q3 - 3:17 | ATL | MISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 6.9% | 63 93.1% |
| Q3 - 3:40 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 55 7.8% | 63 92.2% |
| Q3 - 3:45 | ATL | Wade STEAL (2 STL) | 55 9.2% | 61 90.8% |
| Q3 - 4:01 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 55 11.1% | 61 88.9% |
| Q3 - 4:02 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 55 10.5% | 61 89.5% |
| Q3 - 4:12 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 55 9.2% | 61 90.8% |
| Q3 - 4:13 | ATL | MISS Wilkins 3' Layup | 55 9.7% | 61 90.3% |
| Q3 - 4:25 | ATL | Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 55 11.1% | 61 88.9% |
| Q3 - 4:26 | MIA | MISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot | 55 10.5% | 61 89.5% |
| Q3 - 4:38 | ATL | Horford Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 55 9.2% | 61 90.8% |
| Q3 - 4:38 | ATL | Horford Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 54 8.9% | 61 91.1% |
| Q3 - 4:54 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 53 7.8% | 61 92.2% |
| Q3 - 4:54 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 53 7.1% | 61 92.9% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | ATL | Hawks Rebound | 53 9.5% | 60 90.5% |
| Q3 - 5:06 | ATL | James BLOCK (1 BLK) | 53 8.5% | 60 91.5% |
| Q3 - 5:12 | ATL | Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 53 9.5% | 60 90.5% |
| Q3 - 5:14 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 53 9.1% | 60 90.9% |
| Q3 - 5:30 | ATL | Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST) | 53 8.0% | 60 92.0% |
| Q3 - 5:42 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 50 6.0% | 60 94.0% |
| Q3 - 5:43 | MIA | MISS James 5' Running Hook Shot | 50 5.7% | 60 94.3% |
| Q3 - 5:54 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 50 5.0% | 60 95.0% |
| Q3 - 5:55 | ATL | MISS Bibby 12' Jump Shot | 50 5.3% | 60 94.7% |
| Q3 - 6:14 | MIA | Arroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 50 6.1% | 60 93.9% |
| Q3 - 6:30 | ATL | Bibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 50 7.0% | 58 93.0% |
| Q3 - 6:40 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P3.T7) | 50 8.3% | 58 91.7% |
| Q3 - 6:52 | ATL | Horford 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST) | 50 7.0% | 58 93.0% |
| Q3 - 7:09 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 48 6.3% | 58 93.7% |
| Q3 - 7:15 | ATL | Powell 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Horford 1 AST) | 48 7.2% | 56 92.8% |
| Q3 - 7:19 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 46 6.3% | 56 93.7% |
| Q3 - 7:36 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 46 5.4% | 56 94.6% |
| Q3 - 7:37 | ATL | MISS Williams 17' Jump Shot | 46 5.7% | 56 94.3% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | MIA | Bosh 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 46 6.3% | 56 93.7% |
| Q3 - 8:18 | ATL | Horford 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST) | 46 7.3% | 54 92.7% |
| Q3 - 8:30 | ATL | Powell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 44 6.4% | 54 93.6% |
| Q3 - 8:31 | MIA | MISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot | 44 6.1% | 54 93.9% |
| Q3 - 8:52 | ATL | Hawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7) | 44 5.5% | 54 94.5% |
| Q3 - 8:52 | ATL | Hawks Rebound | 44 6.4% | 54 93.6% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | ATL | MISS Powell 3' Layup | 44 5.8% | 54 94.2% |
| Q3 - 9:23 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 44 6.4% | 54 93.6% |
| Q3 - 9:39 | ATL | Horford 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST) | 44 7.4% | 52 92.6% |
| Q3 - 9:49 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 6.4% | 52 93.6% |
| Q3 - 9:50 | MIA | MISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot | 42 6.2% | 52 93.8% |
| Q3 - 10:13 | ATL | Horford 9' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS) | 42 5.7% | 52 94.3% |
| Q3 - 10:41 | MIA | Bosh 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 40 5.0% | 52 95.0% |
| Q3 - 10:52 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 40 5.7% | 50 94.3% |
| Q3 - 10:53 | MIA | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 40 6.3% | 50 93.7% |
| Q3 - 11:15 | ATL | Powell 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST) | 40 5.8% | 50 94.2% |
| Q3 - 11:27 | ATL | Hawks Rebound | 38 5.1% | 50 94.9% |
| Q3 - 11:28 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Jump Shot | 38 4.9% | 50 95.1% |
| Q3 - 11:50 | ATL | Horford 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST) | 38 4.5% | 50 95.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 36 3.9% | 50 96.1% | |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | ATL | Collins Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 36 3.7% | 50 96.3% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | ATL | MISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 2 | 35 3.6% | 50 96.4% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | MIA | James Free Throw Technical (16 PTS) | 35 3.6% | 50 96.4% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | ATL | Collins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 35 4.1% | 49 95.9% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | ATL | MISS Bibby 3' Driving Layup | 35 3.9% | 49 96.1% |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | MIA | Bosh 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST) | 35 4.1% | 49 95.9% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | ATL | Crawford 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 35 4.8% | 47 95.2% |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | ATL | Wilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 33 4.1% | 47 95.9% |
| Q2 - 0:45.0 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 33 4.0% | 47 96.0% |
| Q2 - 0:45.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 33 3.7% | 47 96.3% |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 33 4.2% | 46 95.8% |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot | 33 4.5% | 46 95.5% |
| Q2 - 1:22 | ATL | Evans 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 33 4.3% | 46 95.7% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 31 3.7% | 46 96.3% |
| Q2 - 1:45 | ATL | Bibby 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 31 3.4% | 46 96.6% |
| Q2 - 2:05 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4) | 29 3.0% | 46 97.0% |
| Q2 - 2:29 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 29 2.7% | 46 97.3% |
| Q2 - 2:30 | ATL | MISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot | 29 2.8% | 46 97.2% |
| Q2 - 2:44 | ATL | Hawks Rebound | 29 3.0% | 46 97.0% |
| Q2 - 2:45 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 2.9% | 46 97.1% |
| Q2 - 2:52 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 2.7% | 46 97.3% |
| Q2 - 2:53 | ATL | MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 2.8% | 46 97.2% |
| Q2 - 3:06 | ATL | Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 3.1% | 46 96.9% |
| Q2 - 3:07 | MIA | MISS Howard 16' Jump Shot | 29 3.0% | 46 97.0% |
| Q2 - 3:26 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 29 2.7% | 46 97.3% |
| Q2 - 3:27 | ATL | MISS Smith 12' Fadeaway Jumper | 29 2.8% | 46 97.2% |
| Q2 - 3:49 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 29 3.1% | 46 96.9% |
| Q2 - 3:49 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 29 3.2% | 45 96.8% |
| Q2 - 3:52 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 3.4% | 44 96.6% |
| Q2 - 3:53 | ATL | Howard BLOCK (1 BLK) | 29 3.6% | 44 96.4% |
| Q2 - 4:02 | ATL | Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 4.0% | 44 96.0% |
| Q2 - 4:03 | MIA | MISS James 17' Jump Shot | 29 3.9% | 44 96.1% |
| Q2 - 4:23 | ATL | Bibby 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Evans 1 AST) | 29 3.5% | 44 96.5% |
| Q2 - 4:37 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 27 3.2% | 44 96.8% |
| Q2 - 4:37 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 27 3.3% | 43 96.7% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 27 3.1% | 43 96.9% |
| Q2 - 4:46 | ATL | Dampier BLOCK (1 BLK) | 27 3.3% | 43 96.7% |
| Q2 - 5:13 | MIA | James 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 27 3.7% | 43 96.3% |
| Q2 - 5:34 | ATL | Smith 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 27 4.1% | 41 95.9% |
| Q2 - 5:55 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 25 3.7% | 41 96.3% |
| Q2 - 5:59 | ATL | James STEAL (1 STL) | 25 4.1% | 39 95.9% |
| Q2 - 6:17 | MIA | Bosh 3' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 25 4.9% | 39 95.1% |
| Q2 - 6:34 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 25 5.3% | 37 94.7% |
| Q2 - 6:35 | ATL | MISS Horford 20' Jump Shot | 25 5.5% | 37 94.5% |
| Q2 - 6:45 | ATL | Powell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 25 6.0% | 37 94.0% |
| Q2 - 6:46 | MIA | MISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 25 5.8% | 37 94.2% |
| Q2 - 7:10 | ATL | Powell 3' Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 25 5.4% | 37 94.6% |
| Q2 - 7:11 | ATL | Powell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 23 4.9% | 37 95.1% |
| Q2 - 7:14 | ATL | MISS Powell 4' Jump Shot | 23 4.5% | 37 95.5% |
| Q2 - 7:16 | ATL | Powell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 23 4.9% | 37 95.1% |
| Q2 - 7:17 | ATL | MISS Powell 3' Layup | 23 4.5% | 37 95.5% |
| Q2 - 7:18 | ATL | Powell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 23 4.9% | 37 95.1% |
| Q2 - 7:19 | ATL | MISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 4.5% | 37 95.5% |
| Q2 - 7:41 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 23 4.9% | 37 95.1% |
| Q2 - 7:47 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 23 5.4% | 35 94.6% |
| Q2 - 7:48 | ATL | MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot | 23 5.6% | 35 94.4% |
| Q2 - 8:05 | MIA | Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 23 6.2% | 35 93.8% |
| Q2 - 8:15 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 7.6% | 32 92.4% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | ATL | MISS Pachulia 5' Layup | 23 7.8% | 32 92.2% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | MIA | Chalmers 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 23 8.4% | 32 91.6% |
| Q2 - 8:55 | ATL | Powell 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 23 9.2% | 30 90.8% |
| Q2 - 9:00 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 21 8.4% | 30 91.6% |
| Q2 - 9:11 | ATL | Crawford 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 21 7.6% | 30 92.4% |
| Q2 - 9:20 | MIA | Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 19 7.0% | 30 93.0% |
| Q2 - 9:36 | ATL | Powell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 19 7.6% | 28 92.4% |
| Q2 - 9:36 | ATL | Powell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 18 7.5% | 28 92.5% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | ATL | Crawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 7.0% | 28 93.0% |
| Q2 - 9:48 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 17 6.8% | 28 93.2% |
| Q2 - 9:59 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 17 6.3% | 28 93.7% |
| Q2 - 10:00 | ATL | MISS Pachulia 3' Driving Layup | 17 6.5% | 28 93.5% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | MIA | Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) | 17 7.1% | 28 92.9% |
| Q2 - 10:28 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 17 7.8% | 26 92.2% |
| Q2 - 10:29 | ATL | MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 8.0% | 26 92.0% |
| Q2 - 10:46 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 8.6% | 26 91.4% |
| Q2 - 10:47 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot | 17 8.3% | 26 91.7% |
| Q2 - 11:08 | ATL | Williams 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 17 7.9% | 26 92.1% |
| Q2 - 11:16 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 7.3% | 26 92.7% |
| Q2 - 11:17 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Driving Layup | 15 7.0% | 26 93.0% |
| Q2 - 11:21 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 15 6.6% | 26 93.4% |
| Q2 - 11:23 | ATL | MISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot | 15 6.8% | 26 93.2% |
| Q2 - 11:37 | ATL | Hawks Rebound | 15 7.3% | 26 92.7% |
| Q2 - 11:38 | ATL | MISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 6.8% | 26 93.2% |
| Q2 - 11:41 | ATL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 15 7.3% | 26 92.7% |
| Q2 - 11:42 | ATL | MISS Powell 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 15 6.8% | 26 93.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 15 7.3% | 26 92.7% | |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | ATL | Howard STEAL (1 STL) | 15 6.8% | 26 93.2% |
| Q1 - 0:20.0 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 15 7.3% | 26 92.7% |
| Q1 - 0:33.0 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 6.7% | 26 93.3% |
| Q1 - 0:34.0 | ATL | MISS Teague 10' Floating Jump Shot | 15 6.9% | 26 93.1% |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | ATL | Hawks Rebound | 15 7.3% | 26 92.7% |
| Q1 - 0:47.0 | MIA | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 15 7.1% | 26 92.9% |
| Q1 - 1:07 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 6.9% | 26 93.1% |
| Q1 - 1:08 | ATL | MISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot | 15 7.1% | 26 92.9% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | MIA | Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 15 7.4% | 26 92.6% |
| Q1 - 2:03 | ATL | Horford 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Teague 2 AST) | 15 9.1% | 23 90.9% |
| Q1 - 2:16 | MIA | James 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 13 8.3% | 23 91.7% |
| Q1 - 2:22 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 9.9% | 20 90.1% |
| Q1 - 2:23 | ATL | MISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot | 13 10.1% | 20 89.9% |
| Q1 - 2:27 | ATL | Hawks Rebound | 13 10.6% | 20 89.4% |
| Q1 - 2:28 | ATL | Ilgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK) | 13 10.1% | 20 89.9% |
| Q1 - 2:36 | ATL | Crawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 10.6% | 20 89.4% |
| Q1 - 2:37 | MIA | MISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot | 13 10.4% | 20 89.6% |
| Q1 - 2:55 | ATL | Smith 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST) | 13 9.9% | 20 90.1% |
| Q1 - 3:11 | MIA | Bosh 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 10 8.3% | 20 91.7% |
| Q1 - 3:33 | ATL | Horford 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST) | 10 9.0% | 18 91.0% |
| Q1 - 3:52 | MIA | Wade 3' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) | 8 8.3% | 18 91.7% |
| Q1 - 4:01 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 8 8.8% | 16 91.2% |
| Q1 - 4:02 | ATL | MISS Wilkins 16' Jump Shot | 8 9.1% | 16 90.9% |
| Q1 - 4:20 | MIA | Bosh 2' Layup (6 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 8 9.7% | 16 90.3% |
| Q1 - 4:36 | ATL | Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 1 AST) | 8 10.4% | 14 89.6% |
| Q1 - 4:50 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 8.9% | 14 91.1% |
| Q1 - 4:51 | MIA | MISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 5 8.7% | 14 91.3% |
| Q1 - 5:08 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 5 8.4% | 14 91.6% |
| Q1 - 5:09 | ATL | MISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 5 8.6% | 14 91.4% |
| Q1 - 5:26 | MIA | James 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 5 9.1% | 14 90.9% |
| Q1 - 5:44 | ATL | Arroyo STEAL (1 STL) | 5 9.8% | 12 90.2% |
| Q1 - 6:01 | MIA | Wade 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 5 10.6% | 12 89.4% |
| Q1 - 6:12 | ATL | Hawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3) | 5 11.3% | 10 88.7% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | MIA | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST) | 5 12.3% | 10 87.7% |
| Q1 - 6:48 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 5 13.2% | 8 86.8% |
| Q1 - 6:49 | MIA | MISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 5 13.9% | 8 86.1% |
| Q1 - 7:03 | ATL | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 5 13.0% | 8 87.0% |
| Q1 - 7:20 | MIA | Bosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 5 14.0% | 8 86.0% |
| Q1 - 7:29 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 5 13.0% | 8 87.0% |
| Q1 - 7:30 | ATL | MISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot | 5 13.3% | 8 86.7% |
| Q1 - 7:38 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 14.0% | 8 86.0% |
| Q1 - 7:39 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 5 13.7% | 8 86.3% |
| Q1 - 7:51 | ATL | Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 5 13.0% | 8 87.0% |
| Q1 - 8:02 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 5 13.7% | 8 86.3% |
| Q1 - 8:02 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 5 13.9% | 7 86.1% |
| Q1 - 8:04 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 14.8% | 6 85.2% |
| Q1 - 8:05 | ATL | MISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 5 15.1% | 6 84.9% |
| Q1 - 8:20 | ATL | Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 5 15.8% | 6 84.2% |
| Q1 - 8:21 | MIA | MISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot | 5 15.5% | 6 84.5% |
| Q1 - 8:45 | ATL | Horford 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 5 14.8% | 6 85.2% |
| Q1 - 9:07 | MIA | Wade 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 3 13.8% | 6 86.2% |
| Q1 - 9:18 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 14.7% | 4 85.3% |
| Q1 - 9:19 | ATL | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 3 15.0% | 4 85.0% |
| Q1 - 9:43 | MIA | James 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST) | 3 15.7% | 4 84.3% |
| Q1 - 9:59 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 3 16.8% | 2 83.2% |
| Q1 - 10:00 | ATL | MISS Smith 16' Jump Shot | 3 17.1% | 2 82.9% |
| Q1 - 10:22 | MIA | Bosh 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 3 17.7% | 2 82.3% |
| Q1 - 10:23 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 3 18.6% | 0 81.4% |
| Q1 - 10:24 | MIA | MISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot | 3 19.5% | 0 80.5% |
| Q1 - 10:39 | ATL | Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 3 18.6% | 0 81.4% |
| Q1 - 11:02 | ATL | Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 16.1% | 0 83.9% |
| Q1 - 11:03 | MIA | MISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot | 0 15.9% | 0 84.1% |
| Q1 - 11:12 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 15.4% | 0 84.6% |
| Q1 - 11:13 | ATL | MISS Smith 10' Fadeaway Jumper | 0 15.6% | 0 84.4% |
| Q1 - 11:33 | ATL | Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 16.2% | 0 83.8% |
| Q1 - 11:34 | MIA | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 0 15.9% | 0 84.1% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Smith: Tip to Arroyo | 0 15.4% | 0 84.6% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
ATL
0.88 43.8%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
9
25
36%
MIA
18
22
82%
Midrange
ATL
18
38
47%
MIA
13
42
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
MIA
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
ATL
8
12
67%
MIA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Hawks| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Horford | 22 | 85% | 11.0 / 13 | |
| J. Crawford | 12 | 38% | 6.0 / 16 | |
| J. Powell | 12 | 55% | 6.0 / 11 | |
| J. Smith | 11 | 42% | 5.5 / 13 | |
| M. Bibby | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| M. Williams | 5 | 28% | 2.5 / 9 | |
| M. Evans | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| J. Collins | 1 | 50% | 0.5 / 1 | |
| D. Wilkins | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 | |
| J. Teague | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| Z. Pachulia | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bosh | 27 | 56% | 13.5 / 24 | |
| D. Wade | 26 | 62% | 13.0 / 21 | |
| L. James | 22 | 65% | 11.0 / 17 | |
| M. Chalmers | 9 | 45% | 4.5 / 10 | |
| J. Jones | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| C. Arroyo | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| Z. Ilgauskas | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 | |
| J. Howard | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
ATL
75
+13
-11
88
MIA
80
+8
-9
88
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
ATL
0.88 43.8%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 105.9 111.4 | ATL 89.5 +10.5 MIA 100.0 |
| Pace | 89.5 91.3 | ATL 91.1 +6.9 MIA 84.3 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.4 16.2 | ATL 15.8 +1.3 MIA 17.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.1% 52.4% | ATL 43.1% MIA 49.3% +6.2% |
| TO % | 14.2% 14.4% | ATL 13.2% MIA 10.9% +2.3% |
| ORB % | 23.5% 25.2% | ATL 17.8% +1.1% MIA 16.7% |
| FTrt | 26.9 36.3 | ATL 15.0 MIA 31.9 +16.9 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 60.7% 54.1% | ATL 50.0% +5.9% MIA 44.1% |
| STL % | 6.8% 7.3% | ATL 5.8% MIA 7.9% +2.1% |
| BLK % | 6.6% 8.5% | ATL 0.0% MIA 14.3% +14.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.8% 55.7% | ATL 43.8% MIA 50.6% +6.8% |
| Rim FG% | 60.0% 64.7% | ATL 36.0% MIA 81.8% +45.8% |
| Mid FG% | 42.5% 42.2% | ATL 47.4% +16.4% MIA 31.0% |
| 3P % | 35.2% 37.0% | ATL 29.4% MIA 37.5% +8.1% |
| FT % | 78.0% 76.9% | ATL 66.7% MIA 78.3% +11.6% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.4% 31.6% | ATL 31.3% +0.7% MIA 30.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 47.4% 44.9% | ATL 47.5% +10.8% MIA 58.3% |
| 3P Att. % | 22.2% 23.5% | ATL 21.3% +10.1% MIA 11.1% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
| Game Totals | ATL | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 86 | 89 |
| Possession Minutes | 22.6 | 25.4 |
| Points | 77 | 89 |
| Rebounds | 38 | 43 |
| Assists | 16 | 15 |
| Steals | 5 | 7 |
| Blocks | 0 | 9 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 11 (2) | 9 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 8 (5) | 6 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 30 (4) | 37 (0) |
| Field Goals | 32-80 | 34-72 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 9-25 | 18-22 |
| Midrange FG | 18-38 | 13-42 |
| 2-Point FG | 27-63 | 31-64 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-17 | 3-8 |
| Free Throws | 8-12 | 18-23 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.