Final Win Prob. pScore
1429%94
84
371%101
109
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
92.39196.6
SAS logo Spurs
121.19085.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS84
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0NOHGray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)84
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0NOHGray 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)84
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0NOHMISS Jack 19' Jump Shot82
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASQuinn 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)82
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0NOHPondexter 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)82
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)80
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:02SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:03NOHMISS Jack 19' Jump Shot80
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:17SASBlair 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Neal 4 AST)80
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:30SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33NOHMISS Pondexter 4' Jump Shot80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53SASSplitter 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)80
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14NOHGray 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31SASBlair 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Neal 3 AST)78
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38NOHSplitter STEAL (1 STL)78
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52SASUdoka 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)78
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05NOHMISS Pondexter 17' Jump Shot78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22SASNeal 9' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49NOHSmith 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49NOHMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56NOHMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12SASBlair Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23NOHGray P.FOUL (P4.T4)76
97
Q4 - 4:33NOHGray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33NOHGray 2' Layup (5 PTS)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35NOHGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35NOHMISS Gray 1' Tip Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36NOHMISS Thornton 16' Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51SASBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)74
97
Q4 - 5:04NOHGray Foul Turnover (P2.T14)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04NOHGray OFF.Foul (P3)74
97
Q4 - 5:10SASNeal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25NOHMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45SASMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06SASSPURS Rebound74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06NOHMISS Thornton 3' Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16SASNeal Personal Block Foul (P1.T4)74
97
Q4 - 6:19NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:21SASMISS Neal 22' Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37NOHJack 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50SASSplitter 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Udoka 2 AST)72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07NOHPondexter Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07NOHSUB: Thornton FOR Green71
95
Q4 - 7:07NOHPondexter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07SASBlair S.FOUL (P2.T3)70
95
Q4 - 7:12NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13SASMISS Blair 14' Jump Shot70
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:31NOHGreen 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54SASMISS Udoka Free Throw 2 of 268
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54SASUdoka Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54NOHGray S.FOUL (P2.T3)68
94
Q4 - 8:06NOHGreen 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gray 1 AST)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:3166
94
Q4 - 8:31SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:32SASMISS Splitter 19' Jump Shot66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:55SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:56NOHMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:03NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04SASMISS Quinn 15' Jump Shot66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:22NOHGray Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:22SASSplitter S.FOUL (P2.T2)65
94
Q4 - 9:22NOHGray 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)65
94
Q4 - 9:41SASNeal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)63
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:46NOHGreen Violation:Kicked Ball63
94
Q4 - 9:54NOHGray P.FOUL (P1.T2)63
94
Q4 - 10:03NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)63
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:03SASSUB: Blair FOR Hill62
94
Q4 - 10:03NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:03SASUdoka Personal Block Foul (P1.T1)61
94
Q4 - 10:18SASNeal 7' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)61
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:32NOHUdoka STEAL (1 STL)61
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:34NOHGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:35SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:44NOHPondexter P.FOUL (P2.T1)61
92
Q4 - 10:59NOHGreen 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)61
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:05SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:17SASSPURS Rebound59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:17NOHMISS Pondexter 2' Layup59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 11:33SASQuinn Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 12:0059
90
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH59
90
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHAriza 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (West 3 AST)59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASHill 2' Layup (11 PTS)57
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0NOHAriza 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)57
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0NOHMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot55
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 1:09SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)55
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 1:09SASSPURS Rebound55
87
Q3 - 1:09SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 255
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 1:09NOHWest S.FOUL (P4.PN)55
87
Q3 - 1:24NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (West 2 AST)55
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 1:34NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 1:36SASMISS Neal 20' Step Back Jump Shot52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 1:47SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 1:49NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:04SASSUB: Hill FOR Jefferson52
87
Q3 - 2:04SASSplitter P.FOUL (P1.T3)52
87
Q3 - 2:17NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:19SASMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:43SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:44NOHMISS Ariza 22' Jump Shot52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:57NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)52
87
Q3 - 2:57NOHPaul Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)52
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 2:57SASSPURS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bonner )51
87
Q3 - 3:08SASJefferson P.FOUL (P1.T2)51
87
Q3 - 3:17NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:17SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 251
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:17SASSPURS Rebound51
87
Q3 - 3:17SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 251
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:17NOHAriza P.FOUL (P3.PN)51
87
Q3 - 3:36SASSUB: Quinn FOR Parker51
87
Q3 - 3:36NOHWest L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)51
87
Q3 - 3:36SASSPURS Rebound51
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:36NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot51
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:59SASParker Foul Turnover (P4.T10)51
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:59SASParker OFF.Foul (P3)51
87
Q3 - 4:08SASSUB: Bonner FOR Blair51
87
Q3 - 4:08NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor51
87
Q3 - 4:08NOHPaul Violation:Kicked Ball51
87
Q3 - 4:19NOHPondexter 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 4:42SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)49
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 5:00SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 5:01NOHMISS Ariza 4' Jump Shot49
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 5:14SASBlair 2' Layup (6 PTS)49
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 5:16SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 5:18SASMISS Splitter 6' Jump Shot49
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 5:38SASSUB: Neal FOR Ginobili49
82
Q3 - 5:38NOHSUB: Pondexter FOR Belinelli49
82
Q3 - 5:38SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan49
82
Q3 - 5:38NOHPaul P.FOUL (P2.T3)49
82
Q3 - 5:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 5:41NOHMISS Belinelli 11' Floating Jump Shot49
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 5:57SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 6:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 6:04NOHMISS West 20' Jump Shot49
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 6:18SASParker P.FOUL (P2.T1)49
79
Q3 - 6:27SASDuncan 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)49
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 6:35SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q3 - 6:36NOHMISS Belinelli 17' Jump Shot49
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 6:49SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)49
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 6:49NOHPaul S.FOUL (P1.T2)49
76
Q3 - 6:49SASParker 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)49
76
Q3 - 7:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 7:01NOHMISS Paul 22' Jump Shot49
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 7:16SASParker 6' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)49
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 7:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 7:24NOHMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 7:51SASBlair 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)49
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 8:07SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)49
70
Q3 - 8:08NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)49
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 8:23NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 8:24SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 8:24SASMISS Blair 3' Putback Layup47
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 8:25SASMISS Parker 2' Layup47
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 8:49NOHOkafor 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (West 1 AST)47
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 9:10NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 9:12SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot45
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 9:32NOHWest 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)45
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 9:49NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 9:50SASMISS Jefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 10:02NOHBlair STEAL (1 STL)43
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 10:17NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 10:19SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot43
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 10:36NOHAriza 12' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)43
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 10:50SASBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)41
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 11:03NOHAriza P.FOUL (P2.T1)41
70
Q3 - 11:15SASSPURS Rebound41
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 11:15NOHDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)41
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 11:30SASParker 10' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)41
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 11:44SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q3 - 11:45NOHMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot41
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q3 - 12:0041
68
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH41
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound41
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Paul 30' 3PT Jump Shot41
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASMISS Parker 1' Layup41
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 241
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASSUB: Bonner FOR Blair41
68
Q2 - 0:28.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)41
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASBlair S.FOUL (P1.PN)40
68
Q2 - 0:32.0NOHHornets Rebound40
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 240
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASSUB: Blair FOR Duncan40
68
Q2 - 0:32.0NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor40
68
Q2 - 0:32.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)40
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P3.PN)40
67
Q2 - 0:47.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
1.0%
67
99.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0NOHDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)40
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q2 - 1:05SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T8)40
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q2 - 1:05SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P2)40
67
Q2 - 1:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q2 - 1:22SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot40
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q2 - 1:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
67
Q2 - 1:33NOHMISS Paul 3' Jump Shot40
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q2 - 1:48SASSPURS Rebound40
1.1%
67
98.9%
Q2 - 1:48SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q2 - 1:48SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 240
1.3%
66
98.7%
Q2 - 1:48NOHOkafor P.FOUL (P2.PN)40
66
Q2 - 2:02NOHGinobili STEAL (2 STL)40
1.3%
66
98.7%
Q2 - 2:06SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)40
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q2 - 2:15SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
1.3%
66
98.7%
Q2 - 2:17NOHMISS Paul 21' Jump Shot40
1.4%
66
98.6%
Q2 - 2:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q2 - 2:31NOHSUB: Okafor FOR West40
65
Q2 - 2:31SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q2 - 2:31NOHWest S.FOUL (P2.T4)40
64
Q2 - 2:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 2:42SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
1.9%
64
98.1%
Q2 - 2:49SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 2:51SASMISS Jefferson 2' Dunk40
1.9%
64
98.1%
Q2 - 2:56NOHParker STEAL (2 STL)40
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 3:04SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T6)40
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q2 - 3:04SASParker OFF.Foul (P1)40
64
Q2 - 3:08NOHPaul 1' Layup (11 PTS)40
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q2 - 3:14NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
1.6%
64
98.4%
Q2 - 3:15SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
1.6%
64
98.4%
Q2 - 3:36NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q2 - 3:36NOHHornets Rebound37
64
Q2 - 3:36NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 237
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q2 - 3:36SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T4)37
64
Q2 - 3:52NOHHornets Rebound37
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q2 - 3:52SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q2 - 4:10SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bonner37
64
Q2 - 4:10SASSUB: Duncan FOR McDyess37
64
Q2 - 4:10SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
64
Q2 - 4:15NOHAriza Driving Layup (7 PTS)37
1.3%
64
98.7%
Q2 - 4:27NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q2 - 4:28SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q2 - 4:45SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q2 - 4:50NOHMISS Paul 11' Jump Bank Shot35
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q2 - 5:02NOHSUB: Green FOR Okafor35
64
Q2 - 5:02SASMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T5)35
1.3%
64
98.7%
Q2 - 5:02SASMcDyess OFF.Foul (P2)35
64
Q2 - 5:15NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q2 - 5:15NOHHornets Rebound34
64
Q2 - 5:15NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 234
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q2 - 5:1534
64
Q2 - 5:15SASMcDyess S.FOUL (P1.T3)34
64
Q2 - 5:25SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)34
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q2 - 5:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
1.5%
61
98.5%
Q2 - 5:42SASMISS Parker 9' Floating Jump Shot34
1.6%
61
98.4%
Q2 - 5:47SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
1.5%
61
98.5%
Q2 - 5:49NOHMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)34
1.5%
61
98.5%
Q2 - 6:10SASParker 9' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)34
1.8%
61
98.2%
Q2 - 6:17NOHNeal STEAL (1 STL)34
2.0%
59
98.0%
Q2 - 6:30SASNeal Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)34
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q2 - 6:30NOHHornets Foul34
58
Q2 - 6:30SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)34
2.5%
58
97.5%
Q2 - 6:53NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)34
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 7:18SASJefferson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)31
2.7%
55
97.3%
Q2 - 7:34NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q2 - 7:34SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Hill30
53
Q2 - 7:34SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili30
53
Q2 - 7:34NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q2 - 7:34SASHill S.FOUL (P3.T2)29
53
Q2 - 7:52SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)29
2.7%
53
97.3%
Q2 - 8:06NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q2 - 8:06NOHSUB: West FOR Thornton28
50
Q2 - 8:06NOHSUB: Paul FOR Jack28
50
Q2 - 8:06NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
3.4%
50
96.6%
Q2 - 8:06SASHill S.FOUL (P2.T1)27
50
Q2 - 8:06NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
3.2%
50
96.8%
Q2 - 8:07NOHMISS Ariza 10' Jump Shot27
3.0%
50
97.0%
Q2 - 8:16NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
3.2%
50
96.8%
Q2 - 8:17SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup27
3.1%
50
96.9%
Q2 - 8:30NOHJack Foul Turnover (P1.T8)27
2.9%
50
97.1%
Q2 - 8:30NOHJack OFF.Foul (P2)27
50
Q2 - 8:36SASHill 2' Layup (9 PTS)27
3.2%
50
96.8%
Q2 - 8:47NOHThornton P.FOUL (P1.T3)27
48
Q2 - 8:47NOHGinobili STEAL (1 STL)27
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 8:48NOHSUB: Thornton FOR Pondexter27
48
Q2 - 8:48NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Andersen27
48
Q2 - 8:48NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)27
48
Q2 - 8:52SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)27
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 9:07SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 9:09NOHMISS Andersen 19' Step Back Jump Shot27
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q2 - 9:18NOHHornets Rebound27
45
Q2 - 9:18NOHMISS Belinelli Free Throw Technical27
5.5%
45
94.5%
Q2 - 9:18SASSPURS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Neal )27
45
Q2 - 9:35SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
5.5%
45
94.5%
Q2 - 9:35NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Green27
44
Q2 - 9:35NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Smith27
44
Q2 - 9:35SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)27
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 9:35NOHJack S.FOUL (P1.T2)27
43
Q2 - 9:53NOHBonner STEAL (1 STL)27
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 10:01SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)27
6.9%
43
93.1%
Q2 - 10:19NOHPondexter 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)27
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 10:44SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)25
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 10:54SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.1%
37
90.9%
Q2 - 10:55NOHMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot25
9.4%
37
90.6%
Q2 - 11:20SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
10.3%
37
89.7%
Q2 - 11:33NOHPondexter P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
34
Q2 - 11:43NOHGreen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)25
12.2%
34
87.8%
Q2 - 12:0023
34
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH23
11.2%
34
88.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS23
34
Q1 - 0:00.0SASBonner 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)23
11.2%
34
88.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0NOHPondexter 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)23
12.5%
32
87.5%
Q1 - 0:20.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
11.3%
32
88.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0NOHWest 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)21
10.5%
32
89.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASNeal Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T3)19
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
8.8%
32
91.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0NOHMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
9.0%
32
91.0%
Q1 - 1:03SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q1 - 1:03SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
9.8%
31
90.2%
Q1 - 1:03NOHWest S.FOUL (P1.T4)19
30
Q1 - 1:10NOHMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)19
10.8%
30
89.2%
Q1 - 1:12NOHSUB: Pondexter FOR Ariza19
30
Q1 - 1:12SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Parker19
30
Q1 - 1:12SASSUB: McDyess FOR Blair19
30
Q1 - 1:23SASParker 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)19
11.5%
30
88.5%
Q1 - 1:38NOHGreen 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)19
12.7%
28
87.3%
Q1 - 1:49NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
11.5%
28
88.5%
Q1 - 1:50SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q1 - 2:08NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)17
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q1 - 2:21SASHill 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
10.0%
28
90.0%
Q1 - 2:48NOHAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)15
10.9%
26
89.1%
Q1 - 3:13NOHHornets Rebound12
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q1 - 3:13SASMISS Neal 21' Jump Shot12
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 3:17SASSUB: Bonner FOR Duncan12
26
Q1 - 3:37SASSUB: Neal FOR Jefferson12
26
Q1 - 3:37SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
26
Q1 - 3:37NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
8.5%
26
91.5%
Q1 - 3:37NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor11
26
Q1 - 3:37NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
8.5%
26
91.5%
Q1 - 3:37SASHill S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
26
Q1 - 3:40SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)10
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 4:04NOHGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T4)10
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q1 - 4:04NOHGreen OFF.Foul (P2)10
26
Q1 - 4:13NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
9.5%
26
90.5%
Q1 - 4:14SASMISS Jefferson 1' Layup10
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q1 - 4:21SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q1 - 4:23NOHMISS Okafor 4' Jump Shot10
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q1 - 4:42SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)10
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q1 - 4:56NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
11.2%
23
88.8%
Q1 - 5:06SASBlair 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)10
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 5:24NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)10
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 5:41SASHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
12.7%
21
87.3%
Q1 - 5:41NOHGreen S.FOUL (P1.T3)8
20
Q1 - 5:41SASHill 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)8
20
Q1 - 5:49SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
14.2%
18
85.8%
Q1 - 5:51NOHMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 5:58NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 5:59SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 28
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 5:59SASSUB: Hill FOR Ginobili8
18
Q1 - 5:59SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)8
14.6%
18
85.4%
Q1 - 5:59NOHAriza S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
17
Q1 - 6:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.3%
17
84.7%
Q1 - 6:03NOHMISS Paul 5' Jump Bank Shot8
15.6%
17
84.4%
Q1 - 6:12NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
16.3%
17
83.7%
Q1 - 6:13SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
16.1%
17
83.9%
Q1 - 6:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
15.7%
17
84.3%
Q1 - 6:31NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot8
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 6:47NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)8
17
Q1 - 6:56SASJefferson Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)8
16.9%
17
83.1%
Q1 - 7:07NOHWest Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T2)8
17.9%
15
82.1%
Q1 - 7:23SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
19.1%
15
80.9%
Q1 - 7:23SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)8
19.3%
14
80.7%
Q1 - 7:23NOHSUB: Green FOR Belinelli8
13
Q1 - 7:23NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
13
Q1 - 7:36NOHPaul 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
20.1%
13
79.9%
Q1 - 7:54SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)6
19.6%
13
80.4%
Q1 - 8:12SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
21.5%
10
78.5%
Q1 - 8:13NOHMISS Belinelli 11' Jump Shot6
21.8%
10
78.2%
Q1 - 8:35SASParker 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 8:48NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 8:58SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 9:10NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)4
24.2%
6
75.8%
Q1 - 9:35SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)2
23.9%
6
76.1%
Q1 - 9:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.8%
4
75.2%
Q1 - 9:49NOHMISS Belinelli 1' Layup2
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 10:04SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
25.8%
4
74.2%
Q1 - 10:17NOHAriza 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 10:25NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 10:28SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup0
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 10:35SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 10:37NOHBlair BLOCK (1 BLK)0
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 10:55SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)0
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 11:06SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 11:07NOHMISS Belinelli 21' Jump Shot0
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 11:18SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 11:18NOHParker STEAL (1 STL)0
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 11:40NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.2%
0
71.8%
Q1 - 11:42SASMISS Jefferson Layup0
28.2%
0
71.8%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Okafor: Tip to Parker0
28.6%
0
71.4%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.99 49.4%
SAS
1.31 65.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
16
28
57%
SAS
18
27
67%
Midrange
NOH
14
39
36%
SAS
12
21
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
SAS
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
Free Throws
NOH
15
19
79%
SAS
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul1653%8.0 / 15
T. Ariza1354%6.5 / 12
D. West1354%6.5 / 12
Q. Pondexter1063%5.0 / 8
W. Green10100%5.0 / 5
A. Gray990%4.5 / 5
E. Okafor550%2.5 / 5
J. Jack450%2.0 / 4
M. Belinelli214%1.0 / 7
J. Smith220%1.0 / 5
M. Thornton0-0.0 / 3
D. Andersen0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1973%9.5 / 13
M. Bonner14117%7.0 / 6
R. Jefferson1354%6.5 / 12
T. Duncan1161%5.5 / 9
G. Neal1161%5.5 / 9
G. Hill11110%5.5 / 5
D. Blair1071%5.0 / 7
M. Ginobili867%4.0 / 6
T. Splitter542%2.5 / 6
C. Quinn440%2.0 / 5
I. Udoka375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
76
+8
-15
84
SAS
74
+7
-16
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.99 49.4%
SAS
1.31 65.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
111.5
NOH 92.3
SAS 121.1 +28.8
Pace
88.9
92.7
NOH 96.6 +11.5
SAS 85.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.7
NOH 14.9 −2.0
SAS 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
52.7%
NOH 46.0%
SAS 66.4% +20.4%
TO %
13.6%
13.8%
NOH 15.3% −2.2%
SAS 17.5%
ORB %
25.1%
25.0%
NOH 18.4%
SAS 23.3% +4.9%
FTrt
29.6
29.9
NOH 25.3
SAS 32.9 +7.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
58.3%
NOH 66.7%
SAS 70.7% +4.0%
STL %
8.5%
7.9%
NOH 8.8%
SAS 11.1% +2.3%
BLK %
7.6%
6.7%
NOH 4.2%
SAS 6.0% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
55.3%
NOH 49.4%
SAS 65.7% +16.3%
Rim FG%
57.5%
60.3%
NOH 57.1%
SAS 66.7% +9.6%
Mid FG%
42.1%
41.6%
NOH 35.9%
SAS 57.1% +21.2%
3P %
36.0%
39.7%
NOH 37.5%
SAS 50.0% +12.5%
FT %
76.5%
76.7%
NOH 78.9% +9.3%
SAS 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
34.3%
NOH 37.3%
SAS 38.6% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
48.6%
39.7%
NOH 52.0%
SAS 30.0% −22.0%
3P Att. %
19.2%
26.1%
NOH 10.7%
SAS 31.4% +20.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsNOHSAS
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points84109
Rebounds3038
Assists2229
Steals810
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)31 (5)
Field Goals33-7541-70
At-the-Rim FG16-2818-27
Midrange FG14-3912-21
2-Point FG30-6730-48
3-Point FG3-811-22
Free Throws15-1916-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 175 · 26
32.1
16
53%
5
8
2
0
4
2
0
5
4-5
80%
3-9
33%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
31.6
13
54%
4
1
0
0
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
29.6
13
54%
5
3
1
2
1
4
1
4
1-2
50%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 28
22.8
5
50%
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
20.6
2
14%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
0-6
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25
22.7
2
20%
5
1
2
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 23
22.0
10
63%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 29
19.7
10
100%
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
5-5
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
15.9
4
50%
2
5
0
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 26
12.0
9
90%
4
1
1
0
2
4
3
1
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
· 6'11" 247 · 30
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#15 · G · 6'2" 205 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#28 · C · 7'0" 255 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · F · 6'9" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
49%
30
22
8
2
15
0
7
23
15-19
79%
30-67
45%
3-8
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.