FinalWin Prob.pScore
2127%101
107
673%109
108
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
111.59691.0
DEN logo DEN
112.596101.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN107
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MEMConley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)107
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)104
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)104
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0MEMHenry 1' Alley Oop Layup (17 PTS) (Conley 9 AST)104
1.9%
106
98.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENNene 2' Dunk (27 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)102
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0MEMConley 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)102
3.6%
104
96.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)100
2.6%
104
97.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot100
1.7%
104
98.3%
Q4 - 0:36.0MEMGay 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)100
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)98
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 1:00MEMHenry 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)98
6.6%
101
93.4%
Q4 - 1:02MEMGrizzlies Rebound96
3.9%
101
96.1%
Q4 - 1:02MEMAfflalo BLOCK (2 BLK)96
2.4%
101
97.6%
Q4 - 1:10MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 1:12DENMISS Afflalo 3' Layup96
3.9%
101
96.1%
Q4 - 1:17MEMBillups STEAL (3 STL)96
2.7%
101
97.3%
Q4 - 1:26DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)96
5.5%
101
94.5%
Q4 - 1:26DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 296
6.3%
100
93.7%
Q4 - 1:42MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)96
6.1%
100
93.9%
Q4 - 1:42MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 295
5.6%
100
94.4%
Q4 - 1:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
6.7%
100
93.3%
Q4 - 1:49DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
5.8%
100
94.2%
Q4 - 2:03MEMGay 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)95
3.9%
100
96.1%
Q4 - 2:15MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
2.8%
100
97.2%
Q4 - 2:16DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 2:20DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)93
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 2:21DENMISS Nene 2' Layup93
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 2:42MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)93
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 2:42MEMRandolph 2' Tip Shot (17 PTS)93
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 2:44MEMMISS Conley 16' Jump Shot91
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 2:56DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nene 6 AST)91
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 3:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)91
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 3:19MEMMISS Randolph 6' Jump Shot91
2.3%
98
97.7%
Q4 - 3:38DENHarrington 3' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)91
5.1%
98
94.9%
Q4 - 4:03MEMHenry 7' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)91
6.8%
96
93.2%
Q4 - 4:17DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)89
4.8%
96
95.2%
Q4 - 4:17DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)89
5.3%
95
94.7%
Q4 - 4:32DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
6.6%
94
93.4%
Q4 - 4:33MEMMISS Gay 3PT Jump Shot89
7.5%
94
92.5%
Q4 - 5:06DENNene 1' Dunk (22 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)89
11.6%
94
88.4%
Q4 - 5:29MEMRandolph Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T16)89
15.2%
92
84.8%
Q4 - 5:48MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
20.5%
92
79.5%
Q4 - 5:49DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
18.7%
92
81.3%
Q4 - 6:09MEMGasol 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)89
16.1%
92
83.9%
Q4 - 6:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
12.6%
92
87.4%
Q4 - 6:31DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 287
12.1%
92
87.9%
Q4 - 6:31DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)87
10.3%
92
89.7%
Q4 - 6:36MEMNene STEAL (2 STL)87
12.4%
91
87.6%
Q4 - 6:48MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
16.4%
91
83.6%
Q4 - 6:49DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot87
15.0%
91
85.0%
Q4 - 6:53DENNUGGETS Rebound87
12.3%
91
87.7%
Q4 - 6:53DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
15.0%
91
85.0%
Q4 - 6:56MEMSmith STEAL (1 STL)87
12.3%
91
87.7%
Q4 - 7:00MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)87
16.4%
91
83.6%
Q4 - 7:02DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup87
15.7%
91
84.3%
Q4 - 7:05DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
13.1%
91
86.9%
Q4 - 7:06DENMISS Smith 4' Driving Layup87
15.7%
91
84.3%
Q4 - 7:24MEMYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)87
13.1%
91
86.9%
Q4 - 7:24MEMYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)86
12.5%
91
87.5%
Q4 - 7:33DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nene 5 AST)85
10.4%
91
89.6%
Q4 - 7:52MEMVasquez 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)85
16.6%
88
83.4%
Q4 - 8:13DENAfflalo 2' Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)83
14.0%
88
86.0%
Q4 - 8:16DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
17.5%
86
82.5%
Q4 - 8:17MEMAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)83
18.6%
86
81.4%
Q4 - 8:19MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)83
21.4%
86
78.6%
Q4 - 8:21MEMNene BLOCK (2 BLK)83
18.6%
86
81.4%
Q4 - 8:41DENNene 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)83
21.4%
86
78.6%
Q4 - 8:49DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
26.1%
84
73.9%
Q4 - 8:50MEMMISS Young 5' Running Jump Shot83
27.7%
84
72.3%
Q4 - 8:55DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)83
31.4%
84
68.6%
Q4 - 9:05DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
26.3%
84
73.7%
Q4 - 9:07MEMMISS Mayo 19' Jump Shot83
27.8%
84
72.2%
Q4 - 9:14MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
31.2%
84
68.8%
Q4 - 9:15DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
29.7%
84
70.3%
Q4 - 9:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)83
26.3%
84
73.7%
Q4 - 9:22MEMMISS Gay 22' Jump Shot83
27.8%
84
72.2%
Q4 - 9:46DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
31.2%
84
68.8%
Q4 - 9:46DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 283
32.1%
83
67.9%
Q4 - 10:06MEMGay 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)83
30.8%
83
69.2%
Q4 - 10:24DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)81
26.2%
83
73.8%
Q4 - 10:27DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
35.8%
80
64.2%
Q4 - 10:28MEMMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
37.5%
80
62.5%
Q4 - 10:46DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)81
41.3%
80
58.7%
Q4 - 10:46DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)81
42.6%
79
57.4%
Q4 - 11:00MEMYoung 1' Layup (2 PTS)81
46.9%
78
53.1%
Q4 - 11:03DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)79
40.3%
78
59.7%
Q4 - 11:05DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
35.3%
78
64.7%
Q4 - 11:06MEMMISS Arthur 13' Jump Shot79
36.8%
78
63.2%
Q4 - 11:26DENAfflalo 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)79
40.3%
78
59.7%
Q4 - 11:43MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
45.7%
76
54.3%
Q4 - 11:43MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
44.7%
76
55.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM77
40.4%
76
59.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound77
40.4%
76
59.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Young 64' 3PT Jump Shot77
36.8%
76
63.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
40.4%
76
59.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENShel. Williams 2' Tip Shot (9 PTS)77
40.4%
76
59.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Anthony 3' Driving Layup77
47.9%
74
52.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
44.7%
74
55.3%
Q3 - 0:09.0MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 2 of 277
45.4%
74
54.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
48.8%
74
51.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)76
44.3%
74
55.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
39.8%
74
60.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 276
40.4%
74
59.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)76
43.8%
74
56.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound75
39.4%
74
60.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
38.0%
74
62.0%
Q3 - 1:16DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
34.3%
74
65.7%
Q3 - 1:17MEMMISS Gay 19' Jump Shot75
35.6%
74
64.4%
Q3 - 1:21MEMGrizzlies Rebound75
38.5%
74
61.5%
Q3 - 1:21MEMMISS Young 6' Jump Shot75
35.6%
74
64.4%
Q3 - 1:26MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
38.5%
74
61.5%
Q3 - 1:29DENMISS Anthony 1' Layup75
37.2%
74
62.8%
Q3 - 1:31DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
34.3%
74
65.7%
Q3 - 1:32DENMISS Anthony 3' Driving Layup75
37.2%
74
62.8%
Q3 - 1:48MEMConley Layup (13 PTS) (Young 2 AST)75
34.4%
74
65.6%
Q3 - 1:52DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)73
29.7%
74
70.3%
Q3 - 2:03MEMHenry 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
25.4%
74
74.6%
Q3 - 2:09MEMGrizzlies Rebound71
22.0%
74
78.0%
Q3 - 2:11MEMMISS Conley 18' Jump Shot71
19.9%
74
80.1%
Q3 - 2:22DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T10)71
22.0%
74
78.0%
Q3 - 2:35MEMArthur 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
19.0%
74
81.0%
Q3 - 2:56DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
16.2%
74
83.8%
Q3 - 2:56DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 269
16.6%
73
83.4%
Q3 - 3:10DENNUGGETS Rebound69
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q3 - 3:10MEMMISS Gay 19' Jump Shot69
17.1%
73
82.9%
Q3 - 3:14MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
19.0%
73
81.0%
Q3 - 3:15MEMMISS Henry 20' Jump Shot69
17.1%
73
82.9%
Q3 - 3:20MEMHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
19.0%
73
81.0%
Q3 - 3:22DENMISS Nene 2' Layup69
18.1%
73
81.9%
Q3 - 3:38MEMConley 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Henry 3 AST)69
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q3 - 3:42DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)67
14.0%
73
86.0%
Q3 - 3:58MEMArthur 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 8 AST)67
11.9%
73
88.1%
Q3 - 4:28DENShel. Williams 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)65
10.5%
73
89.5%
Q3 - 4:34DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
12.0%
71
88.0%
Q3 - 4:35MEMMISS Randolph 2' Layup65
12.7%
71
87.3%
Q3 - 4:37MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
14.3%
71
85.7%
Q3 - 4:38MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
12.7%
71
87.3%
Q3 - 4:44MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
14.3%
71
85.7%
Q3 - 4:46MEMShel. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)65
12.7%
71
87.3%
Q3 - 5:01MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
14.4%
71
85.6%
Q3 - 5:02DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot65
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 5:18DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q3 - 5:19MEMMISS Randolph 2' Layup65
12.9%
71
87.1%
Q3 - 5:20MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
14.4%
71
85.6%
Q3 - 5:21DENMISS Anthony 1' Layup65
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 5:23DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q3 - 5:26DENMISS Anthony 3' Layup65
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 5:46MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
12.2%
71
87.8%
Q3 - 5:46MEMRandolph 1' Tip Shot (15 PTS)65
12.2%
71
87.8%
Q3 - 5:47MEMMISS Henry 2' Layup63
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 5:53MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
10.7%
71
89.3%
Q3 - 5:54MEMMISS Randolph 16' Fadeaway Jumper63
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 6:11DENBillups Foul Turnover (P3.T8)63
11.0%
71
89.0%
Q3 - 6:33MEMRandolph 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Conley 7 AST)63
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q3 - 6:45MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q3 - 6:46DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
7.8%
71
92.2%
Q3 - 6:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q3 - 6:58MEMMISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot61
7.3%
71
92.7%
Q3 - 7:08MEMRandolph Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)61
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 7:08MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
7.3%
71
92.7%
Q3 - 7:09DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup60
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q3 - 7:20MEMHenry 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)60
6.3%
71
93.7%
Q3 - 7:25MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 7:26DENMISS Anthony 10' Jump Shot58
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 7:50MEMGay 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 8:10MEMHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 8:12DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 8:16DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 8:18MEMMISS Gay 2' Alley Oop Layup56
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 8:31DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)56
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 8:45MEMGasol 9' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)56
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 9:02MEMGrizzlies Rebound54
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 9:03DENMISS Shel. Williams 2' Tip Shot54
4.8%
68
95.2%
Q3 - 9:03DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 9:04DENMISS Billups 1' Reverse Layup54
4.8%
68
95.2%
Q3 - 9:08DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 9:10MEMMISS Conley 3' Driving Layup54
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q3 - 9:31DENShel. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)54
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 9:43MEMRandolph 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)54
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 9:52MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 9:53MEMMISS Randolph 9' Jump Hook Shot52
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 10:13DENAfflalo 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 10:32MEMRandolph 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Henry 2 AST)52
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 10:48DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)50
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q3 - 11:12MEMGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)50
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q3 - 11:27DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)47
3.7%
64
96.3%
Q3 - 11:27DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)47
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q3 - 11:27DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 11:28DENMISS Afflalo 1' Layup47
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 11:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 11:32DENMISS Shel. Williams 1' Layup47
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 11:34DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 11:36DENMISS Shel. Williams 4' Jump Hook Shot47
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN47
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMHenry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)47
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0DENShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)44
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0MEMMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
4.7%
59
95.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENAfflalo 1' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)44
5.0%
59
95.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0MEMConley 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
5.8%
57
94.2%
Q2 - 1:00DENNene 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)42
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q2 - 1:06DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
6.0%
55
94.0%
Q2 - 1:07MEMMISS Randolph 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q2 - 1:17MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
6.6%
55
93.4%
Q2 - 1:18DENMISS Anthony 1' Driving Layup42
6.4%
55
93.6%
Q2 - 1:36MEMHenry 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
6.0%
55
94.0%
Q2 - 1:55DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q2 - 1:55DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
5.2%
54
94.8%
Q2 - 2:14MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P1.T13)40
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q2 - 2:28DENNene 2' Dunk (11 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)40
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q2 - 2:52MEMGasol 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)40
7.7%
51
92.3%
Q2 - 3:03MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q2 - 3:04DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot38
6.8%
51
93.2%
Q2 - 3:25MEMConley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)38
6.2%
51
93.8%
Q2 - 3:42MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q2 - 3:44DENMISS Shel. Williams 17' Jump Shot35
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q2 - 3:57MEMRandolph Foul Turnover (P3.T12)35
4.3%
51
95.7%
Q2 - 4:01MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q2 - 4:02DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 4:15MEMRandolph 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)35
4.5%
51
95.5%
Q2 - 4:36DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)33
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 5:00DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 5:01MEMMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 133
5.3%
48
94.7%
Q2 - 5:17DENNene 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)31
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 5:29MEMGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)31
5.2%
46
94.8%
Q2 - 5:51DENForbes 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)28
4.2%
46
95.8%
Q2 - 5:54DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
4.7%
44
95.3%
Q2 - 5:55MEMMISS Gay 19' Jump Shot28
4.8%
44
95.2%
Q2 - 6:15MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 6:16DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
5.4%
44
94.6%
Q2 - 6:41MEMGasol 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)28
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 6:59DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T6)26
4.5%
44
95.5%
Q2 - 7:07MEMRandolph 3' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)26
4.1%
44
95.9%
Q2 - 7:33DENForbes 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)24
3.7%
44
96.3%
Q2 - 7:39MEMConley 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)24
4.1%
42
95.9%
Q2 - 8:00DENHarrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)22
3.7%
42
96.3%
Q2 - 8:28MEMGay 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)22
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 8:51MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
4.3%
39
95.7%
Q2 - 8:53DENMISS Ely 1' Layup20
4.2%
39
95.8%
Q2 - 9:05MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
4.1%
39
95.9%
Q2 - 9:05MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)19
4.0%
39
96.0%
Q2 - 9:27MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
3.7%
39
96.3%
Q2 - 9:28DENMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot18
3.6%
39
96.4%
Q2 - 9:39DENNUGGETS Rebound18
3.3%
39
96.7%
Q2 - 9:39DENMISS Smith 8' Running Jump Shot18
3.6%
39
96.4%
Q2 - 9:51DENNUGGETS Rebound18
3.3%
39
96.7%
Q2 - 9:51DENMISS Smith 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup18
3.6%
39
96.4%
Q2 - 9:58DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
3.3%
39
96.7%
Q2 - 9:59MEMMISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot18
3.4%
39
96.6%
Q2 - 10:12DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
3.9%
39
96.1%
Q2 - 10:12DENForbes 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)18
3.9%
39
96.1%
Q2 - 10:13DENMISS Harrington 13' Fadeaway Jumper18
4.6%
37
95.4%
Q2 - 10:40MEMConley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
4.2%
37
95.8%
Q2 - 10:55DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
3.9%
37
96.1%
Q2 - 10:55DENEly 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
3.9%
37
96.1%
Q2 - 10:57DENMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup16
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q2 - 11:12MEMYoung Palming Turnover (P1.T11)16
4.4%
35
95.6%
Q2 - 11:20MEMGrizzlies Rebound16
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q2 - 11:20MEMMISS Mayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q2 - 11:43DENHarrington 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
4.8%
35
95.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN16
5.3%
33
94.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMThabeet Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)16
5.6%
33
94.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.0%
33
94.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0DENMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot16
5.9%
33
94.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0MEMEly STEAL (1 STL)16
5.6%
33
94.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)16
6.0%
33
94.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0MEMArthur 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Young 1 AST)16
5.5%
33
94.5%
Q1 - 1:03DENForbes 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)14
5.2%
33
94.8%
Q1 - 1:09DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q1 - 1:11MEMMISS Vasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
5.9%
31
94.1%
Q1 - 1:25DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q1 - 1:39MEMMayo Foul Turnover (P1.T8)14
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q1 - 1:42MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q1 - 1:43DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
6.1%
31
93.9%
Q1 - 2:01MEMArthur Foul Turnover (P2.T7)14
6.0%
31
94.0%
Q1 - 2:10DENNene 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)14
6.5%
31
93.5%
Q1 - 2:30MEMArthur 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)14
7.1%
29
92.9%
Q1 - 2:49DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)12
6.4%
29
93.6%
Q1 - 2:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
7.7%
26
92.3%
Q1 - 2:57MEMMISS Young 21' Jump Shot12
7.9%
26
92.1%
Q1 - 3:08DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T3)12
8.5%
26
91.5%
Q1 - 3:08MEMArthur Foul Turnover (P1.T6)12
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q1 - 3:23DENAfflalo Layup (7 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)12
8.5%
26
91.5%
Q1 - 3:28MEMAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)12
9.2%
24
90.8%
Q1 - 3:38DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)12
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 3:49DENNUGGETS Rebound12
11.7%
21
88.3%
Q1 - 3:49MEMMISS Mayo 7' Jump Shot12
12.0%
21
88.0%
Q1 - 4:02MEMMISS Gay Free Throw Technical12
12.7%
21
87.3%
Q1 - 4:09MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
12.7%
21
87.3%
Q1 - 4:11DENMISS Anthony 1' Driving Layup12
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 4:27MEMMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)12
11.6%
21
88.4%
Q1 - 4:44DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
10.0%
21
90.0%
Q1 - 4:44DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 29
10.1%
20
89.9%
Q1 - 4:44DENNUGGETS Rebound9
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 4:45DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup9
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 4:49MEMNene STEAL (1 STL)9
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 4:58DENAnthony Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T2)9
10.8%
20
89.2%
Q1 - 4:58DENMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 29
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 5:03MEMBillups STEAL (2 STL)9
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 5:16DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
11.2%
20
88.8%
Q1 - 5:16DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)9
11.2%
19
88.8%
Q1 - 5:19DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 5:21MEMMISS Randolph 12' Jump Shot9
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 5:43DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)9
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 5:43DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 29
13.1%
17
86.9%
Q1 - 5:43DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 5:44DENMISS Anthony 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup9
13.6%
17
86.4%
Q1 - 5:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
12.8%
17
87.2%
Q1 - 5:57MEMMISS Henry 22' Jump Shot9
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 6:09MEMGrizzlies Rebound9
13.9%
17
86.1%
Q1 - 6:10MEMNene BLOCK (1 BLK)9
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 6:20MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
13.9%
17
86.1%
Q1 - 6:21DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
13.6%
17
86.4%
Q1 - 6:42MEMHenry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)9
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 6:53DENAfflalo 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
12.1%
17
87.9%
Q1 - 6:56MEMBillups STEAL (1 STL)7
12.9%
15
87.1%
Q1 - 7:19DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 7:19DENShel. Williams 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)7
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 7:22DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 27
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 7:22DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 7:29DENBillups Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)7
16.0%
12
84.0%
Q1 - 7:38MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
17.1%
11
82.9%
Q1 - 7:38MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 26
16.9%
11
83.1%
Q1 - 7:48DENNene 1' Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)6
17.2%
11
82.8%
Q1 - 8:13MEMGasol 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Henry 1 AST)6
18.2%
9
81.8%
Q1 - 8:34DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
17.0%
9
83.0%
Q1 - 9:00MEMGay 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)4
18.2%
7
81.8%
Q1 - 9:11DENAfflalo 3' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
17.2%
7
82.8%
Q1 - 9:17DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.3%
5
81.7%
Q1 - 9:19MEMMISS Henry 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
18.7%
5
81.3%
Q1 - 9:42DENBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
19.5%
5
80.5%
Q1 - 9:54DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
18.3%
5
81.7%
Q1 - 9:55MEMMISS Randolph 5' Jump Hook Shot2
18.7%
5
81.3%
Q1 - 10:10DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
19.6%
5
80.4%
Q1 - 10:11DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 10:12DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 10:33DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 10:34MEMMISS Gasol 6' Running Jump Shot2
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 10:44DENAnthony 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
23.3%
2
76.7%
Q1 - 11:04MEMShel. Williams STEAL (1 STL)2
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 11:16MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 11:17DENMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot2
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:32MEMRandolph 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)2
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Gasol: Tip to Conley0
22.7%
0
77.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.14 56.9%
DEN
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
17
29
59%
DEN
28
51
55%
Midrange
MEM
22
42
52%
DEN
6
15
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
DEN
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
Free Throws
MEM
11
17
65%
DEN
25
33
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gay2460%12.0 / 20
M. Conley1973%9.5 / 13
Z. Randolph1841%9.0 / 22
X. Henry1771%8.5 / 12
M. Gasol1083%5.0 / 6
D. Arthur867%4.0 / 6
S. Young433%2.0 / 6
O. Mayo338%1.5 / 4
G. Vasquez250%1.0 / 2
T. Allen2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Nene2784%13.5 / 16
A. Afflalo2578%12.5 / 16
C. Anthony1327%6.5 / 24
C. Billups1169%5.5 / 8
S. Williams956%4.5 / 8
G. Forbes8100%4.0 / 4
A. Harrington739%3.5 / 9
J. Smith528%2.5 / 9
M. Ely250%1.0 / 2
T. Lawson117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
79
+14
-17
93
DEN
82
+18
-14
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.14 56.9%
DEN
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
112.7
MEM 111.5
DEN 112.5 +1.0
Pace
91.5
95.2
MEM 91.0
DEN 101.6 +10.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.3
MEM 15.8
DEN 14.2 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
52.6%
MEM 55.8% +7.5%
DEN 48.3%
TO %
14.5%
14.5%
MEM 15.4%
DEN 12.2% +3.2%
ORB %
28.8%
23.8%
MEM 22.2%
DEN 32.6% +10.4%
FTrt
29.1
36.7
MEM 19.8
DEN 38.4 +18.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.8%
57.6%
MEM 51.1%
DEN 59.0% +7.9%
STL %
10.2%
7.7%
MEM 7.3%
DEN 9.4% +2.1%
BLK %
9.0%
6.8%
MEM 13.6% +6.6%
DEN 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
56.3%
MEM 56.9% +4.0%
DEN 52.9%
Rim FG%
59.4%
58.5%
MEM 58.6% +3.7%
DEN 54.9%
Mid FG%
39.8%
40.0%
MEM 52.4% +12.4%
DEN 40.0%
3P %
33.4%
38.8%
MEM 40.0% +15.0%
DEN 25.0%
FT %
75.0%
76.6%
MEM 64.7%
DEN 75.8% +11.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.6%
42.5%
MEM 33.7%
DEN 59.3% +25.6%
Mid Att. %
44.8%
31.8%
MEM 48.8%
DEN 17.4% +31.4%
3P Att. %
13.6%
25.8%
MEM 17.4%
DEN 23.3% +5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsMEMDEN
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points107108
Rebounds3742
Assists2323
Steals79
Blocks95
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (6)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)28 (2)
Field Goals45-8639-86
At-the-Rim FG17-2928-51
Midrange FG22-426-15
2-Point FG39-7134-66
3-Point FG6-155-20
Free Throws11-1725-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
40.9
19
73%
5
9
0
0
2
3
1
4
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
2-2
100%
F · 6'8" 230 · 24
40.1
24
60%
4
3
2
5
1
3
0
4
6-9
67%
6-11
55%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
38.0
18
41%
12
1
0
0
6
4
5
7
2-3
67%
8-20
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 20
27.5
17
71%
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
7-10
70%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
25.4
10
83%
6
3
0
2
1
5
1
5
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26
16.7
4
33%
3
2
4
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
15.6
3
38%
3
1
0
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
15.3
8
67%
2
0
1
0
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 263 · 24
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 217 · 24
7.1
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
· 6'4" 213 · 29
5.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 24
#15 · C · 7'2" 265 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
57%
37
23
7
9
17
0
8
29
11-17
65%
39-71
55%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.