FinalWin Prob.pScore
1730%91
80
670%98
74
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
92.08779.2
ORL logo ORL
85.18796.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL80
100%
74
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLLewis 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)80
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)80
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Lewis 10' Jump Bank Shot78
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)78
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)77
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
98.2%
72
1.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
98.4%
71
1.6%
Q4 - 0:26.0ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)76
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)73
91.7%
70
8.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)73
97.2%
67
2.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0ATLMISS Crawford 18' Pullup Jump Shot73
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q4 - 1:15ORLCarter 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)73
97.3%
67
2.7%
Q4 - 1:24ATLCrawford 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)73
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q4 - 1:48ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)71
95.0%
65
5.0%
Q4 - 1:59ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
98.1%
62
1.9%
Q4 - 1:59ATLMISS Horford 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot71
98.4%
62
1.6%
Q4 - 2:23ORLCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)71
99.0%
62
1.0%
Q4 - 2:45ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
98.1%
62
1.9%
Q4 - 3:02ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P6.T16)68
93.7%
62
6.3%
Q4 - 3:17ATLPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
89.7%
62
10.3%
Q4 - 3:17ATLPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
88.9%
62
11.1%
Q4 - 3:17ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q4 - 3:18ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q4 - 3:18ATLMISS Powell 2' Layup66
80.8%
62
19.2%
Q4 - 3:19ATLMISS Crawford 19' Jump Shot66
80.8%
62
19.2%
Q4 - 3:32ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
78.9%
62
21.1%
Q4 - 3:34ORLMISS Carter 1' Layup66
76.8%
62
23.2%
Q4 - 3:43ORLMISS Redick Free Throw Technical66
71.9%
62
28.1%
Q4 - 3:50ORLMAGIC Rebound66
72.1%
62
27.9%
Q4 - 3:50ORLMISS Carter 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot66
77.5%
62
22.5%
Q4 - 4:07ATLSmith 16' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)66
72.5%
62
27.5%
Q4 - 4:33ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T15)64
65.1%
62
34.9%
Q4 - 4:41ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
55.0%
62
45.0%
Q4 - 4:42ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
58.2%
62
41.8%
Q4 - 5:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)64
60.8%
62
39.2%
Q4 - 5:03ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
58.1%
62
41.9%
Q4 - 5:08ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
52.0%
62
48.0%
Q4 - 5:09ORLMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
58.2%
62
41.8%
Q4 - 5:16ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
52.1%
62
47.9%
Q4 - 5:17ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot64
54.8%
62
45.2%
Q4 - 5:51ORLCarter 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)64
61.2%
62
38.8%
Q4 - 6:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)64
64.1%
60
35.9%
Q4 - 6:03ATLMISS Smith 12' Turnaround Jump Shot64
66.4%
60
33.6%
Q4 - 6:24ORLBass Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)64
71.5%
60
28.5%
Q4 - 6:40ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)64
64.5%
60
35.5%
Q4 - 6:55ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)62
57.8%
60
42.2%
Q4 - 6:56ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
71.2%
57
28.8%
Q4 - 6:58ATLHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)62
73.2%
57
26.8%
Q4 - 7:17ORLBass 1' Dunk (10 PTS)62
73.9%
57
26.1%
Q4 - 7:34ATLCrawford 1' Layup (11 PTS)62
78.6%
55
21.4%
Q4 - 7:50ORLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)60
74.0%
55
26.0%
Q4 - 7:54ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
67.8%
55
32.2%
Q4 - 7:57ORLMISS Bass 1' Tip Shot60
72.2%
55
27.8%
Q4 - 7:57ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
67.8%
55
32.2%
Q4 - 8:00ORLMISS Redick 17' Jump Shot60
72.3%
55
27.7%
Q4 - 8:11ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)60
65.3%
55
34.7%
Q4 - 8:11ATLHawks Rebound60
70.7%
55
29.3%
Q4 - 8:11ATLGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)60
67.0%
55
33.0%
Q4 - 8:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)60
70.9%
55
29.1%
Q4 - 8:38ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
69.3%
55
30.7%
Q4 - 8:47ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
65.5%
55
34.5%
Q4 - 8:50ATLMISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot60
67.2%
55
32.8%
Q4 - 9:02ORLGortat Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)60
68.4%
55
31.6%
Q4 - 9:21ATLHorford 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
63.2%
55
36.8%
Q4 - 9:44ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
57.4%
55
42.6%
Q4 - 9:45ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot58
55.6%
55
44.4%
Q4 - 10:06ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
49.9%
55
50.1%
Q4 - 10:07ATLMISS Crawford 10' Pullup Jump Shot58
51.7%
55
48.3%
Q4 - 10:15ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
55.7%
55
44.3%
Q4 - 10:17ORLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
54.0%
55
46.0%
Q4 - 10:24ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
50.0%
55
50.0%
Q4 - 10:25ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
51.8%
55
48.2%
Q4 - 10:35ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
55.8%
55
44.2%
Q4 - 10:36ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot58
54.0%
55
46.0%
Q4 - 10:49ATLCrawford 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)58
50.1%
55
49.9%
Q4 - 11:10ORLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)56
43.4%
55
56.6%
Q4 - 11:35ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)56
48.9%
53
51.1%
Q4 - 11:37ATLHawks Rebound54
43.5%
53
56.5%
Q4 - 11:37ATLMISS Wilkins 3' Driving Layup54
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL54
43.5%
53
56.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound54
43.5%
53
56.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Powell 11' Jump Shot54
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0ORLHoward 8' Hook Bank Shot (14 PTS)54
42.5%
53
57.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLSmith 2' Dunk (15 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)54
48.1%
51
51.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)52
42.6%
51
57.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot52
41.2%
51
58.8%
Q3 - 1:02ATLPowell 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)52
37.4%
51
62.6%
Q3 - 1:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)50
32.5%
51
67.5%
Q3 - 1:09ORLMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot50
31.3%
51
68.7%
Q3 - 1:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)50
28.7%
51
71.3%
Q3 - 1:20ATLMISS Crawford 18' Pullup Jump Shot50
29.9%
51
70.1%
Q3 - 1:30ATLHawks Rebound50
32.5%
51
67.5%
Q3 - 1:31ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot50
29.9%
51
70.1%
Q3 - 1:54ORLWilliams Backcourt Turnover (P1.T11)50
32.6%
51
67.4%
Q3 - 2:16ATLHoward STEAL (2 STL)50
28.2%
51
71.8%
Q3 - 2:27ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
32.1%
51
67.9%
Q3 - 2:27ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 250
33.6%
50
66.4%
Q3 - 2:46ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)50
32.2%
50
67.8%
Q3 - 3:05ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q3 - 3:07ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
21.2%
50
78.8%
Q3 - 3:07ORLMISS Richardson 1' Tip Shot47
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q3 - 3:09ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q3 - 3:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)47
21.2%
50
78.8%
Q3 - 3:19ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
22.2%
50
77.8%
Q3 - 3:26ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q3 - 3:28ORLMISS Carter 20' Pullup Jump Shot47
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q3 - 3:37ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
21.2%
50
78.8%
Q3 - 3:38ATLMISS Bibby 19' Pullup Jump Shot47
22.2%
50
77.8%
Q3 - 3:59ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)47
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q3 - 4:20ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)47
31.1%
47
68.9%
Q3 - 4:43ORLCarter 10' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)45
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q3 - 4:47ORLMAGIC Rebound45
31.1%
45
68.9%
Q3 - 4:47ORLMISS Carter 3' Driving Layup45
34.3%
45
65.7%
Q3 - 5:14ATLLewis STEAL (2 STL)45
30.8%
45
69.2%
Q3 - 5:25ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
34.9%
45
65.1%
Q3 - 5:27ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot45
32.0%
45
68.0%
Q3 - 5:52ORLHoward 7' Hook Bank Shot (11 PTS)45
35.0%
45
65.0%
Q3 - 6:15ATLSmith 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)45
37.7%
43
62.3%
Q3 - 6:23ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
34.3%
43
65.7%
Q3 - 6:25ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup43
33.1%
43
66.9%
Q3 - 6:38ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)43
30.5%
43
69.5%
Q3 - 7:01ORLCarter 18' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)40
24.1%
43
75.9%
Q3 - 7:17ATLCollins Foul Turnover (P1.T11)40
26.9%
41
73.1%
Q3 - 7:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)40
30.2%
41
69.8%
Q3 - 7:32ORLHoward 1' Putback Dunk (9 PTS)40
30.2%
41
69.8%
Q3 - 7:33ORLMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot40
35.9%
39
64.1%
Q3 - 7:53ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
33.4%
39
66.6%
Q3 - 7:54ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 140
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q3 - 8:13ORLDuhon 9' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
30.0%
39
70.0%
Q3 - 8:25ATLLewis STEAL (1 STL)38
33.1%
37
66.9%
Q3 - 8:36ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
36.7%
37
63.3%
Q3 - 8:37ORLMISS Lewis 15' Pullup Jump Shot38
35.6%
37
64.4%
Q3 - 9:00ATLHorford 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)38
33.1%
37
66.9%
Q3 - 9:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)36
29.6%
37
70.4%
Q3 - 9:17ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
28.7%
37
71.3%
Q3 - 9:25ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
26.6%
37
73.4%
Q3 - 9:26ATLMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot36
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q3 - 9:38ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T10)36
29.7%
37
70.3%
Q3 - 9:58ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)36
26.6%
37
73.4%
Q3 - 9:58ATLHawks Rebound36
29.7%
37
70.3%
Q3 - 9:58ATLMISS Smith 31' 3PT Jump Shot36
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q3 - 10:24ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)36
29.3%
37
70.7%
Q3 - 10:30ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
26.4%
37
73.6%
Q3 - 10:32ATLMISS Horford 9' Running Hook Shot36
27.2%
37
72.8%
Q3 - 10:54ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
29.3%
37
70.7%
Q3 - 10:54ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 236
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q3 - 11:02ATLHoward STEAL (1 STL)36
29.0%
36
71.0%
Q3 - 11:08ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)36
32.1%
36
67.9%
Q3 - 11:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)36
29.0%
36
71.0%
Q3 - 11:20ATLHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)36
29.9%
36
70.1%
Q3 - 11:42ORLCarter 22' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
32.1%
36
67.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL36
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound36
35.0%
34
65.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Duhon 53' 3PT Jump Shot36
37.3%
34
62.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)36
35.1%
34
64.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 235
34.1%
34
65.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)35
34.5%
34
65.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
33.7%
34
66.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
32.1%
34
67.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
32.8%
34
67.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)35
34.5%
34
65.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Smith 14' Fadeaway Jumper35
32.8%
34
67.2%
Q2 - 1:01ORLBass 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)35
34.1%
34
65.9%
Q2 - 1:15ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)35
37.9%
32
62.1%
Q2 - 1:33ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
34.1%
32
65.9%
Q2 - 1:33ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 233
34.6%
31
65.4%
Q2 - 1:43ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
34.9%
31
65.1%
Q2 - 1:44ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot33
35.6%
31
64.4%
Q2 - 2:09ORLBass Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)33
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q2 - 2:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
34.0%
31
66.0%
Q2 - 2:21ATLMISS Bibby 20' Fadeaway Jumper33
35.0%
31
65.0%
Q2 - 2:37ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
37.0%
31
63.0%
Q2 - 2:37ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
37.6%
30
62.4%
Q2 - 2:49ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)33
40.0%
29
60.0%
Q2 - 2:59ATLThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
43.2%
29
56.8%
Q2 - 3:00ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot33
42.2%
29
57.8%
Q2 - 3:20ATLHorford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)33
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 3:34ORLDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
42.7%
29
57.3%
Q2 - 3:43ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 3:44ATLMISS Horford 10' Jump Shot33
40.3%
29
59.7%
Q2 - 3:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)33
42.7%
29
57.3%
Q2 - 3:54ORLMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
41.7%
29
58.3%
Q2 - 3:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 4:00ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
41.7%
29
58.3%
Q2 - 4:16ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q2 - 4:16ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot33
39.5%
29
60.5%
Q2 - 4:40ORLCarter 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
41.8%
29
58.2%
Q2 - 4:45ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
44.5%
27
55.5%
Q2 - 4:46ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot33
46.8%
27
53.2%
Q2 - 5:07ATLCollins 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)33
44.1%
27
55.9%
Q2 - 5:23ORLCarter 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
41.2%
27
58.8%
Q2 - 5:36ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
44.1%
25
55.9%
Q2 - 5:36ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot31
45.0%
25
55.0%
Q2 - 5:50ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Collins: Tip to31
47.0%
25
53.0%
Q2 - 6:05ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)31
43.1%
25
56.9%
Q2 - 6:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)31
46.4%
25
53.6%
Q2 - 6:20ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q2 - 6:38ATLSmith 2' Driving Slam Dunk (9 PTS)31
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q2 - 6:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)29
40.9%
25
59.1%
Q2 - 6:51ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
38.7%
25
61.3%
Q2 - 7:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)29
40.0%
25
60.0%
Q2 - 7:02ORLMISS Redick Free Throw 2 of 229
39.6%
25
60.4%
Q2 - 7:02ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
37.6%
25
62.4%
Q2 - 7:14ATLHorford 13' Fadeaway Bank Shot (8 PTS)29
39.9%
24
60.1%
Q2 - 7:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
37.4%
24
62.6%
Q2 - 7:25ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
36.6%
24
63.4%
Q2 - 7:34ATLCrawford 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)27
34.7%
24
65.3%
Q2 - 7:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
32.4%
24
67.6%
Q2 - 7:45ORLMISS Bass 15' Jump Shot25
31.6%
24
68.4%
Q2 - 7:51ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
29.8%
24
70.2%
Q2 - 7:54ATLMISS Wilkins 3' Layup25
30.6%
24
69.4%
Q2 - 8:05ORLPietrus Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)25
32.0%
24
68.0%
Q2 - 8:19ATLPowell 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)25
29.6%
24
70.4%
Q2 - 8:33ATLHawks Rebound23
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q2 - 8:34ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q2 - 8:51ATLPowell 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)23
25.4%
24
74.6%
Q2 - 8:54ATLHawks Rebound21
23.4%
24
76.6%
Q2 - 8:54ATLBass BLOCK (1 BLK)21
22.1%
24
77.9%
Q2 - 9:13ORLBass 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)21
23.3%
24
76.7%
Q2 - 9:28ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)21
25.2%
22
74.8%
Q2 - 9:28ATLHawks Rebound21
27.3%
22
72.7%
Q2 - 9:28ATLMISS Powell 6' Hook Shot21
25.8%
22
74.2%
Q2 - 9:57ORLGortat 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)21
27.3%
22
72.7%
Q2 - 10:08ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)21
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q2 - 10:09ATLMISS Crawford 23' Step Back Jump Shot21
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q2 - 10:34ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
31.6%
20
68.4%
Q2 - 10:35ORLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot21
30.8%
20
69.2%
Q2 - 10:45ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q2 - 10:46ATLMISS Powell 18' Jump Shot21
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q2 - 11:08ORLBass Foul Turnover (P1.T3)21
31.4%
20
68.6%
Q2 - 11:24ATLWilkins 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)21
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q2 - 11:45ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q2 - 11:45ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 219
28.0%
19
72.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL19
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Bass 12' Jump Shot19
28.2%
19
71.8%
Q1 - 0:10.0ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0ATLMISS Crawford 15' Jump Shot19
27.6%
19
72.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
28.8%
19
71.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
29.0%
18
71.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
31.2%
17
68.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Bass 2' Layup19
32.4%
17
67.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
31.2%
17
68.8%
Q1 - 1:00ORLHoward 3' Layup (5 PTS)16
26.8%
17
73.2%
Q1 - 1:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
29.1%
15
70.9%
Q1 - 1:21ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot16
29.5%
15
70.5%
Q1 - 1:40ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)16
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 1:49ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
35.3%
12
64.8%
Q1 - 1:50ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot16
35.7%
12
64.3%
Q1 - 2:08ORLRedick 2' Layup (2 PTS)16
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 2:14ATLDuhon STEAL (1 STL)16
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 2:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
41.3%
10
58.7%
Q1 - 2:37ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot16
40.7%
10
59.3%
Q1 - 2:47ATLHorford 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)16
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 3:04ORLCarter Foul Turnover (P2.T2)14
36.7%
10
63.3%
Q1 - 3:16ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
34.5%
10
65.5%
Q1 - 3:18ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
36.7%
10
63.3%
Q1 - 3:18ATLMISS Evans 2' Tip Shot14
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 3:18ATLMISS Crawford 21' Pullup Jump Shot14
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 3:41ORLDuhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)14
36.7%
10
63.3%
Q1 - 3:47ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
40.9%
7
59.1%
Q1 - 3:48ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
41.6%
7
58.4%
Q1 - 4:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)14
42.2%
7
57.8%
Q1 - 4:07ORLMISS Bass 14' Pullup Jump Shot14
41.5%
7
58.5%
Q1 - 4:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
40.0%
7
60.0%
Q1 - 4:27ATLMISS Horford 8' Running Hook Shot14
40.7%
7
59.3%
Q1 - 4:45ORLBass 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)14
42.3%
7
57.7%
Q1 - 4:57ATLSmith 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)14
44.4%
5
55.6%
Q1 - 5:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
41.6%
5
58.4%
Q1 - 5:20ORLMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot12
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 5:26ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
39.3%
5
60.7%
Q1 - 5:28ATLCarter BLOCK (1 BLK)12
40.0%
5
60.0%
Q1 - 5:39ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
41.6%
5
58.4%
Q1 - 5:41ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot12
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 5:58ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)12
39.3%
5
60.7%
Q1 - 5:58ATLCollins 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)12
39.3%
5
60.7%
Q1 - 6:00ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
37.5%
5
62.5%
Q1 - 6:00ATLMISS Collins 1' Tip Shot10
36.0%
5
64.0%
Q1 - 6:01ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
36.8%
5
63.2%
Q1 - 6:01ATLMISS Collins 3' Tip Shot10
35.4%
5
64.6%
Q1 - 6:03ATLMISS Bibby 2' Driving Reverse Layup10
35.4%
5
64.6%
Q1 - 6:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
36.9%
5
63.1%
Q1 - 6:12ORLMISS Bass 16' Jump Shot10
36.2%
5
63.8%
Q1 - 6:31ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
34.9%
5
65.1%
Q1 - 6:31ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot10
35.5%
5
64.5%
Q1 - 6:55ORLHoward 8' Running Hook Shot (3 PTS)10
36.9%
5
63.1%
Q1 - 7:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
38.0%
3
62.0%
Q1 - 7:14ATLMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot10
38.7%
3
61.3%
Q1 - 7:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
40.1%
3
59.9%
Q1 - 7:21ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
39.5%
3
60.5%
Q1 - 7:39ATLSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)10
38.0%
3
62.0%
Q1 - 7:49ATLHawks Rebound7
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 7:49ATLHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)7
33.1%
3
66.9%
Q1 - 7:57ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 7:58ORLMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot7
33.9%
3
66.1%
Q1 - 8:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
32.2%
3
67.8%
Q1 - 8:07ORLMISS Carter 2' Driving Layup7
33.4%
3
66.6%
Q1 - 8:21ATLBibby Foul Turnover (P1.T2)7
32.2%
3
67.8%
Q1 - 8:31ORLDuhon 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
33.9%
3
66.1%
Q1 - 8:42ATLSmith 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
35.8%
1
64.2%
Q1 - 8:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
34.0%
1
66.0%
Q1 - 9:00ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
33.4%
1
66.6%
Q1 - 9:16ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
31.9%
1
68.1%
Q1 - 9:16ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 24
31.6%
1
68.4%
Q1 - 9:40ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Horford: Tip to4
31.9%
1
68.1%
Q1 - 9:48ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.3%
1
69.7%
Q1 - 9:49ATLMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot4
30.8%
1
69.2%
Q1 - 10:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
31.6%
1
68.4%
Q1 - 10:12ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Bank Shot4
31.0%
1
69.0%
Q1 - 10:28ATLHorford 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
29.8%
1
70.2%
Q1 - 10:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
28.6%
1
71.4%
Q1 - 10:31ATLLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)2
27.4%
1
72.6%
Q1 - 10:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.6%
1
71.4%
Q1 - 10:48ORLMISS Richardson 1' Driving Layup2
28.1%
1
71.9%
Q1 - 11:07ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
26.6%
1
73.4%
Q1 - 11:18ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
27.8%
1
72.2%
Q1 - 11:18ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 22
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 11:29ORLMAGIC Rebound2
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:29ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Hook Shot2
28.8%
0
71.2%
Q1 - 11:44ATLHorford 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)2
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Smith: Tip to Collins0
26.6%
0
73.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.84 42.1%
ORL
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
9
19
47%
ORL
12
20
60%
Midrange
ATL
19
52
37%
ORL
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
ORL
4
6.0
22
18%
27%
Free Throws
ATL
9
12
75%
ORL
14
21
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith1956%9.5 / 17
A. Horford1653%8.0 / 15
J. Crawford1542%7.5 / 18
M. Bibby1354%6.5 / 12
J. Powell844%4.0 / 9
J. Collins440%2.0 / 5
M. Williams217%1.0 / 6
D. Wilkins233%1.0 / 3
E. Thomas150%0.5 / 1
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 1
M. Evans0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter1853%9.0 / 17
D. Howard1447%7.0 / 15
J. Redick1179%5.5 / 7
R. Lewis1042%5.0 / 12
B. Bass1042%5.0 / 12
C. Duhon758%3.5 / 6
J. Williams220%1.0 / 5
M. Gortat2100%1.0 / 1
Q. Richardson0-0.0 / 4
M. Pietrus0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
76
+18
-11
94
ORL
70
+14
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.84 42.1%
ORL
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
108.1
ATL 92.0 +6.9
ORL 85.1
Pace
89.5
91.2
ATL 79.2
ORL 96.5 +17.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.6
ATL 18.2
ORL 14.9 +3.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
52.1%
ATL 41.8% +1.3%
ORL 40.5%
TO %
14.2%
15.7%
ATL 13.4% +3.6%
ORL 17.0%
ORB %
23.5%
26.1%
ATL 22.2%
ORL 23.8% +1.6%
FTrt
26.9
32.8
ATL 14.1
ORL 28.4 +14.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
55.3%
ATL 51.5% +19.4%
ORL 32.1%
STL %
6.8%
7.3%
ATL 6.9% +1.2%
ORL 5.7%
BLK %
6.6%
7.5%
ATL 13.5% +3.6%
ORL 9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.8%
ATL 42.1%
ORL 43.5% +1.4%
Rim FG%
60.0%
61.7%
ATL 47.4%
ORL 60.0% +12.6%
Mid FG%
42.5%
40.4%
ATL 36.5%
ORL 37.5% +1.0%
3P %
35.2%
36.6%
ATL 35.7% +17.5%
ORL 18.2%
FT %
78.0%
69.2%
ATL 75.0% +8.3%
ORL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
32.6%
ATL 22.4%
ORL 27.0% +4.7%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
34.5%
ATL 61.2%
ORL 43.2% +17.9%
3P Att. %
22.2%
32.8%
ATL 16.5%
ORL 29.7% +13.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsATLORL
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points8074
Rebounds4245
Assists179
Steals65
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)11 (3)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (8)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)35 (0)
Field Goals33-8528-74
At-the-Rim FG9-1912-20
Midrange FG19-5212-32
2-Point FG28-7124-52
3-Point FG5-144-22
Free Throws9-1214-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 245 · 25
41.8
16
53%
10
2
1
3
4
2
1
9
2-2
100%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
39.7
19
56%
13
3
1
4
3
1
2
11
0-0
-
8-13
62%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
35.8
13
54%
1
7
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-7
14%
3-4
75%
G · 6'9" 237 · 24
20.6
2
17%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
15.2
4
40%
3
0
2
0
1
4
3
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 31
28.9
15
42%
2
0
2
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-15
33%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
18.7
8
44%
5
1
0
0
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 27
12.5
0
0%
4
3
0
0
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
· 6'6" 225 · 31
11.5
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 33
4.5
1
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 22
#19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · · 6'4" 195 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
42%
42
17
6
7
11
0
10
32
9-12
75%
28-71
39%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.