FinalWin Prob.pScore
167%94
88
1833%89
78
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.08886.9
MIL logo MIL
89.78788.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
100%
78
0%
Q4 - 0:17.0MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)88
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)88
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)88
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)87
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)86
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MILMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIADampier 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)86
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)84
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot84
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 1:20MILBogut 3' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Salmons 4 AST)84
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 1:25MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 6 AST)84
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 1:45MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 1:46MILMISS Maggette 22' Jump Shot82
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 2:07MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS)82
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 2:30MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)80
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 2:30MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q4 - 2:30MILMISS Ilyasova 18' Jump Shot80
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 2:33MILBUCKS Rebound80
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q4 - 2:33MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup80
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 2:51MIABosh 1' Reverse Layup (16 PTS)80
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q4 - 3:12MIAHeat Rebound78
98.2%
71
1.8%
Q4 - 3:12MILMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
97.9%
71
2.1%
Q4 - 3:19MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
96.9%
71
3.1%
Q4 - 3:23MILMISS Maggette 2' Layup78
97.9%
71
2.1%
Q4 - 3:38MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
95.1%
71
4.9%
Q4 - 3:39MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot78
95.7%
71
4.3%
Q4 - 3:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)78
96.8%
71
3.2%
Q4 - 3:52MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
96.4%
71
3.6%
Q4 - 4:02MIADampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T18)78
95.4%
71
4.6%
Q4 - 4:19MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
97.0%
71
3.0%
Q4 - 4:20MILMISS Jennings 1' Dunk78
96.6%
71
3.4%
Q4 - 4:40MIABosh Foul Turnover (P3.T17)78
95.5%
71
4.5%
Q4 - 4:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
97.0%
71
3.0%
Q4 - 4:45MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)78
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q4 - 4:45MILMISS Bogut 1' Tip Shot78
96.6%
71
3.4%
Q4 - 4:46MILMISS Maggette 1' Layup78
96.6%
71
3.4%
Q4 - 5:03MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
93.9%
71
6.1%
Q4 - 5:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)76
91.9%
71
8.1%
Q4 - 5:27MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
91.0%
71
9.0%
Q4 - 5:44MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)76
88.8%
71
11.2%
Q4 - 5:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)74
85.3%
71
14.7%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot74
81.8%
71
18.2%
Q4 - 6:29MILIlyasova 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)74
84.3%
71
15.7%
Q4 - 6:38MIAWade Foul Turnover (P6.T16)74
87.7%
69
12.3%
Q4 - 6:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
90.8%
69
9.2%
Q4 - 6:53MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 274
90.5%
69
9.5%
Q4 - 6:53MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
88.5%
69
11.5%
Q4 - 7:05MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T15)74
89.7%
68
10.3%
Q4 - 7:24MILBogut Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T11)74
92.2%
68
7.8%
Q4 - 7:47MILJump Ball Ilyasova vs. Wade: Tip to Douglas-Roberts74
89.8%
68
10.2%
Q4 - 8:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
91.2%
68
8.8%
Q4 - 8:02MILMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot74
90.5%
68
9.5%
Q4 - 8:21MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
89.0%
68
11.0%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
89.7%
68
10.3%
Q4 - 8:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)74
91.3%
68
8.7%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot74
89.8%
68
10.2%
Q4 - 9:01MILDouglas-Roberts 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ilyasova 3 AST)74
90.3%
68
9.7%
Q4 - 9:15MIADooling STEAL (1 STL)74
93.8%
65
6.2%
Q4 - 9:34MILDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q4 - 9:34MILDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
95.3%
64
4.7%
Q4 - 9:46MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
96.1%
63
3.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot74
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q4 - 10:06MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q4 - 10:06MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
96.5%
62
3.5%
Q4 - 10:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)74
97.1%
61
2.9%
Q4 - 10:43MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
95.6%
61
4.4%
Q4 - 10:43MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
95.7%
60
4.3%
Q4 - 11:04MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)71
95.9%
59
4.1%
Q4 - 11:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
95.0%
59
5.0%
Q4 - 11:16MILMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
94.7%
59
5.3%
Q4 - 11:37MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
93.9%
59
6.1%
Q4 - 11:39MIASanders BLOCK (2 BLK)69
94.3%
59
5.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
95.0%
59
5.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMaggette 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)69
95.0%
59
5.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
96.3%
56
3.7%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS James 1' Layup69
96.5%
56
3.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
96.9%
56
3.1%
Q3 - 0:28.0MILMISS Maggette Free Throw 2 of 269
96.8%
56
3.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0MILMISS Maggette Free Throw 1 of 269
96.4%
56
3.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)69
96.3%
56
3.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
94.5%
56
5.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
94.6%
55
5.4%
Q3 - 1:12MIAHoward 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 5 AST)66
95.1%
54
4.9%
Q3 - 1:29MILJennings Foul Turnover (P1.T10)64
94.1%
54
5.9%
Q3 - 1:46MILBUCKS Rebound64
93.0%
54
7.0%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot64
93.3%
54
6.7%
Q3 - 2:07MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)64
93.5%
54
6.5%
Q3 - 2:28MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)64
95.5%
51
4.5%
Q3 - 2:52MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
93.6%
51
6.4%
Q3 - 2:53MILMISS Sanders 4' Jump Shot61
93.2%
51
6.8%
Q3 - 3:06MIABosh 8' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)61
92.0%
51
8.0%
Q3 - 3:31MILMbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)59
90.7%
51
9.3%
Q3 - 3:42MIAJames Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)59
92.0%
49
8.0%
Q3 - 3:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
90.7%
49
9.3%
Q3 - 3:47MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
90.2%
49
9.8%
Q3 - 4:03MIAWade Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (James 4 AST)57
88.4%
49
11.6%
Q3 - 4:27MILSalmons 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)55
86.9%
49
13.1%
Q3 - 4:38MILBUCKS Rebound55
88.5%
47
11.5%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot55
89.1%
47
10.9%
Q3 - 4:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
90.4%
47
9.6%
Q3 - 4:47MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot55
89.9%
47
10.1%
Q3 - 5:00MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
88.5%
47
11.5%
Q3 - 5:00MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
88.2%
47
11.8%
Q3 - 5:22MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)53
86.2%
47
13.8%
Q3 - 5:22MILBUCKS Rebound53
83.8%
47
16.2%
Q3 - 5:22MILMISS Salmons 15' Jump Shot53
85.5%
47
14.5%
Q3 - 5:53MIAWade 1' Layup (16 PTS)53
83.8%
47
16.2%
Q3 - 5:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
81.7%
47
18.3%
Q3 - 5:58MILMISS Jennings 6' Jump Shot51
80.8%
47
19.2%
Q3 - 6:03MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)51
78.8%
47
21.2%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot51
79.6%
47
20.4%
Q3 - 6:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)51
81.5%
47
18.5%
Q3 - 6:23MILBogut Tip Shot (9 PTS)51
81.5%
47
18.5%
Q3 - 6:24MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
83.7%
45
16.3%
Q3 - 6:24MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Tip Shot51
85.3%
45
14.7%
Q3 - 6:25MILMISS Jennings 5' Jump Shot51
85.3%
45
14.7%
Q3 - 6:33MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
83.7%
45
16.3%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot51
84.4%
45
15.6%
Q3 - 6:55MILSanders 1' Layup (10 PTS)51
85.9%
45
14.1%
Q3 - 6:56MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
87.6%
43
12.4%
Q3 - 6:57MILMISS Jennings 6' Jump Shot51
88.9%
43
11.1%
Q3 - 7:03MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
87.0%
43
13.0%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot51
87.5%
43
12.5%
Q3 - 7:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
88.7%
43
11.3%
Q3 - 7:17MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
88.2%
43
11.8%
Q3 - 7:26MILBUCKS Rebound51
87.0%
43
13.0%
Q3 - 7:26MIAMISS Bosh 3' Hook Shot51
87.6%
43
12.4%
Q3 - 7:43MILSanders 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)51
88.8%
43
11.2%
Q3 - 7:47MIAJennings STEAL (1 STL)51
90.2%
41
9.8%
Q3 - 8:02MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
91.3%
41
8.7%
Q3 - 8:02MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
91.7%
40
8.3%
Q3 - 8:22MIAJames 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)51
92.3%
39
7.7%
Q3 - 8:45MILBogut 6' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS)49
91.3%
39
8.7%
Q3 - 9:03MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
92.1%
37
7.9%
Q3 - 9:04MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot49
92.4%
37
7.6%
Q3 - 9:20MILJennings 2' Layup (9 PTS)49
93.1%
37
6.9%
Q3 - 9:25MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)49
94.0%
35
6.0%
Q3 - 9:27MIASanders BLOCK (1 BLK)49
94.3%
35
5.7%
Q3 - 9:40MIAHeat Rebound49
94.8%
35
5.2%
Q3 - 9:40MILMISS Sanders 9' Jump Shot49
94.6%
35
5.4%
Q3 - 10:02MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)49
93.7%
35
6.3%
Q3 - 10:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
91.9%
35
8.1%
Q3 - 10:27MILMISS Bogut 1' Layup46
91.6%
35
8.4%
Q3 - 10:40MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)46
90.7%
35
9.3%
Q3 - 10:40MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
91.9%
35
8.1%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
91.1%
35
8.9%
Q3 - 11:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
91.7%
35
8.3%
Q3 - 11:04MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
91.3%
35
8.7%
Q3 - 11:22MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)46
90.5%
35
9.5%
Q3 - 11:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)46
91.7%
35
8.3%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot46
90.9%
35
9.1%
Q3 - 11:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
91.7%
35
8.3%
Q3 - 11:44MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot46
91.3%
35
8.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
90.5%
35
9.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILBogut 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)46
91.1%
35
8.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAJames 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
92.4%
33
7.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0MILMaggette Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)44
91.2%
33
8.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T9)44
92.4%
31
7.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILSanders Foul Turnover (P1.T8)44
93.1%
31
6.9%
Q2 - 1:05MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
92.2%
31
7.8%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot44
92.4%
31
7.6%
Q2 - 1:26MILSanders Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)44
92.9%
31
7.1%
Q2 - 1:42MIAArroyo 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)44
93.9%
29
6.1%
Q2 - 2:09MILMaggette 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)42
92.8%
29
7.2%
Q2 - 2:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
93.5%
27
6.5%
Q2 - 2:17MIABogut BLOCK (3 BLK)42
93.8%
27
6.2%
Q2 - 2:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
94.3%
27
5.7%
Q2 - 2:29MILMISS Maggette 19' Jump Shot42
94.1%
27
5.9%
Q2 - 2:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
93.6%
27
6.4%
Q2 - 2:44MILMISS Salmons 12' Jump Shot42
94.1%
27
5.9%
Q2 - 2:56MIAArroyo Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)42
93.6%
27
6.4%
Q2 - 3:06MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)42
94.2%
27
5.8%
Q2 - 3:32MIAWade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 2 AST)42
93.4%
27
6.6%
Q2 - 3:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
92.7%
27
7.3%
Q2 - 3:41MILMISS Sanders 19' Jump Shot40
92.4%
27
7.6%
Q2 - 3:51MILBUCKS Rebound40
91.7%
27
8.3%
Q2 - 3:51MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot40
92.0%
27
8.0%
Q2 - 4:12MILSalmons Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)40
92.4%
27
7.6%
Q2 - 4:35MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)40
91.4%
27
8.6%
Q2 - 4:39MILMaggette Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)40
92.4%
27
7.6%
Q2 - 4:55MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
91.5%
27
8.5%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 240
91.6%
27
8.4%
Q2 - 4:56MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
92.2%
27
7.8%
Q2 - 5:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
91.3%
27
8.7%
Q2 - 5:04MILMISS Maggette 16' Jump Shot39
91.0%
27
9.0%
Q2 - 5:17MILBUCKS Rebound39
90.4%
27
9.6%
Q2 - 5:18MILMISS Sanders 15' Jump Shot39
91.0%
27
9.0%
Q2 - 5:31MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
90.4%
27
9.6%
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 239
90.5%
27
9.5%
Q2 - 5:32MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
91.1%
27
8.9%
Q2 - 5:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
90.3%
27
9.7%
Q2 - 5:45MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
90.0%
27
10.0%
Q2 - 5:51MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
89.3%
27
10.7%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
89.6%
27
10.4%
Q2 - 5:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
90.3%
27
9.7%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot38
89.6%
27
10.4%
Q2 - 6:17MILMbah a Moute Foul Turnover (P1.T4)38
89.9%
27
10.1%
Q2 - 6:35MIABosh 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS)38
88.7%
27
11.3%
Q2 - 6:55MILDouglas-Roberts 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 3 AST)36
87.7%
27
12.3%
Q2 - 7:14MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)36
88.6%
25
11.4%
Q2 - 7:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
86.3%
25
13.7%
Q2 - 7:29MILMISS Bogut 8' Hook Shot33
85.8%
25
14.2%
Q2 - 7:48MIAChalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)33
84.8%
25
15.2%
Q2 - 7:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
83.4%
25
16.6%
Q2 - 7:50MILMISS Bogut 1' Layup31
82.9%
25
17.1%
Q2 - 7:51MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
81.7%
25
18.3%
Q2 - 7:54MILMISS Maggette 3' Jump Shot31
82.9%
25
17.1%
Q2 - 8:02MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
81.5%
25
18.5%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Dampier 2' Layup31
82.1%
25
17.9%
Q2 - 8:07MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
83.2%
25
16.8%
Q2 - 8:09MIABogut BLOCK (2 BLK)31
82.1%
25
17.9%
Q2 - 8:23MILMaggette Foul Turnover (P1.T3)31
83.2%
25
16.8%
Q2 - 8:39MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
81.6%
25
18.4%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 231
81.8%
25
18.2%
Q2 - 8:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)31
82.8%
25
17.2%
Q2 - 8:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
81.6%
25
18.4%
Q2 - 8:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 230
80.2%
25
19.8%
Q2 - 8:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)30
81.3%
25
18.7%
Q2 - 8:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
80.0%
25
20.0%
Q2 - 8:52MILMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot29
79.4%
25
20.6%
Q2 - 9:19MIAWade 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)29
78.0%
25
22.0%
Q2 - 9:23MILDouglas-Roberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)27
76.2%
25
23.8%
Q2 - 9:35MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)27
74.2%
25
25.8%
Q2 - 9:35MIAHeat Rebound27
76.2%
25
23.8%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot27
74.8%
25
25.2%
Q2 - 9:48MIAHeat Rebound27
76.2%
25
23.8%
Q2 - 9:48MILMISS Sanders 14' Jump Shot27
75.6%
25
24.4%
Q2 - 10:04MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
73.8%
25
26.2%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot27
74.4%
25
25.6%
Q2 - 10:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
75.9%
25
24.1%
Q2 - 10:15MILMISS Ilyasova 11' Jump Shot27
75.3%
25
24.7%
Q2 - 10:30MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T5)27
73.8%
25
26.2%
Q2 - 10:33MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
75.9%
25
24.1%
Q2 - 10:35MILMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot27
75.3%
25
24.7%
Q2 - 10:52MIABosh 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
73.8%
25
26.2%
Q2 - 11:09MILSanders 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
71.7%
25
28.3%
Q2 - 11:28MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)25
73.6%
23
26.4%
Q2 - 11:42MILMaggette Layup (4 PTS)25
75.7%
23
24.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL25
77.3%
21
22.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound25
77.3%
21
22.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ilyasova 36' 3PT Jump Shot25
78.6%
21
21.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAChalmers Palming Turnover (P2.T3)25
77.4%
21
22.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0MILMaggette 1' Layup (2 PTS)25
78.7%
21
21.3%
Q1 - 0:12.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
80.6%
19
19.4%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot25
81.0%
19
19.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
81.8%
19
18.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
82.1%
18
17.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
83.5%
17
16.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 225
83.6%
17
16.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)25
84.5%
17
15.5%
Q1 - 1:00MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
83.2%
17
16.8%
Q1 - 1:00MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
83.5%
16
16.5%
Q1 - 1:24MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)24
84.6%
15
15.4%
Q1 - 1:46MILJennings 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)21
81.6%
15
18.4%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
83.1%
13
16.9%
Q1 - 2:20MILJennings 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)18
80.2%
13
19.8%
Q1 - 2:23MIAMaggette STEAL (1 STL)18
81.8%
11
18.2%
Q1 - 2:45MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
83.0%
11
17.0%
Q1 - 2:45MILMISS Salmons Free Throw 1 of 218
83.2%
10
16.8%
Q1 - 2:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
83.1%
10
16.9%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot18
83.5%
10
16.5%
Q1 - 3:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
84.4%
10
15.6%
Q1 - 3:18MILMISS Salmons 15' Jump Shot18
84.0%
10
16.0%
Q1 - 3:26MILBUCKS Rebound18
83.1%
10
16.9%
Q1 - 3:26MILMISS Salmons 9' Jump Shot18
84.0%
10
16.0%
Q1 - 3:40MIAArroyo 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
83.1%
10
16.9%
Q1 - 4:03MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
81.7%
10
18.3%
Q1 - 4:04MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 216
81.5%
10
18.5%
Q1 - 4:04MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
80.8%
10
19.2%
Q1 - 4:28MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
81.6%
9
18.4%
Q1 - 4:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
80.4%
9
19.6%
Q1 - 4:32MIABogut BLOCK (1 BLK)14
79.3%
9
20.7%
Q1 - 4:56MILSalmons 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
80.4%
9
19.6%
Q1 - 5:13MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
81.1%
7
18.9%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot14
81.5%
7
18.5%
Q1 - 5:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
82.5%
7
17.5%
Q1 - 5:30MILMISS Jennings 7' Jump Shot14
82.1%
7
17.9%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)14
81.1%
7
18.9%
Q1 - 5:47MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)14
82.5%
7
17.5%
Q1 - 6:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
84.6%
4
15.4%
Q1 - 6:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
84.4%
4
15.6%
Q1 - 6:16MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
83.5%
4
16.5%
Q1 - 6:18MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Layup12
83.2%
4
16.8%
Q1 - 6:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
82.3%
4
17.7%
Q1 - 6:37MIAWade Layup (2 PTS)12
82.3%
4
17.7%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMISS Bosh Layup10
80.2%
4
19.8%
Q1 - 6:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
81.1%
4
18.9%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot10
80.1%
4
19.9%
Q1 - 7:02MILSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
81.1%
4
18.9%
Q1 - 7:10MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
79.7%
4
20.3%
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Wade Dunk10
80.1%
4
19.9%
Q1 - 7:25MILMbah a Moute 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)10
81.1%
4
18.9%
Q1 - 7:37MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
82.2%
2
17.8%
Q1 - 7:38MILMISS Jennings 14' Jump Shot10
83.1%
2
16.9%
Q1 - 8:02MIABosh 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)10
82.4%
2
17.6%
Q1 - 8:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
81.1%
2
18.9%
Q1 - 8:14MILMISS Salmons 13' Jump Shot8
80.8%
2
19.2%
Q1 - 8:36MIAJames 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
79.9%
2
20.1%
Q1 - 8:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
78.5%
2
21.5%
Q1 - 8:41MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
78.1%
2
21.9%
Q1 - 9:10MIAJames 1' Dunk (2 PTS)6
77.4%
2
22.6%
Q1 - 9:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
76.0%
2
24.0%
Q1 - 9:16MILMISS Bogut 8' Jump Shot4
75.6%
2
24.4%
Q1 - 9:33MIAArroyo 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
74.6%
2
25.4%
Q1 - 9:57MILSanders 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)2
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 10:08MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
74.3%
0
25.7%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS James 1' Layup2
74.8%
0
25.2%
Q1 - 10:15MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
75.9%
0
24.1%
Q1 - 10:16MILMISS Sanders 6' Hook Shot2
75.4%
0
24.6%
Q1 - 10:32MIABosh Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)2
74.4%
0
25.6%
Q1 - 10:51MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
73.2%
0
26.8%
Q1 - 10:52MILMISS Sanders 19' Jump Shot0
72.7%
0
27.3%
Q1 - 11:07MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
71.9%
0
28.1%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot0
72.3%
0
27.7%
Q1 - 11:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 11:27MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot0
72.7%
0
27.3%
Q1 - 11:41MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
71.9%
0
28.1%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot0
72.3%
0
27.7%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Arroyo0
73.1%
0
26.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.0%
MIL
0.84 41.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
27
52%
MIL
15
29
52%
Midrange
MIA
16
37
43%
MIL
8
34
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
8
63%
94%
MIL
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIA
13
18
72%
MIL
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2552%12.5 / 24
C. Arroyo18113%9.0 / 8
L. James1747%8.5 / 18
C. Bosh1647%8.0 / 17
J. Jones6100%3.0 / 3
E. Dampier250%1.0 / 2
M. Chalmers233%1.0 / 3
J. Howard2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Ilgauskas0-0.0 / 3
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Maggette2063%10.0 / 16
B. Jennings1338%6.5 / 17
A. Bogut1139%5.5 / 14
L. Sanders1042%5.0 / 12
J. Salmons727%3.5 / 13
C. Douglas-Roberts7117%3.5 / 3
L. Mbah a Moute450%2.0 / 4
E. Ilyasova433%2.0 / 6
K. Dooling220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+12
-18
82
MIL
78
+14
-9
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.0%
MIL
0.84 41.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
101.9
MIA 100.0
MIL 89.7 +10.3
Pace
91.3
89.6
MIA 86.9
MIL 88.3 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.6
MIA 16.6
MIL 16.3 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
46.7%
MIA 52.1% +14.9%
MIL 37.2%
TO %
14.4%
13.9%
MIA 18.4%
MIL 11.0% +7.4%
ORB %
25.2%
24.8%
MIA 29.7% +10.1%
MIL 19.6%
FTrt
36.3
28.7
MIA 25.0
MIL 32.1 +7.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
54.9%
MIA 57.1%
MIL 63.0% +5.9%
STL %
7.3%
8.3%
MIA 2.3%
MIL 4.6% +2.3%
BLK %
8.5%
7.9%
MIA 4.8%
MIL 7.8% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
49.5%
MIA 53.0% +11.1%
MIL 41.9%
Rim FG%
64.7%
53.9%
MIA 51.9% +0.2%
MIL 51.7%
Mid FG%
42.2%
39.0%
MIA 43.2% +19.7%
MIL 23.5%
3P %
37.0%
34.2%
MIA 62.5% +35.8%
MIL 26.7%
FT %
76.9%
75.7%
MIA 72.2%
MIL 80.0% +7.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
33.9%
MIA 37.5% +0.3%
MIL 37.2%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.5%
MIA 51.4%
MIL 43.6% +7.8%
3P Att. %
23.5%
21.6%
MIA 11.1%
MIL 19.2% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes24.323.6
Points8878
Rebounds4835
Assists2017
Steals24
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)26 (4)
Field Goals35-7227-78
At-the-Rim FG14-2715-29
Midrange FG16-378-34
2-Point FG30-6423-63
3-Point FG5-84-15
Free Throws13-1820-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
39.0
25
52%
14
5
0
1
6
3
5
9
7-10
70%
9-20
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
38.7
17
47%
6
6
1
1
1
5
0
6
2-4
50%
6-13
46%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
38.6
16
47%
12
1
0
0
3
1
3
9
0-0
-
8-17
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
32.4
18
113%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-4
100%
2-2
100%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
16.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
5
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
24.1
2
50%
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
18.5
6
100%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
15.7
2
33%
1
2
1
0
4
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
9.4
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
7.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
53%
48
20
2
3
18
0
11
37
13-18
72%
30-64
47%
5-8
63%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.