Final Win Prob. pScore
962%109
123
2238%105
116
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
125.59895.8
TOR logo Raptors
119.69799.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RaptorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR123
116
Q4 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound123
116
Q4 - 0:00.0TORMISS Weems 24' 3PT Jump Shot123
116
Q4 - 0:06.0TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)123
116
Q4 - 0:08.0DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 2123
116
Q4 - 0:08.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)123
116
Q4 - 0:08.0TORBayless P.FOUL (P3.PN)122
116
Q4 - 0:10.0DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)122
116
Q4 - 0:11.0TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot122
116
Q4 - 0:19.0TORSUB: Kleiza FOR Wright122
116
Q4 - 0:19.0TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 1)122
116
Q4 - 0:19.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)122
116
Q4 - 0:19.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)121
116
Q4 - 0:19.0DENSUB: Forbes FOR Harrington120
116
Q4 - 0:19.0TORBarbosa P.FOUL (P4.PN)120
116
Q4 - 0:20.0TORWright P.FOUL (P1.T3)120
116
Q4 - 0:23.0TORSUB: Bayless FOR Kleiza120
116
Q4 - 0:23.0DENNuggets Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)120
116
Q4 - 0:23.0DENNuggets Rebound120
116
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMISS Billups 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot120
116
Q4 - 0:46.0TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Weems 4 AST)120
116
Q4 - 0:53.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)120
113
Q4 - 0:54.0DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot120
113
Q4 - 1:15TORBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)120
113
Q4 - 1:15TORBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)120
112
Q4 - 1:15DENBillups S.FOUL (P3.PN)120
111
Q4 - 1:23DENAfflalo 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)120
111
Q4 - 1:46TORBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)118
111
Q4 - 1:46TORBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)118
110
Q4 - 1:46DENBillups P.FOUL (P2.PN)118
109
Q4 - 1:48DENHarrington 3' Driving Layup (31 PTS)118
109
Q4 - 1:58TORSUB: Wright FOR DeRozan116
109
Q4 - 1:58DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)116
109
Q4 - 1:58TORBargnani Violation:Kicked Ball116
109
Q4 - 2:18TORKleiza 28' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Bargnani 3 AST)116
109
Q4 - 2:33TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)116
106
Q4 - 2:35DENMISS Nene 3' Driving Layup116
106
Q4 - 2:50DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)116
106
Q4 - 2:54TORMISS Weems 3' Driving Layup116
106
Q4 - 3:05DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)116
106
Q4 - 3:05DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)115
106
Q4 - 3:05TORSUB: Kleiza FOR Johnson114
106
Q4 - 3:05TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P4.T2)114
106
Q4 - 3:22TORBargnani 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)114
106
Q4 - 3:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)114
104
Q4 - 3:37DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
104
Q4 - 3:48DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)114
104
Q4 - 3:49TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot114
104
Q4 - 4:04DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)114
104
Q4 - 4:27TORWeems 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)111
104
Q4 - 4:48DENNene 3' Layup (24 PTS)111
101
Q4 - 5:07TORBarbosa Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)109
101
Q4 - 5:18DENHarrington P.FOUL (P1.T4)109
101
Q4 - 5:29DENAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T22)109
101
Q4 - 5:53TORWeems 7' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)109
101
Q4 - 5:58TORSUB: Johnson FOR Wright109
99
Q4 - 5:58TORSUB: Barbosa FOR Kleiza109
99
Q4 - 5:58TORSUB: Weems FOR Bayless109
99
Q4 - 5:58DENSUB: Billups FOR Lawson109
99
Q4 - 5:58TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)109
99
Q4 - 5:58DENAfflalo P.FOUL (P2.T3)109
99
Q4 - 6:09TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)109
99
Q4 - 6:10DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
99
Q4 - 6:15TORMISS DeRozan 1' Putback Dunk109
99
Q4 - 6:15DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)109
99
Q4 - 6:16TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)109
99
Q4 - 6:17TORMISS Bayless 3' Driving Layup109
99
Q4 - 6:21TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)109
99
Q4 - 6:23DENMISS Nene 1' Layup109
99
Q4 - 6:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)109
99
Q4 - 6:30DENMISS Lawson 3' Driving Layup109
99
Q4 - 6:45TORBayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)109
99
Q4 - 7:09DENHarrington 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (29 PTS)109
96
Q4 - 7:36TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)106
96
Q4 - 7:36TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)106
95
Q4 - 7:36DENNene S.FOUL (P2.T2)106
94
Q4 - 7:51DENHarrington Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T21)106
94
Q4 - 8:04DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)106
94
Q4 - 8:05TORMISS Kleiza 1' Driving Layup106
94
Q4 - 8:27TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)106
94
Q4 - 8:28DENMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup106
94
Q4 - 8:42DENSUB: Nene FOR Ely106
94
Q4 - 8:42106
94
Q4 - 8:42TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)106
94
Q4 - 8:59DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)106
94
Q4 - 9:13TORWright 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)103
94
Q4 - 9:15TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)103
92
Q4 - 9:16TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
92
Q4 - 9:36DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)103
92
Q4 - 9:49TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)103
92
Q4 - 9:49TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Weems103
91
Q4 - 9:49TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)103
91
Q4 - 9:49DENEly P.FOUL (P4.T1)103
90
Q4 - 10:10DENHarrington Running Layup (23 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)103
90
Q4 - 10:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
90
Q4 - 10:30TORMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
90
Q4 - 10:39DENBargnani STEAL (3 STL)101
90
Q4 - 10:51TORWeems 8' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)101
90
Q4 - 11:10DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)101
88
Q4 - 11:10TORBargnani S.FOUL (P1.T1)100
88
Q4 - 11:10DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)100
88
Q4 - 11:20TORKleiza 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)98
88
Q4 - 11:42TORWeems REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
86
Q4 - 11:43DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
86
Q4 - 12:0098
86
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN98
86
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound98
86
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Ely 2' Hook Shot98
86
Q3 - 0:00.0DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)98
86
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Lawson 23' Jump Shot98
86
Q3 - 0:16.0TORKleiza Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)98
86
Q3 - 0:23.0DENWright STEAL (1 STL)98
86
Q3 - 0:37.0TORWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)98
86
Q3 - 0:37.0TORWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)98
85
Q3 - 0:37.0DENEly S.FOUL (P3.PN)98
84
Q3 - 0:49.0TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Davis98
84
Q3 - 0:49.0DENEly Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)98
84
Q3 - 0:59.0TORKleiza 4' Driving Layup (21 PTS)98
84
Q3 - 1:09DENEly Foul Turnover (P2.T16)98
82
Q3 - 1:09DENEly OFF.Foul (P2)98
82
Q3 - 1:10DENSUB: Lawson FOR Billups98
82
Q3 - 1:19TORKleiza Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T10)98
82
Q3 - 1:37DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)98
82
Q3 - 1:58TORBarbosa 4' Driving Layup (18 PTS)98
82
Q3 - 2:09DENForbes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)98
80
Q3 - 2:22TORBarbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)95
80
Q3 - 2:34DENHarrington 6' Running Bank Shot (21 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)95
77
Q3 - 2:51DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
77
Q3 - 2:53TORMISS Barbosa Free Throw 2 of 293
77
Q3 - 2:53TORRAPTORS Rebound93
77
Q3 - 2:53TORMISS Barbosa Free Throw 1 of 293
77
Q3 - 2:53DENBillups P.FOUL (P1.T4)93
77
Q3 - 2:59DENWeems STEAL (2 STL)93
77
Q3 - 3:04TORBarbosa P.FOUL (P3.T4)93
77
Q3 - 3:09TORWeems P.FOUL (P2.T3)93
77
Q3 - 3:16TORBarbosa Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)93
77
Q3 - 3:27DENKleiza STEAL (1 STL)93
77
Q3 - 3:39DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
77
Q3 - 3:41DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
77
Q3 - 4:01TORBarbosa 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)93
77
Q3 - 4:15DENEly Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)93
74
Q3 - 4:27DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
74
Q3 - 4:29TORMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot93
74
Q3 - 4:43DENSUB: Ely FOR Afflalo93
74
Q3 - 4:43DENSUB: Smith FOR Nene93
74
Q3 - 4:43TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)93
74
Q3 - 4:43DENForbes 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)93
74
Q3 - 5:00TORBarbosa Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)91
74
Q3 - 5:06DENForbes 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)91
74
Q3 - 5:11TORBarbosa Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)89
74
Q3 - 5:17DENSUB: Harrington FOR Shel. Williams89
74
Q3 - 5:17TORSUB: Davis FOR Bargnani89
74
Q3 - 5:17DENAfflalo P.FOUL (P1.T3)89
74
Q3 - 5:31DENForbes 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)89
74
Q3 - 5:36TORBargnani Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)87
74
Q3 - 5:50TORRAPTORS Rebound87
74
Q3 - 5:50DENMISS Billups 23' Jump Shot87
74
Q3 - 5:58DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
74
Q3 - 5:59TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot87
74
Q3 - 6:12DENShel. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)87
74
Q3 - 6:21TORWeems 22' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)87
74
Q3 - 6:36TORWeems REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
72
Q3 - 6:38TORMISS Weems 10' Jump Shot87
72
Q3 - 6:51TORSUB: Barbosa FOR Bayless87
72
Q3 - 6:51TORSUB: Wright FOR DeRozan87
72
Q3 - 6:51TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)87
72
Q3 - 6:51DENForbes 1' Layup (6 PTS)87
72
Q3 - 6:53DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
72
Q3 - 6:55DENMISS Shel. Williams 14' Jump Shot85
72
Q3 - 7:05DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
72
Q3 - 7:06TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot85
72
Q3 - 7:27DENShel. Williams 4' Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)85
72
Q3 - 7:49DENNuggets Rebound83
72
Q3 - 7:49DENMISS Billups Free Throw Technical83
72
Q3 - 7:49TORBayless T.FOUL (P2.T2)83
72
Q3 - 7:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
72
Q3 - 7:51TORMISS Bayless 4' Jump Shot83
72
Q3 - 8:05TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)83
72
Q3 - 8:07TORMISS Kleiza 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot83
72
Q3 - 8:24DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
72
Q3 - 8:24TORSUB: Kleiza FOR Johnson82
72
Q3 - 8:24DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)82
72
Q3 - 8:24TORJohnson S.FOUL (P4.T2)81
72
Q3 - 8:36DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
72
Q3 - 8:37TORMISS Bayless 20' Pullup Jump Shot81
72
Q3 - 8:47TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
72
Q3 - 8:49DENMISS Forbes 4' Driving Layup81
72
Q3 - 9:01TORWeems 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)81
72
Q3 - 9:18DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)81
70
Q3 - 9:18TORJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T1)80
70
Q3 - 9:18DENNene 3' Layup (19 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)80
70
Q3 - 9:25DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
70
Q3 - 9:26DENMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot78
70
Q3 - 9:50TORWeems 12' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)78
70
Q3 - 10:08TORBargnani Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)78
68
Q3 - 10:08DENShel. Williams T.FOUL (P4.T2)78
67
Q3 - 10:08DENShel. Williams 1' Layup (4 PTS)78
67
Q3 - 10:08DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
67
Q3 - 10:08DENMISS Shel. Williams 3' Layup76
67
Q3 - 10:23DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
67
Q3 - 10:24TORMISS Bayless Free Throw 2 of 276
67
Q3 - 10:24TORRAPTORS Rebound76
67
Q3 - 10:24TORMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 276
67
Q3 - 10:24DENNene P.FOUL (P1.T2)76
67
Q3 - 10:32DENForbes 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)76
67
Q3 - 10:47DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
67
Q3 - 10:49TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup74
67
Q3 - 10:58DENShel. Williams P.FOUL (P4.T1)74
67
Q3 - 11:05DENShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T10)74
67
Q3 - 11:05DENShel. Williams OFF.Foul (P3)74
67
Q3 - 11:16DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
67
Q3 - 11:18TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
67
Q3 - 11:28TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
67
Q3 - 11:30DENMISS Billups 17' Step Back Jump Shot74
67
Q3 - 11:47TORBargnani 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)74
67
Q3 - 12:0074
65
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN74
65
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound74
65
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Harrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
65
Q2 - 0:24.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
65
Q2 - 0:25.0TORMISS Bargnani 8' Pullup Jump Shot74
65
Q2 - 0:37.0DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)74
65
Q2 - 0:50.0TORKleiza 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)71
65
Q2 - 0:52.0TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
63
Q2 - 0:53.0TORMISS Bayless 9' Jump Shot71
63
Q2 - 1:00DENBargnani STEAL (2 STL)71
63
Q2 - 1:03DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
63
Q2 - 1:04TORMISS Weems 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
63
Q2 - 1:21TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
63
Q2 - 1:22DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 171
63
Q2 - 1:22TORSUB: Johnson FOR DeRozan71
63
Q2 - 1:22TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P3.T4)71
63
Q2 - 1:22DENNene 1' Dunk (17 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)71
63
Q2 - 1:29DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
63
Q2 - 1:31TORMISS Bargnani 13' Jump Shot69
63
Q2 - 1:55DENNene 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)69
63
Q2 - 2:13TORWeems 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)67
63
Q2 - 2:18TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)67
61
Q2 - 2:19DENMISS Afflalo 22' Jump Shot67
61
Q2 - 2:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
61
Q2 - 2:27TORMISS Bayless 11' Turnaround Jump Shot67
61
Q2 - 2:44DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)67
61
Q2 - 2:44TORSUB: Bayless FOR Barbosa66
61
Q2 - 2:44TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Davis66
61
Q2 - 2:44TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)66
61
Q2 - 2:44TORBarbosa S.FOUL (P2.T3)66
61
Q2 - 2:44DENNene 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)66
61
Q2 - 2:50DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
61
Q2 - 2:51TORMISS Davis 5' Jump Shot64
61
Q2 - 3:09DENForbes Dunk (2 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)64
61
Q2 - 3:10DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
61
Q2 - 3:13TORMISS Kleiza 1' Tip Shot62
61
Q2 - 3:15TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
61
Q2 - 3:16TORMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
61
Q2 - 3:23TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
61
Q2 - 3:24DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot62
61
Q2 - 3:46TORSUB: Davis FOR Bargnani62
61
Q2 - 3:46TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P2.T5)62
61
Q2 - 3:46TORDeRozan OFF.Foul (P2)62
61
Q2 - 3:52TORBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
61
Q2 - 3:53DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
61
Q2 - 3:59DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
61
Q2 - 4:00TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
61
Q2 - 4:17DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)62
61
Q2 - 4:17TORSUB: Weems FOR Johnson61
61
Q2 - 4:17TORJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T2)61
61
Q2 - 4:17DENHarrington 4' Driving Jump Shot (15 PTS)61
61
Q2 - 4:32DENSUB: Billups FOR Smith59
61
Q2 - 4:32DENSUB: Forbes FOR Lawson59
61
Q2 - 4:32DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)59
61
Q2 - 4:36TORJohnson 1' Layup (6 PTS)59
61
Q2 - 4:38TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
59
Q2 - 4:39TORMISS Barbosa 4' Driving Reverse Layup59
59
Q2 - 4:55DENLawson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)59
59
Q2 - 4:58DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
59
Q2 - 5:01DENMISS Afflalo 1' Driving Layup56
59
Q2 - 5:10DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
59
Q2 - 5:11TORMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
59
Q2 - 5:24TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
59
Q2 - 5:25DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
59
Q2 - 5:49TORKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)56
59
Q2 - 5:55TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
56
Q2 - 5:57DENJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)56
56
Q2 - 6:09TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)56
56
Q2 - 6:24DENHarrington 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)56
53
Q2 - 6:43TORKleiza 23' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
53
Q2 - 7:09DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)54
51
Q2 - 7:31DENSUB: Nene FOR Ely51
51
Q2 - 7:31TORSUB: Johnson FOR Davis51
51
Q2 - 7:3151
51
Q2 - 7:31TORKleiza Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)51
51
Q2 - 7:39TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
51
Q2 - 7:40TORMISS DeRozan 3' Turnaround Jump Shot51
51
Q2 - 7:47DENHarrington 4' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
51
Q2 - 7:59TORKleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)49
51
Q2 - 8:17DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)49
48
Q2 - 8:34TORBarbosa 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)46
48
Q2 - 8:48DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)46
46
Q2 - 9:04TORKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)43
46
Q2 - 9:17TORRAPTORS Rebound43
43
Q2 - 9:18DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
43
Q2 - 9:28DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)43
43
Q2 - 9:28TORRAPTORS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Kleiza )42
43
Q2 - 9:42TORBarbosa 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)42
43
Q2 - 9:46DENBarbosa STEAL (1 STL)42
41
Q2 - 9:59DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
41
Q2 - 10:01TORMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 142
41
Q2 - 10:01DENEly S.FOUL (P1.T1)42
41
Q2 - 10:01TORKleiza 2' Layup (6 PTS)42
41
Q2 - 10:01TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)42
39
Q2 - 10:01TORMISS Kleiza 2' Tip Shot42
39
Q2 - 10:01TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)42
39
Q2 - 10:03TORMISS DeRozan 3' Layup42
39
Q2 - 10:11DENBargnani STEAL (1 STL)42
39
Q2 - 10:19TORDeRozan Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)42
39
Q2 - 10:23TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
39
Q2 - 10:24DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
39
Q2 - 10:34TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Weems42
39
Q2 - 10:34DENSUB: Ely FOR Shel. Williams42
39
Q2 - 10:34DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Billups42
39
Q2 - 10:34TORBarbosa P.FOUL (P1.T1)42
39
Q2 - 10:46TORDavis Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)42
39
Q2 - 11:01DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)42
37
Q2 - 11:14TORKleiza 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)39
37
Q2 - 11:26TORRAPTORS Rebound39
35
Q2 - 11:30DENDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)39
35
Q2 - 11:30DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
35
Q2 - 11:31DENMISS Harrington 4' Running Hook Shot39
35
Q2 - 11:45TORDavis 1' Layup (2 PTS)39
35
Q2 - 11:46TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
33
Q2 - 11:48TORMISS Bargnani 6' Jump Shot39
33
Q2 - 12:0039
33
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR39
33
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound39
33
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Barbosa 40' 3PT Running Jump Shot39
33
Q1 - 0:02.0DENLawson 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)39
33
Q1 - 0:07.0TORBarbosa 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)37
33
Q1 - 0:18.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
31
Q1 - 0:18.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
31
Q1 - 0:18.0TORKleiza S.FOUL (P1.PN)35
31
Q1 - 0:31.0TORBarbosa 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
31
Q1 - 0:42.0DENShel. Williams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
29
Q1 - 0:51.0TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)33
29
Q1 - 1:07DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
29
Q1 - 1:07TORDavis S.FOUL (P1.PN)32
29
Q1 - 1:07DENSmith 5' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)32
29
Q1 - 1:21DENShel. Williams Violation:Defensive Goaltending30
29
Q1 - 1:21TORKleiza 4' Putback Layup (2 PTS)30
29
Q1 - 1:21TORKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
27
Q1 - 1:22TORMISS Weems 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
27
Q1 - 1:42DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)30
27
Q1 - 1:42DENSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Nene29
27
Q1 - 1:42TORSUB: Kleiza FOR DeRozan29
27
Q1 - 1:42TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Johnson29
27
Q1 - 1:42DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)29
27
Q1 - 1:42TORWeems S.FOUL (P1.PN)29
27
Q1 - 1:42DENBillups 7' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS)29
27
Q1 - 2:02TORDeRozan 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Weems 3 AST)27
27
Q1 - 2:08TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
25
Q1 - 2:09DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
25
Q1 - 2:21TORBarbosa 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
25
Q1 - 2:34DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)27
23
Q1 - 2:44TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
23
Q1 - 2:59TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
21
Q1 - 3:02DENMISS Billups 6' Driving Jump Shot24
21
Q1 - 3:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
21
Q1 - 3:14TORMISS Weems 17' Pullup Jump Shot24
21
Q1 - 3:33DENBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)24
21
Q1 - 3:33DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)23
21
Q1 - 3:33TORSUB: Barbosa FOR Bayless22
21
Q1 - 3:33DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo22
21
Q1 - 3:33DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)22
21
Q1 - 3:33TORBayless S.FOUL (P2.T4)21
21
Q1 - 3:44TORWeems 7' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)21
21
Q1 - 3:55DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)21
19
Q1 - 4:08DENNuggets Rebound21
19
Q1 - 4:08TORMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 4:22DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
19
Q1 - 4:22DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)20
19
Q1 - 4:22TORJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
19
Q1 - 4:34DENSUB: Lawson FOR Forbes19
19
Q1 - 4:34TORSUB: Davis FOR Bargnani19
19
Q1 - 4:35DENNuggets Rebound19
19
Q1 - 4:36TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
19
Q1 - 4:47TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
19
Q1 - 4:49DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
19
Q1 - 5:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19
Q1 - 5:07TORMISS Weems 22' Jump Shot19
19
Q1 - 5:28TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)19
19
Q1 - 5:28DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)19
19
Q1 - 5:37DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
19
Q1 - 5:38TORMISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
19
Q1 - 6:02DENNene 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)19
19
Q1 - 6:17TORBargnani 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Weems 2 AST)17
19
Q1 - 6:25TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
17
Q1 - 6:26DENMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot17
17
Q1 - 6:43DENSUB: Harrington FOR Shel. Williams17
17
Q1 - 6:43TORWeems Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)17
17
Q1 - 6:50DENNene 2' Layup (8 PTS)17
17
Q1 - 7:05TORJohnson 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 7:07TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
15
Q1 - 7:08TORMISS DeRozan 1' Alley Oop Layup15
15
Q1 - 7:14DENWeems STEAL (1 STL)15
15
Q1 - 7:34TORDeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)15
15
Q1 - 7:48DENNene 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)15
13
Q1 - 7:56TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)13
13
Q1 - 7:56DENShel. Williams S.FOUL (P2.T2)13
12
Q1 - 7:56TORBargnani 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 8:10DENBillups 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)13
10
Q1 - 8:19TORJohnson Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)10
10
Q1 - 8:30DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)10
8
Q1 - 8:41TORWeems 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)10
8
Q1 - 8:50DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
6
Q1 - 8:50DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
6
Q1 - 8:50TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
6
Q1 - 8:58DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
6
Q1 - 8:59TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 9:10DENNene 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)8
6
Q1 - 9:24TORWeems 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)6
6
Q1 - 9:35DENJohnson STEAL (1 STL)6
4
Q1 - 9:57TORBargnani 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 10:11DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
2
Q1 - 10:11DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
2
Q1 - 10:11TORBayless IN.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:25DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:26TORMISS Bargnani 17' Turnaround Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:40DENBillups Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:45DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:47TORMISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 11:02DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 11:16TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:16TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
1
Q1 - 11:16DENShel. Williams S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:33DENAfflalo 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bargnani vs. Nene: Tip to Shel. Williams0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENTOR
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.41 70.7%
TOR
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
24
35
69%
TOR
19
32
59%
Midrange
DEN
7
15
47%
TOR
17
33
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
12
18.0
26
46%
69%
TOR
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
Free Throws
DEN
25
28
89%
TOR
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington3182%15.5 / 19
Nene2687%13.0 / 15
C. Billups2166%10.5 / 16
G. Forbes1594%7.5 / 8
J. Smith1161%5.5 / 9
T. Lawson867%4.0 / 6
S. Williams650%3.0 / 6
A. Afflalo550%2.5 / 5
M. Ely0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Kleiza2681%13.0 / 16
A. Bargnani2460%12.0 / 20
L. Barbosa2273%11.0 / 15
S. Weems2162%10.5 / 17
D. DeRozan627%3.0 / 11
A. Johnson6100%3.0 / 3
E. Davis467%2.0 / 3
J. Wright467%2.0 / 3
J. Bayless315%1.5 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
76
+11
-22
87
TOR
84
+15
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.41 70.7%
TOR
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
105.9
DEN 125.5 +5.9
TOR 119.6
Pace
95.2
93.1
DEN 95.8
TOR 99.3 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.1
DEN 15.0
TOR 14.5 −0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.1%
DEN 64.5% +7.8%
TOR 56.7%
TO %
14.5%
15.0%
DEN 19.9%
TOR 11.7% −8.2%
ORB %
23.8%
28.3%
DEN 27.6%
TOR 30.2% +2.6%
FTrt
36.7
29.3
DEN 36.8 +15.7
TOR 21.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
57.1%
DEN 62.8% +19.3%
TOR 43.5%
STL %
7.7%
7.6%
DEN 5.1%
TOR 9.3% +4.2%
BLK %
6.8%
6.7%
DEN 4.6% +0.6%
TOR 4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
52.1%
DEN 70.7% +12.7%
TOR 58.0%
Rim FG%
58.5%
58.9%
DEN 68.6% +9.2%
TOR 59.4%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.2%
DEN 46.7%
TOR 51.5% +4.8%
3P %
38.8%
31.6%
DEN 46.2% +6.2%
TOR 40.0%
FT %
76.6%
75.5%
DEN 89.3% +15.6%
TOR 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
39.1%
DEN 46.1% +10.5%
TOR 35.6%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
44.7%
DEN 19.7% −16.9%
TOR 36.7%
3P Att. %
25.8%
16.2%
DEN 34.2% +6.4%
TOR 27.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENTOR
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points123116
Rebounds3834
Assists2720
Steals59
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)21 (3)
Field Goals43-7646-90
At-the-Rim FG24-3519-32
Midrange FG7-1517-33
2-Point FG31-5036-65
3-Point FG12-2610-25
Free Throws25-2814-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
38.3
5
50%
2
4
0
1
2
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
34.8
21
66%
3
8
0
0
4
3
0
3
11-13
85%
2-6
33%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
33.8
26
87%
6
2
1
1
2
2
0
6
8-9
89%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
24.3
15
94%
6
1
2
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
6-7
86%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
15.1
6
50%
7
1
0
0
2
4
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
35.7
31
82%
6
3
0
0
5
1
0
6
1-1
100%
6-8
75%
6-11
55%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
27.7
11
61%
3
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
19.2
8
67%
2
3
0
0
2
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
11.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
3
4
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 27
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'9" 225 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
71%
38
27
5
3
22
0
8
30
25-28
89%
31-50
62%
12-26
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.