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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 11, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Jazz32%9397
6Mavericks68%99103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
40.6
38.2
34
65%
3
6
2
1
0
1
2
1
8-9
89%
10-18
5-10
56%
49%
2-4
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.8
35.3
35.1
16
51%
8
2
3
1
0
0
2
6
4-6
67%
6-13
6-12
46%
53%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.9
31.0
38.1
8
29%
9
2
1
1
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
4-14
7-15
29%
48%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
22.3
34.0
6
61%
5
0
1
1
0
4
3
2
2-2
100%
2-2
3-7
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.7
11.4
8.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
28.1
22.0
10
38%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
0-5
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.5
27.9
11.8
14
83%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
3-4
75%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.8
17.0
9.7
5
75%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.5
13.8
13.7
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.1
12.8
3.7
2
114%
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.2
21.3
0
1-3
44%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.0
4.8
0
0-1
49%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.5
39.0
35.0
31
92%
15
4
0
1
1
3
1
14
8-11
73%
7-8
7-14
88%
52%
3-4
75%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.7
35.2
28.2
3
28%
4
9
2
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
34.0
27.6
16
89%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
47%
4-5
80%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.2
29.4
22.4
6
75%
9
0
0
0
3
1
4
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
60%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.7
21.9
13.4
17
86%
1
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
5-7
71%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.2
22.8
30.3
14
51%
0
0
1
1
1
5
0
0
4-4
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
51%
2-4
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.6
19.9
27.8
6
38%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
5-9
29%
53%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
19.4
23.2
8
42%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
6-8
75%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.0
18.3
18.9
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.1
9.4
0
1-3
54%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.6
5.4
0
1-2
52%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
0.6
0
0-0
50%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.2
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.8
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.