Final Win Prob. pScore
1516%86
84
184%100
96
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
101.28390.2
MIA logo Heat
112.98578.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA84
96
Q4 - 0:12.0NOHGray Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
96
Q4 - 0:12.0NOHGray Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)83
96
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAHoward P.FOUL (P2.PN)82
96
Q4 - 0:24.0NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
96
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Arroyo 12' Jump Shot82
96
Q4 - 0:50.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)82
96
Q4 - 0:52.0NOHDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)82
96
Q4 - 1:05MIADampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)82
96
Q4 - 1:05MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade82
95
Q4 - 1:05MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Bosh82
95
Q4 - 1:05MIASUB: Howard FOR James82
95
Q4 - 1:05NOHSUB: Gray FOR Green82
95
Q4 - 1:05NOHSUB: Pondexter FOR Paul82
95
Q4 - 1:05NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR West82
95
Q4 - 1:05NOHSUB: Jack FOR Ariza82
95
Q4 - 1:05MIAHEAT Rebound82
95
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 282
95
Q4 - 1:05NOHPaul P.FOUL (P4.PN)82
95
Q4 - 1:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
95
Q4 - 1:24NOHMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
95
Q4 - 1:29NOHHornets Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)82
95
Q4 - 1:29MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
95
Q4 - 1:29MIAHEAT Rebound82
94
Q4 - 1:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 282
94
Q4 - 1:29NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor82
94
Q4 - 1:29NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P6.PN)82
94
Q4 - 1:47NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
94
Q4 - 1:47NOHHornets Rebound81
94
Q4 - 1:47NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 281
94
Q4 - 1:47MIADampier S.FOUL (P4.PN)81
94
Q4 - 2:01MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)81
94
Q4 - 2:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)81
94
Q4 - 2:21NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 3 of 381
94
Q4 - 2:21NOHAriza Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)81
94
Q4 - 2:21NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)80
94
Q4 - 2:21MIAJames S.FOUL (P2.PN)79
94
Q4 - 2:36NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
94
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
94
Q4 - 2:5579
94
Q4 - 2:55NOHOkafor L.B.FOUL (P5.T4)79
94
Q4 - 2:55MIAHEAT Rebound79
94
Q4 - 2:55NOHMISS Paul 14' Fadeaway Jumper79
94
Q4 - 3:02NOHWest REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)79
94
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot79
94
Q4 - 3:34NOHAriza 3' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)79
94
Q4 - 3:36MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T5)77
94
Q4 - 3:40NOHSUB: Green FOR Belinelli77
94
Q4 - 3:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)77
94
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot77
94
Q4 - 4:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
94
Q4 - 4:04NOHMISS Ariza 2' Driving Dunk77
94
Q4 - 4:08MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T4)77
94
Q4 - 4:25MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)77
94
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS James 4' Driving Layup77
94
Q4 - 4:43NOHAriza L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)77
94
Q4 - 4:43MIAHEAT Rebound77
94
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Dampier 4' Tip Shot77
94
Q4 - 4:45MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
94
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Running Jump Shot77
94
Q4 - 5:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
94
Q4 - 5:09NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
94
Q4 - 5:20MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P4.T4)77
94
Q4 - 5:24NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
94
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
94
Q4 - 5:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
94
Q4 - 5:51NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
94
Q4 - 5:55NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
94
Q4 - 5:56NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
94
Q4 - 6:22NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)77
94
Q4 - 6:22MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)77
94
Q4 - 6:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
92
Q4 - 6:34NOHMISS Ariza 10' Hook Shot77
92
Q4 - 6:49MIASUB: James FOR Jones77
92
Q4 - 6:49MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T3)77
92
Q4 - 7:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)77
92
Q4 - 7:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)77
91
Q4 - 7:02NOHWest S.FOUL (P2.T2)77
90
Q4 - 7:12NOHWest Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)77
90
Q4 - 7:23NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Green77
90
Q4 - 7:23MIADampier P.FOUL (P3.T2)77
90
Q4 - 7:40MIAWade 2' Layup (28 PTS)77
90
Q4 - 7:50NOHWade STEAL (1 STL)77
88
Q4 - 8:09MIAChalmers 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)77
88
Q4 - 8:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
86
Q4 - 8:15NOHBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)77
86
Q4 - 8:22NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
86
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot77
86
Q4 - 8:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
86
Q4 - 8:32NOHMISS West 19' Fadeaway Jumper77
86
Q4 - 8:42NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
86
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot77
86
Q4 - 8:57NOHWest Foul Turnover (P2.T10)77
86
Q4 - 8:57NOHWest Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1)77
86
Q4 - 9:08NOHSUB: Paul FOR Jack77
86
Q4 - 9:08MIASUB: Wade FOR James77
86
Q4 - 9:08MIABosh P.FOUL (P4.T1)77
86
Q4 - 9:22NOHWest REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)77
86
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot77
86
Q4 - 9:41NOHAriza 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)77
86
Q4 - 9:53NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
86
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot75
86
Q4 - 10:05NOHBosh STEAL (1 STL)75
86
Q4 - 10:27NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)75
86
Q4 - 10:27MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 7 AST)75
86
Q4 - 10:43NOHOkafor Foul Turnover (P2.T8)75
84
Q4 - 10:43NOHOkafor OFF.Foul (P4)75
84
Q4 - 10:54MIABosh 8' Hook Shot (21 PTS)75
84
Q4 - 11:01NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Smith75
82
Q4 - 11:01NOHSUB: West FOR Pondexter75
82
Q4 - 11:01NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Gray75
82
Q4 - 11:01MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard75
82
Q4 - 11:01MIAHEAT Rebound75
82
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot75
82
Q4 - 11:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
82
Q4 - 11:20NOHJones BLOCK (1 BLK)75
82
Q4 - 11:37NOHHornets Rebound75
82
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot75
82
Q4 - 12:0075
82
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
82
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T7)75
82
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHGreen OFF.Foul (P4)75
82
Q3 - 0:14.0NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
82
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 175
82
Q3 - 0:15.0NOHGray S.FOUL (P5.PN)75
82
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAJames 8' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)75
82
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
80
Q3 - 0:31.0NOHMISS Pondexter 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
80
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)75
80
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
79
Q3 - 0:52.0NOHGray S.FOUL (P4.PN)75
78
Q3 - 1:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
78
Q3 - 1:03NOHMISS Green 14' Fadeaway Jumper75
78
Q3 - 1:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
78
Q3 - 1:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
77
Q3 - 1:30NOHSmith P.FOUL (P2.PN)75
76
Q3 - 1:39NOHDampier STEAL (1 STL)75
76
Q3 - 1:56MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade75
76
Q3 - 1:56NOHSUB: Pondexter FOR Ariza75
76
Q3 - 1:56NOHHornets Rebound75
76
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
76
Q3 - 2:15NOHJack 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)75
76
Q3 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)73
76
Q3 - 2:40MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo73
75
Q3 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)73
75
Q3 - 2:40NOHSUB: Jack FOR Paul73
74
Q3 - 2:40NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)73
74
Q3 - 2:40NOHGray P.FOUL (P3.PN)73
74
Q3 - 2:47MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
74
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
74
Q3 - 3:02NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
74
Q3 - 3:02NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
74
Q3 - 3:02MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.PN)71
74
Q3 - 3:06MIAJames 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (15 PTS)71
74
Q3 - 3:34NOHSUB: Gray FOR West71
72
Q3 - 3:34NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor71
72
Q3 - 3:34MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh71
72
Q3 - 3:34NOHPaul P.FOUL (P3.T4)71
72
Q3 - 3:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
72
Q3 - 3:36NOHMISS Green 7' Running Jump Shot71
72
Q3 - 3:42NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
72
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot71
72
Q3 - 3:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
72
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
72
Q3 - 4:14NOHGreen 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)71
72
Q3 - 4:32MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)69
72
Q3 - 4:32MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)69
71
Q3 - 4:32NOHSUB: Green FOR Belinelli69
70
Q3 - 4:32NOHOkafor P.FOUL (P3.T3)69
70
Q3 - 4:55NOHWest 13' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)69
70
Q3 - 5:12MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)67
70
Q3 - 5:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
68
Q3 - 5:28NOHMISS Belinelli Free Throw 3 of 367
68
Q3 - 5:28NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)67
68
Q3 - 5:28NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)66
68
Q3 - 5:28MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.PN)65
68
Q3 - 5:45MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)65
68
Q3 - 5:45MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)65
67
Q3 - 5:45NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P2.T2)65
67
Q3 - 5:45MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)65
67
Q3 - 5:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
65
Q3 - 5:53NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot65
65
Q3 - 6:05NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
65
Q3 - 6:06NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
65
Q3 - 6:23MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)65
65
Q3 - 6:32NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)65
65
Q3 - 6:32NOHHornets Rebound64
65
Q3 - 6:32NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 264
65
Q3 - 6:32MIABosh S.FOUL (P3.PN)64
65
Q3 - 6:54MIABosh 3' Driving Dunk (17 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)64
65
Q3 - 7:12NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
63
Q3 - 7:12MIASUB: Dampier FOR Ilgauskas63
63
Q3 - 7:12NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
63
Q3 - 7:12MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P4.T4)62
63
Q3 - 7:31MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 6 AST)62
63
Q3 - 7:48NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)62
61
Q3 - 7:48NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)61
61
Q3 - 7:48MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P3.T3)60
61
Q3 - 7:48NOHWest REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)60
61
Q3 - 7:49NOHMISS Ariza 9' Jump Shot60
61
Q3 - 8:01MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
61
Q3 - 8:01MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
60
Q3 - 8:01NOHPaul S.FOUL (P2.T1)60
59
Q3 - 8:22MIAHEAT Rebound60
59
Q3 - 8:23NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 8:31MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)60
59
Q3 - 8:50NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)60
57
Q3 - 9:11NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
57
Q3 - 9:12MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot58
57
Q3 - 9:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
57
Q3 - 9:24NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot58
57
Q3 - 9:30NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
57
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot58
57
Q3 - 9:47MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
57
Q3 - 9:48NOHIlgauskas BLOCK (3 BLK)58
57
Q3 - 10:05NOHHornets Rebound58
57
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Hook Shot58
57
Q3 - 10:14MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
57
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot58
57
Q3 - 10:36NOHWest 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS)58
57
Q3 - 10:46MIAArroyo P.FOUL (P3.T2)56
57
Q3 - 10:59MIABosh 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)56
57
Q3 - 11:05MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
55
Q3 - 11:06NOHMISS Paul 6' Running Jump Shot56
55
Q3 - 11:30MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 5 AST)56
55
Q3 - 11:45NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)56
53
Q3 - 11:45NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
53
Q3 - 11:45MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T1)54
53
Q3 - 12:0054
53
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH54
53
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 3' Driving Reverse Layup (24 PTS)54
53
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
51
Q2 - 0:14.0NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
51
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAArroyo P.FOUL (P2.T4)54
51
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)54
51
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
51
Q2 - 0:57.0NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot54
51
Q2 - 1:22MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (James 4 AST)54
51
Q2 - 1:38NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)54
48
Q2 - 1:48NOHPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
48
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot52
48
Q2 - 2:07NOHWest 4' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)52
48
Q2 - 2:12NOHWest REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)50
48
Q2 - 2:13NOHMISS Pondexter 21' Jump Shot50
48
Q2 - 2:31MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (19 PTS)50
48
Q2 - 2:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)50
47
Q2 - 2:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (17 PTS)50
46
Q2 - 2:31NOH50
45
Q2 - 2:31NOHSUB: Pondexter FOR Ariza50
45
Q2 - 2:31NOHAriza S.FOUL (P3.PN)50
45
Q2 - 2:47NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
45
Q2 - 2:47NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
45
Q2 - 2:47MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Chalmers48
45
Q2 - 2:47MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard48
45
Q2 - 2:47NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)48
45
Q2 - 2:47MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T3)48
45
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 3 AST)48
45
Q2 - 3:14NOHWest 13' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)48
42
Q2 - 3:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
42
Q2 - 3:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
41
Q2 - 3:39NOHAriza Personal Block Foul (P2.PN)46
40
Q2 - 3:50MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh46
40
Q2 - 3:50NOHOkafor 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)46
40
Q2 - 4:01NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
40
Q2 - 4:02MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
40
Q2 - 4:23NOHPaul 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
40
Q2 - 4:34NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)44
40
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
40
Q2 - 4:59NOHOkafor 2' Dunk (9 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)44
40
Q2 - 5:17MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 2 AST)42
40
Q2 - 5:32NOHAriza 2' Layup (7 PTS) (West 2 AST)42
38
Q2 - 5:43MIAJames Violation:Kicked Ball40
38
Q2 - 5:43MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)40
38
Q2 - 5:57NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)40
38
Q2 - 5:57MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)39
38
Q2 - 5:57MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.T2)39
38
Q2 - 5:57NOHOkafor 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)39
38
Q2 - 6:18MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
38
Q2 - 6:18MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
37
Q2 - 6:18NOHSUB: West FOR Smith37
36
Q2 - 6:18NOHPaul S.FOUL (P1.PN)37
36
Q2 - 6:29MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
36
Q2 - 6:30NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
36
Q2 - 6:42NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
36
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot37
36
Q2 - 6:51MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
36
Q2 - 6:52NOHMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot37
36
Q2 - 7:09MIAWade 8' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)37
36
Q2 - 7:29NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
34
Q2 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)35
34
Q2 - 7:42MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Anthony35
33
Q2 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
33
Q2 - 7:42MIASUB: James FOR Jones35
32
Q2 - 7:42NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Green35
32
Q2 - 7:42NOHGreen P.FOUL (P3.PN)35
32
Q2 - 7:56NOHOkafor 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)35
32
Q2 - 8:17NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
32
Q2 - 8:18NOHMISS Green 4' Driving Layup33
32
Q2 - 8:25NOHSUB: Paul FOR Jack33
32
Q2 - 8:25NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Pondexter33
32
Q2 - 8:25MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1)33
32
Q2 - 8:37NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
32
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 233
32
Q2 - 8:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
32
Q2 - 8:3833
31
Q2 - 8:38NOHGreen S.FOUL (P2.PN)33
31
Q2 - 8:56NOHSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)33
31
Q2 - 9:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
31
Q2 - 9:12MIAHEAT Rebound31
30
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 231
30
Q2 - 9:12NOHJack Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)31
30
Q2 - 9:12MIAWade T.FOUL (P0.T0)30
30
Q2 - 9:12NOHJack S.FOUL (P1.T4)30
30
Q2 - 9:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
30
Q2 - 9:14NOHAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)30
30
Q2 - 9:20NOHPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
30
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup30
30
Q2 - 9:43NOHJack 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)30
30
Q2 - 10:02MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
30
Q2 - 10:10NOHChalmers STEAL (1 STL)28
28
Q2 - 10:26NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
28
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 228
28
Q2 - 10:27NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Gray28
28
Q2 - 10:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
28
Q2 - 10:27NOHGreen P.FOUL (P1.T3)28
27
Q2 - 10:36NOHGray 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)28
27
Q2 - 10:54NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
27
Q2 - 10:55MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 126
27
Q2 - 10:55NOHSmith S.FOUL (P1.T2)26
27
Q2 - 10:55MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
27
Q2 - 11:05NOHGray Foul Turnover (P2.T3)26
25
Q2 - 11:05NOHGray OFF.Foul (P2)26
25
Q2 - 11:09NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
25
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot26
25
Q2 - 11:17NOHPondexter P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
25
Q2 - 11:31NOHGreen 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)26
25
Q2 - 11:43NOHJack Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)24
25
Q2 - 11:43MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Anthony )23
25
Q2 - 12:0023
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound23
25
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot23
25
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
25
Q1 - 0:06.0MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Dampier22
25
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHSUB: Pondexter FOR Ariza22
25
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
25
Q1 - 0:06.0MIADampier S.FOUL (P2.PN)21
25
Q1 - 0:26.0MIADampier 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)21
25
Q1 - 0:40.0NOHAriza 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gray 1 AST)21
23
Q1 - 0:58.0NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
23
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
23
Q1 - 1:17NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
23
Q1 - 1:17NOHHornets Rebound18
23
Q1 - 1:17NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 218
23
Q1 - 1:17MIAHoward P.FOUL (P1.PN)18
23
Q1 - 1:36MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)18
23
Q1 - 1:49NOHGray P.FOUL (P1.T3)18
20
Q1 - 1:49NOHHoward STEAL (1 STL)18
20
Q1 - 2:06NOHSUB: Jack FOR Belinelli18
20
Q1 - 2:06NOHSUB: Green FOR Paul18
20
Q1 - 2:08NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
20
Q1 - 2:09NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
20
Q1 - 2:27MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
20
Q1 - 2:46NOHAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
18
Q1 - 2:46NOHHornets Rebound17
18
Q1 - 2:46NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 217
18
Q1 - 2:46MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo17
18
Q1 - 2:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
18
Q1 - 2:46MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.PN)17
18
Q1 - 2:50NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
18
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot17
18
Q1 - 3:17NOHWest 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
18
Q1 - 3:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)15
18
Q1 - 3:20NOHMISS Paul 20' Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 3:32MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade15
18
Q1 - 3:32NOHSUB: Gray FOR Okafor15
18
Q1 - 3:32MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh15
18
Q1 - 3:32MIADampier P.FOUL (P1.T4)15
18
Q1 - 3:53NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)15
18
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 215
18
Q1 - 3:54MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
18
Q1 - 3:54MIASUB: Dampier FOR Ilgauskas15
17
Q1 - 3:54NOHAriza P.FOUL (P1.T2)15
17
Q1 - 4:07MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
17
Q1 - 4:08NOHMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
17
Q1 - 4:22NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
17
Q1 - 4:36NOHBelinelli 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 4:48MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
17
Q1 - 5:12MIAHEAT Rebound13
15
Q1 - 5:13NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 213
15
Q1 - 5:13NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
15
Q1 - 5:13MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
15
Q1 - 5:20NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
15
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot12
15
Q1 - 5:35NOHPaul 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
15
Q1 - 5:59MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
15
Q1 - 6:15NOHBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)10
13
Q1 - 6:27MIAArroyo P.FOUL (P1.T2)7
13
Q1 - 6:37NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)7
13
Q1 - 6:42MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)7
13
Q1 - 6:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
11
Q1 - 6:46NOHMISS Belinelli 2' Layup7
11
Q1 - 7:04MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)7
11
Q1 - 7:22MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
8
Q1 - 7:22NOHIlgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)7
8
Q1 - 7:24NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)7
8
Q1 - 7:25NOHBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)7
8
Q1 - 7:26NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
8
Q1 - 7:27NOHIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)7
8
Q1 - 7:41NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
8
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot7
8
Q1 - 7:53NOHOkafor 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
8
Q1 - 8:07NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
8
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS James 3' Layup5
8
Q1 - 8:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
8
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Arroyo 3' Driving Layup5
8
Q1 - 8:13MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8
Q1 - 8:14NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot5
8
Q1 - 8:46MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)5
8
Q1 - 8:52MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
6
Q1 - 8:53NOHMISS West 6' Jump Shot5
6
Q1 - 9:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
6
Q1 - 9:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
5
Q1 - 9:08NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P1.T1)5
4
Q1 - 9:22NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
4
Q1 - 9:22MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 9:22NOHWest 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 9:41NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:22NOHAriza 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:30NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 10:38NOHIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)0
4
Q1 - 11:00MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 11:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:12NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 11:20NOHBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)0
2
Q1 - 11:41MIABosh 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Okafor: Tip to Arroyo0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.02 51.2%
MIA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
12
23
52%
MIA
10
17
59%
Midrange
NOH
15
31
48%
MIA
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
1
1.5
13
8%
12%
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
NOH
27
34
79%
MIA
30
38
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West2657%13.0 / 23
T. Ariza1354%6.5 / 12
C. Paul1142%5.5 / 13
E. Okafor990%4.5 / 5
M. Belinelli941%4.5 / 11
J. Jack6100%3.0 / 3
W. Green429%2.0 / 7
A. Gray4100%2.0 / 2
J. Smith250%1.0 / 2
Q. Pondexter0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3276%16.0 / 21
C. Bosh2357%11.5 / 20
L. James2050%10.0 / 20
C. Arroyo744%3.5 / 8
M. Chalmers643%3.0 / 7
E. Dampier350%1.5 / 3
J. Jones350%1.5 / 3
Z. Ilgauskas225%1.0 / 4
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
71
+10
-12
81
MIA
79
+11
-6
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.02 51.2%
MIA
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
111.4
NOH 101.2
MIA 112.9 +11.7
Pace
88.9
91.3
NOH 90.2 +11.5
MIA 78.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
NOH 16.0 −2.3
MIA 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
52.4%
NOH 42.5%
MIA 47.1% +4.6%
TO %
13.6%
14.4%
NOH 12.8%
MIA 6.5% −6.3%
ORB %
25.1%
25.2%
NOH 26.3% +5.2%
MIA 21.1%
FTrt
29.6
36.3
NOH 50.7
MIA 54.3 +3.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
54.1%
NOH 50.0%
MIA 54.8% +4.8%
STL %
8.5%
7.3%
NOH 6.0%
MIA 7.1% +1.1%
BLK %
7.6%
8.5%
NOH 1.8%
MIA 16.7% +14.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
55.7%
NOH 51.2%
MIA 53.3% +2.1%
Rim FG%
57.5%
64.7%
NOH 52.2%
MIA 58.8% +6.6%
Mid FG%
42.1%
42.2%
NOH 48.4% +4.8%
MIA 43.6%
3P %
36.0%
37.0%
NOH 7.7%
MIA 28.6% +20.9%
FT %
76.5%
76.9%
NOH 79.4% +0.5%
MIA 78.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
31.6%
NOH 34.3% +10.0%
MIA 24.3%
Mid Att. %
48.6%
44.9%
NOH 46.3% −9.4%
MIA 55.7%
3P Att. %
19.2%
23.5%
NOH 19.4%
MIA 20.0% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions8385
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points8496
Rebounds4036
Assists1417
Steals56
Blocks19
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (0)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)28 (4)
Field Goals28-6731-70
At-the-Rim FG12-2310-17
Midrange FG15-3117-39
2-Point FG27-5427-56
3-Point FG1-134-14
Free Throws27-3430-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
37.8
13
54%
4
0
2
0
0
4
2
2
3-5
60%
5-8
63%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 255 · 28
36.9
9
90%
6
0
1
0
2
6
1
5
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
36.7
26
57%
12
2
1
0
3
2
6
6
10-13
77%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 26
35.7
11
42%
8
5
0
0
2
4
1
7
5-6
83%
3-7
43%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
29.9
9
41%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
G · 6'3" 205 · 29
18.1
4
29%
3
1
0
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
12.3
6
100%
0
2
0
0
2
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25
11.7
2
50%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 26
10.7
4
100%
0
1
0
0
2
5
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 23
10.2
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24
· 6'11" 247 · 30
#44 · F · 6'9" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#28 · C · 7'0" 255 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · G · 6'2" 205 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
51%
40
14
5
1
12
0
10
30
27-34
79%
27-54
50%
1-13
8%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.