Final Win Prob. pScore
449%101
94
851%102
111
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
104.49091.3
DEN logo Nuggets
123.19190.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN94
111
Q4 - 0:00.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
111
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Howard 27' 3PT Jump Shot94
111
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
111
Q4 - 0:18.0DENMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot94
111
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)94
111
Q4 - 0:36.0DENSUB: Forbes FOR Lawson93
111
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLMagic Rebound93
111
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 293
111
Q4 - 0:36.0DENEly P.FOUL (P1.PN)93
111
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
111
Q4 - 0:43.0DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
111
Q4 - 1:08DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
111
Q4 - 1:09ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
111
Q4 - 1:23DENSUB: Carter FOR Anthony93
111
Q4 - 1:23DENLawson Personal Take Foul (P2.T3)93
111
Q4 - 1:34DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)93
111
Q4 - 1:34DENFree Throw 2 of 293
110
Q4 - 1:34DENSUB: Ely FOR Nene93
110
Q4 - 1:34DENNUGGETS Rebound93
110
Q4 - 1:34DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 293
110
Q4 - 1:34ORLHoward P.FOUL (P4.PN)93
110
Q4 - 1:48DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)93
110
Q4 - 1:50ORLMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot93
110
Q4 - 2:00ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)93
110
Q4 - 2:00DENAnthony 1' Driving Dunk (34 PTS)93
110
Q4 - 2:13ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T13)93
108
Q4 - 2:29DENNene 1' Layup (10 PTS)93
108
Q4 - 2:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)93
106
Q4 - 2:32DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
106
Q4 - 2:55DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)93
106
Q4 - 2:57ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
106
Q4 - 3:09DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (32 PTS)93
106
Q4 - 3:0993
105
Q4 - 3:09ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)93
105
Q4 - 3:10DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)93
105
Q4 - 3:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)93
102
Q4 - 3:14DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
102
Q4 - 3:26DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
102
Q4 - 3:27ORLMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot93
102
Q4 - 3:51DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)93
102
Q4 - 3:51ORLSUB: Carter FOR Bass93
101
Q4 - 3:51DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)93
101
Q4 - 3:51ORLNelson S.FOUL (P2.PN)93
100
Q4 - 4:11ORLRedick 1' Layup (29 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)93
100
Q4 - 4:21ORLMagic Rebound91
100
Q4 - 4:21ORLMISS Redick Free Throw Technical91
100
Q4 - 4:2191
100
Q4 - 4:21ORLMagic Rebound91
100
Q4 - 4:21ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
100
Q4 - 4:39DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)91
100
Q4 - 4:39ORLSUB: Bass FOR Carter91
99
Q4 - 4:39DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)91
99
Q4 - 4:39ORLCarter S.FOUL (P5.PN)91
98
Q4 - 4:47DEN91
98
Q4 - 4:49DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
98
Q4 - 4:52ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot91
98
Q4 - 5:03DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)91
98
Q4 - 5:03ORLCarter S.FOUL (P4.T4)91
97
Q4 - 5:03DENAnthony 13' Turnaround Bank Shot (28 PTS)91
97
Q4 - 5:07DENSUB: Harrington FOR Carter91
95
Q4 - 5:07DENSUB: Lawson FOR Smith91
95
Q4 - 5:07DENNUGGETS Rebound91
95
Q4 - 5:08DENMISS Afflalo 1' Layup91
95
Q4 - 5:09DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
95
Q4 - 5:10DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot91
95
Q4 - 5:19DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
95
Q4 - 5:21ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Bank Hook Shot91
95
Q4 - 5:38DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)91
95
Q4 - 6:05ORLCarter 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)91
92
Q4 - 6:24DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)88
92
Q4 - 6:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
92
Q4 - 6:43ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
92
Q4 - 6:59ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)88
92
Q4 - 7:05DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)88
92
Q4 - 7:21ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Bass88
89
Q4 - 7:21ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)88
89
Q4 - 7:34ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
89
Q4 - 7:35DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot88
89
Q4 - 7:50DENSUB: Nene FOR Shel. Williams88
89
Q4 - 7:50DENSUB: Anthony FOR Harrington88
89
Q4 - 7:50ORLRedick Foul Turnover (P1.T11)88
89
Q4 - 7:50ORLRedick OFF.Foul (P3)88
89
Q4 - 8:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)88
89
Q4 - 8:03DENMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot88
89
Q4 - 8:11DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
89
Q4 - 8:13ORLMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot88
89
Q4 - 8:30DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)88
89
Q4 - 8:53ORLSUB: Howard FOR Gortat88
87
Q4 - 8:5388
87
Q4 - 8:53ORLNelson P.FOUL (P1.T3)88
87
Q4 - 8:54DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
87
Q4 - 8:55ORLMISS Bass 20' Jump Shot88
87
Q4 - 9:08ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
87
Q4 - 9:10DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
87
Q4 - 9:22ORLGortat L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)88
87
Q4 - 9:22DENNUGGETS Rebound88
87
Q4 - 9:22DENMISS Smith 2' Layup88
87
Q4 - 9:25DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
87
Q4 - 9:26DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
87
Q4 - 9:42ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Gortat 2 AST)88
87
Q4 - 9:56DENShel. Williams P.FOUL (P3.T2)85
87
Q4 - 10:06DENSmith 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
87
Q4 - 10:19ORLBass 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)85
85
Q4 - 10:32DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)83
85
Q4 - 10:48ORLRedick P.FOUL (P2.T1)83
82
Q4 - 11:02ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)83
82
Q4 - 11:02ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)82
82
Q4 - 11:02DENSmith T.FOUL (P2.T1)81
82
Q4 - 11:02DENSmith S.FOUL (P2.T1)81
82
Q4 - 11:02ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)81
82
Q4 - 11:10ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
82
Q4 - 11:13DENMISS Smith 9' Jump Shot78
82
Q4 - 11:29DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
82
Q4 - 11:30ORLMISS Bass 20' Jump Shot78
82
Q4 - 11:48DENHarrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)78
82
Q4 - 12:0078
79
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL78
79
Q3 - 0:03.0DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)78
79
Q3 - 0:03.0DENNUGGETS Rebound78
79
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper78
79
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
79
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
79
Q3 - 0:27.0DENSUB: Carter FOR Lawson76
79
Q3 - 0:27.0DENShel. Williams S.FOUL (P2.T4)76
79
Q3 - 0:39.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)76
79
Q3 - 0:39.0ORLSUB: Carter FOR Lewis76
78
Q3 - 0:39.0ORLLewis S.FOUL (P4.PN)76
78
Q3 - 0:39.0DENLawson 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)76
78
Q3 - 0:52.0ORLBass 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)76
76
Q3 - 0:59.0DENLawson 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)74
76
Q3 - 1:14ORLRedick 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)74
74
Q3 - 1:31DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)72
74
Q3 - 1:36DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
74
Q3 - 1:38ORLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
74
Q3 - 1:46ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
74
Q3 - 1:47DENMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup72
74
Q3 - 1:52DENSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Nene72
74
Q3 - 1:52ORLGortat Personal Block Foul (P3.T3)72
74
Q3 - 2:01DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
74
Q3 - 2:02ORLMISS Gortat 2' Layup72
74
Q3 - 2:06ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
74
Q3 - 2:08DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup72
74
Q3 - 2:21ORLSUB: Bass FOR Howard72
74
Q3 - 2:21ORLGortat Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T10)72
74
Q3 - 2:21ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)72
74
Q3 - 2:21DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo71
74
Q3 - 2:21DENLawson S.FOUL (P1.T3)71
74
Q3 - 2:25ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
74
Q3 - 2:26DENMISS Nene Layup71
74
Q3 - 2:41DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
74
Q3 - 2:43ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
74
Q3 - 3:02DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)71
74
Q3 - 3:18ORLLewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)71
71
Q3 - 3:30DENAnthony P.FOUL (P2.T2)68
71
Q3 - 3:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)68
71
Q3 - 3:42DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
71
Q3 - 3:55ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)68
71
Q3 - 4:17DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)68
71
Q3 - 4:35DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
69
Q3 - 4:37ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
69
Q3 - 4:45DENSUB: Harrington FOR Shel. Williams68
69
Q3 - 4:45ORLSUB: Williams FOR Nelson68
69
Q3 - 4:45ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Carter68
69
Q3 - 4:45ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)68
69
Q3 - 4:51DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)68
69
Q3 - 5:17ORLCarter Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)68
67
Q3 - 5:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)66
67
Q3 - 5:23DENMISS Anthony 2' Driving Layup66
67
Q3 - 5:32DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
67
Q3 - 5:33ORLMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot66
67
Q3 - 5:45ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
67
Q3 - 5:47DENMISS Nene 2' Layup66
67
Q3 - 5:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
67
Q3 - 5:51DENMISS Shel. Williams 8' Jump Shot66
67
Q3 - 6:03ORLHoward 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)66
67
Q3 - 6:18DENLawson 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)64
67
Q3 - 6:21ORLLawson STEAL (1 STL)64
65
Q3 - 6:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)64
65
Q3 - 6:46DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 164
65
Q3 - 6:46ORLSUB: Redick FOR Lewis64
65
Q3 - 6:46ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Bass64
65
Q3 - 6:46ORLCarter Shooting Block Foul (P3.T2)64
65
Q3 - 6:46DENAnthony 3' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)64
65
Q3 - 6:54ORLAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)64
63
Q3 - 7:09DENShel. Williams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)64
63
Q3 - 7:26DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
61
Q3 - 7:27ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 264
61
Q3 - 7:27ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)64
61
Q3 - 7:27DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)63
61
Q3 - 7:27DENShel. Williams S.FOUL (P1.T1)63
61
Q3 - 7:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)63
61
Q3 - 7:29ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
61
Q3 - 7:45DENAnthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P6.T12)63
61
Q3 - 7:59ORLBass 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)63
61
Q3 - 8:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
61
Q3 - 8:10DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot61
61
Q3 - 8:31ORLCarter 18' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)61
61
Q3 - 8:47ORLMagic Rebound59
61
Q3 - 8:48ORLMISS Carter 3' Jump Shot59
61
Q3 - 9:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
61
Q3 - 9:13DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot59
61
Q3 - 9:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
61
Q3 - 9:20ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
61
Q3 - 9:41DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)59
61
Q3 - 9:57DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
61
Q3 - 9:58ORLMISS Bass 1' Driving Layup59
61
Q3 - 10:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
61
Q3 - 10:05DENMISS Shel. Williams 15' Jump Shot59
61
Q3 - 10:25ORLCarter 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)59
61
Q3 - 10:44DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P5.T10)57
61
Q3 - 11:02ORLLewis P.FOUL (P3.T1)57
61
Q3 - 11:02DENNUGGETS Rebound57
61
Q3 - 11:02ORLShel. Williams BLOCK (2 BLK)57
61
Q3 - 11:06ORLMagic Rebound57
61
Q3 - 11:06ORLShel. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)57
61
Q3 - 11:25DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)57
61
Q3 - 11:43ORLHoward 2' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS)57
61
Q3 - 12:0055
61
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN55
61
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL55
61
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLGortat 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)55
61
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
61
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Nelson 2' Driving Layup53
61
Q2 - 0:17.0DENAnthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T8)53
61
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
61
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLSUB: Carter FOR Bass52
61
Q2 - 0:32.0DENSUB: Forbes FOR Harrington52
61
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
61
Q2 - 0:32.0DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo51
61
Q2 - 0:32.0DENHarrington P.FOUL (P2.PN)51
61
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
61
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLMISS Nelson 5' Fadeaway Jumper51
61
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLGortat Violation:Defensive Goaltending51
61
Q2 - 0:57.0DENAfflalo 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)51
61
Q2 - 1:07DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
59
Q2 - 1:08ORLMISS Bass 6' Jump Hook Shot51
59
Q2 - 1:22DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)51
59
Q2 - 1:25DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
59
Q2 - 1:26ORLMISS Bass 16' Jump Shot51
59
Q2 - 1:45DENLawson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)51
59
Q2 - 2:06ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)51
57
Q2 - 2:06ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Williams50
57
Q2 - 2:06ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)50
57
Q2 - 2:06DENNene P.FOUL (P1.PN)49
57
Q2 - 2:21DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)49
57
Q2 - 2:21ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Howard49
56
Q2 - 2:21ORLHoward S.FOUL (P3.PN)49
56
Q2 - 2:21DENAnthony 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)49
56
Q2 - 2:42ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
54
Q2 - 2:42ORLMagic Rebound48
54
Q2 - 2:42ORLMISS Redick Free Throw 1 of 248
54
Q2 - 2:42DENAfflalo S.FOUL (P2.T4)48
54
Q2 - 2:51ORLSUB: Bass FOR Gortat48
54
Q2 - 2:51ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)48
54
Q2 - 2:59DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)48
54
Q2 - 3:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
51
Q2 - 3:08ORLMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot48
51
Q2 - 3:20DENAnthony 10' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)48
51
Q2 - 3:41DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
49
Q2 - 3:42ORLMISS Lewis 9' Turnaround Jump Shot48
49
Q2 - 3:53ORLSUB: Williams FOR Nelson48
49
Q2 - 3:53DENSUB: Anthony FOR Smith48
49
Q2 - 3:53DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)48
49
Q2 - 3:53DENHarrington P.FOUL (P1.T3)48
49
Q2 - 4:06ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
49
Q2 - 4:07DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
49
Q2 - 4:16DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
49
Q2 - 4:17ORLMISS Gortat 9' Fadeaway Jumper48
49
Q2 - 4:35DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)48
49
Q2 - 4:55ORLHoward 2' Layup (14 PTS)48
46
Q2 - 5:14DENNene 2' Layup (6 PTS)46
46
Q2 - 5:33ORLRedick 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
44
Q2 - 5:46ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending44
44
Q2 - 5:46DENSmith 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
44
Q2 - 5:54ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)44
42
Q2 - 6:14DENSUB: Lawson FOR Carter41
42
Q2 - 6:14DENAfflalo P.FOUL (P1.T2)41
42
Q2 - 6:18ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
42
Q2 - 6:20DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
42
Q2 - 6:39DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
42
Q2 - 6:40ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
42
Q2 - 6:46DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)41
42
Q2 - 6:55ORLGortat P.FOUL (P2.T4)41
42
Q2 - 7:03DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
42
Q2 - 7:04ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
42
Q2 - 7:10ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
42
Q2 - 7:11DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
42
Q2 - 7:18ORLNene STEAL (1 STL)41
42
Q2 - 7:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
42
Q2 - 7:30DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
42
Q2 - 7:43ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
42
Q2 - 7:43ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
42
Q2 - 7:43DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)39
42
Q2 - 7:59DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)39
42
Q2 - 7:59DENSUB: Nene FOR Ely39
41
Q2 - 7:59ORLRedick S.FOUL (P1.T3)39
41
Q2 - 7:59DENSmith 4' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
41
Q2 - 8:05DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
39
Q2 - 8:06ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
39
Q2 - 8:10ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
39
Q2 - 8:11ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup39
39
Q2 - 8:26ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Carter39
39
Q2 - 8:26ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Bass39
39
Q2 - 8:26DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Anthony39
39
Q2 - 8:2639
39
Q2 - 8:35DENCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)39
39
Q2 - 8:50ORLBass 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)39
36
Q2 - 9:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
36
Q2 - 9:07DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 137
36
Q2 - 9:07ORLCarter S.FOUL (P2.T2)37
36
Q2 - 9:07DENAnthony 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)37
36
Q2 - 9:20ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
34
Q2 - 9:28ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
34
Q2 - 9:29DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot35
34
Q2 - 9:48ORLHoward 1' Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)35
34
Q2 - 10:07DENCarter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)33
34
Q2 - 10:20DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
32
Q2 - 10:22ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
32
Q2 - 10:36DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
32
Q2 - 10:36DENNUGGETS Rebound33
31
Q2 - 10:36DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 233
31
Q2 - 10:36ORLHoward Shooting Block Foul (P2.T1)33
31
Q2 - 10:44ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
31
Q2 - 10:57DENSmith 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)33
31
Q2 - 11:03ORLCarter STEAL (1 STL)33
29
Q2 - 11:20DENAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)33
29
Q2 - 11:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
29
Q2 - 11:38ORLHoward 2' Tip Shot (10 PTS)33
29
Q2 - 11:40ORLMISS Carter 1' Layup31
29
Q2 - 12:0031
29
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL31
29
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
29
Q1 - 0:03.0DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
29
Q1 - 0:19.0ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)31
29
Q1 - 0:23.0DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
29
Q1 - 0:45.0ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)31
29
Q1 - 0:45.0ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)30
29
Q1 - 0:45.0DENSUB: Carter FOR Lawson29
29
Q1 - 0:45.0DENAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)29
29
Q1 - 0:52.0DENAnthony 2' Layup (13 PTS)29
29
Q1 - 0:54.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
27
Q1 - 0:54.0DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup29
27
Q1 - 1:05ORLWilliams 21' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
27
Q1 - 1:18DENEly 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)27
27
Q1 - 1:30DENNUGGETS Rebound27
27
Q1 - 1:30DENMISS Anthony Free Throw Technical27
27
Q1 - 1:30ORLCarter T.FOUL (P1.PN)27
27
Q1 - 1:30ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)27
27
Q1 - 1:39DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)24
27
Q1 - 1:53DENNUGGETS Rebound24
27
Q1 - 1:53ORLMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot24
27
Q1 - 2:09DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)24
27
Q1 - 2:09DENSUB: Ely FOR Nene24
26
Q1 - 2:09ORLCarter S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
26
Q1 - 2:09DENAnthony 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)24
26
Q1 - 2:22ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)24
24
Q1 - 2:34ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
24
Q1 - 2:35DENMISS Nene 9' Jump Hook Shot21
24
Q1 - 2:51DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo21
24
Q1 - 2:51ORLSUB: Bass FOR Howard21
24
Q1 - 2:51DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)21
24
Q1 - 2:51DENNUGGETS Rebound21
24
Q1 - 2:51DENMISS Lawson 1' Driving Layup21
24
Q1 - 2:54DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
24
Q1 - 2:56ORLMISS Howard 16' Jump Bank Shot21
24
Q1 - 3:14ORLMagic Rebound21
24
Q1 - 3:16DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
24
Q1 - 3:36ORLRedick 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)21
24
Q1 - 3:50DENAnthony 6' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)18
24
Q1 - 4:00ORLSUB: Williams FOR Nelson18
22
Q1 - 4:00ORLSUB: Carter FOR Lewis18
22
Q1 - 4:00DENSUB: Harrington FOR Shel. Williams18
22
Q1 - 4:00ORLLewis P.FOUL (P2.T4)18
22
Q1 - 4:13ORLHoward 9' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)18
22
Q1 - 4:26DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)16
22
Q1 - 4:42ORLHoward 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)16
19
Q1 - 5:00DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
19
Q1 - 5:00DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
18
Q1 - 5:00ORLGortat S.FOUL (P1.T3)14
17
Q1 - 5:03DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17
Q1 - 5:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
17
Q1 - 5:05ORLMISS Howard 1' Tip Shot14
17
Q1 - 5:07ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup14
17
Q1 - 5:33DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)14
17
Q1 - 5:46ORLLewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)14
15
Q1 - 6:10DENAnthony 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)11
15
Q1 - 6:25ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)11
13
Q1 - 6:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
13
Q1 - 6:36DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
13
Q1 - 6:52ORLLewis Violation:Kicked Ball8
13
Q1 - 6:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13
Q1 - 7:00ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
13
Q1 - 7:12ORLSUB: Redick FOR Carter8
13
Q1 - 7:12ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Bass8
13
Q1 - 7:12DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)8
13
Q1 - 7:25ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
13
Q1 - 7:25ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P1)8
13
Q1 - 7:36ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)8
13
Q1 - 7:41DENAfflalo 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
13
Q1 - 7:59ORLBass Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
11
Q1 - 8:15DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
11
Q1 - 8:22DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
9
Q1 - 8:23ORLMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 8:37DENLawson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
9
Q1 - 9:04ORLBass 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)8
7
Q1 - 9:26DENAnthony 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
7
Q1 - 9:38DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
5
Q1 - 9:40ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
5
Q1 - 9:46ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
5
Q1 - 9:47DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot6
5
Q1 - 10:00DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
5
Q1 - 10:02DENMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot6
5
Q1 - 10:09ORLLewis P.FOUL (P1.T2)6
5
Q1 - 10:26ORLHoward 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)6
5
Q1 - 10:34ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
5
Q1 - 10:37DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot4
5
Q1 - 10:44ORLHoward 3' Layup (2 PTS)4
5
Q1 - 10:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
5
Q1 - 10:48ORLMISS Carter 6' Running Jump Shot2
5
Q1 - 11:06DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)2
5
Q1 - 11:19ORLBass P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:31ORLCarter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:45DENNene 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Howard: Tip to Shel. Williams0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLDEN
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.07 53.4%
DEN
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
10
20
50%
DEN
19
28
68%
Midrange
ORL
14
31
45%
DEN
13
26
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
DEN
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
Free Throws
ORL
16
20
80%
DEN
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Redick29104%14.5 / 14
D. Howard2162%10.5 / 17
V. Carter1856%9.0 / 16
B. Bass1045%5.0 / 11
R. Lewis840%4.0 / 10
J. Nelson418%2.0 / 11
M. Gortat233%1.0 / 3
J. Williams233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3573%17.5 / 24
T. Lawson1662%8.0 / 13
J. Smith1657%8.0 / 14
A. Afflalo1575%7.5 / 10
A. Harrington1260%6.0 / 10
Nene1063%5.0 / 8
A. Carter563%2.5 / 4
S. Williams233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
77
+10
-13
87
DEN
77
+11
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.07 53.4%
DEN
1.26 62.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
112.7
ORL 104.4
DEN 123.1 +18.6
Pace
91.2
95.2
ORL 91.3 +1.1
DEN 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.3
ORL 15.8 −0.2
DEN 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
52.6%
ORL 50.0%
DEN 60.6% +10.6%
TO %
15.7%
14.5%
ORL 13.0% −1.5%
DEN 14.5%
ORB %
26.1%
23.8%
ORL 17.5%
DEN 20.6% +3.1%
FTrt
32.8
36.7
ORL 25.6 +0.6
DEN 25.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
57.6%
ORL 58.8% +3.0%
DEN 55.8%
STL %
7.3%
7.7%
ORL 7.8% +2.3%
DEN 5.5%
BLK %
7.5%
6.8%
ORL 11.1% +7.2%
DEN 3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
56.3%
ORL 53.4%
DEN 62.9% +9.5%
Rim FG%
61.7%
58.5%
ORL 50.0%
DEN 67.9% +17.9%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.0%
ORL 45.2%
DEN 50.0% +4.8%
3P %
36.6%
38.8%
ORL 37.0%
DEN 42.3% +5.3%
FT %
69.2%
76.6%
ORL 80.0% +5.0%
DEN 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
42.5%
ORL 25.6%
DEN 35.0% +9.4%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
31.8%
ORL 39.7%
DEN 32.5% −7.2%
3P Att. %
32.8%
25.8%
ORL 34.6% +2.1%
DEN 32.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsORLDEN
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes23.624.2
Points94112
Rebounds3440
Assists2024
Steals75
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals34-7843-80
At-the-Rim FG10-2019-28
Midrange FG14-3113-26
2-Point FG24-5132-54
3-Point FG10-2711-26
Free Throws16-2015-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 190 · 29
37.5
4
18%
3
8
1
0
4
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
37.3
21
62%
14
1
0
2
4
4
4
10
3-5
60%
9-14
64%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
33.1
8
40%
2
1
1
1
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-7
29%
G · 6'6" 220 · 34
32.0
18
56%
2
2
2
1
0
5
0
2
4-4
100%
4-11
36%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 250 · 26
26.6
10
45%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
38.0
29
104%
5
2
1
0
1
3
0
5
5-7
71%
3-3
100%
6-9
67%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
25.0
2
33%
3
2
2
2
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
10.5
2
33%
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 215 · 29
F · 6'6" 228 · 31
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
#33 · F · 6'10" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
53%
34
20
7
6
13
0
7
27
16-20
80%
24-51
47%
10-27
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.