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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs46%103113
9Nuggets54%104112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
37.3
32.7
24
53%
2
9
1
1
0
2
0
2
6-8
75%
9-18
7-13
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.5
36.4
31.5
13
84%
2
3
1
1
2
2
0
2
2-4
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.6
33.5
28.6
28
68%
16
4
1
1
4
0
5
11
4-6
67%
12-18
5-11
67%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.4
30.9
29.2
16
48%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
50%
2-10
20%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.7
14.0
20.8
6
75%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.6
33.5
30.9
2
20%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.2
19.6
14.7
6
40%
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.7
17.5
24.1
10
102%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
3-4
75%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.3
15.0
15.5
6
100%
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
2.4
2.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
41%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.4
0.1
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.0
6.2
0
1-2
51%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.5
42.5
30.8
31
59%
9
3
1
1
0
2
1
8
10-14
71%
9-19
7-15
47%
48%
1-1
100%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
38.4
35.3
20
78%
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
52%
2-3
67%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.1
38.2
27.8
15
69%
3
7
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
53%
1-2
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.3
34.8
34.1
19
57%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
7-14
5-9
50%
58%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.2
15.2
17.9
2
17%
7
0
0
1
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
25.3
22.8
12
66%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
6-7
86%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.8
19.7
27.6
12
61%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
3-6
50%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.8
16.1
9.0
1
13%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.5
9.8
8.8
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.2
20.6
1
1-3
44%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.6
7.2
0
1-2
44%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.4
2.2
0
0-0
54%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 33.0
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.