Final Win Prob. pScore
185%102
95
3015%88
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
96.99898.5
WAS logo Wizards
97.99696.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
94
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
94
Q4 - 0:01.0WASMISS Hinrich 4' Jump Shot95
94
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)95
94
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)94
94
Q4 - 0:07.0WASBlatche S.FOUL (P5.PN)93
94
Q4 - 0:12.0WASHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
94
Q4 - 0:12.0WASWIZARDS Rebound93
93
Q4 - 0:12.0WASMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 293
93
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.PN)93
93
Q4 - 0:13.0WASSUB: Thornton FOR Armstrong93
93
Q4 - 0:13.0WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 3)93
93
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)93
93
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)92
93
Q4 - 0:13.0WASYoung P.FOUL (P3.PN)91
93
Q4 - 0:13.0WASYoung Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)91
93
Q4 - 0:16.0MIABosh Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)91
93
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAHeat Rebound90
93
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 390
93
Q4 - 0:16.0WASSUB: Armstrong FOR Thornton90
93
Q4 - 0:16.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 3 (19 PTS)90
93
Q4 - 0:16.0WAS89
93
Q4 - 0:16.0WASBlatche S.FOUL (P4.PN)89
93
Q4 - 0:18.0WASSUB: Thornton FOR Armstrong89
93
Q4 - 0:18.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Anthony89
93
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 1)89
93
Q4 - 0:18.0WASHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)89
93
Q4 - 0:18.0WASWIZARDS Rebound89
92
Q4 - 0:18.0WASMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 289
92
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.PN)89
92
Q4 - 0:18.0WASHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
92
Q4 - 0:19.0WASMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 289
92
Q4 - 0:19.0WASSUB: Armstrong FOR Thornton89
92
Q4 - 0:19.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Jones89
92
Q4 - 0:19.0WASHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
92
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJames P.FOUL (P3.PN)89
91
Q4 - 0:23.0WASSUB: Thornton FOR Armstrong89
91
Q4 - 0:23.0WASWIZARDS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 3)89
91
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)89
91
Q4 - 0:27.0MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)89
91
Q4 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Anthony86
91
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)86
91
Q4 - 0:32.0WASHoward 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hinrich 12 AST)86
91
Q4 - 0:53.0WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
89
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
89
Q4 - 1:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
89
Q4 - 1:14WASMISS Blatche 20' Jump Shot86
89
Q4 - 1:38MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (32 PTS)86
89
Q4 - 1:39WASHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)84
89
Q4 - 1:55WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
89
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 284
89
Q4 - 1:56MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)84
89
Q4 - 1:56WASBlatche S.FOUL (P3.PN)83
89
Q4 - 2:15WASBlatche 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Young 1 AST)83
89
Q4 - 2:32WASHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
87
Q4 - 2:33WASMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot83
87
Q4 - 2:51MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)83
87
Q4 - 2:51MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)82
87
Q4 - 2:51WASArmstrong S.FOUL (P3.PN)81
87
Q4 - 3:01WASYoung 21' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Hinrich 11 AST)81
87
Q4 - 3:08WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)81
85
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
85
Q4 - 3:32WASHinrich P.FOUL (P4.T4)81
85
Q4 - 3:32WASHinrich Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)81
85
Q4 - 3:42MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
85
Q4 - 3:42MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
85
Q4 - 3:42WASArmstrong S.FOUL (P2.T3)79
85
Q4 - 3:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
85
Q4 - 3:53WASMISS Armstrong Free Throw 2 of 279
85
Q4 - 3:53WASArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
85
Q4 - 3:53MIAWade S.FOUL (P5.T4)79
84
Q4 - 4:10WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 2)79
84
Q4 - 4:12MIABosh 3' Putback Layup (13 PTS)79
84
Q4 - 4:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
84
Q4 - 4:15MIABlatche BLOCK (1 BLK)77
84
Q4 - 4:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
84
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup77
84
Q4 - 4:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
84
Q4 - 4:28WASMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
84
Q4 - 4:45WASSUB: Howard FOR Thornton77
84
Q4 - 4:45MIAJames Foul Turnover (P4.T17)77
84
Q4 - 4:45MIAJames Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T3)77
84
Q4 - 4:52WASBlatche Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)77
84
Q4 - 5:10WASWIZARDS Rebound77
84
Q4 - 5:10MIAArmstrong BLOCK (1 BLK)77
84
Q4 - 5:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
84
Q4 - 5:19WASMISS Young 6' Jump Shot77
84
Q4 - 5:37WASArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
84
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 277
84
Q4 - 5:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)77
84
Q4 - 5:38WASBlatche S.FOUL (P2.T2)76
84
Q4 - 5:51WASThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
84
Q4 - 5:51WASThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
83
Q4 - 5:5176
82
Q4 - 5:51MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T2)76
82
Q4 - 5:55WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
82
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot76
82
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
82
Q4 - 6:06WASMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot76
82
Q4 - 6:20MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)76
82
Q4 - 6:33WASBlatche Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)74
82
Q4 - 6:54WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
82
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
82
Q4 - 7:23WASYoung 18' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Hinrich 10 AST)74
82
Q4 - 7:40WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)74
80
Q4 - 7:41MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot74
80
Q4 - 7:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
80
Q4 - 7:58WASMISS Blatche 19' Jump Shot74
80
Q4 - 8:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)74
80
Q4 - 8:23WASThornton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)74
80
Q4 - 8:32MIAArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)74
80
Q4 - 8:46WASSUB: Thornton FOR Howard74
80
Q4 - 8:46WASHinrich Foul Turnover (P3.T7)74
80
Q4 - 8:46WASHinrich Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T1)74
80
Q4 - 9:14MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)74
80
Q4 - 9:36MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard72
80
Q4 - 9:36MIASUB: James FOR Jones72
80
Q4 - 9:36MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)72
80
Q4 - 9:36WASBlatche 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hinrich 9 AST)72
80
Q4 - 9:59WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)72
78
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
78
Q4 - 10:23WASHoward 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)72
78
Q4 - 10:44WASWIZARDS Rebound72
76
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
76
Q4 - 10:54MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
76
Q4 - 10:55WASMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot72
76
Q4 - 11:11MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T14)72
76
Q4 - 11:11MIAWade Offensive Charge Foul (P4.T1)72
76
Q4 - 11:15MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
76
Q4 - 11:16WASMISS Howard 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
76
Q4 - 11:23WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
76
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot72
76
Q4 - 11:43WASYoung 1' Layup (26 PTS) (Hinrich 8 AST)72
76
Q4 - 12:0072
74
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
74
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS72
74
Q3 - 0:01.0WASBlatche 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)72
74
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJones L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)72
72
Q3 - 0:02.0WASWIZARDS Rebound72
72
Q3 - 0:02.0WASMISS Blatche 21' Jump Shot72
72
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)72
72
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)71
72
Q3 - 0:25.0WASSUB: Blatche FOR Booker70
72
Q3 - 0:25.0WASSUB: Armstrong FOR McGee70
72
Q3 - 0:25.0WASBooker S.FOUL (P3.PN)70
72
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
72
Q3 - 0:36.0WASMISS Hinrich 9' Jump Shot70
72
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAHoward 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)70
72
Q3 - 1:10MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
72
Q3 - 1:11WASMISS Young 19' Jump Shot68
72
Q3 - 1:29MIAJames 1' Dunk (24 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)68
72
Q3 - 1:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
72
Q3 - 1:35WASMISS McGee 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
72
Q3 - 1:42WASWIZARDS Rebound66
72
Q3 - 1:43WASMISS Booker 3' Layup66
72
Q3 - 2:00WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)66
72
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
72
Q3 - 2:10MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
72
Q3 - 2:11WASMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot66
72
Q3 - 2:24MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)66
72
Q3 - 2:29MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
72
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot66
72
Q3 - 2:56WASHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
72
Q3 - 2:56WASSUB: Booker FOR Blatche66
71
Q3 - 2:56WASHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
71
Q3 - 2:56MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade66
70
Q3 - 2:56MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo66
70
Q3 - 2:56MIAArroyo S.FOUL (P2.T3)66
70
Q3 - 3:12MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 6 AST)66
70
Q3 - 3:27MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh63
70
Q3 - 3:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)63
70
Q3 - 3:28WASHoward 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)63
70
Q3 - 3:33WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)63
68
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot63
68
Q3 - 3:55WASYoung 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)63
68
Q3 - 4:00WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
66
Q3 - 4:03MIAMcGee BLOCK (4 BLK)63
66
Q3 - 4:12WASSUB: Howard FOR Thornton63
66
Q3 - 4:12WASHinrich P.FOUL (P2.T4)63
66
Q3 - 4:18WASHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)63
66
Q3 - 4:28MIAYoung STEAL (1 STL)63
66
Q3 - 4:47WASYoung 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS)63
66
Q3 - 5:01MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas63
64
Q3 - 5:07WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
64
Q3 - 5:10WASMISS Thornton 2' Layup63
64
Q3 - 5:12WASThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
64
Q3 - 5:13WASMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
64
Q3 - 5:17WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
64
Q3 - 5:18WASMISS Thornton 20' Jump Shot63
64
Q3 - 5:35MIAJames 8' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)63
64
Q3 - 5:41MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
64
Q3 - 5:42WASMISS Blatche 20' Jump Shot61
64
Q3 - 6:03WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
64
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot61
64
Q3 - 6:21WASThornton 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blatche 3 AST)61
64
Q3 - 6:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
62
Q3 - 6:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
62
Q3 - 6:38WASYoung S.FOUL (P2.T3)59
62
Q3 - 6:50MIAHeat Rebound59
62
Q3 - 6:52WASMISS Blatche 7' Jump Shot59
62
Q3 - 7:06MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
62
Q3 - 7:06MIAHeat Rebound58
62
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 258
62
Q3 - 7:06WASBlatche S.FOUL (P1.T2)58
62
Q3 - 7:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)58
62
Q3 - 7:27WASBlatche 2' Driving Dunk (14 PTS)58
62
Q3 - 7:37WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
60
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
60
Q3 - 7:49WASYoung 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Thornton 5 AST)58
60
Q3 - 8:10MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)58
57
Q3 - 8:28WASBlatche 1' Driving Dunk (12 PTS)55
57
Q3 - 8:32MIABlatche STEAL (4 STL)55
55
Q3 - 8:41WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
55
Q3 - 8:41WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
54
Q3 - 8:41MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T2)55
53
Q3 - 8:55MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
53
Q3 - 9:10MIAHeat Rebound52
53
Q3 - 9:10MIAMcGee BLOCK (3 BLK)52
53
Q3 - 9:15MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
53
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
53
Q3 - 9:34WASMcGee 2' Slam Dunk (5 PTS)52
53
Q3 - 9:36WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
51
Q3 - 9:37WASMISS Young 1' Layup52
51
Q3 - 9:48WASThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
51
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot52
51
Q3 - 10:07WASThornton 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)52
51
Q3 - 10:16WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
49
Q3 - 10:17MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot52
49
Q3 - 10:34WASYoung 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)52
49
Q3 - 10:46WASWIZARDS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 2)52
47
Q3 - 10:47MIAWade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)52
47
Q3 - 10:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
47
Q3 - 10:58WASMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot50
47
Q3 - 11:06MIAIlgauskas P.FOUL (P2.T1)50
47
Q3 - 11:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
47
Q3 - 11:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
47
Q3 - 11:16WASThornton S.FOUL (P1.T1)48
47
Q3 - 11:18MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
47
Q3 - 11:20WASMISS McGee 3' Layup48
47
Q3 - 11:42MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)48
47
Q3 - 12:0046
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
47
Q2 - 0:01.0WASMISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot46
47
Q2 - 0:25.0WASArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
47
Q2 - 0:26.0WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 2 of 246
47
Q2 - 0:26.0WASSUB: Gee FOR Young46
47
Q2 - 0:26.0WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
47
Q2 - 0:26.0MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.PN)46
46
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
46
Q2 - 0:47.0WASSUB: Thornton FOR Howard45
46
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
46
Q2 - 0:47.0WASHoward P.FOUL (P2.PN)44
46
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
46
Q2 - 0:48.0WASMISS Blatche 8' Jump Shot44
46
Q2 - 0:53.0MIABlatche STEAL (3 STL)44
46
Q2 - 0:55.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
46
Q2 - 0:57.0WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 2 of 244
46
Q2 - 0:57.0WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
46
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T4)44
45
Q2 - 1:14WASHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
45
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup44
45
Q2 - 1:30MIAHeat Rebound44
45
Q2 - 1:31WASMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot44
45
Q2 - 1:46WASHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
45
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot44
45
Q2 - 2:09WASSUB: Armstrong FOR McGee44
45
Q2 - 2:09MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones44
45
Q2 - 2:09MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard44
45
Q2 - 2:09WASSUB: Howard FOR Thornton44
45
Q2 - 2:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)44
45
Q2 - 2:15WASBlatche 2' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)44
45
Q2 - 2:33MIAJames Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)44
43
Q2 - 2:38WASHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)42
43
Q2 - 2:41WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
43
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Howard 1' Layup42
43
Q2 - 2:45MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
43
Q2 - 2:47MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot42
43
Q2 - 2:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
43
Q2 - 2:59WASMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
43
Q2 - 3:14MIAHoward 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)42
43
Q2 - 3:37MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
43
Q2 - 3:38WASMISS Young 5' Jump Shot40
43
Q2 - 3:49WASSUB: Young FOR Martin40
43
Q2 - 3:49WASWIZARDS Rebound40
43
Q2 - 3:49WASMISS Blatche 7' Jump Shot40
43
Q2 - 4:05MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)40
43
Q2 - 4:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
43
Q2 - 4:13WASMISS Blatche 14' Jump Shot37
43
Q2 - 4:23MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade37
43
Q2 - 4:23WASWIZARDS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)37
43
Q2 - 4:42MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS)37
43
Q2 - 4:53WASHinrich Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)35
43
Q2 - 4:53MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T3)35
42
Q2 - 4:53WASHinrich 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS)35
42
Q2 - 5:03MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh35
40
Q2 - 5:03MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T2)35
40
Q2 - 5:05MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)35
40
Q2 - 5:19WASThornton 8' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)35
40
Q2 - 5:36WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
38
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 235
38
Q2 - 5:37MIAHeat Rebound35
38
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 235
38
Q2 - 5:37WASSUB: McGee FOR Armstrong35
38
Q2 - 5:37WASSUB: Martin FOR Young35
38
Q2 - 5:37WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)35
38
Q2 - 5:37WASHinrich Shooting Block Foul (P1.T4)35
38
Q2 - 5:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
38
Q2 - 5:38WASMISS Armstrong 5' Jump Shot35
38
Q2 - 5:41WASArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
38
Q2 - 5:42WASMISS Young 13' Jump Shot35
38
Q2 - 6:09MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)35
38
Q2 - 6:21WASBlatche 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)33
38
Q2 - 6:39MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)33
36
Q2 - 6:46MIASUB: Anthony FOR Dampier31
36
Q2 - 6:55MIASUB: James FOR Jones31
36
Q2 - 6:55WASSUB: Blatche FOR Booker31
36
Q2 - 6:55WASSUB: Thornton FOR Howard31
36
Q2 - 6:55WASHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)31
36
Q2 - 7:03MIAWade 3' Layup (7 PTS)31
36
Q2 - 7:17WASBooker 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
36
Q2 - 7:20WASBooker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
34
Q2 - 7:22WASMISS Young 13' Jump Shot29
34
Q2 - 7:26MIABooker STEAL (1 STL)29
34
Q2 - 7:50WASHoward 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)29
34
Q2 - 8:10MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
32
Q2 - 8:34WASBooker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
32
Q2 - 8:37WASBooker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
32
Q2 - 8:38WASMISS Young 18' Jump Shot26
32
Q2 - 8:4726
32
Q2 - 8:56WASBooker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
32
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot26
32
Q2 - 9:20WASHinrich 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
32
Q2 - 9:39MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
30
Q2 - 9:39WASBooker S.FOUL (P2.T3)25
30
Q2 - 9:39MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
30
Q2 - 9:46WASBooker P.FOUL (P1.T2)23
30
Q2 - 9:50WASArmstrong P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
30
Q2 - 10:08WASHoward 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
30
Q2 - 10:26MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
28
Q2 - 10:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
28
Q2 - 10:36WASMISS Young 9' Jump Shot21
28
Q2 - 10:54MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
28
Q2 - 11:08WASYoung 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)19
28
Q2 - 11:18WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
26
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot19
26
Q2 - 11:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
26
Q2 - 11:36WASMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 219
26
Q2 - 11:36WASHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
26
Q2 - 11:36MIAWade Shooting Block Foul (P1.T1)19
25
Q2 - 11:39MIAHinrich STEAL (2 STL)19
25
Q2 - 12:0019
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound19
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
25
Q1 - 0:03.0WASHoward P.FOUL (P1.PN)19
25
Q1 - 0:06.0WASSUB: Gee FOR Hinrich19
25
Q1 - 0:07.0WASSUB: Booker FOR Blatche19
25
Q1 - 0:07.0WASSUB: Martin FOR Young19
25
Q1 - 0:07.0MIASUB: House FOR Jones19
25
Q1 - 0:07.0WASSUB: Armstrong FOR McGee19
25
Q1 - 0:07.0WASMcGee Foul Turnover (P2.T2)19
25
Q1 - 0:07.0WASMcGee Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T3)19
25
Q1 - 0:11.0WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
25
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMcGee BLOCK (2 BLK)19
25
Q1 - 0:30.0WASMcGee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)19
25
Q1 - 0:37.0WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
25
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot19
25
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
25
Q1 - 0:49.0WASMISS Young 3' Layup19
25
Q1 - 0:52.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
25
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
25
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
25
Q1 - 0:59.0WASMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
25
Q1 - 1:04WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
25
Q1 - 1:06WASMISS McGee 2' Layup19
25
Q1 - 1:09WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
25
Q1 - 1:11WASMISS Blatche 3' Jump Shot19
25
Q1 - 1:29MIADampier 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
25
Q1 - 1:33MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
25
Q1 - 1:35MIAMcGee BLOCK (1 BLK)17
25
Q1 - 1:47MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
25
Q1 - 1:48WASMISS Blatche 11' Jump Shot17
25
Q1 - 2:02MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
25
Q1 - 2:02MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
25
Q1 - 2:02MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo15
25
Q1 - 2:02WASMcGee Shooting Block Foul (P1.T2)15
25
Q1 - 2:12WASHinrich 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
25
Q1 - 2:33WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23
Q1 - 2:34MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot15
23
Q1 - 2:56WASHinrich Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
23
Q1 - 2:56MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade15
22
Q1 - 2:56MIAArroyo S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
22
Q1 - 2:56WASHinrich 15' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)15
22
Q1 - 3:12MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)15
20
Q1 - 3:18WASSUB: Howard FOR Thornton15
20
Q1 - 3:18MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh15
20
Q1 - 3:18MIASUB: Dampier FOR Ilgauskas15
20
Q1 - 3:18MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
20
Q1 - 3:23WASYoung 3' Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Blatche 2 AST)15
20
Q1 - 3:28MIABlatche STEAL (2 STL)15
18
Q1 - 3:46WASYoung 9' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)15
18
Q1 - 3:58WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
16
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot15
16
Q1 - 4:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
16
Q1 - 4:09WASMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot15
16
Q1 - 4:26MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)15
16
Q1 - 4:48WASYoung 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thornton 4 AST)13
16
Q1 - 4:53WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
14
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot13
14
Q1 - 5:09WASMcGee 1' Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Thornton 3 AST)13
14
Q1 - 5:17MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)13
12
Q1 - 5:34WASThornton 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)13
12
Q1 - 5:54WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
10
Q1 - 5:55MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)13
10
Q1 - 6:03MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
10
Q1 - 6:04WASMISS Thornton 3' Layup11
10
Q1 - 6:15WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
10
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
10
Q1 - 6:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
10
Q1 - 6:23WASMISS Blatche 16' Jump Shot11
10
Q1 - 6:45MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)11
10
Q1 - 6:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
10
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
10
Q1 - 7:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
10
Q1 - 7:10WASMISS Thornton 16' Jump Shot8
10
Q1 - 7:28MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)8
10
Q1 - 7:49WASMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 7:49WASWIZARDS Rebound8
9
Q1 - 7:49WASMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 28
9
Q1 - 7:49MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
9
Q1 - 7:54MIABosh 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
9
Q1 - 7:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
9
Q1 - 8:00WASMISS Blatche 15' Jump Shot6
9
Q1 - 8:20MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
9
Q1 - 8:20MIAHeat Rebound5
9
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 25
9
Q1 - 8:20WASYoung Shooting Block Foul (P1.T1)5
9
Q1 - 8:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
9
Q1 - 8:25WASMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
9
Q1 - 8:42WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
9
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot5
9
Q1 - 9:01WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
9
Q1 - 9:01WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
8
Q1 - 9:01MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T1)5
7
Q1 - 9:14MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
7
Q1 - 9:35MIAHeat Rebound2
7
Q1 - 9:35WASMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot2
7
Q1 - 9:38WASHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup2
7
Q1 - 9:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
7
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot2
7
Q1 - 9:59WASYoung 1' Driving Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)2
7
Q1 - 10:04MIABlatche STEAL (1 STL)2
5
Q1 - 10:21WASYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)2
5
Q1 - 10:32MIAIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:33MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:34WASMISS Young 14' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:39WASWIZARDS Rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:39WASMISS McGee 2' Layup2
2
Q1 - 10:48WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:07WASMISS McGee 11' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:24MIAIlgauskas 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:45WASBlatche 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball McGee vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Thornton0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.2%
WAS
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
17
59%
WAS
14
26
54%
Midrange
MIA
13
33
39%
WAS
21
52
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
WAS
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
Free Throws
MIA
25
32
78%
WAS
18
26
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3264%16.0 / 25
D. Wade2045%10.0 / 22
C. Bosh2071%10.0 / 14
M. Chalmers857%4.0 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas467%2.0 / 3
J. Howard450%2.0 / 4
C. Arroyo220%1.0 / 5
J. Jones233%1.0 / 3
E. Dampier250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Young3063%15.0 / 24
A. Blatche2042%10.0 / 24
K. Hinrich1336%6.5 / 18
J. Howard1354%6.5 / 12
A. Thornton1056%5.0 / 9
J. McGee531%2.5 / 8
T. Booker250%1.0 / 2
H. Armstrong125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+10
-17
91
WAS
83
+16
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.2%
WAS
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
102.2
MIA 96.9
WAS 97.9 +1.0
Pace
91.3
94.0
MIA 98.5 +2.3
WAS 96.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.3
MIA 14.6 −0.4
WAS 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.1%
MIA 48.6% +4.9%
WAS 43.7%
TO %
14.4%
15.5%
MIA 16.5%
WAS 11.7% −4.8%
ORB %
25.2%
28.0%
MIA 20.0%
WAS 25.0% +5.0%
FTrt
36.3
29.0
MIA 44.4 +14.5
WAS 29.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
52.2%
MIA 58.1%
WAS 59.5% +1.4%
STL %
7.3%
8.5%
MIA 8.2%
WAS 11.5% +3.3%
BLK %
8.5%
9.6%
MIA 11.5%
WAS 12.0% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
50.0%
MIA 52.2% +4.7%
WAS 47.5%
Rim FG%
64.7%
57.5%
MIA 58.8% +5.0%
WAS 53.8%
Mid FG%
42.2%
38.3%
MIA 39.4%
WAS 40.4% +1.0%
3P %
37.0%
33.2%
MIA 36.4% +14.2%
WAS 22.2%
FT %
76.9%
74.5%
MIA 78.1% +8.9%
WAS 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
35.7%
MIA 23.6%
WAS 29.9% +6.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
47.1%
MIA 45.8% −13.9%
WAS 59.8%
3P Att. %
23.5%
17.2%
MIA 30.6% +20.2%
WAS 10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9896
Possession Minutes23.924.0
Points9594
Rebounds4444
Assists1822
Steals811
Blocks96
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals31-7237-87
At-the-Rim FG10-1714-26
Midrange FG13-3321-52
2-Point FG23-5035-78
3-Point FG8-222-9
Free Throws25-3218-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
40.5
32
64%
7
6
1
0
4
3
1
6
11-12
92%
6-12
50%
3-7
43%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
39.9
20
45%
6
2
1
2
3
5
1
5
4-6
67%
5-14
36%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
36.0
20
71%
9
2
1
0
7
1
1
8
7-10
70%
5-9
56%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
19.0
2
20%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
15.7
4
67%
4
0
0
2
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
29.0
8
57%
6
4
1
0
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
23.3
1
25%
2
0
0
4
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
16.0
2
33%
2
2
3
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
12.1
4
50%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
8.5
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
44
18
8
9
17
0
8
36
25-32
78%
23-50
46%
8-22
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.