Final Win Prob. pScore
144%96
96
256%98
80
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
111.68676.2
LAL logo Lakers
94.18597.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL96
80
Q4 - 0:07.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
80
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
80
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
80
Q4 - 0:28.0LALMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot96
80
Q4 - 0:35.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
80
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot96
80
Q4 - 1:00LALBynum 2' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)96
80
Q4 - 1:15LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
78
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
78
Q4 - 1:34LALBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)96
78
Q4 - 1:34LALBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
77
Q4 - 1:34MIASUB: Miller FOR Wade96
76
Q4 - 1:34MIASUB: Jones FOR Bosh96
76
Q4 - 1:34MIASUB: Howard FOR James96
76
Q4 - 1:34MIAWade Personal Take Foul (P3.PN)96
76
Q4 - 1:36LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
76
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot96
76
Q4 - 1:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)96
76
Q4 - 1:54LALMISS Bynum 6' Jump Shot96
76
Q4 - 2:20MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
76
Q4 - 2:20MIAHeat Rebound95
76
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 295
76
Q4 - 2:20LALSUB: Bynum FOR Bryant95
76
Q4 - 2:20LALSUB: Walton FOR Gasol95
76
Q4 - 2:20LALSUB: Blake FOR Odom95
76
Q4 - 2:20MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)95
76
Q4 - 2:20LALOdom P.FOUL (P3.PN)95
76
Q4 - 2:34MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
76
Q4 - 2:37LALMISS Barnes 3' Dunk95
76
Q4 - 2:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)95
76
Q4 - 2:45MIABosh Tip Shot (24 PTS)95
76
Q4 - 2:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)93
76
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup93
76
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot93
76
Q4 - 3:13LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)93
76
Q4 - 3:13MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T4)93
75
Q4 - 3:13LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
75
Q4 - 3:13LALBryant 1' Layup (16 PTS)93
75
Q4 - 3:14LALMISS Brown 3' Layup93
73
Q4 - 3:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)93
73
Q4 - 3:25MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)92
73
Q4 - 3:25LALBryant P.FOUL (P5.PN)91
73
Q4 - 3:41LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)91
73
Q4 - 3:41MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones91
72
Q4 - 3:41MIADampier S.FOUL (P2.T3)91
72
Q4 - 3:41LALGasol 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)91
72
Q4 - 3:51MIABryant STEAL (1 STL)91
70
Q4 - 4:05LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)91
70
Q4 - 4:19MIADampier 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 10 AST)91
70
Q4 - 4:29LALGasol P.FOUL (P3.PN)89
70
Q4 - 4:37LALGasol P.FOUL (P2.T4)89
70
Q4 - 4:46LALBryant Foul Turnover (P3.T11)89
70
Q4 - 4:46LALBryant Offensive Charge Foul (P4.T3)89
70
Q4 - 5:03MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)89
70
Q4 - 5:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
70
Q4 - 5:24LALMISS Gasol 2' Hook Shot86
70
Q4 - 5:45LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
70
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot86
70
Q4 - 5:56LALLAKERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)86
70
Q4 - 5:56LALBryant P.FOUL (P3.T2)86
70
Q4 - 6:12MIAHeat Rebound86
70
Q4 - 6:13LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 2 of 286
70
Q4 - 6:13LALSUB: Gasol FOR Bynum86
70
Q4 - 6:13LALSUB: Barnes FOR Blake86
70
Q4 - 6:13LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)86
70
Q4 - 6:13MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade86
69
Q4 - 6:13MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T2)86
69
Q4 - 6:19LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
69
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot86
69
Q4 - 6:36MIAHeat Rebound86
69
Q4 - 6:38LALMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
69
Q4 - 6:44LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)86
69
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot86
69
Q4 - 7:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)86
69
Q4 - 7:03LALMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
69
Q4 - 7:24MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)86
69
Q4 - 7:24MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)85
69
Q4 - 7:24LALBlake S.FOUL (P1.T1)84
69
Q4 - 7:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
69
Q4 - 7:38LALMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
69
Q4 - 8:04MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 9 AST)84
69
Q4 - 8:21LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)81
69
Q4 - 8:32MIAJames 2' Putback Layup (23 PTS)81
69
Q4 - 8:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)79
69
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup79
69
Q4 - 8:41LALBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)79
69
Q4 - 8:5479
69
Q4 - 8:54MIADampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)79
69
Q4 - 9:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
69
Q4 - 9:08LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
69
Q4 - 9:12MIASUB: James FOR Jones79
69
Q4 - 9:21MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T1)79
69
Q4 - 9:31LALBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
69
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
69
Q4 - 9:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
69
Q4 - 9:55LALMISS Blake 3PT Jump Shot79
69
Q4 - 10:12MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
69
Q4 - 10:32LALBrown 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)77
69
Q4 - 10:49MIABosh 1' Layup (22 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)77
66
Q4 - 11:06LALOdom 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)75
66
Q4 - 11:14LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)75
64
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot75
64
Q4 - 11:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
64
Q4 - 11:38LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot75
64
Q4 - 12:0075
64
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL75
64
Q3 - 0:00.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
64
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
64
Q3 - 0:08.0LALGasol 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)75
64
Q3 - 0:10.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
62
Q3 - 0:13.0LALMISS Bynum 4' Hook Shot75
62
Q3 - 0:28.0LALBrown Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)75
62
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Jones )75
61
Q3 - 0:39.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
61
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot75
61
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
61
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
61
Q3 - 1:01MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
61
Q3 - 1:02LALMISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
61
Q3 - 1:08MIAHoward P.FOUL (P1.T2)75
61
Q3 - 1:19MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)75
61
Q3 - 1:46LALBrown 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)72
61
Q3 - 1:50LALLAKERS Rebound72
59
Q3 - 1:51LALMISS Brown 6' Jump Shot72
59
Q3 - 2:05LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
59
Q3 - 2:06MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
59
Q3 - 2:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)72
59
Q3 - 2:15LALMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
59
Q3 - 2:34MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
59
Q3 - 2:34MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
59
Q3 - 2:34MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo70
59
Q3 - 2:34LALBynum Personal Block Foul (P3.PN)70
59
Q3 - 2:46MIASUB: Dampier FOR Wade70
59
Q3 - 2:46MIASUB: Jones FOR Ilgauskas70
59
Q3 - 2:46MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh70
59
Q3 - 2:46LALSUB: Bynum FOR Fisher70
59
Q3 - 2:46LALSUB: Brown FOR Bryant70
59
Q3 - 2:46LALSUB: Blake FOR Odom70
59
Q3 - 2:46MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)70
59
Q3 - 2:46LALGasol 2' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)70
59
Q3 - 2:57LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
57
Q3 - 2:58MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot70
57
Q3 - 3:24LALOdom 2' Layup (12 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)70
57
Q3 - 3:39MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)70
55
Q3 - 4:01LALFisher 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)68
55
Q3 - 4:20MIAIlgauskas 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST)68
52
Q3 - 4:41LALOdom 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)66
52
Q3 - 4:55MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)66
50
Q3 - 5:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
50
Q3 - 5:04LALMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 264
50
Q3 - 5:04LALLAKERS Rebound64
50
Q3 - 5:04LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 264
50
Q3 - 5:04MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.T1)64
50
Q3 - 5:16MIAIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)64
50
Q3 - 5:42LALGasol 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bryant 7 AST)62
50
Q3 - 6:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
48
Q3 - 6:02LALLAKERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)61
48
Q3 - 6:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
48
Q3 - 6:02LALFisher S.FOUL (P3.T4)60
48
Q3 - 6:19LALWorld Peace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)60
48
Q3 - 6:23MIAWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)60
48
Q3 - 6:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
48
Q3 - 6:42LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot60
48
Q3 - 7:02MIABosh 4' Jump Shot (20 PTS)60
48
Q3 - 7:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
48
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup58
48
Q3 - 7:22LALWorld Peace P.FOUL (P3.T3)58
48
Q3 - 7:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
48
Q3 - 7:22LALMISS World Peace 2' Layup58
48
Q3 - 7:38MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)58
48
Q3 - 8:03LALWorld Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)55
48
Q3 - 8:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
45
Q3 - 8:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
45
Q3 - 8:21LALOdom S.FOUL (P2.T2)53
45
Q3 - 8:35LALGasol L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)53
45
Q3 - 8:35MIAHeat Rebound53
45
Q3 - 8:35LALMISS Odom 3' Jump Shot53
45
Q3 - 8:43LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
45
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
45
Q3 - 9:08LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)53
45
Q3 - 9:23MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 7 AST)53
45
Q3 - 9:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
45
Q3 - 9:30LALMISS World Peace 2' Layup51
45
Q3 - 9:42MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)51
45
Q3 - 10:13LALBryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)51
45
Q3 - 10:20LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
42
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot51
42
Q3 - 10:42LALGasol 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)51
42
Q3 - 10:59MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)51
40
Q3 - 11:22LALBryant 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
40
Q3 - 11:42MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)49
38
Q3 - 12:0047
38
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL47
38
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAFisher STEAL (2 STL)47
38
Q2 - 0:05.0LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
38
Q2 - 0:05.0LALSUB: World Peace FOR Brown47
37
Q2 - 0:05.0LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
37
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.PN)47
36
Q2 - 0:10.0LALSUB: Brown FOR World Peace47
36
Q2 - 0:10.0LAL47
36
Q2 - 0:10.0MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 4 AST)47
36
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
36
Q2 - 0:33.0LALMISS Bryant 1' Layup45
36
Q2 - 0:45.0MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)45
36
Q2 - 0:59.0LALGasol 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Bryant 6 AST)43
36
Q2 - 1:09LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
34
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot43
34
Q2 - 1:27LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
34
Q2 - 1:27LALWorld Peace 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)43
34
Q2 - 1:29LALMISS World Peace 2' Layup43
32
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T5)43
32
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN)43
32
Q2 - 1:45LALGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)43
32
Q2 - 1:54MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T4)43
32
Q2 - 1:54MIAIlgauskas OFF.Foul (P1)43
32
Q2 - 1:54MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
32
Q2 - 1:57LALMISS World Peace Layup43
32
Q2 - 1:57LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
32
Q2 - 1:58LALMISS Odom 2' Layup43
32
Q2 - 2:10MIABosh 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)43
32
Q2 - 2:25LALWorld Peace 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)41
32
Q2 - 2:44MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)41
29
Q2 - 2:59MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)38
29
Q2 - 2:59LALBryant T.FOUL (P2.T4)37
29
Q2 - 2:59LALBryant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)37
29
Q2 - 3:10LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
29
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
29
Q2 - 3:23MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard37
29
Q2 - 3:23LALFisher P.FOUL (P2.T4)37
29
Q2 - 3:45LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
29
Q2 - 3:45LALGasol 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)37
29
Q2 - 3:48LALMISS Bryant 1' Layup37
27
Q2 - 4:01MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)37
27
Q2 - 4:15MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones35
27
Q2 - 4:15MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
27
Q2 - 4:24LALBryant 13' Fadeaway Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)35
27
Q2 - 4:41LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
25
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
25
Q2 - 4:53MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
25
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS James 3' Layup35
25
Q2 - 5:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
25
Q2 - 5:02LALMISS Gasol 7' Jump Shot35
25
Q2 - 5:13MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh35
25
Q2 - 5:13MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Anthony35
25
Q2 - 5:13MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T4)35
25
Q2 - 5:19LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
25
Q2 - 5:20MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot35
25
Q2 - 5:42LALGasol 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)35
25
Q2 - 5:49MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade35
23
Q2 - 5:49LALLAKERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)35
23
Q2 - 5:49MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P1.T3)35
23
Q2 - 5:55LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
23
Q2 - 5:57MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
23
Q2 - 6:04LALWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
23
Q2 - 6:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
23
Q2 - 6:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
23
Q2 - 6:16LALOdom S.FOUL (P1.T3)33
23
Q2 - 6:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)33
23
Q2 - 6:33LALMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 233
23
Q2 - 6:33LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
23
Q2 - 6:33LALSUB: Fisher FOR Blake33
22
Q2 - 6:33LALSUB: World Peace FOR Brown33
22
Q2 - 6:33MIASUB: James FOR Jones33
22
Q2 - 6:33MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)33
22
Q2 - 6:38LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
22
Q2 - 6:39MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot33
22
Q2 - 7:02LALBryant 2' Layup (4 PTS)33
22
Q2 - 7:14LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
20
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot33
20
Q2 - 7:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
20
Q2 - 7:23LALMISS Odom 1' Layup33
20
Q2 - 7:43MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)33
20
Q2 - 8:04LALOdom 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)30
20
Q2 - 8:11MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1)30
18
Q2 - 8:29MIAWade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
18
Q2 - 8:37LALSUB: Gasol FOR Bynum28
18
Q2 - 8:37MIASUB: Anthony FOR Dampier28
18
Q2 - 8:3728
18
Q2 - 8:37LALBryant Personal Block Foul (P2.T2)28
18
Q2 - 8:58LALBrown 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)28
18
Q2 - 9:08LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
16
Q2 - 9:10MIABynum BLOCK (1 BLK)28
16
Q2 - 9:20LALBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
16
Q2 - 9:32MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)28
16
Q2 - 9:59LALBryant 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)25
16
Q2 - 10:17MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)25
14
Q2 - 10:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
14
Q2 - 10:30LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
14
Q2 - 10:41LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
14
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot23
14
Q2 - 10:55LALOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
14
Q2 - 11:19MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)23
14
Q2 - 11:32MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
14
Q2 - 11:33LALMISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
14
Q2 - 11:51LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
14
Q2 - 11:52MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 221
14
Q2 - 11:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)21
14
Q2 - 11:52LALBynum S.FOUL (P2.T1)20
14
Q2 - 12:0020
14
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL20
14
Q1 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound20
14
Q1 - 0:00.0LALMISS Blake 90' 3PT Jump Shot20
14
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
14
Q1 - 0:15.0LALBynum 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
14
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T2)18
12
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
12
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAHeat Rebound17
12
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 217
12
Q1 - 0:34.0LALBynum S.FOUL (P1.PN)17
12
Q1 - 0:57.0LALBynum 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)17
12
Q1 - 1:10LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
10
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
10
Q1 - 1:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
10
Q1 - 1:32LALMISS Brown 13' Jump Shot17
10
Q1 - 1:39LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
10
Q1 - 1:42MIAMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot17
10
Q1 - 2:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
10
Q1 - 2:04LALMISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot17
10
Q1 - 2:19MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)17
10
Q1 - 2:33LALBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T1)17
10
Q1 - 2:33LALBrown Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN)17
10
Q1 - 2:49MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo17
10
Q1 - 2:49LALSUB: Brown FOR Bryant17
10
Q1 - 2:49LALSUB: Blake FOR Fisher17
10
Q1 - 2:49MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
10
Q1 - 2:49MIADampier Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
10
Q1 - 2:49MIADampier OFF.Foul (P1)17
10
Q1 - 2:56MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
10
Q1 - 2:57LALMISS Fisher 3PT Jump Shot17
10
Q1 - 3:08LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
10
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
10
Q1 - 3:13MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
10
Q1 - 3:15LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
10
Q1 - 3:15LALMISS Gasol Tip Shot17
10
Q1 - 3:19LALMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
10
Q1 - 3:26MIASUB: Dampier FOR Wade17
10
Q1 - 3:26MIASUB: Jones FOR Ilgauskas17
10
Q1 - 3:26MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh17
10
Q1 - 3:26LALSUB: Bynum FOR Odom17
10
Q1 - 3:26LALLAKERS Rebound17
10
Q1 - 3:26LALMISS Bryant 2' Layup17
10
Q1 - 3:47MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)17
10
Q1 - 4:03LALBarnes Violation:Kicked Ball14
10
Q1 - 4:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)14
10
Q1 - 4:09LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
10
Q1 - 4:09LALMISS Gasol 1' Tip Shot14
10
Q1 - 4:12LALMISS Odom 6' Jump Shot14
10
Q1 - 4:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
10
Q1 - 4:23MIABosh 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)14
10
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup12
10
Q1 - 4:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
10
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot12
10
Q1 - 4:54LALLAKERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
10
Q1 - 4:54MIAHeat Rebound12
10
Q1 - 4:55LALMISS Bryant 2' Layup12
10
Q1 - 4:59LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
10
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS Wade 1' Dunk12
10
Q1 - 5:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
10
Q1 - 5:07LALMISS Gasol 3' Jump Shot12
10
Q1 - 5:19MIABosh 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
10
Q1 - 5:37LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
10
Q1 - 5:37LALBarnes 1' Layup (2 PTS)10
10
Q1 - 5:40LALMISS Gasol 5' Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 6:03MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)10
8
Q1 - 6:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
8
Q1 - 6:16LALMISS Bryant 3' Layup7
8
Q1 - 6:29MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
8
Q1 - 6:29LALBarnes S.FOUL (P1.PN)6
8
Q1 - 6:29MIABosh 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
8
Q1 - 6:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
8
Q1 - 6:41LALMISS Barnes 2' Layup4
8
Q1 - 6:51LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
8
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 7:10LALBryant P.FOUL (P1.T4)4
8
Q1 - 7:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
8
Q1 - 7:18LALMISS Gasol 7' Hook Shot4
8
Q1 - 7:34LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 7:45MIAHeat Rebound4
8
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 8:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 8:12LALMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 24
8
Q1 - 8:12LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)4
8
Q1 - 8:12MIABosh Shooting Block Foul (P1.T1)4
7
Q1 - 8:21MIAFisher STEAL (1 STL)4
7
Q1 - 8:34MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
7
Q1 - 8:36LALMISS Bryant 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot4
7
Q1 - 8:53MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)4
7
Q1 - 9:00LALFisher Personal Block Foul (P1.T3)2
7
Q1 - 9:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7
Q1 - 9:04LALMISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot2
7
Q1 - 9:19LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot2
7
Q1 - 9:26LALSUB: Barnes FOR World Peace2
7
Q1 - 9:26LALWorld Peace L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)2
7
Q1 - 9:27MIAHeat Rebound2
7
Q1 - 9:28MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot2
7
Q1 - 9:53LALFisher 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)2
7
Q1 - 10:06LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:27LALOdom 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:36LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS James 2' Layup2
2
Q1 - 10:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:45LALMISS World Peace 18' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:59LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 11:00LALMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:23MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:29MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:37LALWorld Peace P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:50LALOdom 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Gasol vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Odom0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
LAL
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
21
62%
LAL
19
40
48%
Midrange
MIA
13
33
39%
LAL
7
20
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
LAL
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
17
20
85%
LAL
10
15
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2779%13.5 / 17
C. Bosh2471%12.0 / 17
D. Wade1845%9.0 / 20
M. Chalmers1354%6.5 / 12
Z. Ilgauskas660%3.0 / 5
J. Jones325%1.5 / 6
C. Arroyo220%1.0 / 5
E. Dampier2100%1.0 / 1
J. Howard117%0.5 / 3
M. Miller0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant1745%8.5 / 19
P. Gasol1750%8.5 / 17
L. Odom1447%7.0 / 15
S. Brown1050%5.0 / 10
M. World Peace850%4.0 / 8
D. Fisher6100%3.0 / 3
A. Bynum660%3.0 / 5
M. Barnes225%1.0 / 4
S. Blake0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+11
-9
88
LAL
73
+12
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
LAL
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
111.1
MIA 111.6 +17.5
LAL 94.1
Pace
91.3
90.7
MIA 76.2
LAL 97.6 +21.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
MIA 18.9
LAL 14.8 −4.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
50.2%
MIA 50.0% +5.7%
LAL 44.3%
TO %
14.4%
13.8%
MIA 10.2% −2.1%
LAL 12.3%
ORB %
25.2%
29.2%
MIA 20.9% +0.4%
LAL 20.5%
FTrt
36.3
29.3
MIA 25.3 +6.3
LAL 19.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
57.6%
MIA 71.4% +2.6%
LAL 68.8%
STL %
7.3%
8.0%
MIA 10.5% +5.8%
LAL 4.7%
BLK %
8.5%
8.1%
MIA 6.7% +4.8%
LAL 1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
53.1%
MIA 54.5% +10.1%
LAL 44.4%
Rim FG%
64.7%
60.7%
MIA 61.9% +14.4%
LAL 47.5%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.2%
MIA 39.4% +4.4%
LAL 35.0%
3P %
37.0%
35.2%
MIA 36.0% +4.4%
LAL 31.6%
FT %
76.9%
77.9%
MIA 85.0% +18.3%
LAL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
35.0%
MIA 26.6%
LAL 50.6% +24.1%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
43.0%
MIA 41.8%
LAL 25.3% −16.5%
3P Att. %
23.5%
22.0%
MIA 31.6% +7.6%
LAL 24.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes27.120.9
Points9680
Rebounds4443
Assists2522
Steals94
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (4)34 (0)
Field Goals35-7932-79
At-the-Rim FG13-2119-40
Midrange FG13-337-20
2-Point FG26-5426-60
3-Point FG9-256-19
Free Throws17-2010-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
38.4
24
71%
13
2
1
1
1
2
5
8
2-3
67%
11-17
65%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
38.2
27
79%
11
10
4
0
1
2
1
10
6-6
100%
3-8
38%
5-6
83%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
36.1
18
45%
5
6
1
1
3
3
0
5
6-6
100%
6-16
38%
0-1
0%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
23.0
6
60%
3
0
0
2
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
18.6
2
20%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
29.4
13
54%
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
21.6
2
100%
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
20.1
3
25%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-6
17%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
9.6
1
17%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
3.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
55%
44
25
9
4
9
0
9
35
17-20
85%
26-54
48%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.