Final Win Prob. pScore
352%97
103
948%96
93
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
110.89390.7
OKC logo Thunder
100.09395.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL103
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:22.0OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)103
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALTerry 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)103
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0OKCDurant 12' Running Jump Shot (28 PTS)101
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:54.0OKCTHUNDER Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)101
91
Q4 - 0:54.0OKCMaynor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0DALMISS Butler 16' Turnaround Jump Shot101
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16OKCMaynor L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)101
91
Q4 - 1:16DALMavericks Rebound101
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 1:16OKCMISS Maynor 3' Jump Shot101
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 1:30OKCJump Ball Green vs. Chandler: Tip to Harden101
91
Q4 - 1:30OKCTHUNDER Rebound101
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 1:30OKCSUB: Maynor FOR Westbrook101
91
Q4 - 1:30OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Layup101
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 1:36DALButler 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)101
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 2:00DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
98.9%
91
1.1%
Q4 - 2:01OKCMISS Green 3' Jump Shot99
98.7%
91
1.3%
Q4 - 2:21DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)99
98.0%
91
2.0%
Q4 - 2:21DALChandler 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)99
98.0%
91
2.0%
Q4 - 2:23DALMISS Butler 7' Turnaround Jump Shot97
95.7%
91
4.3%
Q4 - 2:40DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)97
91
Q4 - 2:52OKCGreen 2' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)97
96.0%
91
4.0%
Q4 - 2:59OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
97.2%
89
2.8%
Q4 - 3:00DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot97
97.7%
89
2.3%
Q4 - 3:17DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)97
98.4%
89
1.6%
Q4 - 3:18OKCMISS Westbrook 13' Jump Shot97
98.2%
89
1.8%
Q4 - 3:27DALWestbrook STEAL (3 STL)97
97.3%
89
2.7%
Q4 - 3:33OKCDurant Violation:Kicked Ball97
89
Q4 - 3:36OKCSUB: Sefolosha FOR Ibaka97
89
Q4 - 3:36OKCIbaka L.B.FOUL (P4.T1)97
89
Q4 - 3:36DALMavericks Rebound97
96.7%
89
3.3%
Q4 - 3:36DALMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot97
95.7%
89
4.3%
Q4 - 3:44DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
96.8%
89
3.2%
Q4 - 3:46OKCMISS Green 2' Layup97
96.5%
89
3.5%
Q4 - 3:58DALMarion 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Terry 8 AST)97
95.5%
89
4.5%
Q4 - 4:19OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)95
93.8%
89
6.2%
Q4 - 4:24OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
97.0%
86
3.0%
Q4 - 4:25DALMISS Marion 1' Layup95
97.3%
86
2.7%
Q4 - 4:31OKCDurant Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)95
98.0%
86
2.0%
Q4 - 4:50DALChandler 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)95
97.0%
86
3.0%
Q4 - 5:01DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
93.7%
86
6.3%
Q4 - 5:02OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
93.1%
86
6.9%
Q4 - 5:12DALButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Terry 7 AST)93
91.4%
86
8.6%
Q4 - 5:36OKCGreen 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)90
84.8%
86
15.2%
Q4 - 5:37OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)90
88.4%
84
11.6%
Q4 - 5:40OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Driving Layup90
90.8%
84
9.2%
Q4 - 5:50OKCTHUNDER Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)90
84
Q4 - 5:51DALTerry 15' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)90
88.5%
84
11.5%
Q4 - 6:03DALMavericks Rebound88
82.6%
84
17.4%
Q4 - 6:05OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
81.2%
84
18.8%
Q4 - 6:17DALTerry 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)88
77.5%
84
22.5%
Q4 - 6:35DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
72.3%
84
27.7%
Q4 - 6:36OKCMISS Green 23' Jump Shot86
70.2%
84
29.8%
Q4 - 7:00DALSUB: Chandler FOR Haywood86
84
Q4 - 7:00DALSUB: Marion FOR Ajinca86
84
Q4 - 7:00DALHaywood L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)86
84
Q4 - 7:00OKCTHUNDER Rebound86
65.3%
84
34.7%
Q4 - 7:00DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot86
67.5%
84
32.5%
Q4 - 7:04DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)86
71.1%
84
28.9%
Q4 - 7:06OKCMISS Westbrook 18' Jump Shot86
69.2%
84
30.8%
Q4 - 7:30OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
64.6%
84
35.4%
Q4 - 7:31DALMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot86
66.7%
84
33.3%
Q4 - 7:39DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
71.2%
84
28.8%
Q4 - 7:40OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
69.3%
84
30.7%
Q4 - 7:56DALSUB: Kidd FOR Barea86
84
Q4 - 7:56DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)86
64.6%
84
35.4%
Q4 - 8:14OKCSUB: Westbrook FOR Maynor86
84
Q4 - 8:1486
84
Q4 - 8:14OKCHarden Foul Turnover (P1.T9)86
69.9%
84
30.1%
Q4 - 8:14OKCHarden OFF.Foul (P2)86
84
Q4 - 8:36DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)86
64.3%
84
35.7%
Q4 - 9:00OKCHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)83
51.7%
84
48.3%
Q4 - 9:00OKCSUB: Durant FOR Collison83
83
Q4 - 9:00OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)83
52.7%
83
47.3%
Q4 - 9:00DALHaywood S.FOUL (P3.T2)83
82
Q4 - 9:08OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
57.9%
82
42.1%
Q4 - 9:09DALMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot83
59.7%
82
40.3%
Q4 - 9:23OKCMaynor Foul Turnover (P1.T8)83
63.6%
82
36.4%
Q4 - 9:23OKCMaynor OFF.Foul (P3)83
82
Q4 - 9:26OKCMaynor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
58.0%
82
42.0%
Q4 - 9:28DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot83
59.7%
82
40.3%
Q4 - 9:47DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
63.6%
82
36.4%
Q4 - 9:48OKCMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 283
62.9%
82
37.1%
Q4 - 9:48OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)83
58.8%
82
41.2%
Q4 - 9:48DALBarea S.FOUL (P3.T1)83
81
Q4 - 9:51DALCollison STEAL (1 STL)83
63.7%
81
36.3%
Q4 - 10:11DALMavericks Rebound83
68.1%
81
31.9%
Q4 - 10:13OKCMISS Maynor 9' Jump Shot83
66.6%
81
33.4%
Q4 - 10:39DALBarea 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)83
63.0%
81
37.0%
Q4 - 11:01OKCCollison Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)81
57.2%
81
42.8%
Q4 - 11:02OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
51.9%
81
48.1%
Q4 - 11:03OKCMISS Ibaka 19' Jump Shot81
55.6%
81
44.4%
Q4 - 11:16OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
51.9%
81
48.1%
Q4 - 11:17OKCMISS Green 8' Jump Shot81
55.6%
81
44.4%
Q4 - 11:44DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)81
51.9%
81
48.1%
Q4 - 12:0079
81
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL79
46.5%
81
53.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
46.5%
81
53.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Durant 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
44.9%
81
55.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALTerry Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)79
42.1%
81
57.9%
Q3 - 0:16.0OKCCollison Personal Block Foul (P1.T2)79
81
Q3 - 0:30.0DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
46.7%
81
53.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 2 of 279
46.0%
81
54.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)79
42.1%
81
57.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0DALSUB: Butler FOR Stevenson79
80
Q3 - 0:31.0DALStevenson P.FOUL (P2.PN)79
80
Q3 - 0:46.0DALAjinca 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)79
47.1%
80
52.9%
Q3 - 1:06OKCDurant 11' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS)76
37.3%
80
62.7%
Q3 - 1:20DALHarden STEAL (2 STL)76
42.4%
78
57.6%
Q3 - 1:36OKCIbaka 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Maynor 4 AST)76
46.9%
78
53.1%
Q3 - 1:58DALSUB: Barea FOR Kidd76
76
Q3 - 1:58DALSUB: Ajinca FOR Marion76
76
Q3 - 1:58OKCSUB: Maynor FOR Westbrook76
76
Q3 - 1:58DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)76
52.3%
76
47.7%
Q3 - 2:06DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)76
56.5%
76
43.5%
Q3 - 2:07OKCMISS Westbrook 7' Fadeaway Jumper76
55.1%
76
44.9%
Q3 - 2:24OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
52.0%
76
48.0%
Q3 - 2:25DALMISS Marion 2' Reverse Layup76
53.4%
76
46.6%
Q3 - 2:35DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
56.5%
76
43.5%
Q3 - 2:35OKCMISS Ibaka 17' Jump Shot76
55.1%
76
44.9%
Q3 - 2:53OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
52.0%
76
48.0%
Q3 - 2:54DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
53.4%
76
46.6%
Q3 - 3:03DALStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
56.9%
76
43.1%
Q3 - 3:10OKCMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
55.5%
76
44.5%
Q3 - 3:22OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
52.2%
76
47.8%
Q3 - 3:25DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot76
53.6%
76
46.4%
Q3 - 3:30DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
56.9%
76
43.1%
Q3 - 3:31DALMISS Kidd 19' Jump Shot76
53.6%
76
46.4%
Q3 - 3:52OKCHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Durant 4 AST)76
56.9%
76
43.1%
Q3 - 4:15OKCSUB: Collison FOR Green76
73
Q3 - 4:15OKCSUB: Ibaka FOR Krstic76
73
Q3 - 4:15OKCTHUNDER Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)76
73
Q3 - 4:18DALMarion 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)76
64.6%
73
35.4%
Q3 - 4:27OKCWestbrook Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)74
61.2%
73
38.8%
Q3 - 4:44DALMarion 6' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)74
56.3%
73
43.7%
Q3 - 4:59OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
52.7%
73
47.3%
Q3 - 4:59OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
53.3%
72
46.7%
Q3 - 4:59DALHaywood P.FOUL (P2.PN)72
71
Q3 - 5:07DALSUB: Haywood FOR Chandler72
71
Q3 - 5:07DALChandler L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)72
71
Q3 - 5:07OKCTHUNDER Rebound72
55.9%
71
44.1%
Q3 - 5:08DALMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot72
57.3%
71
42.7%
Q3 - 5:29OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
60.5%
71
39.5%
Q3 - 5:29OKCSUB: Harden FOR Sefolosha72
70
Q3 - 5:29OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)72
61.0%
70
39.0%
Q3 - 5:29DALChandler S.FOUL (P3.T3)72
69
Q3 - 5:40OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
64.0%
69
36.0%
Q3 - 5:41DALMISS Marion 5' Floating Jump Shot72
65.3%
69
34.7%
Q3 - 5:51DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
68.2%
69
31.8%
Q3 - 5:52OKCMISS Westbrook 17' Jump Shot72
67.0%
69
33.0%
Q3 - 5:57DALTerry P.FOUL (P2.T2)72
69
Q3 - 6:10DALMarion 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)72
63.8%
69
36.2%
Q3 - 6:18DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
60.3%
69
39.7%
Q3 - 6:19OKCMISS Durant 21' Jump Shot70
59.0%
69
41.0%
Q3 - 6:33DALMarion 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)70
56.0%
69
44.0%
Q3 - 6:42DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)68
52.3%
69
47.7%
Q3 - 6:44OKCMISS Krstic 14' Jump Shot68
51.0%
69
49.0%
Q3 - 6:55DALStevenson Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)68
47.9%
69
52.1%
Q3 - 6:55DALSUB: Terry FOR Butler67
69
Q3 - 6:55DALStevenson Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)67
47.0%
69
53.0%
Q3 - 6:55DALStevenson Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)66
45.8%
69
54.2%
Q3 - 6:55OKCDurant S.FOUL (P1.T1)65
69
Q3 - 7:05DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
40.6%
69
59.4%
Q3 - 7:08DALMISS Butler 7' Running Jump Shot65
37.9%
69
62.1%
Q3 - 7:16DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
40.6%
69
59.4%
Q3 - 7:16OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
39.4%
69
60.6%
Q3 - 7:29OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
36.8%
69
63.2%
Q3 - 7:33DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
37.9%
69
62.1%
Q3 - 7:51DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)65
69
Q3 - 8:02OKCGreen 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)65
41.0%
69
59.0%
Q3 - 8:06DALDurant STEAL (2 STL)65
44.4%
67
55.6%
Q3 - 8:09OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)65
48.4%
67
51.6%
Q3 - 8:15OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
44.4%
67
55.6%
Q3 - 8:16DALDurant BLOCK (2 BLK)65
45.6%
67
54.4%
Q3 - 8:24DALMavericks Rebound65
48.4%
67
51.6%
Q3 - 8:24DALDurant BLOCK (1 BLK)65
45.6%
67
54.4%
Q3 - 8:42OKCGreen Layup (6 PTS) (Westbrook 7 AST)65
48.4%
67
51.6%
Q3 - 8:55DALStevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)65
51.9%
65
48.1%
Q3 - 9:19OKCKrstic 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST)62
44.7%
65
55.3%
Q3 - 9:23OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
48.3%
63
51.7%
Q3 - 9:24DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
49.5%
63
50.5%
Q3 - 9:44OKCDurant 1' Dunk (20 PTS)62
52.1%
63
47.9%
Q3 - 9:47DALDurant STEAL (1 STL)62
55.7%
61
44.3%
Q3 - 10:03OKCSefolosha Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)62
59.3%
61
40.7%
Q3 - 10:20DALMarion 2' Layup (10 PTS)62
55.7%
61
44.3%
Q3 - 10:44OKCDurant 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)60
52.3%
61
47.7%
Q3 - 10:58DALButler 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)60
55.7%
59
44.3%
Q3 - 11:21OKCKrstic 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)58
52.6%
59
47.4%
Q3 - 11:37DALKidd 14' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
55.8%
57
44.2%
Q3 - 11:50DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
52.6%
57
47.4%
Q3 - 11:51OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 256
52.1%
57
47.9%
Q3 - 11:51OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
49.6%
57
50.4%
Q3 - 11:51DALKidd S.FOUL (P1.T1)56
56
Q3 - 12:0056
56
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL56
52.3%
56
47.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound56
56.0%
56
44.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Chandler 1' Tip Shot56
53.5%
56
46.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
56.0%
56
44.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALMISS Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
53.8%
56
46.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0OKCMaynor 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)56
55.6%
56
44.4%
Q2 - 0:10.0OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
62.7%
53
37.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0OKCMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
64.4%
53
35.6%
Q2 - 0:21.0OKCSUB: Maynor FOR Ibaka56
53
Q2 - 0:21.0OKCTHUNDER Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)56
53
Q2 - 0:28.0OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
62.7%
53
37.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0DALMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 256
63.0%
53
37.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
64.9%
53
35.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0OKCIbaka L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)55
53
Q2 - 0:29.0DALMavericks Rebound55
62.0%
53
38.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0DALMISS Terry 17' Step Back Jump Shot55
60.3%
53
39.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0OKCDurant 1' Driving Dunk (16 PTS)55
62.1%
53
37.9%
Q2 - 1:16DALButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)55
65.7%
51
34.3%
Q2 - 1:38DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
58.8%
51
41.2%
Q2 - 1:39OKCMISS Durant 2' Reverse Layup52
58.1%
51
41.9%
Q2 - 1:45OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
56.5%
51
43.5%
Q2 - 1:46DALMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot52
57.2%
51
42.8%
Q2 - 2:06OKCWestbrook 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)52
59.1%
51
40.9%
Q2 - 2:12OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
62.0%
49
38.0%
Q2 - 2:14DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot52
62.9%
49
37.1%
Q2 - 2:34OKCIbaka 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)52
65.1%
49
34.9%
Q2 - 2:5352
47
Q2 - 2:53DALChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T6)52
67.9%
47
32.1%
Q2 - 2:53DALChandler OFF.Foul (P2)52
47
Q2 - 2:59DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
70.6%
47
29.4%
Q2 - 3:00OKCMISS Westbrook 15' Jump Shot52
69.8%
47
30.2%
Q2 - 3:19DALButler 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)52
67.5%
47
32.5%
Q2 - 3:28OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)50
65.2%
47
34.8%
Q2 - 3:47OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
61.8%
47
38.2%
Q2 - 3:47DALMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot50
62.9%
47
37.1%
Q2 - 4:04DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
64.7%
47
35.3%
Q2 - 4:05OKCMISS Green 2' Putback Layup50
63.8%
47
36.2%
Q2 - 4:06OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
61.6%
47
38.4%
Q2 - 4:08OKCMISS Green 4' Hook Shot50
63.8%
47
36.2%
Q2 - 4:28OKCIbaka Violation:Defensive Goaltending50
47
Q2 - 4:28DALMarion 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
61.7%
47
38.3%
Q2 - 4:41DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
59.1%
47
40.9%
Q2 - 4:43OKCMISS Ibaka 1' Alley Oop Dunk48
58.1%
47
41.9%
Q2 - 4:46DALWestbrook STEAL (2 STL)48
55.8%
47
44.2%
Q2 - 5:00OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)48
59.1%
47
40.9%
Q2 - 5:00OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)48
59.4%
46
40.6%
Q2 - 5:00DALChandler S.FOUL (P1.PN)48
45
Q2 - 5:07OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
61.9%
45
38.1%
Q2 - 5:11DALIbaka BLOCK (2 BLK)48
62.7%
45
37.3%
Q2 - 5:21DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
64.6%
45
35.4%
Q2 - 5:23OKCMISS Ibaka 1' Layup48
63.7%
45
36.3%
Q2 - 5:40DALMarion Layup (6 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)48
61.8%
45
38.2%
Q2 - 5:44OKCDurant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)46
59.0%
45
41.0%
Q2 - 5:52DALSUB: Kidd FOR Barea46
45
Q2 - 5:52DALSUB: Chandler FOR Haywood46
45
Q2 - 5:52OKCSUB: Durant FOR Maynor46
45
Q2 - 5:52OKCSUB: Westbrook FOR Collison46
45
Q2 - 5:52OKCTHUNDER Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)46
45
Q2 - 5:57OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
56.1%
45
43.9%
Q2 - 5:59DALMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot46
57.0%
45
43.0%
Q2 - 6:06DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
58.9%
45
41.1%
Q2 - 6:06OKCMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
57.9%
45
42.1%
Q2 - 6:14OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
55.7%
45
44.3%
Q2 - 6:15DALMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
56.7%
45
43.3%
Q2 - 6:25OKCHarden P.FOUL (P1.T4)46
45
Q2 - 6:38OKCHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
58.9%
45
41.1%
Q2 - 6:49DALMarion P.FOUL (P2.T4)46
42
Q2 - 7:03DALMarion 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
63.9%
42
36.1%
Q2 - 7:19DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
61.4%
42
38.6%
Q2 - 7:21OKCMISS Ibaka 3' Layup44
60.6%
42
39.4%
Q2 - 7:22OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
58.6%
42
41.4%
Q2 - 7:23OKCMISS Maynor 16' Jump Shot44
60.6%
42
39.4%
Q2 - 7:29OKCMaynor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
58.6%
42
41.4%
Q2 - 7:31DALMISS Marion 14' Jump Shot44
59.5%
42
40.5%
Q2 - 7:51OKCHarden 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS)44
61.5%
42
38.5%
Q2 - 7:53OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
63.9%
40
36.1%
Q2 - 7:55DALIbaka BLOCK (1 BLK)44
64.7%
40
35.3%
Q2 - 8:04OKCMaynor P.FOUL (P2.T3)44
40
Q2 - 8:16OKCGreen 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Maynor 3 AST)44
66.2%
40
33.8%
Q2 - 8:33DALBarea Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
68.5%
38
31.5%
Q2 - 8:33DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
68.1%
38
31.9%
Q2 - 8:33OKCMaynor S.FOUL (P1.T2)42
38
Q2 - 8:50OKCGreen 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)42
66.2%
38
33.8%
Q2 - 9:10DALSUB: Butler FOR Nowitzki42
36
Q2 - 9:10DALHaywood Personal Take Foul (P1.T3)42
36
Q2 - 9:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)42
68.0%
36
32.0%
Q2 - 9:10DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)41
36
Q2 - 9:10OKCIbaka S.FOUL (P2.T1)41
36
Q2 - 9:10DALNowitzki 14' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)41
36
Q2 - 9:30OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)39
63.4%
36
36.6%
Q2 - 9:30DALBarea S.FOUL (P2.T2)39
35
Q2 - 9:30OKCHarden 1' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)39
35
Q2 - 9:33DALHarden STEAL (1 STL)39
68.0%
33
32.0%
Q2 - 9:51OKCMaynor Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
70.4%
33
29.6%
Q2 - 9:51OKCMaynor Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
70.9%
32
29.1%
Q2 - 9:51DALBarea S.FOUL (P1.T1)39
31
Q2 - 10:05DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)39
71.8%
31
28.2%
Q2 - 10:26OKCIbaka 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Maynor 2 AST)36
67.8%
31
32.2%
Q2 - 10:43DALIbaka STEAL (1 STL)36
69.8%
29
30.2%
Q2 - 10:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
72.1%
29
27.9%
Q2 - 10:50OKCMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
71.4%
29
28.6%
Q2 - 11:21DALMarion 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
69.4%
29
30.6%
Q2 - 11:29DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
67.4%
29
32.6%
Q2 - 11:31DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot34
65.7%
29
34.3%
Q2 - 11:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
67.4%
29
32.6%
Q2 - 11:46OKCMISS Green 8' Hook Shot34
66.7%
29
33.3%
Q2 - 12:0034
29
Q1 - 0:00.0OKC34
65.0%
29
35.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCTHUNDER Rebound34
65.0%
29
35.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Maynor 57' 3PT Jump Shot34
66.7%
29
33.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0OKCMaynor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
64.8%
29
35.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
65.4%
29
34.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0OKCIbaka Dunk (3 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)34
66.6%
29
33.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0DALMarion Foul Turnover (P1.T2)34
69.2%
27
30.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0DALMarion Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN)34
27
Q1 - 0:40.0OKCIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)34
70.8%
27
29.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0OKCTHUNDER Rebound34
26
Q1 - 0:40.0OKCMISS Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 234
71.3%
26
28.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0DALButler S.FOUL (P1.T4)34
26
Q1 - 0:45.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
71.2%
26
28.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALMISS Butler 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup34
71.7%
26
28.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
72.8%
26
27.2%
Q1 - 1:00OKCMISS Ibaka 15' Jump Shot34
72.3%
26
27.7%
Q1 - 1:09OKCDurant Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)34
70.9%
26
29.1%
Q1 - 1:09DALMavericks T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Haywood )34
25
Q1 - 1:21OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
72.8%
25
27.2%
Q1 - 1:22DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot34
73.2%
25
26.8%
Q1 - 1:38OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Maynor 1 AST)34
74.2%
25
25.8%
Q1 - 1:46DALButler 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)34
78.1%
22
21.9%
Q1 - 1:58DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
76.0%
22
24.0%
Q1 - 1:59OKCMISS Maynor 12' Floating Jump Shot32
75.6%
22
24.4%
Q1 - 2:04OKCSUB: Maynor FOR Westbrook32
22
Q1 - 2:04DALSUB: Haywood FOR Chandler32
22
Q1 - 2:04DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)32
22
Q1 - 2:25DALTerry 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)32
74.2%
22
25.8%
Q1 - 2:29OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)30
72.2%
22
27.8%
Q1 - 2:46OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
70.5%
22
29.5%
Q1 - 2:48DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot30
71.1%
22
28.9%
Q1 - 2:54DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
72.2%
22
27.8%
Q1 - 2:55OKCMISS Westbrook 3' Driving Layup30
71.7%
22
28.3%
Q1 - 3:02DALButler 14' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
70.3%
22
29.7%
Q1 - 3:18OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)28
68.4%
22
31.6%
Q1 - 3:18DALSUB: Marion FOR Nowitzki28
21
Q1 - 3:18DALTerry S.FOUL (P1.T3)28
21
Q1 - 3:18OKCHarden 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)28
21
Q1 - 3:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)28
73.9%
18
26.1%
Q1 - 3:32DALSUB: Terry FOR Stevenson27
18
Q1 - 3:32OKCSUB: Collison FOR Green27
18
Q1 - 3:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)27
73.8%
18
26.2%
Q1 - 3:32OKCIbaka S.FOUL (P1.T3)26
18
Q1 - 3:40DALStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
72.2%
18
27.8%
Q1 - 3:41OKCMISS Westbrook 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
71.6%
18
28.4%
Q1 - 3:55OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
70.3%
18
29.7%
Q1 - 3:56DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
70.9%
18
29.1%
Q1 - 4:13OKCDurant 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)26
70.3%
18
29.7%
Q1 - 4:21OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
71.7%
16
28.3%
Q1 - 4:22DALMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot26
72.3%
16
27.7%
Q1 - 4:31OKCSUB: Ibaka FOR Krstic26
16
Q1 - 4:31OKCSUB: Harden FOR Sefolosha26
16
Q1 - 4:31OKCGreen P.FOUL (P1.T2)26
16
Q1 - 4:40DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
73.3%
16
26.7%
Q1 - 4:41OKCMISS Durant 18' Jump Shot26
72.8%
16
27.2%
Q1 - 4:55DALButler 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)26
71.4%
16
28.6%
Q1 - 5:05OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
69.1%
16
30.9%
Q1 - 5:05OKCKrstic 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)24
69.1%
16
30.9%
Q1 - 5:07OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Driving Layup24
71.7%
14
28.3%
Q1 - 5:27DALKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)24
70.3%
14
29.7%
Q1 - 5:46OKCWestbrook 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
67.2%
14
32.8%
Q1 - 5:59DALNowitzki 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)21
68.4%
12
31.6%
Q1 - 6:03DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
66.6%
12
33.4%
Q1 - 6:04OKCMISS Krstic 1' Putback Layup19
66.1%
12
33.9%
Q1 - 6:06OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
64.9%
12
35.1%
Q1 - 6:07OKCMISS Green 18' Jump Shot19
66.0%
12
34.0%
Q1 - 6:16OKCTHUNDER Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)19
12
Q1 - 6:25DALChandler 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)19
64.7%
12
35.3%
Q1 - 6:28DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
63.1%
12
36.9%
Q1 - 6:30DALMISS Kidd 3' Layup17
61.9%
12
38.1%
Q1 - 6:35DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
63.0%
12
37.0%
Q1 - 6:36OKCMISS Durant 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot17
62.5%
12
37.5%
Q1 - 6:57DALStevenson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)17
61.1%
12
38.9%
Q1 - 7:13OKCWestbrook 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
57.8%
12
42.2%
Q1 - 7:27DALButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)14
59.1%
10
40.9%
Q1 - 7:38DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
56.1%
10
43.9%
Q1 - 7:39OKCMISS Krstic 5' Turnaround Hook Shot11
55.6%
10
44.4%
Q1 - 8:03DALKidd 20' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
54.5%
10
45.5%
Q1 - 8:10DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
53.0%
10
47.0%
Q1 - 8:11OKCMISS Durant 17' Step Back Jump Shot9
52.6%
10
47.4%
Q1 - 8:26DALKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)9
51.6%
10
48.4%
Q1 - 8:42OKCWestbrook 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)6
49.0%
10
51.0%
Q1 - 9:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
50.8%
8
49.2%
Q1 - 9:01OKCKrstic S.FOUL (P1.T1)5
8
Q1 - 9:01DALNowitzki 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)5
8
Q1 - 9:19OKCWestbrook 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
48.6%
8
51.4%
Q1 - 9:25OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
49.8%
6
50.2%
Q1 - 9:26DALKrstic BLOCK (2 BLK)3
50.1%
6
49.9%
Q1 - 9:48OKCDurant Dunk (6 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)3
51.0%
6
49.0%
Q1 - 9:52DALWestbrook STEAL (1 STL)3
52.0%
4
48.0%
Q1 - 10:13OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)3
53.0%
4
47.0%
Q1 - 10:13OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
53.1%
3
46.9%
Q1 - 10:13DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T2)3
2
Q1 - 10:19OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
53.6%
2
46.4%
Q1 - 10:20DALMISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot3
53.9%
2
46.1%
Q1 - 10:37DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
54.2%
2
45.8%
Q1 - 10:39OKCMISS Durant 9' Step Back Jump Shot3
53.9%
2
46.1%
Q1 - 10:55DALStevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)3
53.3%
2
46.7%
Q1 - 10:58DALMavericks Rebound0
52.3%
2
47.7%
Q1 - 10:59DALKrstic BLOCK (1 BLK)0
51.8%
2
48.2%
Q1 - 11:18OKCDurant 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)0
52.3%
2
47.7%
Q1 - 11:24DALStevenson P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:41OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 11:42DALMISS Chandler 7' Turnaround Hook Shot0
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 12:00OKCJump Ball Krstic vs. Chandler: Tip to Kidd0
52.4%
0
47.6%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDALOKC
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.13 56.6%
OKC
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
14
24
58%
OKC
17
32
53%
Midrange
DAL
16
37
43%
OKC
11
32
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
OKC
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
DAL
10
11
91%
OKC
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2148%10.5 / 22
S. Marion2067%10.0 / 15
D. Nowitzki1393%6.5 / 7
J. Terry1338%6.5 / 17
D. Stevenson12120%6.0 / 5
J. Kidd1045%5.0 / 11
T. Chandler750%3.5 / 7
J. Barea467%2.0 / 3
A. Ajinca3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant2858%14.0 / 24
J. Harden1882%9.0 / 11
R. Westbrook1542%7.5 / 18
J. Green1243%6.0 / 14
S. Ibaka941%4.5 / 11
N. Krstic650%3.0 / 6
E. Maynor536%2.5 / 7
T. Sefolosha0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
79
+11
-14
90
OKC
82
+10
-11
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.13 56.6%
OKC
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.5
110.8
DAL 110.8 +10.8
OKC 100.0
Pace
91.5
93.1
DAL 90.7
OKC 95.5 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.2
DAL 15.9
OKC 15.1 −0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.5%
50.1%
DAL 55.4% +9.7%
OKC 45.7%
TO %
14.7%
14.2%
DAL 13.6%
OKC 10.8% −2.8%
ORB %
24.1%
27.4%
DAL 16.2%
OKC 17.8% +1.6%
FTrt
28.6
36.3
DAL 13.1
OKC 28.4 +15.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.7%
54.5%
DAL 70.7% +11.9%
OKC 58.8%
STL %
7.4%
8.4%
DAL 7.5%
OKC 9.7% +2.2%
BLK %
6.8%
8.9%
DAL 3.1%
OKC 9.8% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
54.5%
DAL 56.6% +6.1%
OKC 50.5%
Rim FG%
62.5%
61.9%
DAL 58.3% +5.2%
OKC 53.1%
Mid FG%
44.0%
39.2%
DAL 43.2% +8.8%
OKC 34.4%
3P %
36.5%
34.7%
DAL 47.8% +12.5%
OKC 35.3%
FT %
77.7%
82.4%
DAL 90.9% +8.3%
OKC 82.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
35.9%
DAL 28.6%
OKC 39.5% +10.9%
Mid Att. %
42.8%
42.9%
DAL 44.0%
OKC 39.5% −4.5%
3P Att. %
27.4%
21.2%
DAL 27.4% +6.4%
OKC 21.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.42 and 2.42.
Game TotalsDALOKC
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points10393
Rebounds4339
Assists2920
Steals79
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)31 (2)
Field Goals41-8434-81
At-the-Rim FG14-2417-32
Midrange FG16-3711-32
2-Point FG30-6128-64
3-Point FG11-236-17
Free Throws10-1119-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
38.8
21
48%
4
3
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-17
35%
3-5
60%
G · 6'4" 210 · 38
35.8
10
45%
9
10
4
0
2
1
0
9
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-7
29%
C · 7'1" 240 · 28
29.7
7
50%
10
0
1
1
1
4
3
7
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 218 · 30
19.9
12
120%
2
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
3-3
100%
0-0
-
3-4
75%
F · 7'0" 245 · 33
11.5
13
93%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
34.5
13
38%
2
8
1
0
5
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-12
42%
1-5
20%
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33
32.3
20
67%
9
0
0
1
2
2
2
7
0-0
-
10-15
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 263 · 31
18.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
12.2
4
67%
2
2
0
0
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 248 · 23
7.0
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 262 · 24
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
#20 · G · 6'5" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'2" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
57%
43
29
7
2
14
0
6
37
10-11
91%
30-61
49%
11-23
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.