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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks52%97103
9Thunder48%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.8
38.8
27.5
21
48%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
6-17
4-9
35%
47%
3-5
60%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.8
35.8
32.5
10
45%
9
10
4
2
0
2
0
9
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
2-7
29%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.2
29.7
29.8
7
51%
10
0
1
0
1
1
3
7
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.7
19.9
15.6
12
113%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
0-0
1-1
-
41%
3-4
75%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.5
11.5
35.8
13
84%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-5
7-13
60%
51%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
34.5
29.6
13
38%
2
8
1
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
5-12
4-8
42%
49%
1-5
20%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.6
32.3
28.2
20
67%
9
0
0
1
1
2
2
7
0-0
-
10-15
4-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.1
18.3
15.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
55%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
12.2
17.6
4
69%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.6
7.0
2.6
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
1-1
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.1
2.1
0
0-1
52%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
0.4
0
0-0
50%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.2
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.7
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
40.2
38.1
12
43%
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
6-14
4-9
43%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.2
38.9
38.1
28
58%
5
4
2
1
2
5
0
5
6-7
86%
8-14
7-13
57%
50%
2-7
29%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.1
32.6
32.7
15
43%
3
7
3
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
5-14
7-15
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.7
17.6
27.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
15.2
19.7
6
50%
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.3
34.0
26.0
18
77%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
3-7
43%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
28.8
19.7
9
41%
9
0
1
0
2
0
1
8
1-2
50%
4-10
3-5
40%
54%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.2
16.9
18.3
0
0%
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
15.8
14.0
5
36%
4
4
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
5.9
0
1-2
50%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.9
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.0
2.6
0
0-0
39%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.3
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.