Final Win Prob. pScore
159%101
125
1241%98
119
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
123.810194.1
HOU logo Rockets
119.0100107.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA125
119
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)125
119
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMISS Scola 24' 3PT Jump Shot125
119
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (45 PTS)125
119
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (44 PTS)124
119
Q4 - 0:13.0HOULowry P.FOUL (P5.PN)123
119
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)123
119
Q4 - 0:14.0HOULowry 30' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Brooks 9 AST)123
119
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)123
116
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)122
116
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUBrooks P.FOUL (P4.PN)121
116
Q4 - 0:22.0HOUBrooks 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)121
116
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUSUB: Brooks FOR Hill121
114
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 1)121
114
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)121
114
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUSUB: Hill FOR Brooks120
114
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)120
114
Q4 - 0:26.0HOULowry P.FOUL (P4.PN)119
114
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)119
114
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot119
114
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUSUB: Brooks FOR Hill119
114
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)119
114
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)119
114
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUSUB: Hill FOR Budinger118
114
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)118
114
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUBudinger P.FOUL (P2.PN)117
114
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)117
114
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot117
114
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUMartin 11' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)117
114
Q4 - 1:09MIAWade Foul Turnover (P6.T17)117
112
Q4 - 1:09MIAWade OFF.Foul (P3)117
112
Q4 - 1:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)117
112
Q4 - 1:27HOULowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Budinger 1 AST)117
112
Q4 - 1:30HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)117
109
Q4 - 1:31HOUMISS Budinger 4' Layup117
109
Q4 - 1:34HOULowry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)117
109
Q4 - 1:37HOUMISS Martin 3' Driving Layup117
109
Q4 - 1:41MIAMartin STEAL (4 STL)117
109
Q4 - 1:58HOUBudinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)117
109
Q4 - 2:09HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)117
106
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2117
106
Q4 - 2:09MIAHeat Rebound117
106
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2117
106
Q4 - 2:09HOUBudinger P.FOUL (P1.PN)117
106
Q4 - 2:16HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)117
106
Q4 - 2:16HOUROCKETS Rebound117
105
Q4 - 2:16HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2117
105
Q4 - 2:16MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P4.PN)117
105
Q4 - 2:25HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)117
105
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Layup117
105
Q4 - 2:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)117
105
Q4 - 2:34HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot117
105
Q4 - 2:42MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)117
105
Q4 - 2:42MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)116
105
Q4 - 2:42HOUHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation115
105
Q4 - 2:42HOUSUB: Budinger FOR Hill115
105
Q4 - 2:42115
105
Q4 - 2:42HOULowry S.FOUL (P3.PN)115
105
Q4 - 2:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)115
105
Q4 - 2:49HOUMISS Hill 5' Jump Shot115
105
Q4 - 2:51HOUHill REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)115
105
Q4 - 2:53HOUMISS Scola 3' Driving Layup115
105
Q4 - 3:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (43 PTS)115
105
Q4 - 3:08HOUHill S.FOUL (P2.PN)114
105
Q4 - 3:08MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (42 PTS)114
105
Q4 - 3:22HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)112
105
Q4 - 3:22HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)112
104
Q4 - 3:22MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P4.PN)112
103
Q4 - 3:26MIABattier STEAL (2 STL)112
103
Q4 - 3:35HOUMartin Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)112
103
Q4 - 3:42MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (40 PTS)112
103
Q4 - 3:46HOUScola Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)110
103
Q4 - 4:05MIAHeat Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#14)110
103
Q4 - 4:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)110
103
Q4 - 4:14HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 1110
103
Q4 - 4:14MIAJames S.FOUL (P3.PN)110
103
Q4 - 4:14HOUMartin 6' Driving Jump Shot (18 PTS)110
103
Q4 - 4:25HOUSUB: Lowry FOR Brooks110
101
Q4 - 4:25HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)110
101
Q4 - 4:26MIAJames 21' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)110
101
Q4 - 4:49HOUScola 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Brooks 8 AST)108
101
Q4 - 5:07MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 9 AST)108
99
Q4 - 5:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
99
Q4 - 5:16HOUMISS Scola 11' Jump Shot105
99
Q4 - 5:25HOUHill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)105
99
Q4 - 5:26HOUMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot105
99
Q4 - 5:49MIABosh 5' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)105
99
Q4 - 6:06HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)103
99
Q4 - 6:06HOUSUB: Scola FOR Miller103
98
Q4 - 6:06HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)103
98
Q4 - 6:06HOUSUB: Battier FOR Budinger103
97
Q4 - 6:06HOUSUB: Martin FOR Lee103
97
Q4 - 6:06MIABosh S.FOUL (P3.PN)103
97
Q4 - 6:16MIALee STEAL (2 STL)103
97
Q4 - 6:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
97
Q4 - 6:30HOUMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
97
Q4 - 6:48HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
97
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot103
97
Q4 - 7:06MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)103
97
Q4 - 7:09HOUMISS Hill 11' Fadeaway Jumper103
97
Q4 - 7:26HOUHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)103
97
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Wade 14' Step Back Jump Shot103
97
Q4 - 7:47HOUMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)103
97
Q4 - 7:47HOUMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)103
96
Q4 - 7:47MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.PN)103
95
Q4 - 7:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)103
95
Q4 - 7:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)102
95
Q4 - 7:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)101
95
Q4 - 7:59HOUBrooks S.FOUL (P3.T4)100
95
Q4 - 8:13HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)100
95
Q4 - 8:13HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)100
94
Q4 - 8:13MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.PN)100
93
Q4 - 8:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (38 PTS)100
93
Q4 - 8:21HOUMiller S.FOUL (P3.T3)99
93
Q4 - 8:21MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (37 PTS)99
93
Q4 - 8:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
93
Q4 - 8:35HOUMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 297
93
Q4 - 8:35HOUMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)97
93
Q4 - 8:35MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P3.PN)97
92
Q4 - 8:37MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T4)97
92
Q4 - 8:45HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
92
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
92
Q4 - 9:09HOUMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brooks 7 AST)97
92
Q4 - 9:17MIABosh P.FOUL (P2.T3)97
89
Q4 - 9:17HOUHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
89
Q4 - 9:18HOUMISS Budinger 1' Reverse Layup97
89
Q4 - 9:29HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
89
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
89
Q4 - 9:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
89
Q4 - 9:40HOUMISS Budinger 20' Jump Shot97
89
Q4 - 9:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (35 PTS)97
89
Q4 - 9:51HOULee S.FOUL (P1.T2)96
89
Q4 - 9:51MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (34 PTS)96
89
Q4 - 9:58MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (32 PTS)94
89
Q4 - 9:58MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (31 PTS)93
89
Q4 - 9:58MIASUB: James FOR Jones92
89
Q4 - 9:58MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)92
89
Q4 - 9:58HOUBrooks FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.T1)92
89
Q4 - 10:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
89
Q4 - 10:01HOUMISS Miller 9' Running Jump Shot92
89
Q4 - 10:20MIALee STEAL (1 STL)92
89
Q4 - 10:38HOUHill 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)92
89
Q4 - 10:52MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)92
87
Q4 - 11:05HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
87
Q4 - 11:05HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
86
Q4 - 11:05MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T2)90
85
Q4 - 11:08HOUSUB: Budinger FOR Lowry90
85
Q4 - 11:28MIAWade 3' Layup (30 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)90
85
Q4 - 11:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
85
Q4 - 11:41HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 288
85
Q4 - 11:41HOUSUB: Lee FOR Battier88
85
Q4 - 11:41HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
85
Q4 - 11:41MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)88
84
Q4 - 11:43HOULowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
84
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Wade 18' Pullup Jump Shot88
84
Q4 - 12:0088
84
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU88
84
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound88
84
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Brooks 2' Driving Reverse Layup88
84
Q3 - 0:06.0HOUMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
84
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot88
84
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
84
Q3 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Lowry 11' Running Jump Shot88
84
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)88
84
Q3 - 0:54.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo87
84
Q3 - 0:54.0HOUSUB: Lowry FOR Martin87
84
Q3 - 0:54.0HOUSUB: Miller FOR Scola87
84
Q3 - 0:54.0HOUSUB: Hill FOR Hayes87
84
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)87
84
Q3 - 0:54.0HOUHayes S.FOUL (P3.T3)87
84
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAIlgauskas 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)87
84
Q3 - 1:12HOUScola 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Brooks 6 AST)85
84
Q3 - 1:31MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)85
82
Q3 - 1:39MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
82
Q3 - 1:40HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)82
82
Q3 - 1:40HOUMISS Battier 2' Tip Shot82
82
Q3 - 1:41HOUMISS Scola 13' Turnaround Hook Shot82
82
Q3 - 2:04MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)82
82
Q3 - 2:14MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
82
Q3 - 2:16HOUMISS Brooks 18' Step Back Jump Shot80
82
Q3 - 2:33HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
82
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Pullup Jump Shot80
82
Q3 - 2:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
82
Q3 - 2:45HOUMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
82
Q3 - 3:07MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)80
82
Q3 - 3:17HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)78
82
Q3 - 3:17MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade78
81
Q3 - 3:17HOUSUB: Brooks FOR Lowry78
81
Q3 - 3:17HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
81
Q3 - 3:17MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh78
80
Q3 - 3:17MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P3.T4)78
80
Q3 - 3:17HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
80
Q3 - 3:18HOUMISS Hayes 3' Layup78
80
Q3 - 3:31HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
80
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
80
Q3 - 3:57HOUScola L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)78
80
Q3 - 3:58HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)78
80
Q3 - 4:03MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)78
80
Q3 - 4:20MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
80
Q3 - 4:22HOUMISS Martin 14' Pullup Jump Shot78
80
Q3 - 4:37MIAWade 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (28 PTS)78
80
Q3 - 4:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
80
Q3 - 4:48HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
80
Q3 - 5:12MIAWade 16' Pullup Bank Shot (26 PTS)76
80
Q3 - 5:36HOUMartin 15' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)74
80
Q3 - 5:47HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)74
78
Q3 - 5:47MIAArroyo P.FOUL (P3.T3)74
78
Q3 - 6:02MIAJames Driving Dunk (12 PTS)74
78
Q3 - 6:05HOUMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)72
78
Q3 - 6:26HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
78
Q3 - 6:27MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
78
Q3 - 6:48HOUScola 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)72
78
Q3 - 7:14MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)72
76
Q3 - 7:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
76
Q3 - 7:23HOUMISS Scola 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot69
76
Q3 - 7:43MIABosh 1' Reverse Layup (17 PTS)69
76
Q3 - 7:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
76
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot67
76
Q3 - 8:13HOUMartin 2' Dunk (14 PTS)67
76
Q3 - 8:16MIAMartin STEAL (3 STL)67
74
Q3 - 8:25HOUMartin Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)67
74
Q3 - 8:25HOUROCKETS Rebound67
73
Q3 - 8:25HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 367
73
Q3 - 8:25HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)67
73
Q3 - 8:25MIAArroyo S.FOUL (P2.T2)67
72
Q3 - 8:32HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
72
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS Wade 5' Driving Layup67
72
Q3 - 8:50HOUScola 2' Reverse Layup (14 PTS)67
72
Q3 - 9:00MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T9)67
70
Q3 - 9:00MIAJames OFF.Foul (P1)67
70
Q3 - 9:02MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
70
Q3 - 9:03HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
70
Q3 - 9:16MIAIlgauskas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)67
70
Q3 - 9:37HOUHayes 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)65
70
Q3 - 9:46MIAIlgauskas P.FOUL (P2.T1)65
68
Q3 - 9:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)65
68
Q3 - 9:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
68
Q3 - 9:53HOUHayes S.FOUL (P2.T1)63
68
Q3 - 10:08MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
68
Q3 - 10:10HOUMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot63
68
Q3 - 10:25MIABosh 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)63
68
Q3 - 10:51HOUMartin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)61
68
Q3 - 10:56MIAArroyo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)61
65
Q3 - 11:20HOULowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)61
65
Q3 - 11:24HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
62
Q3 - 11:25HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
62
Q3 - 11:40MIAArroyo 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 8 AST)61
62
Q3 - 11:54HOUMartin Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)59
62
Q3 - 12:0059
62
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU59
62
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound59
62
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lowry 15' Running Jump Shot59
62
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade 14' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)59
62
Q2 - 0:11.0HOUMartin 2' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Hayes 3 AST)57
62
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAMartin STEAL (2 STL)57
60
Q2 - 0:24.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Arroyo57
60
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)57
60
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUScola 6' Jump Bank Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)57
60
Q2 - 0:35.0HOULowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
58
Q2 - 0:37.0HOUMISS Battier 28' 3PT Jump Shot57
58
Q2 - 0:43.0HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
58
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot57
58
Q2 - 1:00HOUMartin 4' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)57
58
Q2 - 1:10MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
56
Q2 - 1:10MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade56
56
Q2 - 1:10MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
56
Q2 - 1:10HOUScola S.FOUL (P1.T4)55
56
Q2 - 1:16HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
56
Q2 - 1:16HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
55
Q2 - 1:16MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T4)55
54
Q2 - 1:17HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
54
Q2 - 1:18HOUMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot55
54
Q2 - 1:21HOUROCKETS Rebound55
54
Q2 - 1:22HOUMISS Hayes 3' Layup55
54
Q2 - 1:33HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
54
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Fadeaway Jumper55
54
Q2 - 1:53HOUBattier 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)55
54
Q2 - 2:08MIAJames 7' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)55
52
Q2 - 2:15MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard53
52
Q2 - 2:15HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Hill53
52
Q2 - 2:15HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)53
52
Q2 - 2:15HOUMartin P.FOUL (P1.T3)53
52
Q2 - 2:18MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
52
Q2 - 2:19HOUMISS Battier 5' Jump Shot53
52
Q2 - 2:32HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
52
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot53
52
Q2 - 2:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
52
Q2 - 2:48HOUMISS Hill 6' Hook Shot53
52
Q2 - 3:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)53
52
Q2 - 3:12HOUSUB: Battier FOR Budinger52
52
Q2 - 3:12MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Chalmers52
52
Q2 - 3:12HOUSUB: Scola FOR Miller52
52
Q2 - 3:12HOUSUB: Lowry FOR Brooks52
52
Q2 - 3:12HOUMiller S.FOUL (P2.T2)52
52
Q2 - 3:12MIAWade 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)52
52
Q2 - 3:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
52
Q2 - 3:15HOUMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
52
Q2 - 3:39MIAWade 5' Driving Layup (19 PTS)50
52
Q2 - 3:49HOUSUB: Martin FOR Lee48
52
Q2 - 3:49HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)48
52
Q2 - 3:49HOUROCKETS Rebound48
52
Q2 - 3:49HOUMISS Budinger 12' Jump Shot48
52
Q2 - 3:55HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
52
Q2 - 3:56HOUMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
52
Q2 - 4:14HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
52
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot48
52
Q2 - 4:29HOULee Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
52
Q2 - 4:29HOULee Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
51
Q2 - 4:29MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh48
50
Q2 - 4:29MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T3)48
50
Q2 - 4:55MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 7 AST)48
50
Q2 - 5:11HOUMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
50
Q2 - 5:11HOUMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
49
Q2 - 5:11MIASUB: James FOR Miller46
48
Q2 - 5:1146
48
Q2 - 5:11MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T2)46
48
Q2 - 5:30MIAMiller 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)46
48
Q2 - 5:49HOUBrooks 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)44
48
Q2 - 6:07MIAWade 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)44
46
Q2 - 6:12HOUHill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)42
46
Q2 - 6:14HOUHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
46
Q2 - 6:15HOUMISS Lee 2' Alley Oop Layup42
46
Q2 - 6:20HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
46
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 16' Pullup Jump Shot42
46
Q2 - 6:42HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brooks 5 AST)42
46
Q2 - 6:53HOUHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
43
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
43
Q2 - 7:13HOUBudinger 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)42
43
Q2 - 7:27MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones42
41
Q2 - 7:27MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)42
41
Q2 - 7:44HOUBrooks 14' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
41
Q2 - 7:48MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)42
39
Q2 - 7:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
39
Q2 - 7:52HOUMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
39
Q2 - 8:01HOUMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
39
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
39
Q2 - 8:14HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
39
Q2 - 8:14HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
38
Q2 - 8:14MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T1)42
37
Q2 - 8:31MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)42
37
Q2 - 8:43MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
37
Q2 - 8:46HOUMISS Lee 2' Driving Layup40
37
Q2 - 8:51HOUHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
37
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Bosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper40
37
Q2 - 9:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
37
Q2 - 9:07HOUMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot40
37
Q2 - 9:25MIABosh 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)40
37
Q2 - 9:48MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
37
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 238
37
Q2 - 9:48MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
37
Q2 - 9:48HOUHill S.FOUL (P1.T1)37
37
Q2 - 10:04MIASUB: Anthony FOR Dampier37
37
Q2 - 10:04MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
37
Q2 - 10:06HOUHill Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)37
37
Q2 - 10:12HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
35
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
35
Q2 - 10:36HOUBrooks 3' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)37
35
Q2 - 10:52MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)37
33
Q2 - 11:11HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)35
33
Q2 - 11:23HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
30
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot35
30
Q2 - 11:48HOUHill 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)35
30
Q2 - 12:0035
28
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU35
28
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)35
28
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
28
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Brooks 3' Driving Layup35
28
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAJames 3' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
28
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
28
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
28
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
28
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
28
Q1 - 0:36.0HOUMiller Shooting Block Foul (P1.PN)31
28
Q1 - 0:49.0HOUSUB: Hill FOR Hayes31
28
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAHeat Rebound31
28
Q1 - 0:49.0HOUMISS Miller 3' Layup31
28
Q1 - 0:51.0HOUMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
28
Q1 - 0:53.0HOUMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
28
Q1 - 1:07MIADampier 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)31
28
Q1 - 1:20HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
28
Q1 - 1:20HOUSUB: Lee FOR Martin29
27
Q1 - 1:20HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
27
Q1 - 1:20HOUSUB: Miller FOR Scola29
26
Q1 - 1:20MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade29
26
Q1 - 1:20MIADampier S.FOUL (P1.PN)29
26
Q1 - 1:32MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)29
26
Q1 - 1:50MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26
Q1 - 1:51HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot26
26
Q1 - 2:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
26
Q1 - 2:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
26
Q1 - 2:12MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo24
26
Q1 - 2:12MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)24
26
Q1 - 2:12HOUBrooks S.FOUL (P1.T4)24
26
Q1 - 2:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
26
Q1 - 2:17HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
26
Q1 - 2:30MIAJames 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
26
Q1 - 2:54HOUScola 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)22
26
Q1 - 3:05HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
24
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot22
24
Q1 - 3:20HOUBrooks 12' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)22
24
Q1 - 3:34MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)22
22
Q1 - 3:42MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh20
22
Q1 - 3:43HOUHayes Violation:Kicked Ball20
22
Q1 - 3:43MIAHeat Rebound20
22
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup20
22
Q1 - 4:01HOUScola 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)20
22
Q1 - 4:06MIABattier STEAL (1 STL)20
20
Q1 - 4:14MIAArroyo Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)20
20
Q1 - 4:14HOUROCKETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Scola )19
20
Q1 - 4:28HOUBrooks 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
20
Q1 - 4:41MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)19
18
Q1 - 4:56HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
18
Q1 - 4:56HOUROCKETS Rebound17
17
Q1 - 4:56HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 217
17
Q1 - 4:56MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T4)17
17
Q1 - 5:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
17
Q1 - 5:07MIASUB: Dampier FOR Ilgauskas16
17
Q1 - 5:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
17
Q1 - 5:07HOUHayes S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
17
Q1 - 5:16HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 5:16HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
16
Q1 - 5:16HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
15
Q1 - 5:16MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
15
Q1 - 5:19MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)15
15
Q1 - 5:40HOUHayes 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
15
Q1 - 5:44MIAHayes STEAL (1 STL)15
13
Q1 - 6:00HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
13
Q1 - 6:00HOUROCKETS Rebound15
12
Q1 - 6:00HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 215
12
Q1 - 6:00MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T2)15
12
Q1 - 6:00HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
12
Q1 - 6:00HOUMISS Hayes 11' Jump Shot15
12
Q1 - 6:14MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
12
Q1 - 6:14MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
12
Q1 - 6:14HOUSUB: Brooks FOR Lowry13
12
Q1 - 6:14HOULowry S.FOUL (P2.T2)13
12
Q1 - 6:18HOULowry P.FOUL (P1.T1)13
12
Q1 - 6:30HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)13
12
Q1 - 6:36HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
9
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot13
9
Q1 - 6:56MIABosh Violation:Defensive Goaltending13
9
Q1 - 6:56HOUHayes 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)13
9
Q1 - 7:05HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
7
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot13
7
Q1 - 7:24HOUScola 3' Layup (6 PTS)13
7
Q1 - 7:26HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
5
Q1 - 7:27HOUMISS Martin 29' 3PT Jump Shot13
5
Q1 - 7:35MIAIlgauskas Violation:Kicked Ball13
5
Q1 - 7:46MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
5
Q1 - 7:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
5
Q1 - 7:53HOUMISS Martin 18' Pullup Jump Shot11
5
Q1 - 8:22MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)11
5
Q1 - 8:33HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
5
Q1 - 8:33HOUROCKETS Rebound8
4
Q1 - 8:33HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 28
4
Q1 - 8:33MIAArroyo S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
4
Q1 - 8:33HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
4
Q1 - 8:34HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
4
Q1 - 8:41MIAIlgauskas 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)8
4
Q1 - 9:03HOUScola 5' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)6
4
Q1 - 9:08HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
2
Q1 - 9:09MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 9:19MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
2
Q1 - 9:21HOUMISS Scola 3' Driving Reverse Layup6
2
Q1 - 9:36MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)6
2
Q1 - 9:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 9:55HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:06HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:23MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
2
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:41HOUScola 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 11:01MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)4
0
Q1 - 11:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
0
Q1 - 11:07HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:16HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:29HOUMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:45MIABosh 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Scola vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Bosh0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.39 69.4%
HOU
1.03 51.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
20
80%
HOU
18
33
55%
Midrange
MIA
22
38
58%
HOU
12
33
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
HOU
9
13.5
27
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
34
37
92%
HOU
32
40
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4587%22.5 / 26
C. Bosh2162%10.5 / 17
L. James2059%10.0 / 17
C. Arroyo1192%5.5 / 6
M. Chalmers8100%4.0 / 4
Z. Ilgauskas750%3.5 / 7
J. Anthony467%2.0 / 3
J. Jones350%1.5 / 3
J. Howard250%1.0 / 2
E. Dampier2100%1.0 / 1
M. Miller250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Scola2252%11.0 / 21
K. Martin2153%10.5 / 20
A. Brooks2059%10.0 / 17
C. Hayes1365%6.5 / 10
K. Lowry1169%5.5 / 8
C. Budinger1169%5.5 / 8
B. Miller850%4.0 / 8
J. Hill643%3.0 / 7
S. Battier528%2.5 / 9
C. Lee225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+5
-16
90
HOU
94
+20
-6
114
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.39 69.4%
HOU
1.03 51.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
111.3
MIA 123.8 +4.8
HOU 119.0
Pace
91.3
94.2
MIA 94.1
HOU 107.9 +13.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.4
MIA 15.3
HOU 13.3 −2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
50.3%
MIA 61.5% +14.7%
HOU 46.8%
TO %
14.4%
13.4%
MIA 15.8%
HOU 6.0% −9.8%
ORB %
25.2%
27.5%
MIA 12.5%
HOU 30.8% +18.3%
FTrt
36.3
29.9
MIA 50.0 +7.0
HOU 43.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
61.7%
MIA 46.5%
HOU 74.4% +27.9%
STL %
7.3%
7.4%
MIA 3.0%
HOU 11.0% +8.0%
BLK %
8.5%
6.5%
MIA 13.6% +13.6%
HOU 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
53.6%
MIA 69.4% +18.1%
HOU 51.3%
Rim FG%
64.7%
58.5%
MIA 80.0% +25.5%
HOU 54.5%
Mid FG%
42.2%
39.6%
MIA 57.9% +21.5%
HOU 36.4%
3P %
37.0%
36.7%
MIA 31.3%
HOU 33.3% +2.0%
FT %
76.9%
80.1%
MIA 91.9% +11.9%
HOU 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
34.9%
MIA 27.0%
HOU 35.5% +8.5%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
38.7%
MIA 51.4%
HOU 35.5% −15.9%
3P Att. %
23.5%
26.4%
MIA 21.6%
HOU 29.0% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points125119
Rebounds4044
Assists2029
Steals311
Blocks90
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)6 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)28 (0)
Field Goals43-7439-93
At-the-Rim FG16-2018-33
Midrange FG22-3812-33
2-Point FG38-5830-66
3-Point FG5-169-27
Free Throws34-3732-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
39.1
20
59%
6
9
1
0
3
3
0
6
4-4
100%
8-11
73%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
38.8
21
62%
4
2
0
2
5
3
1
3
5-6
83%
8-13
62%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
38.1
45
87%
7
1
2
0
6
3
0
7
10-10
100%
16-21
76%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
23.7
11
92%
1
3
0
0
1
3
0
1
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
18.9
7
50%
5
0
0
2
0
3
1
4
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
23.9
8
100%
3
4
0
1
1
4
0
3
5-5
100%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
22.1
4
67%
7
0
0
2
0
4
2
5
4-6
67%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
12.4
3
50%
2
1
0
2
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
9.2
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
7.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
6.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
125
69%
40
20
3
9
16
0
4
36
34-37
92%
38-58
66%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.