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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2276ers19%9298
3Lakers81%104102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.6
42.0
35.7
19
53%
3
11
2
1
1
2
0
3
3-4
75%
5-13
5-10
38%
47%
2-3
67%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.8
39.5
31.7
8
50%
4
1
3
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.1
22.5
26.0
13
79%
8
2
0
0
0
2
1
7
3-5
60%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
2-3
67%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.7
21.9
23.4
8
80%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
48%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.4
17.4
27.2
6
43%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
2-5
40%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
35.1
25.0
12
43%
6
4
3
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-11
3-6
36%
44%
1-2
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
27.4
28.7
14
60%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
4-4
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
25.9
21.7
18
58%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
6-8
3-6
75%
45%
2-7
29%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.9
8.2
5.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
4.6
0
1-1
47%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.4
3.7
0
1-1
47%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.9
1.2
0
0-0
44%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.9
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.4
35.0
30.5
33
60%
4
2
2
1
0
4
1
3
6-8
75%
12-21
6-13
57%
50%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.5
33.7
34.0
20
78%
8
1
2
1
2
1
5
3
2-2
100%
9-12
6-12
75%
54%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.2
31.4
24.2
8
58%
15
1
0
0
1
1
2
13
2-2
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.4
27.9
27.1
1
6%
1
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-6
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.1
25.0
25.3
11
80%
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.2
30.9
33.9
18
63%
7
4
0
1
0
3
3
4
2-3
67%
8-12
5-9
67%
56%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.8
23.0
18.5
2
50%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.8
18.3
19.1
5
42%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.1
14.8
20.1
4
33%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.7
2.0
0
0-1
51%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.4
1.2
0
0-0
45%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.2
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.