Final Win Prob. pScore
1462%96
92
2638%92
81
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
103.48992.4
WAS logo Wizards
93.18783.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH92
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:01.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)92
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0NOHMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0WASBlatche Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)92
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot92
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)92
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0WASMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10WASLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot92
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26WASYoung P.FOUL (P5.T4)92
81
Q4 - 1:36WASYoung 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)92
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 1:38WASYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39WASMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55NOHPaul 4' Driving Jump Shot (13 PTS)92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16WASYoung 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)90
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 2:35WASSUB: Martin FOR McGee90
77
Q4 - 2:35WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)90
77
Q4 - 2:36NOHBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)90
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42WASWall Lost Ball Turnover (P8.T16)87
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 2:55NOHBelinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)87
99.1%
77
0.9%
Q4 - 3:17WASLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wall 10 AST)84
98.0%
77
2.0%
Q4 - 3:32NOHPaul Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)84
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 3:35NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 3:37WASMISS Young 14' Jump Shot84
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 3:55WASSUB: Lewis FOR Thornton84
74
Q4 - 3:55WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)84
74
Q4 - 3:55NOHPaul 3' Layup (11 PTS)84
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 3:56WASWall Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T15)82
97.6%
74
2.4%
Q4 - 4:02NOHAriza 3' Driving Dunk (22 PTS)82
96.4%
74
3.6%
Q4 - 4:20NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
95.1%
74
4.9%
Q4 - 4:22NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
93.5%
74
6.5%
Q4 - 4:45WASYoung 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wall 9 AST)80
95.2%
74
4.8%
Q4 - 5:01WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)80
96.3%
71
3.7%
Q4 - 5:02NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot80
96.7%
71
3.3%
Q4 - 5:23NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
97.5%
71
2.5%
Q4 - 5:25WASMISS Thornton 5' Jump Shot80
97.2%
71
2.8%
Q4 - 5:44NOHPaul Layup (9 PTS)80
96.5%
71
3.5%
Q4 - 5:58NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
95.2%
71
4.8%
Q4 - 5:59WASMISS McGee 7' Jump Shot78
94.7%
71
5.3%
Q4 - 6:16NOHWest 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)78
91.9%
71
8.1%
Q4 - 6:28NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Jack76
71
Q4 - 6:28NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Green76
71
Q4 - 6:28NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)76
71
Q4 - 6:28WASMcGee 1' Putback Dunk (12 PTS)76
89.6%
71
10.4%
Q4 - 6:28WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)76
91.9%
69
8.1%
Q4 - 6:29WASMISS Wall 3' Layup76
93.4%
69
6.6%
Q4 - 6:41WASWIZARDS Rebound76
91.9%
69
8.1%
Q4 - 6:41NOHMISS Green 28' 3PT Jump Shot76
92.6%
69
7.4%
Q4 - 6:45NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
94.1%
69
5.9%
Q4 - 6:47NOHMcGee BLOCK (6 BLK)76
92.7%
69
7.3%
Q4 - 7:09WASMcGee 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Young 3 AST)76
93.1%
69
6.9%
Q4 - 7:32NOHJack Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)76
94.6%
67
5.4%
Q4 - 7:32NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)75
94.4%
67
5.6%
Q4 - 7:32NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)74
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q4 - 7:32WASYoung S.FOUL (P4.T3)73
67
Q4 - 7:47WASWall 3' Running Layup (12 PTS)73
91.1%
67
8.9%
Q4 - 7:55NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
93.0%
65
7.0%
Q4 - 7:55NOHSUB: Paul FOR Ariza72
65
Q4 - 7:55WASSUB: Young FOR Martin72
65
Q4 - 7:55NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
92.7%
65
7.3%
Q4 - 7:55NOHSUB: West FOR Smith71
65
Q4 - 7:55WASSUB: Wall FOR Hudson71
65
Q4 - 7:55WASMcGee S.FOUL (P3.T2)71
65
Q4 - 8:17WASHudson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)71
89.9%
65
10.1%
Q4 - 8:25WASWIZARDS Rebound71
87.4%
65
12.6%
Q4 - 8:25WASMISS Martin 28' 3PT Jump Shot71
89.2%
65
10.8%
Q4 - 8:37NOHOkafor Foul Turnover (P1.T14)71
87.4%
65
12.6%
Q4 - 8:37NOHOkafor OFF.Foul (P2)71
65
Q4 - 8:48NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)71
89.9%
65
10.1%
Q4 - 8:49WASMISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot71
89.2%
65
10.8%
Q4 - 8:58WASWIZARDS Rebound71
65
Q4 - 8:58WASMISS Hudson Free Throw Technical71
87.4%
65
12.6%
Q4 - 8:5871
65
Q4 - 8:58NOHHornets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Jack )71
65
Q4 - 9:09WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
86.3%
65
13.7%
Q4 - 9:11NOHMISS Jack Free Throw 2 of 271
86.6%
65
13.4%
Q4 - 9:11NOHSUB: Smith FOR Pondexter71
65
Q4 - 9:11WASSUB: Blatche FOR Lewis71
65
Q4 - 9:11NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
88.5%
65
11.5%
Q4 - 9:11WASHudson S.FOUL (P1.T1)70
65
Q4 - 9:15WASSUB: Martin FOR Young70
65
Q4 - 9:32NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)70
86.3%
65
13.7%
Q4 - 9:33WASMISS Hudson 18' Jump Shot70
85.4%
65
14.6%
Q4 - 9:41NOHPondexter P.FOUL (P1.T1)70
65
Q4 - 10:01NOHJack Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)70
82.2%
65
17.8%
Q4 - 10:05NOHPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
85.4%
65
14.6%
Q4 - 10:07WASMISS Young 19' Jump Shot70
84.5%
65
15.5%
Q4 - 10:17WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)70
82.3%
65
17.7%
Q4 - 10:19NOHMISS Pondexter 18' Jump Shot70
83.3%
65
16.7%
Q4 - 10:36NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)70
85.4%
65
14.6%
Q4 - 10:37NOHMISS Jack 1' Layup70
83.3%
65
16.7%
Q4 - 10:48WASMcGee Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)70
85.4%
65
14.6%
Q4 - 11:04NOHGreen 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)70
81.5%
65
18.5%
Q4 - 11:28WASHudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)68
78.0%
65
22.0%
Q4 - 11:43WASHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
84.6%
62
15.4%
Q4 - 11:44NOHMISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot68
85.4%
62
14.6%
Q4 - 12:0068
62
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH68
87.2%
62
12.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound68
87.2%
62
12.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHArmstrong BLOCK (1 BLK)68
85.4%
62
14.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0WASMISS Young 17' Jump Shot68
85.6%
62
14.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0NOHBlatche STEAL (2 STL)68
84.0%
62
16.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0WASMISS Wall 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
85.7%
62
14.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0NOHJack 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
84.0%
62
16.0%
Q3 - 1:18NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
80.2%
62
19.8%
Q3 - 1:19WASMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
79.4%
62
20.6%
Q3 - 1:41NOHWest 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)66
77.3%
62
22.7%
Q3 - 1:46NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
73.2%
62
26.8%
Q3 - 1:48NOHMISS Jack 14' Jump Shot64
70.7%
62
29.3%
Q3 - 2:00NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
73.2%
62
26.8%
Q3 - 2:03WASMISS Wall Layup64
71.8%
62
28.2%
Q3 - 2:07WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
69.1%
62
30.9%
Q3 - 2:08NOHMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
70.3%
62
29.7%
Q3 - 2:24NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)64
62
Q3 - 2:24WASLewis P.FOUL (P2.T3)64
62
Q3 - 2:47NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
72.9%
62
27.1%
Q3 - 2:48WASMISS Wall 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
71.8%
62
28.2%
Q3 - 2:55WASLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
69.2%
62
30.8%
Q3 - 2:56WASMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
71.8%
62
28.2%
Q3 - 3:11NOHJack 1' Layup (4 PTS) (West 5 AST)64
69.4%
62
30.6%
Q3 - 3:30WASArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)62
65.6%
62
34.4%
Q3 - 3:30NOHSUB: Jack FOR Paul62
61
Q3 - 3:30WASArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
67.0%
61
33.0%
Q3 - 3:30NOHSmith P.FOUL (P1.PN)62
60
Q3 - 3:34NOHPaul P.FOUL (P2.T4)62
60
Q3 - 3:52NOHAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)62
69.3%
60
30.7%
Q3 - 4:13NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
61.7%
60
38.3%
Q3 - 4:14WASMISS Blatche 16' Jump Shot59
60.2%
60
39.8%
Q3 - 4:33NOHGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)59
56.8%
60
43.2%
Q3 - 4:51WASWall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Young 2 AST)56
48.8%
60
51.2%
Q3 - 5:00NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor56
57
Q3 - 5:05WASLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
56.8%
57
43.2%
Q3 - 5:07NOHYoung BLOCK (1 BLK)56
58.2%
57
41.8%
Q3 - 5:10NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
61.3%
57
38.7%
Q3 - 5:11WASMISS Young 19' Jump Shot56
60.0%
57
40.0%
Q3 - 5:34NOHAriza 19' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)56
56.8%
57
43.2%
Q3 - 5:57WASYoung 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)54
53.1%
57
46.9%
Q3 - 6:14NOHOkafor 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)54
57.6%
55
42.4%
Q3 - 6:19WASWall Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T12)52
54.0%
55
46.0%
Q3 - 6:22WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
49.6%
55
50.4%
Q3 - 6:24NOHWall BLOCK (1 BLK)52
50.9%
55
49.1%
Q3 - 6:43WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
53.9%
55
46.1%
Q3 - 6:43NOHSUB: Green FOR Belinelli52
54
Q3 - 6:43WASSUB: Armstrong FOR McGee52
54
Q3 - 6:43WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
54.5%
54
45.5%
Q3 - 6:43NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P1.T3)52
53
Q3 - 6:56WASWIZARDS Rebound52
57.5%
53
42.5%
Q3 - 6:57NOHMcGee BLOCK (5 BLK)52
58.8%
53
41.2%
Q3 - 7:04NOHHornets Rebound52
61.7%
53
38.3%
Q3 - 7:05NOHMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot52
59.0%
53
41.0%
Q3 - 7:22WASYoung 13' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
61.7%
53
38.3%
Q3 - 7:32WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)52
65.1%
51
34.9%
Q3 - 7:34NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
66.2%
51
33.8%
Q3 - 7:39WASLewis P.FOUL (P1.T2)52
51
Q3 - 8:05WASLewis 3' Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
68.7%
51
31.3%
Q3 - 8:10NOHLewis STEAL (2 STL)52
71.7%
49
28.3%
Q3 - 8:12NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
74.8%
49
25.2%
Q3 - 8:13WASMISS Wall 19' Jump Shot52
73.9%
49
26.1%
Q3 - 8:36NOHAriza 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)52
71.7%
49
28.3%
Q3 - 8:46WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
68.7%
49
31.3%
Q3 - 8:46WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)50
69.1%
48
30.9%
Q3 - 8:46NOHWest S.FOUL (P1.T2)50
47
Q3 - 8:50WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
71.7%
47
28.3%
Q3 - 8:51NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot50
72.6%
47
27.4%
Q3 - 9:12NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
74.6%
47
25.4%
Q3 - 9:13WASMISS McGee 6' Jump Shot50
73.7%
47
26.3%
Q3 - 9:28WASWIZARDS Rebound50
71.7%
47
28.3%
Q3 - 9:29NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 150
72.1%
47
27.9%
Q3 - 9:29WASWall S.FOUL (P3.T1)50
47
Q3 - 9:29NOHAriza 2' Layup (13 PTS)50
47
Q3 - 9:31WASWall Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)48
68.6%
47
31.4%
Q3 - 9:46NOHAriza 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)48
65.3%
47
34.7%
Q3 - 9:50WASBlatche Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)46
62.0%
47
38.0%
Q3 - 9:59WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)46
47
Q3 - 9:59NOHAriza 2' Layup (9 PTS) (West 4 AST)46
58.3%
47
41.7%
Q3 - 10:16WASWall Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)44
55.5%
47
44.5%
Q3 - 10:23NOHAriza P.FOUL (P2.T1)44
47
Q3 - 10:24WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
51.9%
47
48.1%
Q3 - 10:26NOHMcGee BLOCK (4 BLK)44
53.0%
47
47.0%
Q3 - 10:41NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
55.5%
47
44.5%
Q3 - 10:42WASMISS Blatche 21' Jump Shot44
54.4%
47
45.6%
Q3 - 10:55NOHAriza Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)44
51.8%
47
48.2%
Q3 - 10:58WASWall Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)44
55.5%
47
44.5%
Q3 - 11:18NOHOkafor 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (West 3 AST)44
52.6%
47
47.4%
Q3 - 11:36NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
49.3%
47
50.7%
Q3 - 11:37WASMISS Blatche 16' Jump Shot42
48.2%
47
51.8%
Q3 - 12:0042
47
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH42
45.6%
47
54.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound42
49.3%
47
50.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Ariza 13' Jump Shot42
46.7%
47
53.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0WASLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)42
49.7%
47
50.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHOkafor 1' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)42
47.2%
47
52.8%
Q2 - 0:17.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
43.0%
47
57.0%
Q2 - 0:18.0WASMISS Blatche 19' Jump Shot40
42.3%
47
57.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0WASWIZARDS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)40
47
Q2 - 0:39.0WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)40
40.5%
47
59.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 240
40.8%
47
59.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0WASSUB: McGee FOR Armstrong40
47
Q2 - 0:40.0NOHSUB: Green FOR Belinelli40
47
Q2 - 0:40.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
43.3%
47
56.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0WASSUB: Thornton FOR Young39
47
Q2 - 0:40.0WASYoung P.FOUL (P3.PN)39
47
Q2 - 0:40.0WASYoung Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)39
39.8%
47
60.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
37.3%
47
62.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
36.7%
47
63.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0WASSUB: Hudson FOR Wall37
47
Q2 - 0:55.0WASArmstrong S.FOUL (P2.PN)37
47
Q2 - 1:08NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
34.4%
47
65.6%
Q2 - 1:09NOHMISS Paul 4' Jump Shot37
33.0%
47
67.0%
Q2 - 1:25WASBlatche 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Wall 7 AST)37
34.4%
47
65.6%
Q2 - 1:40WASArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
38.2%
45
61.8%
Q2 - 1:41NOHMISS West 5' Jump Shot37
38.9%
45
61.1%
Q2 - 2:02NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
41.7%
45
58.3%
Q2 - 2:03WASMISS Young 14' Jump Shot37
40.7%
45
59.3%
Q2 - 2:19NOHPaul 1' Layup (6 PTS)37
38.4%
45
61.6%
Q2 - 2:41WASWall Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)35
35.5%
45
64.5%
Q2 - 2:58NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
45
Q2 - 2:58NOHPaul P.FOUL (P1.T3)35
45
Q2 - 3:01WASLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
33.7%
45
66.3%
Q2 - 3:02NOHMISS Okafor 1' Layup35
34.7%
45
65.3%
Q2 - 3:13WASWall 1' Running Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)35
36.9%
45
63.1%
Q2 - 3:16NOHWall STEAL (2 STL)35
39.3%
43
60.7%
Q2 - 3:25NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
42.8%
43
57.2%
Q2 - 3:27WASMISS Blatche 17' Jump Shot35
41.7%
43
58.3%
Q2 - 3:32WASSUB: Armstrong FOR Thornton35
43
Q2 - 3:46NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
39.3%
43
60.7%
Q2 - 3:46NOHHornets Rebound34
43
Q2 - 3:46NOHMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 234
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q2 - 3:46WASThornton S.FOUL (P1.PN)34
43
Q2 - 3:50WASWall Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)34
39.8%
43
60.2%
Q2 - 4:09WASThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
37.3%
43
62.7%
Q2 - 4:10WASMISS Wall 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
39.4%
43
60.6%
Q2 - 4:17NOHPaul 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
37.2%
43
62.8%
Q2 - 4:22NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
34.7%
43
65.3%
Q2 - 4:23WASMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
33.8%
43
66.2%
Q2 - 4:43NOHOkafor 2' Dunk (11 PTS) (West 2 AST)32
31.7%
43
68.3%
Q2 - 4:53WASSUB: Blatche FOR McGee30
43
Q2 - 4:53WASMcGee P.FOUL (P2.T4)30
43
Q2 - 5:11WASThornton 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)30
30.4%
43
69.6%
Q2 - 5:27NOHBelinelli Foul Turnover (P2.T8)30
32.9%
41
67.1%
Q2 - 5:27NOHBelinelli OFF.Foul (P2)30
41
Q2 - 5:30NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Green30
41
Q2 - 5:30WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)30
41
Q2 - 5:30NOHHornets Rebound30
35.6%
41
64.4%
Q2 - 5:30NOHMcGee BLOCK (3 BLK)30
33.7%
41
66.3%
Q2 - 5:47WASWall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)30
35.5%
41
64.5%
Q2 - 6:08NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)30
41.6%
38
58.4%
Q2 - 6:32WASMcGee 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)28
39.3%
38
60.7%
Q2 - 6:41WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)28
41.6%
36
58.4%
Q2 - 6:42NOHMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot28
42.6%
36
57.4%
Q2 - 6:54WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
44.8%
36
55.2%
Q2 - 6:54NOHSUB: Paul FOR Jack28
35
Q2 - 6:54WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
45.3%
35
54.7%
Q2 - 6:54NOHJack S.FOUL (P1.T2)28
34
Q2 - 6:57NOHWall STEAL (1 STL)28
47.2%
34
52.8%
Q2 - 7:02WASSUB: Young FOR Martin28
34
Q2 - 7:02WASMartin P.FOUL (P3.T3)28
34
Q2 - 7:22WASMartin 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)28
51.1%
34
48.9%
Q2 - 7:40NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Gray28
32
Q2 - 7:40NOHSUB: West FOR Smith28
32
Q2 - 7:40NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Thornton28
32
Q2 - 7:40NOHGray Foul Turnover (P2.T6)28
53.7%
32
46.3%
Q2 - 7:40NOHGray OFF.Foul (P2)28
32
Q2 - 7:52WASMartin 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)28
56.6%
32
43.4%
Q2 - 8:05NOHGray 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)28
59.6%
30
40.4%
Q2 - 8:1628
30
Q2 - 8:16NOHHornets Rebound28
62.2%
30
37.8%
Q2 - 8:16NOHMcGee BLOCK (2 BLK)28
60.4%
30
39.6%
Q2 - 8:16NOHGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
62.2%
30
37.8%
Q2 - 8:17NOHMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot28
60.4%
30
39.6%
Q2 - 8:23WASThornton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
62.2%
30
37.8%
Q2 - 8:36WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
59.6%
30
40.4%
Q2 - 8:37NOHMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot28
60.4%
30
39.6%
Q2 - 9:00NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
62.2%
30
37.8%
Q2 - 9:01WASMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot28
61.6%
30
38.4%
Q2 - 9:21NOHJack 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gray 1 AST)28
59.8%
30
40.2%
Q2 - 9:36WASLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)26
57.3%
30
42.7%
Q2 - 9:36NOHGray S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
29
Q2 - 9:36WASLewis 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)26
29
Q2 - 9:50NOHThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
62.2%
27
37.8%
Q2 - 9:50NOHThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
61.8%
27
38.2%
Q2 - 9:50WASMartin S.FOUL (P2.T2)24
27
Q2 - 10:06NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
59.8%
27
40.2%
Q2 - 10:07WASMISS McGee 7' Jump Shot24
58.9%
27
41.1%
Q2 - 10:17WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)24
57.0%
27
43.0%
Q2 - 10:18WASMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
58.9%
27
41.1%
Q2 - 10:25WASLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
57.0%
27
43.0%
Q2 - 10:27NOHMcGee BLOCK (1 BLK)24
57.9%
27
42.1%
Q2 - 10:33WASMartin P.FOUL (P1.T1)24
27
Q2 - 10:43WASMcGee 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)24
59.8%
27
40.2%
Q2 - 10:55WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)24
62.0%
25
38.0%
Q2 - 10:56NOHMISS Jack 21' Jump Shot24
62.8%
25
37.2%
Q2 - 11:13WASLewis 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)24
64.4%
25
35.6%
Q2 - 11:24WASThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
66.5%
23
33.5%
Q2 - 11:25NOHMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot24
67.3%
23
32.7%
Q2 - 11:41NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
68.9%
23
31.1%
Q2 - 11:42WASMISS Thornton 17' Jump Shot24
68.2%
23
31.8%
Q2 - 12:0024
23
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH24
66.5%
23
33.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound24
68.9%
23
31.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
67.2%
23
32.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
68.4%
23
31.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0WASMISS Hudson 18' Jump Shot24
67.9%
23
32.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)24
66.7%
23
33.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Jack 12' Jump Shot24
67.2%
23
32.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
68.5%
23
31.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0WASMISS Thornton 5' Jump Shot24
67.9%
23
32.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
66.7%
23
33.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 224
66.9%
23
33.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0NOHSUB: Green FOR Ariza24
23
Q1 - 0:57.0WASSUB: Martin FOR Young24
23
Q1 - 0:57.0NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
68.0%
23
32.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0WASYoung S.FOUL (P2.PN)23
23
Q1 - 1:03NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
66.4%
23
33.6%
Q1 - 1:04WASMISS Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
65.9%
23
34.1%
Q1 - 1:15WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)23
64.8%
23
35.2%
Q1 - 1:16WASMISS Blatche 4' Jump Shot23
65.9%
23
34.1%
Q1 - 1:34WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
64.8%
23
35.2%
Q1 - 1:35NOHMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
65.3%
23
34.7%
Q1 - 1:56WASYoung 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)23
66.4%
23
33.6%
Q1 - 2:08NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)23
68.9%
21
31.1%
Q1 - 2:08WASSUB: Thornton FOR Lewis22
21
Q1 - 2:08NOHSUB: Jack FOR Paul22
21
Q1 - 2:08NOHSUB: Smith FOR West22
21
Q1 - 2:08WASMcGee S.FOUL (P1.T4)22
21
Q1 - 2:08NOHOkafor 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)22
21
Q1 - 2:24WASLewis Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)20
64.5%
21
35.5%
Q1 - 2:40WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
66.9%
19
33.1%
Q1 - 2:42NOHMISS Thornton 11' Jump Shot20
67.4%
19
32.6%
Q1 - 3:05WASMcGee 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)20
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q1 - 3:20WASYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
70.9%
17
29.1%
Q1 - 3:21NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot20
71.5%
17
28.5%
Q1 - 3:36WASSUB: McGee FOR Armstrong20
17
Q1 - 3:36NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
17
Q1 - 3:40NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
72.8%
17
27.2%
Q1 - 3:41WASMISS Hudson 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
72.2%
17
27.8%
Q1 - 3:52NOHYoung STEAL (1 STL)20
70.8%
17
29.2%
Q1 - 4:01WASBlatche 1' Layup (6 PTS)20
72.0%
17
28.0%
Q1 - 4:04WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
73.4%
15
26.6%
Q1 - 4:05WASMISS Armstrong 11' Jump Shot20
74.6%
15
25.4%
Q1 - 4:27NOHAriza L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)20
15
Q1 - 4:27WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
73.3%
15
26.7%
Q1 - 4:28NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 220
73.5%
15
26.5%
Q1 - 4:28NOHSUB: Thornton FOR Belinelli20
15
Q1 - 4:28NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q1 - 4:28WASYoung S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
15
Q1 - 4:36NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
73.4%
15
26.6%
Q1 - 4:37WASMISS Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
72.9%
15
27.1%
Q1 - 4:59NOHOkafor 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)19
71.5%
15
28.5%
Q1 - 5:04NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
69.7%
15
30.3%
Q1 - 5:05NOHMISS Belinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
68.4%
15
31.6%
Q1 - 5:26WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)17
69.6%
15
30.4%
Q1 - 5:26NOHBelinelli S.FOUL (P1.T1)17
14
Q1 - 5:26WASYoung 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
14
Q1 - 5:36NOHBelinelli 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
72.4%
12
27.6%
Q1 - 5:54WASBlatche 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
70.9%
12
29.1%
Q1 - 6:12NOHAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)15
72.0%
10
28.0%
Q1 - 6:22NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
69.2%
10
30.8%
Q1 - 6:23WASMISS Lewis 14' Jump Shot12
68.7%
10
31.3%
Q1 - 6:42NOHOkafor 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)12
67.4%
10
32.6%
Q1 - 6:59WASBlatche 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Young 1 AST)10
65.9%
10
34.1%
Q1 - 7:14NOHBlatche STEAL (1 STL)10
67.3%
8
32.7%
Q1 - 7:24WASArmstrong Foul Turnover (P1.T2)10
68.7%
8
31.3%
Q1 - 7:24WASArmstrong OFF.Foul (P1)10
8
Q1 - 7:31WASSUB: Armstrong FOR McGee10
8
Q1 - 7:31WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
8
Q1 - 7:32NOHAriza 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)10
67.1%
8
32.9%
Q1 - 7:38NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
65.8%
8
34.2%
Q1 - 7:39WASMISS Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
65.4%
8
34.6%
Q1 - 8:02NOHWest 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
64.6%
8
35.4%
Q1 - 8:18NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
63.1%
8
36.9%
Q1 - 8:19WASMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot6
62.7%
8
37.3%
Q1 - 8:28WASHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
61.8%
8
38.2%
Q1 - 8:30NOHMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Shot6
62.2%
8
37.8%
Q1 - 8:42WASMcGee Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
63.0%
8
37.0%
Q1 - 8:45WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
61.8%
8
38.2%
Q1 - 8:47WASMISS Young 20' Jump Shot6
62.6%
8
37.4%
Q1 - 9:02NOHPaul 2' Layup (2 PTS)6
62.2%
8
37.8%
Q1 - 9:05NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
61.1%
8
38.9%
Q1 - 9:07NOHLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)4
60.3%
8
39.7%
Q1 - 9:08NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
61.1%
8
38.9%
Q1 - 9:09NOHMISS Paul 11' Jump Shot4
60.3%
8
39.7%
Q1 - 9:19WASYoung 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
61.1%
8
38.9%
Q1 - 9:42NOHAriza 1' Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)4
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 9:47WASSUB: Hudson FOR Wall2
6
Q1 - 9:47WASWall P.FOUL (P2.T2)2
6
Q1 - 9:56WASLewis Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
61.2%
6
38.8%
Q1 - 9:59WASLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
62.1%
4
37.9%
Q1 - 10:01WASMISS Young 19' Jump Shot2
62.8%
4
37.2%
Q1 - 10:20NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)2
62.1%
4
37.9%
Q1 - 10:20NOHHornets Rebound2
62.9%
4
37.1%
Q1 - 10:21NOHMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
62.4%
4
37.6%
Q1 - 10:34WASWall P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:59WASYoung 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)2
62.6%
4
37.4%
Q1 - 11:11NOHWest 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)2
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 11:29WASMcGee 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)0
62.2%
2
37.8%
Q1 - 11:31WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 11:32WASMISS Blatche 11' Jump Shot0
62.6%
0
37.4%
Q1 - 11:47NOHLewis STEAL (1 STL)0
62.1%
0
37.9%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball McGee vs. Okafor: Tip to West0
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHWAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.00 50.0%
WAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
22
32
69%
WAS
14
19
74%
Midrange
NOH
9
30
30%
WAS
14
39
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
WAS
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
NOH
15
21
71%
WAS
10
11
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ariza2269%11.0 / 16
E. Okafor1785%8.5 / 10
C. Paul1350%6.5 / 13
J. Jack1255%6.0 / 11
M. Belinelli1161%5.5 / 9
D. West1042%5.0 / 12
W. Green531%2.5 / 8
M. Thornton225%1.0 / 4
J. Smith0-0.0 / 2
A. Gray0-0.0 / 1
Q. Pondexter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Young2455%12.0 / 22
R. Lewis1458%7.0 / 12
J. Wall1255%6.0 / 11
J. McGee1267%6.0 / 9
A. Blatche833%4.0 / 12
C. Martin450%2.0 / 4
L. Hudson338%1.5 / 4
A. Thornton220%1.0 / 5
H. Armstrong250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
75
+17
-14
92
WAS
70
+11
-17
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.00 50.0%
WAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
102.2
NOH 103.4 +10.3
WAS 93.1
Pace
88.9
94.0
NOH 92.4 +8.5
WAS 83.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.3
NOH 15.6 −1.6
WAS 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
47.1%
NOH 49.4% +3.3%
WAS 46.1%
TO %
13.6%
15.5%
NOH 14.7% −2.5%
WAS 17.2%
ORB %
25.1%
28.0%
NOH 27.0% +3.7%
WAS 23.3%
FTrt
29.6
29.0
NOH 26.9 +12.6
WAS 14.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
52.2%
NOH 61.1%
WAS 63.6% +2.5%
STL %
8.5%
8.5%
NOH 16.9% +8.9%
WAS 8.0%
BLK %
7.6%
9.6%
NOH 1.7%
WAS 16.1% +14.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
50.0%
NOH 50.0%
WAS 50.0%
Rim FG%
57.5%
57.5%
NOH 68.8%
WAS 73.7% +4.9%
Mid FG%
42.1%
38.3%
NOH 30.0%
WAS 35.9% +5.9%
3P %
36.0%
33.2%
NOH 31.3% +5.0%
WAS 26.3%
FT %
76.5%
74.5%
NOH 71.4%
WAS 90.9% +19.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
35.7%
NOH 41.0% +16.4%
WAS 24.7%
Mid Att. %
48.6%
47.1%
NOH 38.5% −12.2%
WAS 50.6%
3P Att. %
19.2%
17.2%
NOH 20.5%
WAS 24.7% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHWAS
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points9281
Rebounds4337
Assists2221
Steals157
Blocks110
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (7)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)27 (3)
Field Goals36-7833-77
At-the-Rim FG22-3214-19
Midrange FG9-3014-39
2-Point FG31-6228-58
3-Point FG5-165-19
Free Throws15-2110-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
39.1
22
69%
6
0
5
0
2
2
0
6
0-1
0%
8-10
80%
2-6
33%
C · 6'10" 255 · 28
38.7
17
85%
15
1
0
0
1
2
4
11
3-5
60%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
37.5
10
42%
5
5
0
1
4
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 26
33.2
13
50%
5
11
7
0
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
26.3
11
61%
2
2
0
0
2
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 205 · 29
20.4
5
31%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
16.3
12
55%
0
2
0
0
2
1
0
0
6-7
86%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25
12.7
0
0%
6
0
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24
8.8
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 270 · 26
4.3
0
0%
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 23
2.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
· 6'11" 247 · 31
#28 · C · 7'0" 255 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · F · 6'9" 235 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · G · 6'2" 205 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
50%
43
22
15
1
14
0
10
33
15-21
71%
31-62
50%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.