Final Win Prob. pScore
1919%85
89
181%97
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
100.08995.9
MIA logo Heat
114.88882.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
101
Q4 - 0:02.0MILBrockman 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)89
101
Q4 - 0:02.0MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)87
101
Q4 - 0:03.0MILDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)87
101
Q4 - 0:09.0MILBucks Rebound87
101
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 2' Driving Layup87
101
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T14)87
101
Q4 - 0:35.0MILMaggette Foul Turnover (P2.T9)87
101
Q4 - 0:35.0MILMaggette Offensive Charge Foul (P4.PN)87
101
Q4 - 0:38.0MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
101
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
101
Q4 - 1:01MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)87
101
Q4 - 1:01MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
101
Q4 - 1:01MIAMiller P.FOUL (P2.PN)85
101
Q4 - 1:17MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)85
101
Q4 - 1:18MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
101
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot85
101
Q4 - 1:35MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
101
Q4 - 1:35MILBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
101
Q4 - 1:35MIASUB: Howard FOR Wade83
101
Q4 - 1:35MIASUB: Miller FOR Bosh83
101
Q4 - 1:35MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.PN)83
101
Q4 - 1:40MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
101
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot83
101
Q4 - 2:02MILBoykins 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)83
101
Q4 - 2:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)81
101
Q4 - 2:20MIASUB: Jones FOR James81
100
Q4 - 2:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)81
100
Q4 - 2:20MILMbah a Moute S.FOUL (P3.PN)81
99
Q4 - 2:22MILWade STEAL (1 STL)81
99
Q4 - 2:35MILSUB: Douglas-Roberts FOR Dooling81
99
Q4 - 2:35MILSUB: Boykins FOR Salmons81
99
Q4 - 2:35MILSUB: Brockman FOR Bogut81
99
Q4 - 2:35MILBucks Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)81
99
Q4 - 2:36MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 9 AST)81
99
Q4 - 2:53MILChalmers STEAL (3 STL)81
96
Q4 - 3:20MIAWade 1' Reverse Dunk (32 PTS) (James 8 AST)81
96
Q4 - 3:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
94
Q4 - 3:24MILMISS Mbah a Moute 14' Jump Shot81
94
Q4 - 3:48MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)81
94
Q4 - 4:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)81
91
Q4 - 4:04MILMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot81
91
Q4 - 4:11MIABosh Violation:Kicked Ball81
91
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (30 PTS)81
91
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (29 PTS)81
90
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (28 PTS)81
89
Q4 - 4:21MIL81
88
Q4 - 4:21MILSalmons P.FOUL (P4.PN)81
88
Q4 - 4:38MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)81
88
Q4 - 4:38MILBogut 2' Tip Shot (16 PTS)81
88
Q4 - 4:38MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
88
Q4 - 4:38MILMISS Bogut 2' Tip Shot79
88
Q4 - 4:38MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
88
Q4 - 4:41MILMISS Salmons 2' Driving Layup79
88
Q4 - 4:55MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.T4)79
88
Q4 - 4:57MIADampier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)79
88
Q4 - 4:58MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
88
Q4 - 4:59MILMISS Mbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot79
88
Q4 - 5:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
88
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 279
88
Q4 - 5:19MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)79
88
Q4 - 5:19MILMaggette S.FOUL (P3.T4)79
87
Q4 - 5:35MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
87
Q4 - 5:36MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 279
87
Q4 - 5:36MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
87
Q4 - 5:36MIADampier S.FOUL (P4.T3)78
87
Q4 - 5:50MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS)78
87
Q4 - 6:09MILMaggette 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Salmons 6 AST)78
85
Q4 - 6:15MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
85
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade 2' Reverse Layup76
85
Q4 - 6:23MILMaggette P.FOUL (P2.T3)76
85
Q4 - 6:30MIAHEAT Rebound76
85
Q4 - 6:31MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 176
85
Q4 - 6:31MIADampier S.FOUL (P3.T2)76
85
Q4 - 6:31MILBogut 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)76
85
Q4 - 6:51MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)74
85
Q4 - 7:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)74
82
Q4 - 7:14MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
82
Q4 - 7:31MIADampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)74
82
Q4 - 7:50MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
82
Q4 - 7:51MILMISS Maggette 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
82
Q4 - 7:56MIASUB: James FOR Jones74
82
Q4 - 7:56MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)74
82
Q4 - 8:20MIAWade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)74
82
Q4 - 8:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
80
Q4 - 8:29MILDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)74
80
Q4 - 8:45MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
80
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot74
80
Q4 - 8:5174
80
Q4 - 8:51MIAHEAT Rebound74
80
Q4 - 8:52MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup74
80
Q4 - 9:09MILMbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 5 AST)74
80
Q4 - 9:21MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1)72
80
Q4 - 9:21MILBucks Rebound72
80
Q4 - 9:22MILMISS Salmons 18' Jump Shot72
80
Q4 - 9:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)72
80
Q4 - 9:31MILSUB: Maggette FOR Ilyasova72
79
Q4 - 9:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)72
79
Q4 - 9:31MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard72
78
Q4 - 9:31MILIlyasova S.FOUL (P5.T2)72
78
Q4 - 9:41MIAHEAT Rebound72
78
Q4 - 9:42MILMISS Dooling 12' Jump Shot72
78
Q4 - 10:03MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Douglas-Roberts72
78
Q4 - 10:03MILSUB: Dooling FOR Boykins72
78
Q4 - 10:03MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)72
78
Q4 - 10:03MIAHEAT Rebound72
78
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Chalmers 44' 3PT Jump Shot72
78
Q4 - 10:30MILSalmons 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)72
78
Q4 - 10:37MIADampier Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)70
78
Q4 - 10:39MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
78
Q4 - 10:40MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot70
78
Q4 - 10:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
78
Q4 - 10:59MILMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
78
Q4 - 11:12MIADampier 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)70
78
Q4 - 11:23MILChalmers STEAL (2 STL)70
76
Q4 - 11:40MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)70
76
Q4 - 11:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)70
75
Q4 - 11:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)70
74
Q4 - 11:40MIL70
73
Q4 - 11:40MILDouglas-Roberts S.FOUL (P1.T1)70
73
Q4 - 12:0070
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL70
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound70
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Boykins 61' 3PT Jump Shot70
73
Q3 - 0:02.0MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
73
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot70
73
Q3 - 0:26.0MILBoykins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)70
73
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)68
73
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)68
72
Q3 - 0:38.0MILIlyasova S.FOUL (P4.PN)68
71
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
71
Q3 - 0:46.0MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 2' Reverse Layup68
71
Q3 - 1:07MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)68
71
Q3 - 1:20MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Ilyasova: Tip to Howard68
68
Q3 - 1:20MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)68
68
Q3 - 1:2068
67
Q3 - 1:20MIAHEAT Rebound68
67
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot68
67
Q3 - 1:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
67
Q3 - 1:34MIAMISS James 2' Layup68
67
Q3 - 1:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
67
Q3 - 1:38MILArroyo BLOCK (1 BLK)68
67
Q3 - 2:00MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
67
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot68
67
Q3 - 2:24MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
67
Q3 - 2:24MILBucks Rebound67
67
Q3 - 2:24MILMISS Douglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 267
67
Q3 - 2:24MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh67
67
Q3 - 2:24MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T3)67
67
Q3 - 2:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)67
67
Q3 - 2:41MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
66
Q3 - 2:41MIASUB: Anthony FOR Dampier67
65
Q3 - 2:41MILSUB: Boykins FOR Dooling67
65
Q3 - 2:41MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)67
65
Q3 - 2:41MILMbah a Moute S.FOUL (P2.PN)67
65
Q3 - 2:53MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
65
Q3 - 2:54MILMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
65
Q3 - 3:08MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
65
Q3 - 3:08MILSUB: Douglas-Roberts FOR Brockman67
64
Q3 - 3:08MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade67
64
Q3 - 3:08MIASUB: Dampier FOR Ilgauskas67
64
Q3 - 3:08MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Bogut67
64
Q3 - 3:08MIAHEAT Rebound67
64
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 267
64
Q3 - 3:08MILBogut S.FOUL (P4.PN)67
64
Q3 - 3:26MILDooling 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
64
Q3 - 3:41MIAJames 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)65
64
Q3 - 4:03MILBogut 10' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Salmons 5 AST)65
62
Q3 - 4:23MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
62
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Bank Shot63
62
Q3 - 4:43MILDooling 12' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
62
Q3 - 5:01MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
62
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup61
62
Q3 - 5:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
62
Q3 - 5:24MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 261
62
Q3 - 5:24MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
62
Q3 - 5:24MIAArroyo S.FOUL (P3.T2)60
62
Q3 - 5:33MILSUB: Brockman FOR Ilyasova60
62
Q3 - 5:33MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)60
62
Q3 - 5:39MIAWade 3' Layup (17 PTS) (James 5 AST)60
62
Q3 - 5:56MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
60
Q3 - 5:57MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
60
Q3 - 6:07MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
60
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot60
60
Q3 - 6:22MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
60
Q3 - 6:23MILMISS Salmons 5' Running Jump Shot60
60
Q3 - 6:42MIABosh 3' Driving Dunk (16 PTS)60
60
Q3 - 6:54MILBogut P.FOUL (P3.T4)60
58
Q3 - 6:55MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
58
Q3 - 6:56MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot60
58
Q3 - 7:09MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
58
Q3 - 7:10MILMISS Mbah a Moute 20' Jump Shot60
58
Q3 - 7:28MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)60
58
Q3 - 7:48MILDooling Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)60
56
Q3 - 7:4859
56
Q3 - 7:48MILSalmons 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)59
56
Q3 - 7:54MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
56
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup57
56
Q3 - 8:16MILBogut 3' Dunk (8 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)57
56
Q3 - 8:28MIAWade 2' Putback Dunk (15 PTS)55
56
Q3 - 8:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
54
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Arroyo 8' Jump Shot55
54
Q3 - 8:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
54
Q3 - 8:37MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot55
54
Q3 - 8:52MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
54
Q3 - 8:52MILBucks Rebound54
54
Q3 - 8:52MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 254
54
Q3 - 8:52MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.T1)54
54
Q3 - 9:07MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS)54
54
Q3 - 9:12MILBosh STEAL (2 STL)54
52
Q3 - 9:29MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)54
52
Q3 - 9:35MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
50
Q3 - 9:36MILJames BLOCK (2 BLK)54
50
Q3 - 9:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
50
Q3 - 9:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
49
Q3 - 9:48MILSalmons S.FOUL (P3.T3)54
48
Q3 - 9:58MILIlyasova P.FOUL (P3.T2)54
48
Q3 - 10:14MILSalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)54
48
Q3 - 10:22MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
48
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot51
48
Q3 - 10:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)51
48
Q3 - 10:30MILMISS Ilyasova 12' Jump Shot51
48
Q3 - 10:46MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
48
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
48
Q3 - 10:58MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
48
Q3 - 10:59MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot51
48
Q3 - 11:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)51
48
Q3 - 11:16MIAHEAT Rebound51
47
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 251
47
Q3 - 11:16MILDooling S.FOUL (P2.T1)51
47
Q3 - 11:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
47
Q3 - 11:19MILIlgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)51
47
Q3 - 11:34MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
47
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot51
47
Q3 - 11:45MILBosh STEAL (1 STL)51
47
Q3 - 12:0051
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL51
47
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
47
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
46
Q2 - 0:02.0MILMaggette P.FOUL (P1.PN)51
45
Q2 - 0:09.0MILDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
45
Q2 - 0:09.0MILDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
45
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAArroyo P.FOUL (P2.PN)49
45
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)49
45
Q2 - 0:49.0MILDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
45
Q2 - 0:49.0MILDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
45
Q2 - 0:49.0MILSUB: Maggette FOR Salmons47
45
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAArroyo P.FOUL (P1.PN)47
45
Q2 - 1:07MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
45
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot47
45
Q2 - 1:21MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)47
45
Q2 - 1:21MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
45
Q2 - 1:21MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.PN)45
45
Q2 - 1:37MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
45
Q2 - 1:38MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
45
Q2 - 1:47MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
45
Q2 - 1:48MILMISS Dooling 12' Jump Shot45
45
Q2 - 1:55MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)45
45
Q2 - 2:08MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
45
Q2 - 2:08MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard44
45
Q2 - 2:08MIASUB: Miller FOR Wade44
45
Q2 - 2:08MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
45
Q2 - 2:08MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.PN)43
45
Q2 - 2:21MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
45
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup43
45
Q2 - 2:39MILSalmons 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
45
Q2 - 2:48MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
45
Q2 - 2:48MIAHEAT Rebound41
44
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 241
44
Q2 - 2:48MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)41
44
Q2 - 2:48MILDooling P.FOUL (P1.PN)41
44
Q2 - 2:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
44
Q2 - 2:51MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 17' Fadeaway Jumper41
44
Q2 - 2:59MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
44
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot41
44
Q2 - 3:17MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
44
Q2 - 3:17MILBucks Rebound40
44
Q2 - 3:17MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 240
44
Q2 - 3:17MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.PN)40
44
Q2 - 3:34MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)40
44
Q2 - 3:48MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
42
Q2 - 3:48MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Chalmers39
42
Q2 - 3:48MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
42
Q2 - 3:48MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh38
42
Q2 - 3:48MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.PN)38
42
Q2 - 4:07MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)38
42
Q2 - 4:29MILDouglas-Roberts 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)38
42
Q2 - 4:44MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
42
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
42
Q2 - 5:12MILDooling 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Salmons 4 AST)36
42
Q2 - 5:26MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)33
42
Q2 - 5:26MILSalmons S.FOUL (P2.PN)33
41
Q2 - 5:26MIAJames 12' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)33
41
Q2 - 5:43MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
39
Q2 - 5:47MILBrockman 2' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)33
39
Q2 - 5:52MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
39
Q2 - 5:53MILJames BLOCK (1 BLK)31
39
Q2 - 6:00MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)31
39
Q2 - 6:19MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
39
Q2 - 6:19MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)30
39
Q2 - 6:19MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.PN)29
39
Q2 - 6:26MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
39
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot29
39
Q2 - 6:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
39
Q2 - 6:52MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 229
39
Q2 - 6:52MIASUB: Anthony FOR Dampier29
39
Q2 - 6:52MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
39
Q2 - 6:52MIADampier S.FOUL (P2.PN)28
39
Q2 - 6:59MILSUB: Salmons FOR Maggette28
39
Q2 - 6:59MILSUB: Dooling FOR Boykins28
39
Q2 - 6:59MIASUB: James FOR Miller28
39
Q2 - 6:59MIADampier P.FOUL (P1.T4)28
39
Q2 - 7:08MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)28
39
Q2 - 7:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)28
39
Q2 - 7:13MILMISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot28
39
Q2 - 7:36MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)28
39
Q2 - 7:47MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)28
37
Q2 - 7:4728
36
Q2 - 7:47MILSUB: Brockman FOR Bogut28
36
Q2 - 7:47MILBogut P.FOUL (P2.T4)28
36
Q2 - 7:50MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
36
Q2 - 7:51MIAMISS Wade 3' Dunk28
36
Q2 - 8:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)28
36
Q2 - 8:17MILMISS Maggette Free Throw 2 of 228
36
Q2 - 8:17MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
36
Q2 - 8:17MIAMiller S.FOUL (P1.T3)27
36
Q2 - 8:19MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
36
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
36
Q2 - 8:26MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
36
Q2 - 8:27MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 127
36
Q2 - 8:27MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones27
36
Q2 - 8:27MILSUB: Mbah a Moute FOR Brockman27
36
Q2 - 8:2727
36
Q2 - 8:27MILBrockman S.FOUL (P2.T3)27
36
Q2 - 8:27MIABosh 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)27
36
Q2 - 8:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
34
Q2 - 8:40MILMISS Boykins 11' Fadeaway Jumper27
34
Q2 - 8:59MIAChalmers 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
34
Q2 - 9:18MILBrockman 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)27
32
Q2 - 9:35MIABosh 6' Turnaround Bank Shot (8 PTS)25
32
Q2 - 9:57MILDouglas-Roberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brockman 1 AST)25
30
Q2 - 10:13MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)22
30
Q2 - 10:15MILChalmers STEAL (1 STL)22
30
Q2 - 10:18MILBucks Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)22
30
Q2 - 10:30MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
30
Q2 - 10:30MILSUB: Bogut FOR Ilyasova22
29
Q2 - 10:30MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
29
Q2 - 10:30MILIlyasova S.FOUL (P2.T2)22
28
Q2 - 10:46MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
28
Q2 - 10:47MILMISS Maggette 17' Jump Shot22
28
Q2 - 11:09MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
28
Q2 - 11:09MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
27
Q2 - 11:09MILBrockman S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
26
Q2 - 11:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
26
Q2 - 11:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
26
Q2 - 11:41MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
26
Q2 - 11:41MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
26
Q2 - 11:41MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T2)20
26
Q2 - 11:47MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)20
26
Q2 - 11:47MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
26
Q2 - 11:48MILMISS Boykins 14' Jump Shot20
26
Q2 - 12:0020
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound20
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot20
26
Q1 - 0:22.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
26
Q1 - 0:23.0MILMISS Maggette 10' Running Jump Shot20
26
Q1 - 0:29.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
26
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot20
26
Q1 - 0:35.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo20
26
Q1 - 0:35.0MILSUB: Brockman FOR Ilyasova20
26
Q1 - 0:52.0MILJones STEAL (1 STL)20
26
Q1 - 0:58.0MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
26
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot20
26
Q1 - 1:09MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
26
Q1 - 1:10MILMISS Bogut 3' Layup20
26
Q1 - 1:30MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
26
Q1 - 1:44MILArroyo STEAL (1 STL)20
24
Q1 - 2:09MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)20
24
Q1 - 2:20MIASUB: Dampier FOR Wade20
22
Q1 - 2:20MIASUB: Jones FOR Ilgauskas20
22
Q1 - 2:20MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh20
22
Q1 - 2:20MILSUB: Boykins FOR Dooling20
22
Q1 - 2:20MILSUB: Maggette FOR Mbah a Moute20
22
Q1 - 2:20MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
22
Q1 - 2:20MIAHEAT Rebound20
22
Q1 - 2:21MILMISS Salmons 2' Driving Layup20
22
Q1 - 2:36MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
22
Q1 - 2:59MILIlyasova 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)20
20
Q1 - 3:25MIAWade 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)18
20
Q1 - 3:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
18
Q1 - 3:29MILMISS Bogut 5' Tip Shot18
18
Q1 - 3:30MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
18
Q1 - 3:31MILMISS Mbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot18
18
Q1 - 3:39MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup18
18
Q1 - 3:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
18
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup18
18
Q1 - 4:02MILDooling 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)18
18
Q1 - 4:16MILBucks Rebound16
18
Q1 - 4:16MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Ilyasova: Tip to Bogut16
18
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup16
18
Q1 - 4:24MILBogut P.FOUL (P1.T4)16
18
Q1 - 4:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
18
Q1 - 4:27MILMISS Salmons 4' Jump Shot16
18
Q1 - 4:28MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
18
Q1 - 4:29MILMISS Salmons 2' Driving Layup16
18
Q1 - 4:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
18
Q1 - 4:54MILIlyasova 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)16
18
Q1 - 5:14MIABosh 2' Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)14
18
Q1 - 5:29MILBogut 3' Dunk (6 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)14
16
Q1 - 5:40MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
16
Q1 - 5:40MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
15
Q1 - 5:40MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
14
Q1 - 5:40MILSalmons S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
14
Q1 - 5:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
14
Q1 - 5:44MILIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)12
14
Q1 - 6:03MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
14
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 112
14
Q1 - 6:04MILIlyasova S.FOUL (P1.T2)12
14
Q1 - 6:04MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)12
14
Q1 - 6:13MILMbah a Moute P.FOUL (P1.T1)12
12
Q1 - 6:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
12
Q1 - 6:22MILMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
12
Q1 - 6:48MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
12
Q1 - 7:13MILBogut 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)12
10
Q1 - 7:24MIAIlgauskas P.FOUL (P1.T1)10
10
Q1 - 7:29MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)10
10
Q1 - 7:45MILSalmons 3' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)10
10
Q1 - 8:01MIAIlgauskas 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 8:02MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
8
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot8
8
Q1 - 8:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
8
Q1 - 8:22MILMISS Salmons 13' Fadeaway Jumper8
8
Q1 - 8:27MILBucks Rebound8
8
Q1 - 8:28MILMISS Bogut 14' Jump Shot8
8
Q1 - 8:47MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
8
Q1 - 9:12MILBogut 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
6
Q1 - 9:31MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 9:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 9:43MILMISS Salmons 19' Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 10:00MIAWade 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)6
6
Q1 - 10:17MILSalmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)6
4
Q1 - 10:34MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)3
4
Q1 - 10:51MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)3
2
Q1 - 11:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup0
2
Q1 - 11:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:24MILMISS Bogut 9' Hook Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:43MIAIlgauskas 3' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Bogut: Tip to James0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.98 48.9%
MIA
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
14
28
50%
MIA
17
30
57%
Midrange
MIL
10
33
30%
MIA
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIL
26
34
76%
MIA
31
37
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Salmons1845%9.0 / 20
A. Bogut1653%8.0 / 15
K. Dooling1470%7.0 / 10
L. Mbah a Moute941%4.5 / 11
E. Ilyasova750%3.5 / 7
C. Maggette750%3.5 / 7
C. Douglas-Roberts643%3.0 / 7
J. Brockman6100%3.0 / 3
E. Boykins633%3.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3468%17.0 / 25
L. James2563%12.5 / 20
C. Bosh1956%9.5 / 17
M. Chalmers950%4.5 / 9
Z. Ilgauskas660%3.0 / 5
J. Jones4100%2.0 / 2
C. Arroyo214%1.0 / 7
E. Dampier2100%1.0 / 1
J. Howard0-0.0 / 2
M. Miller0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
80
+11
-9
91
MIA
75
+16
-13
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.98 48.9%
MIA
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
111.4
MIL 100.0
MIA 114.8 +14.8
Pace
89.6
91.3
MIL 95.9 +13.9
MIA 82.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.2
MIL 15.0 −2.5
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
52.4%
MIL 43.2%
MIA 47.3% +4.1%
TO %
13.9%
14.4%
MIL 9.3% −4.1%
MIA 13.4%
ORB %
24.8%
25.2%
MIL 16.7%
MIA 30.8% +14.1%
FTrt
28.7
36.3
MIL 46.6
MIA 50.0 +3.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
54.1%
MIL 48.3% +5.9%
MIA 42.4%
STL %
8.3%
7.3%
MIL 9.0%
MIA 9.1% +0.1%
BLK %
7.9%
8.5%
MIL 6.5%
MIA 11.5% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
55.7%
MIL 48.9%
MIA 54.9% +6.0%
Rim FG%
53.9%
64.7%
MIL 50.0%
MIA 56.7% +6.7%
Mid FG%
39.0%
42.2%
MIL 30.3%
MIA 37.5% +7.2%
3P %
34.2%
37.0%
MIL 41.7% +8.4%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
75.7%
76.9%
MIL 76.5%
MIA 83.8% +7.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
31.6%
MIL 38.4%
MIA 40.5% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
44.9%
MIL 45.2%
MIA 43.2% −2.0%
3P Att. %
21.6%
23.5%
MIL 16.4% +0.2%
MIA 16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points89101
Rebounds3447
Assists1414
Steals88
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)35 (3)
Field Goals29-7333-74
At-the-Rim FG14-2817-30
Midrange FG10-3312-32
2-Point FG24-6129-62
3-Point FG5-124-12
Free Throws26-3431-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 230 · 24
42.1
9
41%
7
1
1
1
1
3
0
7
7-10
70%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 210 · 31
39.6
18
45%
4
6
1
0
2
4
1
3
4-4
100%
4-14
29%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
33.4
14
70%
1
5
2
0
1
2
0
1
5-5
100%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 260 · 26
32.8
16
53%
8
0
1
2
2
4
3
5
2-5
40%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 24
23.2
7
50%
3
0
1
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 210 · 24
19.7
6
43%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 225 · 31
17.7
7
50%
3
1
0
0
2
4
0
3
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 255 · 24
16.9
6
100%
5
1
1
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 5'5" 133 · 35
14.6
6
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 170 · 21
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 35
#10 · G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · F · 6'10" 250 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
49%
34
14
8
4
9
0
7
27
26-34
76%
24-61
39%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.