Final Win Prob. pScore
1128%99
97
272%106
110
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
97.0100101.8
SAS logo Spurs
108.910199.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS97
110
Q4 - 0:04.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
110
Q4 - 0:07.0DENMISS Forbes 24' Jump Shot97
110
Q4 - 0:15.0SASSplitter 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Owens 1 AST)97
110
Q4 - 0:20.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
108
Q4 - 0:23.0DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
108
Q4 - 0:29.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)97
108
Q4 - 0:29.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)97
107
Q4 - 0:29.0DENLawson P.FOUL (P3.PN)97
106
Q4 - 0:30.0DENSmith 2' Slam Dunk (12 PTS)97
106
Q4 - 0:37.0DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
106
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 295
106
Q4 - 0:38.0SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)95
106
Q4 - 0:38.0DENLawson P.FOUL (P2.PN)95
105
Q4 - 0:38.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
105
Q4 - 0:38.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
105
Q4 - 0:45.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)95
105
Q4 - 1:10DENForbes 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)95
105
Q4 - 1:13SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T19)93
105
Q4 - 1:19DENAfflalo 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)93
105
Q4 - 1:23SASQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)91
105
Q4 - 1:35SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)91
105
Q4 - 1:44SASOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
105
Q4 - 1:46DENMISS Smith 6' Jump Bank Shot91
105
Q4 - 1:52SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)91
105
Q4 - 1:52SASSPURS Rebound91
104
Q4 - 1:52SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 291
104
Q4 - 1:52DENSUB: Forbes FOR Harrington91
104
Q4 - 1:52DENHarrington S.FOUL (P5.PN)91
104
Q4 - 2:09DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
104
Q4 - 2:09DENSUB: Ely FOR Nene90
104
Q4 - 2:09DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)90
104
Q4 - 2:09SASSUB: Owens FOR Parker89
104
Q4 - 2:09SASSUB: Splitter FOR Ginobili89
104
Q4 - 2:09SASSUB: Quinn FOR Duncan89
104
Q4 - 2:09SASHill S.FOUL (P4.PN)89
104
Q4 - 2:25SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)89
104
Q4 - 2:44DENNene Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)89
101
Q4 - 2:46SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)89
101
Q4 - 3:05DENSmith 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS)89
101
Q4 - 3:14DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
101
Q4 - 3:15SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
101
Q4 - 3:38SASSPURS Rebound87
101
Q4 - 3:38DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup87
101
Q4 - 3:47DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
101
Q4 - 3:48SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
101
Q4 - 4:05DENLawson 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)87
101
Q4 - 4:16SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)85
101
Q4 - 4:37DENSmith 8' Driving Bank Shot (8 PTS)85
98
Q4 - 4:58SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)83
98
Q4 - 5:19SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Neal83
95
Q4 - 5:19SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)83
95
Q4 - 5:20DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)83
95
Q4 - 5:29SASHill Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)81
95
Q4 - 5:48DENLawson Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)81
95
Q4 - 6:01SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
95
Q4 - 6:01SASSPURS Rebound79
94
Q4 - 6:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 279
94
Q4 - 6:01DENNene S.FOUL (P2.PN)79
94
Q4 - 6:19DENNene 1' Driving Dunk (17 PTS)79
94
Q4 - 6:26SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)77
94
Q4 - 6:26SASSPURS Rebound77
93
Q4 - 6:26SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 277
93
Q4 - 6:26SASSUB: Neal FOR Ginobili77
93
Q4 - 6:26DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)77
93
Q4 - 6:26DENSmith S.FOUL (P4.T4)77
93
Q4 - 6:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:16)77
93
Q4 - 6:31DENMISS Nene 2' Layup77
93
Q4 - 6:46SASHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)77
93
Q4 - 7:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
90
Q4 - 7:07DENMISS Lawson 1' Reverse Layup77
90
Q4 - 7:15SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)77
90
Q4 - 7:15SASSUB: Parker FOR Neal77
89
Q4 - 7:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)77
89
Q4 - 7:15DENSmith S.FOUL (P3.T3)77
88
Q4 - 7:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:15)77
88
Q4 - 7:20DENDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)77
88
Q4 - 7:28DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
88
Q4 - 7:29SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
88
Q4 - 7:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
88
Q4 - 7:51DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot77
88
Q4 - 7:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
88
Q4 - 7:59SASMISS Ginobili 9' Jump Shot77
88
Q4 - 8:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)77
88
Q4 - 8:06DENMISS Afflalo 10' Jump Bank Shot77
88
Q4 - 8:15DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
88
Q4 - 8:16SASMISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
88
Q4 - 8:33DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
88
Q4 - 8:33SASSUB: Jefferson FOR McDyess76
88
Q4 - 8:33SASSUB: Duncan FOR Splitter76
88
Q4 - 8:33DENNuggets Rebound76
88
Q4 - 8:33DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 276
88
Q4 - 8:33SASSplitter S.FOUL (P2.T4)76
88
Q4 - 8:44DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
88
Q4 - 8:45SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
88
Q4 - 8:5876
88
Q4 - 8:58DENAfflalo P.FOUL (P3.T2)76
88
Q4 - 8:58SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
88
Q4 - 8:59SASMISS Neal 18' Jump Shot76
88
Q4 - 9:19DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
88
Q4 - 9:19DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
88
Q4 - 9:19SASSplitter Shooting Block Foul (P1.T3)74
88
Q4 - 9:29SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)74
88
Q4 - 9:42DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
85
Q4 - 9:42DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
85
Q4 - 9:42SASMcDyess S.FOUL (P3.T2)72
85
Q4 - 9:48DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
85
Q4 - 9:49DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
85
Q4 - 9:57DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
85
Q4 - 9:58SASMISS Neal 7' Jump Shot72
85
Q4 - 10:03DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Anthony72
85
Q4 - 10:19DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)72
85
Q4 - 10:29SASNeal P.FOUL (P1.T1)69
85
Q4 - 10:36SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
85
Q4 - 10:36DENSUB: Nene FOR Ely69
84
Q4 - 10:36SASSPURS Rebound69
84
Q4 - 10:36SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 269
84
Q4 - 10:36DENLawson S.FOUL (P1.T1)69
84
Q4 - 10:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
84
Q4 - 10:51DENAnthony 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)69
84
Q4 - 10:52DENMISS Harrington Layup67
84
Q4 - 11:09SASMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)67
84
Q4 - 11:26SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
82
Q4 - 11:27DENMISS Lawson 15' Jump Shot67
82
Q4 - 11:44DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
82
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Neal 4' Running Layup67
82
Q4 - 12:0067
82
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN67
82
Q3 - 0:00.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
82
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 23' Step Back Jump Shot67
82
Q3 - 0:19.0DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)67
82
Q3 - 0:32.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
82
Q3 - 0:32.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)64
81
Q3 - 0:32.0DENEly S.FOUL (P1.PN)64
80
Q3 - 0:42.0DENSUB: Ely FOR Martin64
80
Q3 - 0:42.0DENSUB: Lawson FOR Billups64
80
Q3 - 0:42.0SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan64
80
Q3 - 0:49.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
80
Q3 - 0:51.0DENGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)64
80
Q3 - 0:55.0SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)64
80
Q3 - 1:12SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
80
Q3 - 1:14DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot64
80
Q3 - 1:29SASMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)64
80
Q3 - 1:44SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
78
Q3 - 1:46DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
78
Q3 - 1:46DENMISS Martin 1' Putback Dunk64
78
Q3 - 1:48DENMISS Harrington 1' Layup64
78
Q3 - 2:09SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
78
Q3 - 2:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
77
Q3 - 2:09SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Parker64
76
Q3 - 2:09DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)64
76
Q3 - 2:09DENSmith S.FOUL (P2.PN)64
76
Q3 - 2:26DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)64
76
Q3 - 2:38DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
76
Q3 - 2:39DENMISS Smith Layup61
76
Q3 - 3:03SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)61
76
Q3 - 3:03SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)61
75
Q3 - 3:03DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo61
74
Q3 - 3:03DENBillups P.FOUL (P1.PN)61
74
Q3 - 3:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
74
Q3 - 3:22DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
74
Q3 - 3:28DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
74
Q3 - 3:30SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot61
74
Q3 - 3:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)61
74
Q3 - 3:39DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)61
74
Q3 - 3:46SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)61
74
Q3 - 4:00DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
74
Q3 - 4:00SASSUB: Hill FOR Jefferson60
74
Q3 - 4:00DENSUB: Harrington FOR Nene60
74
Q3 - 4:00DENNuggets Rebound60
74
Q3 - 4:00DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 260
74
Q3 - 4:00SASParker P.FOUL (P2.PN)60
74
Q3 - 4:14SASMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)60
74
Q3 - 4:34DENMartin 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)60
72
Q3 - 4:48SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)58
72
Q3 - 5:09DENBillups 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
69
Q3 - 5:23SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)56
69
Q3 - 5:23SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)56
68
Q3 - 5:23DENMartin S.FOUL (P4.PN)56
67
Q3 - 5:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)56
67
Q3 - 5:38DENMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot56
67
Q3 - 5:51SASSUB: Neal FOR Ginobili56
67
Q3 - 5:51SASSUB: McDyess FOR Blair56
67
Q3 - 5:51SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.T4)56
67
Q3 - 5:51DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
67
Q3 - 5:51SASMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot56
67
Q3 - 6:06DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
67
Q3 - 6:06DENAfflalo 2' Layup (9 PTS)56
67
Q3 - 6:08DENMISS Afflalo 9' Jump Bank Shot54
67
Q3 - 6:26SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)54
67
Q3 - 6:39DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)54
67
Q3 - 6:39SASJefferson S.FOUL (P3.T3)53
67
Q3 - 6:39DENAnthony 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)53
67
Q3 - 6:44SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T2)51
67
Q3 - 7:01SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)51
67
Q3 - 7:08SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)51
65
Q3 - 7:26DENAnthony 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)51
65
Q3 - 7:46SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)49
65
Q3 - 7:46SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)49
64
Q3 - 7:46DENMartin P.FOUL (P3.PN)49
63
Q3 - 7:51DENMartin Violation:Kicked Ball49
63
Q3 - 7:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)49
63
Q3 - 7:58DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
63
Q3 - 8:16SASParker 1' Layup (18 PTS)49
63
Q3 - 8:17SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
61
Q3 - 8:18SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup49
61
Q3 - 8:24SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
61
Q3 - 8:25DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot49
61
Q3 - 8:44DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
61
Q3 - 8:46SASMISS Duncan Layup49
61
Q3 - 8:53DENGinobili STEAL (2 STL)49
61
Q3 - 8:58SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)49
61
Q3 - 9:03SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)49
61
Q3 - 9:03DENBillups T.FOUL (P0.T4)49
60
Q3 - 9:03DENBillups Violation:Kicked Ball49
60
Q3 - 9:09SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)49
60
Q3 - 9:09DENAnthony T.FOUL (P3.T4)49
59
Q3 - 9:15DENParker STEAL (2 STL)49
59
Q3 - 9:28DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
59
Q3 - 9:30SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 249
59
Q3 - 9:30SASSPURS Rebound49
59
Q3 - 9:30SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 249
59
Q3 - 9:30DENAnthony S.FOUL (P3.T4)49
59
Q3 - 9:38DENMartin P.FOUL (P2.T3)49
59
Q3 - 9:40DENParker STEAL (1 STL)49
59
Q3 - 9:57DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
59
Q3 - 9:58SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
59
Q3 - 10:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)49
59
Q3 - 10:08DENMISS Anthony 13' Turnaround Jump Shot49
59
Q3 - 10:25SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
59
Q3 - 10:25SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
58
Q3 - 10:25DENAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T2)49
57
Q3 - 10:31DENMartin P.FOUL (P1.T1)49
57
Q3 - 10:41DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)49
57
Q3 - 10:49DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
57
Q3 - 10:50SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot47
57
Q3 - 11:08DENAfflalo 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)47
57
Q3 - 11:16SASJefferson P.FOUL (P2.T1)45
57
Q3 - 11:27DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
57
Q3 - 11:28SASMISS Blair 9' Jump Shot45
57
Q3 - 11:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)45
57
Q3 - 11:39DENMISS Martin 1' Layup45
57
Q3 - 11:40DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
57
Q3 - 11:41DENMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot45
57
Q3 - 12:0045
57
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS45
57
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN45
57
Q2 - 0:00.0DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)45
57
Q2 - 0:07.0SASParker 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)42
57
Q2 - 0:29.0DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)42
55
Q2 - 0:30.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
55
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Bank Shot42
55
Q2 - 0:54.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)42
55
Q2 - 0:55.0DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot42
55
Q2 - 1:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
55
Q2 - 1:05SASMISS Jefferson 1' Layup42
55
Q2 - 1:28DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
55
Q2 - 1:28SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Hill41
55
Q2 - 1:28DENNuggets Rebound41
55
Q2 - 1:28DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 241
55
Q2 - 1:28SASHill S.FOUL (P3.PN)41
55
Q2 - 1:37SASDuncan 14' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS)41
55
Q2 - 1:54DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
53
Q2 - 1:54DENSUB: Lawson FOR Afflalo40
53
Q2 - 1:54DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
53
Q2 - 1:54SASHill S.FOUL (P2.T3)39
53
Q2 - 2:07SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)39
53
Q2 - 2:07DENForbes S.FOUL (P1.PN)39
52
Q2 - 2:07SASNeal 10' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)39
52
Q2 - 2:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)39
50
Q2 - 2:26DENMISS Nene 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
50
Q2 - 2:50SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
50
Q2 - 2:50DENSUB: Forbes FOR Smith39
49
Q2 - 2:50SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
49
Q2 - 2:50DENAfflalo S.FOUL (P2.PN)39
48
Q2 - 2:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
48
Q2 - 2:54DENMISS Anthony 18' Turnaround Jump Shot39
48
Q2 - 3:10SASParker 2' Layup (14 PTS)39
48
Q2 - 3:20DENSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)39
46
Q2 - 3:34SASHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)39
46
Q2 - 3:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
43
Q2 - 3:45DENMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot39
43
Q2 - 4:12DENSUB: Billups FOR Lawson39
43
Q2 - 4:12DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)39
43
Q2 - 4:15SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)39
43
Q2 - 4:24SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
40
Q2 - 4:26DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup39
40
Q2 - 4:49SASParker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
40
Q2 - 5:07SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
38
Q2 - 5:08DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup39
38
Q2 - 5:17SASParker 1' Layup (10 PTS)39
38
Q2 - 5:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
36
Q2 - 5:24DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot39
36
Q2 - 5:36SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)39
36
Q2 - 5:53DENAfflalo 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
34
Q2 - 6:03SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili37
34
Q2 - 6:03SASHill Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T11)37
34
Q2 - 6:07DENHill STEAL (2 STL)37
34
Q2 - 6:32SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)37
34
Q2 - 6:32SASSUB: Jefferson FOR McDyess37
33
Q2 - 6:32DENSUB: Anthony FOR Harrington37
33
Q2 - 6:32DENSUB: Nene FOR Ely37
33
Q2 - 6:32DENHarrington S.FOUL (P4.T4)37
33
Q2 - 6:32SASGinobili 9' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)37
33
Q2 - 6:36DENSmith Layup (6 PTS)37
31
Q2 - 6:44SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)35
31
Q2 - 6:51SASSUB: Duncan FOR Splitter35
31
Q2 - 6:51DENAfflalo P.FOUL (P1.T3)35
31
Q2 - 7:03DENEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
31
Q2 - 7:03DENEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
31
Q2 - 7:03SASMcDyess S.FOUL (P2.T2)33
31
Q2 - 7:23SASNeal 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)33
31
Q2 - 7:39SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
29
Q2 - 7:41DENMISS Ely 6' Jump Shot33
29
Q2 - 7:56DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)33
29
Q2 - 8:00SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)33
29
Q2 - 8:14SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
26
Q2 - 8:16DENSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)33
26
Q2 - 8:27SASGinobili 4' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)33
26
Q2 - 8:39DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
24
Q2 - 8:39DENNuggets Rebound32
24
Q2 - 8:39DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 232
24
Q2 - 8:39SASMcDyess S.FOUL (P1.T1)32
24
Q2 - 8:51SASGinobili 2' Running Layup (7 PTS)32
24
Q2 - 9:02DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Anthony32
22
Q2 - 9:02DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T3)32
22
Q2 - 9:02DENHarrington Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T2)32
22
Q2 - 9:15SASSplitter 1' Reverse Layup (3 PTS)32
22
Q2 - 9:31DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)32
20
Q2 - 9:42DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
20
Q2 - 9:43SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
20
Q2 - 9:51SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
20
Q2 - 9:53DENMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot29
20
Q2 - 10:04SASJump Ball Splitter vs. Ely: Tip to Smith29
20
Q2 - 10:04SAS29
20
Q2 - 10:11DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
20
Q2 - 10:12SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
20
Q2 - 10:16DENSmith P.FOUL (P1.T1)29
20
Q2 - 10:32SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)29
20
Q2 - 10:34DENHarrington 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)29
20
Q2 - 10:42DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
20
Q2 - 10:44SASMISS Splitter 6' Jump Shot27
20
Q2 - 10:50SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20
Q2 - 10:51DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
20
Q2 - 10:59DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20
Q2 - 11:00SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup27
20
Q2 - 11:12DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)27
20
Q2 - 11:25SASHill Foul Turnover (P2.T9)24
20
Q2 - 11:25SASHill OFF.Foul (P1)24
20
Q2 - 11:39SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
20
Q2 - 11:40DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
20
Q2 - 12:0024
20
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN24
20
Q1 - 0:01.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)24
20
Q1 - 0:14.0DENHill STEAL (1 STL)24
20
Q1 - 0:31.0SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
20
Q1 - 0:31.0SASSPURS Rebound24
19
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 224
19
Q1 - 0:31.0DENSUB: Lawson FOR Billups24
19
Q1 - 0:31.0DENSUB: Ely FOR Nene24
19
Q1 - 0:31.0SASSUB: Neal FOR Parker24
19
Q1 - 0:31.0SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Jefferson24
19
Q1 - 0:31.0DENNene S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
19
Q1 - 0:49.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19
Q1 - 0:51.0DENMISS Smith 11' Turnaround Jump Shot24
19
Q1 - 1:04DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19
Q1 - 1:06SASMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot24
19
Q1 - 1:27DENHarrington 10' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)24
19
Q1 - 1:41SASSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)22
19
Q1 - 1:52DENHarrington P.FOUL (P1.T2)22
19
Q1 - 2:06DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
19
Q1 - 2:18SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)20
19
Q1 - 2:35DENAnthony 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
17
Q1 - 2:45SASHill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)18
17
Q1 - 2:57SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan18
17
Q1 - 2:57DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo18
17
Q1 - 2:57DENSUB: Harrington FOR Martin18
17
Q1 - 2:57DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
17
Q1 - 2:57SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)18
17
Q1 - 3:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
17
Q1 - 3:03DENMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot18
17
Q1 - 3:26DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
17
Q1 - 3:27SASMISS Parker 1' Layup18
17
Q1 - 3:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
17
Q1 - 3:32DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup18
17
Q1 - 3:45DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
17
Q1 - 3:46DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 218
17
Q1 - 3:46SASSUB: McDyess FOR Blair18
17
Q1 - 3:46SASSUB: Hill FOR Ginobili18
17
Q1 - 3:46DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
17
Q1 - 3:46SASBlair S.FOUL (P2.T3)17
17
Q1 - 3:51DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
17
Q1 - 3:53SASMISS Ginobili 18' Step Back Jump Shot17
17
Q1 - 4:15DENNene 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)17
17
Q1 - 4:20SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
17
Q1 - 4:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
17
Q1 - 4:29DENMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot15
17
Q1 - 4:48SASParker 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)15
17
Q1 - 5:00SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
15
Q1 - 5:01DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup15
15
Q1 - 5:22SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)15
15
Q1 - 5:30SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
12
Q1 - 5:31DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot15
12
Q1 - 5:43DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
12
Q1 - 5:45SASMISS Parker 1' Layup15
12
Q1 - 5:52SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
12
Q1 - 5:53DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
12
Q1 - 6:12SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)15
12
Q1 - 6:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
12
Q1 - 6:16DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot15
12
Q1 - 6:30SASParker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
12
Q1 - 6:40DENJefferson STEAL (1 STL)15
10
Q1 - 6:51DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10
Q1 - 6:52SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot15
10
Q1 - 7:11SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
10
Q1 - 7:13DENNene Layup (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)15
10
Q1 - 7:23DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
10
Q1 - 7:25SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup13
10
Q1 - 7:45DENAnthony 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)13
10
Q1 - 7:50SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
10
Q1 - 8:04DENNene 1' Dunk (4 PTS)11
10
Q1 - 8:18SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)9
10
Q1 - 8:32DENMartin 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)9
8
Q1 - 8:45DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
8
Q1 - 8:46SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
8
Q1 - 9:00DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
8
Q1 - 9:00SASBlair S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
8
Q1 - 9:00DENAfflalo 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
8
Q1 - 9:04SASBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)4
8
Q1 - 9:06SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 9:08SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 9:10SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 9:12SASMISS Blair 17' Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 9:34DENMartin 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
8
Q1 - 9:59SASGinobili 11' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
8
Q1 - 10:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 10:06DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)2
6
Q1 - 10:18SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)2
6
Q1 - 10:28SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
3
Q1 - 10:29DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot2
3
Q1 - 10:41SASBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
3
Q1 - 10:43SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
3
Q1 - 10:44DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 22
3
Q1 - 10:44DENNuggets Rebound2
3
Q1 - 10:44DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 22
3
Q1 - 10:44SASJefferson S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
3
Q1 - 10:59SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
3
Q1 - 10:59DENAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:59SASBlair 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:11DENNene 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:33DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:34SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Nene: Tip to Ginobili0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 49.0%
SAS
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
22
38
58%
SAS
10
18
56%
Midrange
DEN
9
32
28%
SAS
14
28
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
SAS
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
Free Throws
DEN
17
24
71%
SAS
29
37
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington1864%9.0 / 14
Nene1765%8.5 / 13
C. Anthony1233%6.0 / 18
A. Afflalo1250%6.0 / 12
J. Smith1255%6.0 / 11
T. Lawson950%4.5 / 9
C. Billups735%3.5 / 10
K. Martin650%3.0 / 6
M. Ely250%1.0 / 2
G. Forbes250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3083%15.0 / 18
M. Ginobili1853%9.0 / 17
G. Hill1488%7.0 / 8
G. Neal1470%7.0 / 10
R. Jefferson1050%5.0 / 10
T. Duncan950%4.5 / 9
A. McDyess675%3.0 / 4
T. Splitter660%3.0 / 5
D. Blair350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
90
+7
-10
97
SAS
82
+4
-19
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 49.0%
SAS
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
111.5
DEN 97.0
SAS 108.9 +11.9
Pace
95.2
92.7
DEN 101.8 +2.6
SAS 99.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.7
DEN 14.1 −0.4
SAS 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
52.7%
DEN 46.5%
SAS 59.6% +13.1%
TO %
14.5%
13.8%
DEN 9.4% −9.8%
SAS 19.2%
ORB %
23.8%
25.0%
DEN 14.0% +2.6%
SAS 11.4%
FTrt
36.7
29.9
DEN 27.9
SAS 54.4 +26.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
58.3%
DEN 56.8%
SAS 68.6% +11.8%
STL %
7.7%
7.9%
DEN 15.0% +8.1%
SAS 6.9%
BLK %
6.8%
6.7%
DEN 10.9% +3.8%
SAS 7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
55.3%
DEN 49.0%
SAS 63.2% +14.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
60.3%
DEN 57.9% +2.3%
SAS 55.6%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.6%
DEN 28.1%
SAS 50.0% +21.9%
3P %
38.8%
39.7%
DEN 37.5%
SAS 50.0% +12.5%
FT %
76.6%
76.7%
DEN 70.8%
SAS 78.4% +7.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
34.3%
DEN 44.2% +17.7%
SAS 26.5%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
39.7%
DEN 37.2% −4.0%
SAS 41.2%
3P Att. %
25.8%
26.1%
DEN 18.6%
SAS 32.4% +13.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points97110
Rebounds3847
Assists2124
Steals157
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)4 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)43 (1)
Field Goals37-8635-68
At-the-Rim FG22-3810-18
Midrange FG9-3214-28
2-Point FG31-7024-46
3-Point FG6-1611-22
Free Throws17-2429-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 27
35.5
12
33%
5
3
3
2
4
3
1
4
2-3
67%
5-17
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
35.2
12
50%
4
2
1
2
1
3
2
2
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
34.5
17
65%
7
4
5
0
2
2
1
6
5-6
83%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
27.0
7
35%
4
4
0
1
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 33
20.4
6
50%
5
2
0
0
0
4
2
3
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
27.2
12
55%
6
4
4
0
1
4
1
5
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
22.9
9
50%
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
22.6
18
64%
4
0
1
0
1
5
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
4-8
50%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
10.3
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
4.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
G · 6'1" 190 · 36
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
49%
38
21
15
5
10
0
7
31
17-24
71%
31-70
44%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.