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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 17, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Suns40%107129
12Knicks60%110121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.0
38.9
29.0
29
69%
12
4
0
1
0
1
2
10
2-2
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
47%
5-8
63%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.9
37.3
32.1
15
74%
8
11
2
1
0
5
1
7
7-7
100%
1-4
5-8
25%
54%
2-3
67%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.3
37.3
26.0
25
65%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
11-12
92%
4-11
4-9
36%
51%
2-3
67%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.7
32.2
35.7
18
60%
2
3
0
1
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.8
16.6
19.2
12
55%
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
26.6
27.0
8
58%
4
2
0
1
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.9
19.2
18.6
6
43%
7
2
1
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
54%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.5
17.0
13.7
9
58%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
14.7
19.5
7
51%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.6
11.2
0
1-3
56%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
11.1
0
1-1
49%
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.4
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.2
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
44.3
36.4
23
53%
5
2
1
1
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
8-12
5-10
67%
54%
2-9
22%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.6
38.9
36.1
7
27%
3
13
2
2
0
5
1
2
0-0
-
2-9
5-10
22%
49%
1-4
25%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.2
35.0
34.7
41
68%
6
1
0
1
1
2
2
4
11-12
92%
15-24
10-18
63%
55%
0-1
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.6
33.3
32.0
11
79%
9
2
1
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
59%
3-4
75%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
30.7
33.2
17
78%
4
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
8-9
89%
3-4
3-5
75%
50%
1-3
33%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.9
24.8
25.0
6
43%
4
2
0
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-3
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.3
17.3
19.3
9
113%
5
1
0
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
3-4
75%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
15.8
23.1
7
39%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.4
4.8
0
0-1
44%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.5
1.6
0
0-1
47%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.5
1.6
0
0-0
54%
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.0
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.1
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.