Final Win Prob. pScore
2513%91
103
287%106
120
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
113.291100.7
MIA logo Heat
129.09384.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA103
120
Q4 - 0:10.0TORBargnani 22' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Calderon 13 AST)103
120
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)101
120
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
120
Q4 - 0:48.0TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot101
120
Q4 - 1:03MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)101
120
Q4 - 1:03MIASUB: Howard FOR James101
119
Q4 - 1:03TORBayless S.FOUL (P5.PN)101
119
Q4 - 1:03MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)101
119
Q4 - 1:14MIAHEAT Rebound101
116
Q4 - 1:15TORMISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
116
Q4 - 1:29MIAHouse P.FOUL (P1.T4)101
116
Q4 - 1:29TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
116
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot101
116
Q4 - 1:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)101
116
Q4 - 1:49TORAnthony BLOCK (4 BLK)101
116
Q4 - 2:03MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)101
116
Q4 - 2:11MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
113
Q4 - 2:12TORMISS Bargnani 11' Jump Shot101
113
Q4 - 2:25TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)101
113
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot101
113
Q4 - 2:45TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)101
113
Q4 - 3:08MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)98
113
Q4 - 3:08MIAHEAT Rebound98
112
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 298
112
Q4 - 3:08TORBayless P.FOUL (P4.PN)98
112
Q4 - 3:11TORJames STEAL (2 STL)98
112
Q4 - 3:19MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)98
112
Q4 - 3:38TORDeRozan 9' Hook Shot (30 PTS)98
112
Q4 - 3:52MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)96
112
Q4 - 3:52MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)96
111
Q4 - 3:52TORDavis P.FOUL (P4.PN)96
110
Q4 - 3:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
110
Q4 - 3:52TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot96
110
Q4 - 4:14TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)96
110
Q4 - 4:16MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (37 PTS)96
110
Q4 - 4:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)96
108
Q4 - 4:21TORMISS Bargnani 13' Jump Shot96
108
Q4 - 4:30TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)96
108
Q4 - 4:31MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 196
108
Q4 - 4:31TORCalderon S.FOUL (P3.T4)96
108
Q4 - 4:31MIAJames 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (35 PTS)96
108
Q4 - 4:59TORDeRozan 2' Reverse Layup (28 PTS)96
106
Q4 - 5:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)94
106
Q4 - 5:12TORBayless S.FOUL (P3.T3)94
105
Q4 - 5:12MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (32 PTS)94
105
Q4 - 5:24TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)94
103
Q4 - 5:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)94
103
Q4 - 5:37MIAHEAT Rebound94
102
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 294
102
Q4 - 5:37TORDavis S.FOUL (P3.T2)94
102
Q4 - 5:55TORCalderon 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)94
102
Q4 - 6:05TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)92
102
Q4 - 6:06MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 6 AST)92
102
Q4 - 6:27TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Calderon 12 AST)92
99
Q4 - 6:37MIAHouse Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)89
99
Q4 - 6:53TORDeRozan 2' Reverse Layup (26 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)89
99
Q4 - 6:59TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
99
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup87
99
Q4 - 7:06MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)87
99
Q4 - 7:06TORRaptors T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bayless )87
98
Q4 - 7:26MIASUB: Jones FOR Miller87
98
Q4 - 7:26MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)87
98
Q4 - 7:26TORBargnani 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)87
98
Q4 - 7:37MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T11)85
98
Q4 - 7:37MIAAnthony OFF.Foul (P4)85
98
Q4 - 7:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
98
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS James 12' Fadeaway Jumper85
98
Q4 - 7:58TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)85
98
Q4 - 8:03MIASUB: James FOR Howard83
98
Q4 - 8:03TORRaptors Rebound83
98
Q4 - 8:04TORAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)83
98
Q4 - 8:21MIAMiller 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)83
98
Q4 - 8:26TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Johnson83
98
Q4 - 8:26MIAHEAT Rebound83
98
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Anthony 5' Hook Shot83
98
Q4 - 8:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
98
Q4 - 8:45TORMISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
98
Q4 - 9:08MIAHoward 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)83
98
Q4 - 9:32TORJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)83
96
Q4 - 9:48MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)83
96
Q4 - 10:13TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
93
Q4 - 10:13TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)82
93
Q4 - 10:13MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P4.T3)81
93
Q4 - 10:15MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)81
93
Q4 - 10:22MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
93
Q4 - 10:23TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup81
93
Q4 - 10:43MIAMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)81
93
Q4 - 10:43MIAHEAT Rebound81
92
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 281
92
Q4 - 10:43TORJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T1)81
92
Q4 - 10:58TORDeRozan 3' Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)81
92
Q4 - 11:02MIAMiller P.FOUL (P4.T2)79
92
Q4 - 11:21TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
92
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot79
92
Q4 - 11:26TORCalderon Violation:Kicked Ball79
92
Q4 - 11:47TORDavis 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)79
92
Q4 - 11:53MIAMiller P.FOUL (P3.T1)77
92
Q4 - 12:0077
92
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
92
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound77
92
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 68' 3PT Jump Shot77
92
Q3 - 0:01.0TORDeRozan 3' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)77
92
Q3 - 0:05.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
92
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot75
92
Q3 - 0:27.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)75
92
Q3 - 0:27.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
92
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.PN)73
92
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)73
92
Q3 - 1:01TORDavis L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)73
89
Q3 - 1:01MIAHEAT Rebound73
89
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
89
Q3 - 1:19TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)73
89
Q3 - 1:19MIAHoward S.FOUL (P2.PN)72
89
Q3 - 1:19TORBayless 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)72
89
Q3 - 1:23TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
89
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
89
Q3 - 1:46TORBargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)70
89
Q3 - 1:59MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (29 PTS)67
89
Q3 - 2:15TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)67
87
Q3 - 2:15TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)66
87
Q3 - 2:15MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P3.T4)65
87
Q3 - 2:29MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
87
Q3 - 2:56TORDeRozan 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
85
Q3 - 3:03TORRaptors Rebound63
85
Q3 - 3:04TORAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)63
85
Q3 - 3:13MIASUB: House FOR Jones63
85
Q3 - 3:13MIAArroyo Foul Turnover (P2.T8)63
85
Q3 - 3:13MIAArroyo OFF.Foul (P1)63
85
Q3 - 3:21TORSUB: Davis FOR Johnson63
85
Q3 - 3:21TORSUB: Bayless FOR Wright63
85
Q3 - 3:21MIASUB: James FOR Miller63
85
Q3 - 3:21MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)63
85
Q3 - 3:22TORBargnani 4' Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)63
85
Q3 - 3:24TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
85
Q3 - 3:25TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot61
85
Q3 - 3:41MIASUB: Miller FOR James61
85
Q3 - 3:41MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)61
85
Q3 - 3:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)61
84
Q3 - 3:41TORWright S.FOUL (P2.T3)61
83
Q3 - 3:53MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas61
83
Q3 - 3:53MIASUB: Howard FOR Miller61
83
Q3 - 3:53TORJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)61
83
Q3 - 4:08MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (25 PTS)61
83
Q3 - 4:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)61
81
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS James 2' Layup61
81
Q3 - 4:37TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)61
81
Q3 - 4:49MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (23 PTS)58
81
Q3 - 5:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
79
Q3 - 5:01TORMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot58
79
Q3 - 5:08TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
79
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot58
79
Q3 - 5:30TORJohnson 2' Tip Shot (14 PTS)58
79
Q3 - 5:31TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
79
Q3 - 5:33TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup56
79
Q3 - 5:47MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Chalmers56
79
Q3 - 5:47MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T3)56
79
Q3 - 5:54MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)56
79
Q3 - 6:02MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
79
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot56
79
Q3 - 6:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
79
Q3 - 6:22TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot56
79
Q3 - 6:44MIAIlgauskas 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)56
79
Q3 - 6:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
77
Q3 - 6:52TORMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot56
77
Q3 - 7:09MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)56
77
Q3 - 7:09MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
76
Q3 - 7:09TORJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T2)56
75
Q3 - 7:09MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
75
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Layup56
75
Q3 - 7:26MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)56
75
Q3 - 7:26TORDeRozan 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
75
Q3 - 7:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
75
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot54
75
Q3 - 7:55TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)54
75
Q3 - 7:55MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P3.T2)53
75
Q3 - 7:55TORDeRozan 2' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)53
75
Q3 - 8:08MIAMiller 21' Jump Shot (31 PTS)51
75
Q3 - 8:16TORCalderon P.FOUL (P2.T1)51
73
Q3 - 8:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
73
Q3 - 8:25TORMISS DeRozan 9' Running Hook Shot51
73
Q3 - 8:38MIAIlgauskas L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)51
73
Q3 - 8:38TORRaptors Rebound51
73
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot51
73
Q3 - 9:03TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)51
73
Q3 - 9:19MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)49
73
Q3 - 9:43TORDeRozan 2' Driving Dunk (9 PTS)49
70
Q3 - 9:47MIAIlgauskas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)47
70
Q3 - 10:09TORCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)47
70
Q3 - 10:25TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
70
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
70
Q3 - 10:51TORWright 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)44
70
Q3 - 11:03MIAMiller 2' Layup (26 PTS) (James 4 AST)42
70
Q3 - 11:25TORJohnson 3' Layup (12 PTS)42
68
Q3 - 11:27TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
68
Q3 - 11:28TORIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)40
68
Q3 - 11:42MIAJames 9' Running Hook Shot (21 PTS)40
68
Q3 - 12:0040
66
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
66
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound40
66
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
66
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAJames Violation:Defensive Goaltending40
66
Q2 - 0:07.0TORCalderon 2' Layup (6 PTS)40
66
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
66
Q2 - 0:30.0TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)38
66
Q2 - 0:40.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
66
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot38
66
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
66
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 138
66
Q2 - 0:57.0TORCalderon S.FOUL (P1.PN)38
66
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)38
66
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
64
Q2 - 0:59.0TORMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot38
64
Q2 - 1:11TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)38
64
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot38
64
Q2 - 1:42TORWright 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)38
64
Q2 - 1:57TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
64
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 136
64
Q2 - 1:58TORBayless S.FOUL (P2.T4)36
64
Q2 - 1:58MIAJames 3' Layup (17 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)36
64
Q2 - 2:11TORBargnani P.FOUL (P1.T3)36
62
Q2 - 2:27TORDavis P.FOUL (P1.T2)36
62
Q2 - 2:27MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
62
Q2 - 2:28TORMISS Bayless 4' Driving Layup36
62
Q2 - 2:37TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
62
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot36
62
Q2 - 2:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
62
Q2 - 2:55TORMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 136
62
Q2 - 2:55MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.PN)36
62
Q2 - 2:55TORDavis 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
62
Q2 - 3:09MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Chalmers34
62
Q2 - 3:09TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)34
62
Q2 - 3:18MIAAnthony 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)34
62
Q2 - 3:41TORDavis 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)34
60
Q2 - 3:44TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
60
Q2 - 3:45TORMISS Bargnani 3' Driving Layup32
60
Q2 - 3:56MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)32
60
Q2 - 4:01MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
57
Q2 - 4:03TORJames BLOCK (1 BLK)32
57
Q2 - 4:11TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
57
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS Anthony 2' Alley Oop Layup32
57
Q2 - 4:20TORMiller STEAL (1 STL)32
57
Q2 - 4:29MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)32
57
Q2 - 4:40MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
54
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS James 4' Driving Layup32
54
Q2 - 4:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
54
Q2 - 4:47TORMISS Bargnani 8' Hook Shot32
54
Q2 - 5:03TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
54
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot32
54
Q2 - 5:23TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
54
Q2 - 5:23TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
54
Q2 - 5:2330
54
Q2 - 5:23MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P2.PN)30
54
Q2 - 5:31MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (House 1 AST)30
54
Q2 - 5:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
51
Q2 - 5:44TORMISS Bargnani 9' Turnaround Jump Shot30
51
Q2 - 5:54TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
51
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot30
51
Q2 - 6:19TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
51
Q2 - 6:19TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
51
Q2 - 6:19MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T4)28
51
Q2 - 6:23TORSUB: Davis FOR Johnson28
51
Q2 - 6:23MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T3)28
51
Q2 - 6:26TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
51
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
51
Q2 - 6:34TORJohnson 3' Putback Dunk (10 PTS)28
51
Q2 - 6:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
51
Q2 - 6:37TORMISS Calderon 3' Driving Layup26
51
Q2 - 6:48MIAMiller 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)26
51
Q2 - 6:58MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
49
Q2 - 6:59TORMISS Bargnani 13' Turnaround Jump Shot26
49
Q2 - 7:20MIAMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)26
49
Q2 - 7:20TORSUB: Wright FOR DeRozan26
48
Q2 - 7:20MIASUB: James FOR Howard26
48
Q2 - 7:20TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P3.T1)26
48
Q2 - 7:20MIAMiller 4' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)26
48
Q2 - 7:34TORBargnani 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
46
Q2 - 7:53MIAMiller 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)24
46
Q2 - 8:03TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)24
44
Q2 - 8:03MIAMiller S.FOUL (P2.T2)23
44
Q2 - 8:03TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
44
Q2 - 8:06MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)21
44
Q2 - 8:15MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
44
Q2 - 8:16TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup21
44
Q2 - 8:23TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
44
Q2 - 8:24MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
44
Q2 - 8:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
44
Q2 - 8:33TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot21
44
Q2 - 8:47TORSUB: Calderon FOR Gaines21
44
Q2 - 8:47TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Davis21
44
Q2 - 8:47TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)21
44
Q2 - 8:56MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)21
44
Q2 - 9:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
41
Q2 - 9:02MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot21
41
Q2 - 9:25TORJohnson 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Gaines 1 AST)21
41
Q2 - 9:30TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
41
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
41
Q2 - 9:38MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
41
Q2 - 9:38TORMISS Bargnani 14' Turnaround Jump Shot19
41
Q2 - 9:58MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)19
41
Q2 - 10:22TORBayless Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)19
38
Q2 - 10:41TORGaines REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
38
Q2 - 10:42MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot19
38
Q2 - 10:59TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
38
Q2 - 10:59TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
38
Q2 - 10:59MIAHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)17
38
Q2 - 11:11MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
38
Q2 - 11:15MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
35
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot17
35
Q2 - 11:25MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
35
Q2 - 11:26TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot17
35
Q2 - 11:45MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)17
35
Q2 - 12:0017
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
32
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
32
Q1 - 0:02.0TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
32
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)17
32
Q1 - 0:22.0TORSUB: Calderon FOR Wright17
31
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)17
31
Q1 - 0:22.0TORBayless P.FOUL (P1.PN)17
30
Q1 - 0:36.0TORBargnani 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)17
30
Q1 - 0:51.0TORGaines REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
30
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot15
30
Q1 - 1:09MIASUB: House FOR Jones15
30
Q1 - 1:09TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
30
Q1 - 1:23MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)15
30
Q1 - 1:23MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)15
29
Q1 - 1:23TORSUB: Bayless FOR Johnson15
28
Q1 - 1:23TORSUB: Bargnani FOR DeRozan15
28
Q1 - 1:23TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P2.T4)15
28
Q1 - 1:39TORJones STEAL (1 STL)15
28
Q1 - 1:48TORRaptors Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)15
28
Q1 - 1:57TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
28
Q1 - 1:58TORMISS Gaines 16' Turnaround Jump Shot15
28
Q1 - 2:16TORSUB: Gaines FOR Bayless15
28
Q1 - 2:16TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
28
Q1 - 2:21MIAHoward 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)15
28
Q1 - 2:39MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
26
Q1 - 2:41TORMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot15
26
Q1 - 2:44MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
26
Q1 - 2:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
26
Q1 - 2:48TORHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)15
26
Q1 - 2:50TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
26
Q1 - 2:51TORMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot15
26
Q1 - 3:05MIAJames 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)15
26
Q1 - 3:16MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
24
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot15
24
Q1 - 3:32TORSUB: Bayless FOR Calderon15
24
Q1 - 3:32MIAJones Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)15
24
Q1 - 3:32TORRaptors T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Johnson )15
23
Q1 - 3:48MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Chalmers15
23
Q1 - 3:48TORDeRozan P.FOUL (P1.T3)15
23
Q1 - 3:49TORJames STEAL (1 STL)15
23
Q1 - 4:10TORSUB: Davis FOR Bargnani15
23
Q1 - 4:10MIASUB: Howard FOR Miller15
23
Q1 - 4:10MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)15
23
Q1 - 4:14MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23
Q1 - 4:15TORAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)15
23
Q1 - 4:23TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
23
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Anthony 3' Layup15
23
Q1 - 4:28MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
23
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
23
Q1 - 4:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23
Q1 - 4:37TORMISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot15
23
Q1 - 4:51MIAJames 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)15
23
Q1 - 5:12TORDeRozan 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
21
Q1 - 5:16TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
21
Q1 - 5:17TORMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot13
21
Q1 - 5:36MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)13
21
Q1 - 5:48MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
19
Q1 - 5:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
19
Q1 - 5:57TORMISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot13
19
Q1 - 6:11MIAMiller 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)13
19
Q1 - 6:27TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
17
Q1 - 6:27TORRaptors Rebound12
17
Q1 - 6:27TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 212
17
Q1 - 6:27MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T4)12
17
Q1 - 6:37TORRaptors Rebound12
17
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot12
17
Q1 - 6:50TORDeRozan 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
17
Q1 - 7:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
17
Q1 - 7:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
16
Q1 - 7:03TORJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
15
Q1 - 7:09MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas10
15
Q1 - 7:09TORWright P.FOUL (P1.T1)10
15
Q1 - 7:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15
Q1 - 7:17TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot10
15
Q1 - 7:31MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)10
15
Q1 - 7:47TORJohnson 3' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)10
12
Q1 - 7:53MIAMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
12
Q1 - 8:11TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
12
Q1 - 8:11TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
12
Q1 - 8:11MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T3)6
12
Q1 - 8:14TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
12
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup6
12
Q1 - 8:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
12
Q1 - 8:21TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot6
12
Q1 - 8:39MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
12
Q1 - 8:58TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
9
Q1 - 8:58TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
9
Q1 - 8:58MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
9
Q1 - 9:13MIAJames 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)4
9
Q1 - 9:28TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
7
Q1 - 9:40MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
7
Q1 - 9:54TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
5
Q1 - 9:54TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
5
Q1 - 9:54MIAMiller S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
5
Q1 - 10:03MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
5
Q1 - 10:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:18TORChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)2
2
Q1 - 10:33TORRaptors Rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:34TORMISS DeRozan 9' Running Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:41TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:59MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:00TORMISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:16MIAJames 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:38TORBargnani 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Bargnani: Tip to Calderon0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.13 56.6%
MIA
1.28 63.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
20
33
61%
MIA
13
21
62%
Midrange
TOR
13
40
33%
MIA
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
5
7.5
8
63%
94%
MIA
16
24.0
26
62%
92%
Free Throws
TOR
22
24
92%
MIA
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3058%15.0 / 26
A. Bargnani2852%14.0 / 27
J. Calderon1470%7.0 / 10
A. Johnson1478%7.0 / 9
J. Bayless750%3.5 / 7
E. Davis675%3.0 / 4
J. Wright429%2.0 / 7
S. Gaines0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3856%19.0 / 34
M. Miller3276%16.0 / 21
J. Jones1594%7.5 / 8
E. House1365%6.5 / 10
M. Chalmers10167%5.0 / 3
Z. Ilgauskas467%2.0 / 3
J. Howard450%2.0 / 4
J. Anthony225%1.0 / 4
C. Arroyo250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
80
+11
-11
91
MIA
80
+14
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.13 56.6%
MIA
1.28 63.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
111.4
TOR 113.2
MIA 129.0 +15.8
Pace
93.1
91.3
TOR 100.7 +15.9
MIA 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.2
TOR 14.3 −2.7
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
52.4%
TOR 50.0%
MIA 62.5% +12.5%
TO %
15.0%
14.4%
TOR 10.7% −2.6%
MIA 13.3%
ORB %
28.3%
25.2%
TOR 20.0%
MIA 28.6% +8.6%
FTrt
29.3
36.3
TOR 29.6
MIA 32.5 +2.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
54.1%
TOR 52.6%
MIA 64.3% +11.7%
STL %
7.6%
7.3%
TOR 7.7% +3.4%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
6.7%
8.5%
TOR 1.9%
MIA 11.0% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
55.7%
TOR 56.6%
MIA 63.8% +7.2%
Rim FG%
58.9%
64.7%
TOR 60.6%
MIA 61.9% +1.3%
Mid FG%
41.2%
42.2%
TOR 32.5%
MIA 39.4% +6.9%
3P %
31.6%
37.0%
TOR 62.5% +1.0%
MIA 61.5%
FT %
75.5%
76.9%
TOR 91.7% +14.8%
MIA 76.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
31.6%
TOR 40.7% +14.5%
MIA 26.3%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
44.9%
TOR 49.4%
MIA 41.3% −8.1%
3P Att. %
16.2%
23.5%
TOR 9.9%
MIA 32.5% +22.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9193
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points103120
Rebounds3342
Assists2027
Steals74
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)32 (1)
Field Goals38-8142-80
At-the-Rim FG20-3313-21
Midrange FG13-4013-33
2-Point FG33-7326-54
3-Point FG5-816-26
Free Throws22-2420-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
41.6
28
52%
4
1
0
0
3
1
1
3
5-6
83%
7-21
33%
3-3
100%
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
41.6
14
70%
5
13
2
0
2
3
0
5
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
G · 6'6" 220 · 21
36.1
30
58%
2
1
2
0
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
13-24
54%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
28.4
14
78%
6
1
0
0
2
3
3
3
4-4
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
27.6
4
29%
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
30.0
7
50%
3
2
1
0
2
5
0
3
5-5
100%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22
29.1
6
75%
10
0
0
0
0
4
3
7
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 200 · 25
5.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 234 · 26
· 6'8" 268 · 27
G · 6'3" 194 · 28
C · 7'1" 252 · 23
#24 · G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
57%
33
20
7
1
11
0
8
25
22-24
92%
33-73
45%
5-8
63%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.