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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Jazz26%9491
1Lakers74%103120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
32.4
34.1
17
63%
0
8
2
1
0
5
0
0
0-1
0%
7-11
4-8
64%
49%
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
28.1
21.4
14
59%
4
5
3
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
2-4
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.1
27.6
30.4
10
45%
9
1
0
1
2
0
4
5
0-0
-
5-11
6-13
45%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.0
27.4
28.8
11
47%
6
2
0
1
1
1
4
2
3-4
75%
4-10
6-11
40%
53%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.3
20.7
31.6
2
14%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
0-4
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
23.7
26.5
9
41%
5
1
1
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.8
17.2
17.8
5
43%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.6
15.6
13.1
3
30%
2
4
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.9
13.9
11.4
3
80%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.6
13.0
9.5
4
42%
3
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
4-4
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.7
12.5
12.1
3
38%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.3
8.0
2.6
10
83%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
0-1
83%
49%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.6
30.2
34.8
20
68%
7
5
1
1
1
2
2
5
2-4
50%
9-13
7-12
69%
54%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.2
27.4
26.9
19
76%
11
1
0
0
3
3
1
10
7-8
88%
6-9
5-9
67%
57%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.4
26.1
33.0
21
72%
1
6
2
1
0
3
0
1
7-8
88%
7-9
7-14
78%
50%
0-2
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.2
24.7
29.0
7
60%
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.5
23.4
26.8
8
103%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
2-2
100%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.2
24.6
17.3
9
41%
0
5
0
1
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.9
23.3
21.2
5
63%
3
4
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.2
22.4
29.9
17
101%
8
4
0
1
0
1
0
8
1-1
100%
5-5
5-8
100%
56%
2-3
67%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
17.4
14.6
9
113%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.2
8.2
1.4
5
64%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.7
8.0
1.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.5
4.5
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.9
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.