Final Win Prob. pScore
1155%102
109
2445%100
100
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
121.19097.2
DET logo Pistons
113.68882.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN109
100
Q4 - 0:03.0DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)109
100
Q4 - 0:04.0DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot109
100
Q4 - 0:12.0DETPISTONS Rebound109
100
Q4 - 0:13.0DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
100
Q4 - 0:33.0DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)109
100
Q4 - 0:33.0DENBillups S.FOUL (P1.PN)109
99
Q4 - 0:33.0DETBynum Driving Layup (18 PTS)109
99
Q4 - 0:37.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 7 Short 1)109
97
Q4 - 0:37.0DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Anthony 7 AST)109
97
Q4 - 0:40.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)106
97
Q4 - 0:42.0DETMISS Bynum 1' Layup106
97
Q4 - 0:53.0DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)106
97
Q4 - 1:10DETBynum Driving Layup (16 PTS)103
97
Q4 - 1:15DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)103
95
Q4 - 1:15DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anthony 6 AST)103
95
Q4 - 1:28DETBynum Driving Layup (14 PTS)100
95
Q4 - 1:44DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)100
93
Q4 - 1:44DENSUB: Ely FOR Lawson99
93
Q4 - 1:44DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)99
93
Q4 - 1:44DETMcGrady P.FOUL (P3.PN)98
93
Q4 - 2:02DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)98
93
Q4 - 2:02DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
92
Q4 - 2:02DENHarrington S.FOUL (P3.T4)98
91
Q4 - 2:17DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)98
91
Q4 - 2:17DETDaye S.FOUL (P4.PN)97
91
Q4 - 2:17DENAnthony Layup (15 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)97
91
Q4 - 2:30DENSUB: Lawson FOR Ely95
91
Q4 - 2:30DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)95
91
Q4 - 2:30DETMonroe P.FOUL (P3.T4)95
91
Q4 - 2:30DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)95
91
Q4 - 2:31DETMISS Prince 13' Jump Shot95
91
Q4 - 3:01DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)95
91
Q4 - 3:15DETBynum Driving Layup (12 PTS)92
91
Q4 - 3:37DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
89
Q4 - 3:38DENMISS Anthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
89
Q4 - 4:08DETBynum 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)92
89
Q4 - 4:34DENBillups Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)92
87
Q4 - 4:55DETBynum 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)90
87
Q4 - 5:16DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
85
Q4 - 5:16DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
85
Q4 - 5:16DETSUB: Monroe FOR Wallace88
85
Q4 - 5:16DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)88
85
Q4 - 5:16DETDaye S.FOUL (P3.T3)88
85
Q4 - 5:29DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
85
Q4 - 5:30DETMISS McGrady 15' Turnaround Jump Shot88
85
Q4 - 5:50DENAfflalo Driving Layup (17 PTS)88
85
Q4 - 6:11DETMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)86
85
Q4 - 6:19DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
82
Q4 - 6:20DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot86
82
Q4 - 6:40DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
82
Q4 - 6:41DETMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 186
82
Q4 - 6:41DENSUB: Anthony FOR Lawson86
82
Q4 - 6:41DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Forbes86
82
Q4 - 6:41DENSUB: Billups FOR Smith86
82
Q4 - 6:41DENLawson S.FOUL (P2.T3)86
82
Q4 - 6:41DETBynum Driving Layup (6 PTS)86
82
Q4 - 6:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
80
Q4 - 7:00DENMISS Forbes 9' Jump Shot86
80
Q4 - 7:21DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
80
Q4 - 7:22DETMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
80
Q4 - 7:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)86
80
Q4 - 7:31DENMISS Harrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
80
Q4 - 7:46DETBynum 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)86
80
Q4 - 8:01DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
78
Q4 - 8:02DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot86
78
Q4 - 8:14DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)86
78
Q4 - 8:37DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
78
Q4 - 8:39DENMISS Smith 20' Fadeaway Jumper86
78
Q4 - 8:56DETSUB: McGrady FOR Villanueva86
78
Q4 - 8:5686
78
Q4 - 8:56DETVillanueva P.FOUL (P3.T2)86
78
Q4 - 8:56DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
78
Q4 - 8:57DETMISS Prince 7' Turnaround Jump Shot86
78
Q4 - 9:12DETPISTONS Rebound86
78
Q4 - 9:13DETMISS Bynum Layup86
78
Q4 - 9:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
78
Q4 - 9:23DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
78
Q4 - 9:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
78
Q4 - 9:41DENMISS Forbes Free Throw 2 of 286
78
Q4 - 9:41DETSUB: Prince FOR Gordon86
78
Q4 - 9:41DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
78
Q4 - 9:41DETDaye S.FOUL (P2.T1)85
78
Q4 - 9:52DETDaye 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)85
78
Q4 - 10:12DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)85
76
Q4 - 10:23DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)82
76
Q4 - 10:23DETPISTONS Rebound82
76
Q4 - 10:24DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot82
76
Q4 - 10:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
76
Q4 - 10:26DETMISS Bynum 4' Layup82
76
Q4 - 10:27DETBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
76
Q4 - 10:28DETMISS Wallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot82
76
Q4 - 10:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
76
Q4 - 10:49DETMISS Villanueva 7' Hook Shot82
76
Q4 - 10:54DENSUB: Ely FOR Afflalo82
76
Q4 - 10:54DENLawson P.FOUL (P1.T2)82
76
Q4 - 11:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
76
Q4 - 11:03DENMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot82
76
Q4 - 11:18DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
76
Q4 - 11:18DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)82
75
Q4 - 11:18DENHarrington S.FOUL (P2.T1)82
74
Q4 - 11:36DENSmith 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)82
74
Q4 - 11:45DETGordon Foul Turnover (P3.T8)80
74
Q4 - 11:45DETGordon OFF.Foul (P4)80
74
Q4 - 12:0080
74
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN80
74
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound80
74
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lawson 28' 3PT Jump Shot80
74
Q3 - 0:04.0DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
74
Q3 - 0:04.0DENSUB: Forbes FOR Ely80
73
Q3 - 0:04.0DETSUB: Summers FOR Villanueva80
73
Q3 - 0:04.0DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
73
Q3 - 0:04.0DETGordon Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)80
72
Q3 - 0:04.0DENSmith T.FOUL (P2.PN)80
71
Q3 - 0:04.0DENSmith P.FOUL (P2.PN)80
71
Q3 - 0:24.0DENHarrington 1' Layup (7 PTS)80
71
Q3 - 0:27.0DETGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)78
71
Q3 - 0:31.0DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
71
Q3 - 0:33.0DETMISS Daye 19' Jump Shot78
71
Q3 - 0:48.0DENEly 4' Putback Layup (4 PTS)78
71
Q3 - 0:49.0DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
71
Q3 - 0:49.0DENMISS Smith 1' Reverse Layup76
71
Q3 - 1:08DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)76
71
Q3 - 1:08DETSUB: Daye FOR Prince76
70
Q3 - 1:08DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
70
Q3 - 1:08DENSUB: Harrington FOR Anthony76
69
Q3 - 1:08DENEly P.FOUL (P2.PN)76
69
Q3 - 1:24DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)76
69
Q3 - 1:38DETGordon P.FOUL (P3.T4)73
69
Q3 - 1:47DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
69
Q3 - 1:48DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
69
Q3 - 2:00DETSUB: Villanueva FOR Monroe73
69
Q3 - 2:00DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)73
69
Q3 - 2:00DENNuggets Rebound73
69
Q3 - 2:01DENWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)73
69
Q3 - 2:24DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
69
Q3 - 2:24DETPISTONS Rebound73
68
Q3 - 2:24DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 273
68
Q3 - 2:24DETSUB: Bynum FOR McGrady73
68
Q3 - 2:24DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)73
68
Q3 - 2:24DENAnthony S.FOUL (P4.PN)73
68
Q3 - 2:24DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
68
Q3 - 2:24DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup73
68
Q3 - 2:34DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
68
Q3 - 2:35DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
68
Q3 - 2:42DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
68
Q3 - 2:44DENMonroe BLOCK (2 BLK)73
68
Q3 - 3:01DENSUB: Lawson FOR Billups73
68
Q3 - 3:01DETMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)73
68
Q3 - 3:20DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)73
68
Q3 - 3:34DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
68
Q3 - 3:34DETPISTONS Rebound70
67
Q3 - 3:34DETMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 270
67
Q3 - 3:34DENAnthony S.FOUL (P3.T4)70
67
Q3 - 3:49DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
67
Q3 - 3:50DENMISS Afflalo 16' Fadeaway Jumper70
67
Q3 - 3:57DENNuggets Rebound70
67
Q3 - 3:58DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot70
67
Q3 - 4:02DENSUB: Smith FOR Harrington70
67
Q3 - 4:02DENNuggets Rebound70
67
Q3 - 4:03DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
67
Q3 - 4:28DETGordon 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)70
67
Q3 - 4:46DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)70
65
Q3 - 4:58DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
65
Q3 - 4:58DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
64
Q3 - 4:58DENEly S.FOUL (P1.T3)70
63
Q3 - 5:12DENSUB: Ely FOR Shel. Williams70
63
Q3 - 5:12DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)70
63
Q3 - 5:12DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P5.T8)70
63
Q3 - 5:12DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P2)70
63
Q3 - 5:17DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
63
Q3 - 5:19DETMISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot70
63
Q3 - 5:25DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
63
Q3 - 5:26DENMISS Harrington Layup70
63
Q3 - 5:45DETMonroe 1' Layup (11 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)70
63
Q3 - 6:09DENHarrington 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)70
61
Q3 - 6:25DETSUB: Wallace FOR Wilcox68
61
Q3 - 6:25DETPrince Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)68
61
Q3 - 6:28DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
61
Q3 - 6:30DENMonroe BLOCK (1 BLK)68
61
Q3 - 6:41DETWilcox P.FOUL (P4.T3)68
61
Q3 - 6:50DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
61
Q3 - 6:50DETPISTONS Rebound68
60
Q3 - 6:50DETMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 268
60
Q3 - 6:50DENAfflalo S.FOUL (P2.T2)68
60
Q3 - 7:01DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
60
Q3 - 7:02DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
60
Q3 - 7:17DETMcGrady P.FOUL (P2.T2)68
60
Q3 - 7:26DETMonroe 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)68
60
Q3 - 7:27DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
58
Q3 - 7:28DETMISS Gordon 6' Running Jump Shot68
58
Q3 - 7:39DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
58
Q3 - 7:40DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot68
58
Q3 - 7:56DETGordon P.FOUL (P2.T1)68
58
Q3 - 8:06DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
58
Q3 - 8:06DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
57
Q3 - 8:06DENAfflalo S.FOUL (P1.T1)68
56
Q3 - 8:26DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
56
Q3 - 8:42DETMonroe Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)65
56
Q3 - 8:55DENAnthony 6' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)65
54
Q3 - 9:15DETGordon 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)63
54
Q3 - 9:38DENShel. Williams 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)63
52
Q3 - 9:47DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
52
Q3 - 9:48DETMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot61
52
Q3 - 10:05DENAfflalo Driving Layup (9 PTS)61
52
Q3 - 10:29DETMcGrady 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
52
Q3 - 10:38DENMonroe STEAL (1 STL)59
50
Q3 - 10:38DETJump Ball Monroe vs. Shel. Williams: Tip to Gordon59
50
Q3 - 10:38DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
50
Q3 - 10:39DETMISS Wilcox 1' Layup59
50
Q3 - 10:55DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
50
Q3 - 10:56DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot59
50
Q3 - 11:16DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
50
Q3 - 11:17DETMISS Wilcox 15' Jump Shot59
50
Q3 - 11:41DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
50
Q3 - 12:0056
50
Q2 - 0:00.0DET56
50
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPrince Violation:Defensive Goaltending56
50
Q2 - 0:00.0DENAnthony Layup (9 PTS)56
50
Q2 - 0:01.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
50
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Billups 14' Pullup Jump Shot54
50
Q2 - 0:23.0DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
50
Q2 - 0:24.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 254
50
Q2 - 0:24.0DENNuggets Rebound54
50
Q2 - 0:24.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)54
50
Q2 - 0:24.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 254
50
Q2 - 0:24.0DETDaye S.FOUL (P1.PN)54
50
Q2 - 0:29.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
50
Q2 - 0:30.0DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
50
Q2 - 0:47.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
50
Q2 - 0:47.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
50
Q2 - 0:47.0DETGordon S.FOUL (P1.PN)52
50
Q2 - 0:56.0DETMcGrady Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)52
50
Q2 - 1:08DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P4.T6)52
48
Q2 - 1:22DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
48
Q2 - 1:22DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
47
Q2 - 1:22DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.T3)52
46
Q2 - 1:33DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
46
Q2 - 1:33DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
46
Q2 - 1:33DETSUB: Daye FOR Villanueva50
46
Q2 - 1:33DETVillanueva S.FOUL (P2.PN)50
46
Q2 - 2:00DETPrince 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)50
46
Q2 - 2:04DENMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)50
44
Q2 - 2:17DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
44
Q2 - 2:18DETMISS Villanueva 21' Jump Shot50
44
Q2 - 2:42DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)50
44
Q2 - 2:56DETSUB: Monroe FOR Wallace50
44
Q2 - 2:56DENSUB: Smith FOR Harrington50
44
Q2 - 2:56DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)50
44
Q2 - 2:56DENNuggets Rebound50
44
Q2 - 2:57DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot50
44
Q2 - 3:13DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
44
Q2 - 3:14DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 250
44
Q2 - 3:14DETPISTONS Rebound50
44
Q2 - 3:14DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 250
44
Q2 - 3:14DENShel. Williams S.FOUL (P1.T2)50
44
Q2 - 3:27DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
44
Q2 - 3:28DENMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 250
44
Q2 - 3:28DENShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
44
Q2 - 3:28DETWallace P.FOUL (P2.PN)49
44
Q2 - 3:33DETPrince 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
44
Q2 - 3:55DENAnthony Palming Turnover (P2.T3)49
42
Q2 - 4:01DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)49
42
Q2 - 4:03DETMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
42
Q2 - 4:25DETPISTONS Rebound49
42
Q2 - 4:26DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
42
Q2 - 4:44DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
42
Q2 - 4:45DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot49
42
Q2 - 5:04DENBillups 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)49
42
Q2 - 5:17DETSUB: Prince FOR Daye47
42
Q2 - 5:17DETSUB: McGrady FOR Bynum47
42
Q2 - 5:17DENSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Forbes47
42
Q2 - 5:17DENSUB: Anthony FOR Smith47
42
Q2 - 5:17DENSUB: Billups FOR Lawson47
42
Q2 - 5:17DETBynum Foul Turnover (P2.T4)47
42
Q2 - 5:17DETBynum OFF.Foul (P3)47
42
Q2 - 5:31DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
42
Q2 - 5:32DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
42
Q2 - 5:45DETGordon 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)47
42
Q2 - 6:03DENForbes Driving Layup (8 PTS)47
39
Q2 - 6:13DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
39
Q2 - 6:14DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
39
Q2 - 6:32DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)45
39
Q2 - 6:47DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)42
39
Q2 - 6:55DETVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)42
39
Q2 - 7:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
36
Q2 - 7:03DENVillanueva BLOCK (2 BLK)42
36
Q2 - 7:10DETVillanueva 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
36
Q2 - 7:27DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
34
Q2 - 7:28DENMISS Harrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
34
Q2 - 7:31DENNuggets Rebound42
34
Q2 - 7:32DENWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)42
34
Q2 - 7:47DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
34
Q2 - 7:47DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)42
33
Q2 - 7:47DENForbes S.FOUL (P1.T1)42
32
Q2 - 7:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
32
Q2 - 7:55DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot42
32
Q2 - 7:58DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
32
Q2 - 8:00DENVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)42
32
Q2 - 8:19DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)42
32
Q2 - 8:35DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
29
Q2 - 8:36DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 142
29
Q2 - 8:3642
29
Q2 - 8:36DETBynum S.FOUL (P2.T4)42
29
Q2 - 8:36DENLawson Driving Layup (4 PTS)42
29
Q2 - 8:38DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
29
Q2 - 8:39DETMISS Villanueva 8' Turnaround Jump Shot40
29
Q2 - 8:57DENSmith 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)40
29
Q2 - 9:12DETGordon 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)38
29
Q2 - 9:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
27
Q2 - 9:17DETMISS Daye 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
27
Q2 - 9:33DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
27
Q2 - 9:36DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
27
Q2 - 9:42DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)38
27
Q2 - 9:44DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
27
Q2 - 9:45DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot38
27
Q2 - 9:55DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
27
Q2 - 9:56DETMISS Daye 2' Tip Shot38
27
Q2 - 9:56DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
27
Q2 - 9:57DETMISS Bynum 4' Running Jump Shot38
27
Q2 - 10:10DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
27
Q2 - 10:10DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
27
Q2 - 10:10DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T3)36
27
Q2 - 10:15DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
27
Q2 - 10:17DETMISS Daye 20' Jump Shot36
27
Q2 - 10:32DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)36
27
Q2 - 10:32DETVillanueva S.FOUL (P1.T2)35
27
Q2 - 10:32DENForbes Layup (5 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)35
27
Q2 - 10:40DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Anthony33
27
Q2 - 10:40DENSUB: Harrington FOR Ely33
27
Q2 - 10:40DETBynum P.FOUL (P1.T1)33
27
Q2 - 10:52DETVillanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daye 2 AST)33
27
Q2 - 10:59DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
24
Q2 - 11:00DETMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot33
24
Q2 - 11:15DENSmith 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)33
24
Q2 - 11:20DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)31
24
Q2 - 11:38DENSmith 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)31
24
Q2 - 12:0029
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN29
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound29
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 48' 3PT Jump Shot29
24
Q1 - 0:01.0DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)29
24
Q1 - 0:06.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
24
Q1 - 0:06.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
24
Q1 - 0:06.0DETSUB: Wallace FOR Wilcox27
24
Q1 - 0:06.0DETWilcox P.FOUL (P3.PN)27
24
Q1 - 0:06.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)27
24
Q1 - 0:06.0DETMISS Wilcox 4' Hook Shot27
24
Q1 - 0:25.0DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
24
Q1 - 0:25.0DETWilcox S.FOUL (P2.PN)26
24
Q1 - 0:25.0DENForbes 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)26
24
Q1 - 0:36.0DETPrince Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)24
24
Q1 - 0:48.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
22
Q1 - 0:48.0DENSUB: Lawson FOR Billups23
22
Q1 - 0:48.0DETPrince S.FOUL (P1.PN)23
22
Q1 - 0:48.0DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
22
Q1 - 0:53.0DENNuggets Rebound21
22
Q1 - 0:55.0DENMISS Anthony 1' Driving Layup21
22
Q1 - 1:16DETPrince 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
22
Q1 - 1:37DETSUB: Gordon FOR Stuckey21
20
Q1 - 1:37DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)21
20
Q1 - 1:46DENEly 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)21
20
Q1 - 1:51DENSUB: Forbes FOR Shel. Williams19
20
Q1 - 1:54DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)19
20
Q1 - 1:55DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
20
Q1 - 2:21DENAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)19
20
Q1 - 2:36DETWilcox 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)17
20
Q1 - 2:37DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
18
Q1 - 2:39DETMISS Stuckey Layup17
18
Q1 - 2:56DENShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)17
18
Q1 - 2:56DENShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)16
18
Q1 - 2:56DETSUB: Daye FOR Monroe15
18
Q1 - 2:56DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo15
18
Q1 - 2:56DENSUB: Ely FOR Harrington15
18
Q1 - 2:56DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
18
Q1 - 2:56DETMonroe S.FOUL (P2.PN)15
18
Q1 - 3:01DETStuckey 1' Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)15
18
Q1 - 3:29DENShel. Williams Dunk (8 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)15
16
Q1 - 3:32DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)13
16
Q1 - 3:33DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot13
16
Q1 - 4:00DENAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)13
16
Q1 - 4:17DETMcGrady Dunk (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)10
16
Q1 - 4:30DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
14
Q1 - 4:31DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
14
Q1 - 4:42DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
14
Q1 - 4:42DETMonroe P.FOUL (P1.T4)10
14
Q1 - 4:51DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
14
Q1 - 4:52DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot10
14
Q1 - 5:09DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
14
Q1 - 5:10DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot10
14
Q1 - 5:30DETWilcox Dunk (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)10
14
Q1 - 5:33DENStuckey STEAL (2 STL)10
12
Q1 - 5:37DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
12
Q1 - 5:38DETMISS McGrady 18' Fadeaway Jumper10
12
Q1 - 6:00DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12
Q1 - 6:01DENMISS Shel. Williams Layup10
12
Q1 - 6:22DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)10
12
Q1 - 6:22DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
11
Q1 - 6:22DENAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
10
Q1 - 6:31DENShel. Williams 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)10
10
Q1 - 6:31DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
10
Q1 - 6:33DENMISS Billups Layup8
10
Q1 - 6:41DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
10
Q1 - 6:42DETMISS Monroe 19' Jump Shot8
10
Q1 - 7:00DENShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 7:00DENShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
10
Q1 - 7:00DETStuckey S.FOUL (P1.T3)6
10
Q1 - 7:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
10
Q1 - 7:04DETMISS Prince 15' Fadeaway Jumper6
10
Q1 - 7:23DENShel. Williams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)6
10
Q1 - 7:34DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
10
Q1 - 7:35DETMISS Wilcox 8' Hook Shot4
10
Q1 - 7:50DENAfflalo 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
10
Q1 - 7:51DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
10
Q1 - 7:53DENMISS Afflalo Layup2
10
Q1 - 7:59DETMcGrady P.FOUL (P1.T2)2
10
Q1 - 8:01DETWilcox P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
10
Q1 - 8:11DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)2
10
Q1 - 8:11DETPISTONS Rebound2
9
Q1 - 8:11DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 22
9
Q1 - 8:11DENHarrington S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
9
Q1 - 8:30DENBillups Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)2
9
Q1 - 8:54DETMonroe Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)0
9
Q1 - 8:59DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
7
Q1 - 9:00DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
7
Q1 - 9:21DETPrince Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)0
7
Q1 - 9:27DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
5
Q1 - 9:28DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 9:36DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5
Q1 - 9:37DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 9:46DENStuckey STEAL (1 STL)0
5
Q1 - 10:06DETStuckey 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)0
5
Q1 - 10:24DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
3
Q1 - 10:25DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot0
3
Q1 - 10:35DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
3
Q1 - 10:38DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup0
3
Q1 - 10:57DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
3
Q1 - 10:58DETMISS McGrady 14' Turnaround Jump Shot0
3
Q1 - 11:09DETStuckey Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)0
3
Q1 - 11:09DENNuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Anthony )0
2
Q1 - 11:24DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:25DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:41DETStuckey Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wilcox vs. Shel. Williams: Tip to Monroe0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENDET
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.15 57.4%
DET
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
23
35
66%
DET
19
28
68%
Midrange
DEN
4
18
22%
DET
11
36
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
DET
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
DEN
22
27
81%
DET
25
32
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2676%13.0 / 17
C. Anthony1847%9.0 / 19
A. Afflalo1771%8.5 / 12
S. Williams1381%6.5 / 8
A. Harrington1038%5.0 / 13
G. Forbes975%4.5 / 6
J. Smith844%4.0 / 9
M. Ely4100%2.0 / 2
T. Lawson440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Bynum1973%9.5 / 13
B. Gordon1558%7.5 / 13
T. McGrady1458%7.0 / 12
G. Monroe1470%7.0 / 10
C. Villanueva1161%5.5 / 9
T. Prince1036%5.0 / 14
R. Stuckey770%3.5 / 5
A. Daye638%3.0 / 8
C. Wilcox433%2.0 / 6
B. Wallace0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
81
+14
-9
95
DET
80
+15
-8
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.15 57.4%
DET
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
107.5
DEN 121.1 +7.5
DET 113.6
Pace
95.2
89.3
DEN 97.2 +15.2
DET 82.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
16.6
DEN 14.8 −2.7
DET 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.5%
DEN 54.4% +6.9%
DET 47.5%
TO %
14.5%
13.5%
DEN 9.8%
DET 9.7% −0.1%
ORB %
23.8%
27.4%
DEN 16.7%
DET 29.5% +12.8%
FTrt
36.7
27.9
DEN 33.8
DET 40.5 +6.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
56.6%
DEN 52.6%
DET 54.3% +1.7%
STL %
7.7%
8.0%
DEN 3.3%
DET 4.5% +1.2%
BLK %
6.8%
6.6%
DEN 1.6%
DET 11.3% +9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
51.9%
DEN 57.4% +5.3%
DET 52.1%
Rim FG%
58.5%
59.2%
DEN 65.7%
DET 67.9% +2.2%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.8%
DEN 22.2%
DET 30.6% +8.4%
3P %
38.8%
37.6%
DEN 40.7% +7.4%
DET 33.3%
FT %
76.6%
73.7%
DEN 81.5% +3.4%
DET 78.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
36.3%
DEN 43.8% +8.3%
DET 35.4%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
44.8%
DEN 22.5% −23.1%
DET 45.6%
3P Att. %
25.8%
18.9%
DEN 33.8% +14.8%
DET 19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENDET
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points109100
Rebounds3743
Assists2019
Steals34
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (8)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)30 (2)
Field Goals38-8035-79
At-the-Rim FG23-3519-28
Midrange FG4-1811-36
2-Point FG27-5330-64
3-Point FG11-275-15
Free Throws22-2725-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
39.5
17
71%
4
2
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
37.9
10
38%
7
2
1
0
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-9
22%
F · 6'8" 240 · 27
36.2
18
47%
10
7
0
1
5
4
1
9
8-8
100%
5-14
36%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
32.1
26
76%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
6-9
67%
C · 6'9" 250 · 27
22.2
13
81%
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
3
5-6
83%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
21.9
8
44%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
19.5
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
16.6
4
40%
1
4
2
0
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
14.0
9
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 33
F · 6'8" 225 · 27
G · 6'1" 190 · 36
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
57%
37
20
3
1
9
0
6
31
22-27
81%
27-53
51%
11-27
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.