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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 28, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Celtics46%9871
10Suns54%9988
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.5
31.5
33.0
8
45%
4
2
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-2
0%
1-4
4-7
25%
53%
2-4
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.3
30.7
30.2
14
41%
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
4-5
80%
5-13
4-8
38%
51%
0-2
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.9
28.4
38.6
7
41%
2
6
2
2
0
7
1
1
5-6
83%
1-6
5-9
17%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.7
26.9
26.9
18
61%
9
1
2
1
0
1
0
9
4-4
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
52%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.9
15.0
6.8
5
51%
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
59%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.5
21.3
11.2
3
22%
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.1
20.9
16.5
6
43%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.2
20.7
20.6
2
35%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.7
19.8
13.2
4
25%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.1
12.5
28.0
2
20%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
5-10
20%
48%
0-0
-
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
8.2
18.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.1
4.1
8.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.5
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.2
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.0
33.8
29.9
17
67%
1
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
5-6
83%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.0
33.5
33.1
13
64%
1
10
0
1
1
5
0
1
4-5
80%
3-6
4-8
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.7
27.7
33.4
5
30%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-3
67%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.3
22.3
30.1
2
17%
4
1
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
5-10
17%
50%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.8
17.8
14.8
11
52%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-6
50%
4-8
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.9
30.4
23.8
19
64%
17
0
0
0
1
2
1
16
2-4
50%
7-12
3-6
58%
54%
1-1
100%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
24.2
6.6
11
56%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
0-1
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.6
23.7
30.9
4
40%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
14.6
17.8
2
25%
1
1
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.6
12.3
10.0
4
50%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.6
8.3
0
1-2
55%
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.4
2.4
0
0-1
42%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.3
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.