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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 2, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Raptors24%9687
11Hawks76%105100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
40.7
30.1
20
78%
14
1
1
1
2
1
5
9
4-4
100%
8-11
5-8
73%
59%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
38.7
32.6
11
40%
2
10
1
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
50%
1-3
33%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.6
35.8
26.5
12
39%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-3
67%
5-14
4-8
36%
49%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
33.8
34.6
16
47%
4
1
0
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
8-17
7-14
47%
48%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.3
30.2
33.2
12
44%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
4-10
7-14
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
20.9
22.6
3
39%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
15.1
20.0
6
61%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
12.6
18.9
0
0%
2
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.4
8.0
7.0
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.7
4.2
6.4
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.1
3.0
0
0-1
48%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.9
2.6
0
0-1
48%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.1
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.2
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.2
40.7
31.8
18
64%
11
4
2
1
3
2
1
10
0-0
-
9-12
5-10
75%
52%
0-2
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
39.1
37.8
37
83%
2
8
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
10-13
7-15
77%
51%
5-8
63%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
36.2
38.1
12
46%
14
7
1
1
1
1
2
12
0-0
-
6-13
7-12
46%
57%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
26.8
18.7
12
86%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
51%
2-3
67%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.7
25.4
27.7
6
33%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
2-7
29%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.9
28.2
30.6
7
48%
0
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
2-3
67%
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.0
17.0
14.3
6
90%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-3
67%
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.1
15.6
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.6
11.1
9.5
2
50%
2
2
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.6
18.0
0
2-4
52%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.2
8.2
0
1-1
45%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.0
6.4
0
1-2
48%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.3
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.