Final Win Prob. pScore
2924%96
87
1176%105
100
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
102.48589.7
ATL logo Hawks
116.38681.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL87
100
Q4 - 0:10.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
100
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Wilkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot87
100
Q4 - 0:35.0TORAjinca 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)87
100
Q4 - 0:49.0ATLEvans 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)85
100
Q4 - 1:11TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)85
98
Q4 - 1:11TORRaptors Rebound84
98
Q4 - 1:11TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 284
98
Q4 - 1:11ATLEvans S.FOUL (P2.PN)84
98
Q4 - 1:25TORSUB: Davis FOR Johnson84
98
Q4 - 1:25TORSUB: Johnson FOR DeRozan84
98
Q4 - 1:25ATLWilkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)84
98
Q4 - 1:31ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
98
Q4 - 1:32TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot84
98
Q4 - 1:40TORRaptors Rebound84
98
Q4 - 1:40TORMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot84
98
Q4 - 1:54ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P3.T13)84
98
Q4 - 1:54ATLTeague Offensive Charge Foul (P3.PN)84
98
Q4 - 2:06ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Johnson84
98
Q4 - 2:06ATLSUB: Wilkins FOR Horford84
98
Q4 - 2:06ATLSUB: Evans FOR Smith84
98
Q4 - 2:06ATLHAWKS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)84
98
Q4 - 2:08TORAjinca 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)84
98
Q4 - 2:23ATLJohnson 19' Turnaround Fadeaway (37 PTS)82
98
Q4 - 2:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)82
96
Q4 - 2:46TORMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot82
96
Q4 - 2:58ATLTeague P.FOUL (P2.T4)82
96
Q4 - 3:02ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)82
96
Q4 - 3:28TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)82
96
Q4 - 3:28TORSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)82
96
Q4 - 3:28TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
96
Q4 - 3:28ATLSUB: Teague FOR Bibby81
96
Q4 - 3:28TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
96
Q4 - 3:28ATLSmith S.FOUL (P4.T3)80
96
Q4 - 3:38TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)80
96
Q4 - 3:40ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
96
Q4 - 3:57TORJohnson 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)80
96
Q4 - 4:00TORWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)78
96
Q4 - 4:02TORMISS Ajinca 19' Jump Shot78
96
Q4 - 4:11TORSUB: Ajinca FOR Bargnani78
96
Q4 - 4:11TORSUB: Wright FOR Weems78
96
Q4 - 4:11TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)78
96
Q4 - 4:11ATLJohnson 1' Layup (35 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)78
96
Q4 - 4:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)78
94
Q4 - 4:28TORMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot78
94
Q4 - 4:37TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)78
94
Q4 - 4:39ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot78
94
Q4 - 5:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)78
94
Q4 - 5:01TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot78
94
Q4 - 5:23ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)78
94
Q4 - 5:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)78
91
Q4 - 5:46TORSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)78
91
Q4 - 6:10ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)78
91
Q4 - 6:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)78
88
Q4 - 6:26TORMISS Weems 5' Turnaround Jump Shot78
88
Q4 - 6:34TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Davis78
88
Q4 - 6:34TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)78
88
Q4 - 6:35ATLSmith 1' Driving Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)78
88
Q4 - 6:54ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
86
Q4 - 6:55TORMISS Weems 19' Jump Shot78
86
Q4 - 7:05TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)78
86
Q4 - 7:08TORCrawford BLOCK (1 BLK)78
86
Q4 - 7:18ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)78
86
Q4 - 7:18ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)78
85
Q4 - 7:18TORWeems P.FOUL (P2.PN)78
84
Q4 - 7:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)78
84
Q4 - 7:30TORMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 278
84
Q4 - 7:30TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Johnson78
84
Q4 - 7:30TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
84
Q4 - 7:30ATLHorford S.FOUL (P3.T2)77
84
Q4 - 7:31TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
84
Q4 - 7:35ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup77
84
Q4 - 7:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
84
Q4 - 7:59TORMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot77
84
Q4 - 8:12ATLSUB: Bibby FOR Pachulia77
84
Q4 - 8:12ATLSUB: Horford FOR Wilkins77
84
Q4 - 8:1277
84
Q4 - 8:12ATLSmith P.FOUL (P3.T1)77
84
Q4 - 8:14ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)77
84
Q4 - 8:35TORJohnson 4' Running Layup (16 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)77
84
Q4 - 8:41TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
84
Q4 - 8:44ATLMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper75
84
Q4 - 9:05TORJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T4)75
84
Q4 - 9:09TORJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)75
84
Q4 - 9:21TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
84
Q4 - 9:22ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 173
84
Q4 - 9:22TORDavis S.FOUL (P2.T3)73
84
Q4 - 9:22ATLPachulia 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)73
84
Q4 - 9:34TORJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T2)73
82
Q4 - 9:48TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
82
Q4 - 9:48TORJohnson 1' Putback Layup (14 PTS)73
82
Q4 - 9:50TORMISS Weems 21' Jump Shot71
82
Q4 - 10:09ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)71
82
Q4 - 10:24TORSUB: Weems FOR DeRozan71
79
Q4 - 10:24TORDeRozan P.FOUL (P4.T1)71
79
Q4 - 10:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
79
Q4 - 10:34TORMISS DeRozan 17' Turnaround Jump Shot71
79
Q4 - 10:58ATLJohnson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS)71
79
Q4 - 11:24TORDeRozan 4' Driving Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)71
77
Q4 - 11:45ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)69
77
Q4 - 12:0069
75
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR69
75
Q3 - 0:00.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
75
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Crawford 18' Fadeaway Jumper69
75
Q3 - 0:24.0TORDeRozan 6' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
75
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)67
75
Q3 - 1:00ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
75
Q3 - 1:02ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot67
75
Q3 - 1:23TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
75
Q3 - 1:23TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
75
Q3 - 1:23ATLTeague P.FOUL (P1.PN)65
75
Q3 - 1:23ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)65
75
Q3 - 1:33TORDavis 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)65
75
Q3 - 1:46ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
75
Q3 - 1:46TORSUB: Calderon FOR Weems63
74
Q3 - 1:46ATLSUB: Teague FOR Evans63
74
Q3 - 1:46ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
74
Q3 - 1:46TORDavis S.FOUL (P1.T2)63
73
Q3 - 2:03TORWeems Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
73
Q3 - 2:03TORSUB: Johnson FOR Bayless62
73
Q3 - 2:03TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
73
Q3 - 2:03ATLCrawford S.FOUL (P1.T4)61
73
Q3 - 2:05TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
73
Q3 - 2:09ATLMISS Horford 7' Hook Shot61
73
Q3 - 2:24TORBayless P.FOUL (P1.T1)61
73
Q3 - 2:25TOREvans STEAL (1 STL)61
73
Q3 - 2:46TORSUB: Bayless FOR Calderon61
73
Q3 - 2:46TORSUB: Davis FOR Bargnani61
73
Q3 - 2:46ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Johnson61
73
Q3 - 2:46ATLSUB: Wilkins FOR Smith61
73
Q3 - 2:46TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)61
73
Q3 - 2:47ATLEvans 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)61
73
Q3 - 2:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)61
71
Q3 - 2:58TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot61
71
Q3 - 3:13ATLSmith 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)61
71
Q3 - 3:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
69
Q3 - 3:24TORMISS Weems 6' Running Jump Shot61
69
Q3 - 3:42TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
69
Q3 - 3:44ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
69
Q3 - 4:03TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
69
Q3 - 4:03TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
69
Q3 - 4:03ATLSUB: Crawford FOR Bibby59
69
Q3 - 4:03ATLSmith Shooting Block Foul (P2.T3)59
69
Q3 - 4:19ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)59
69
Q3 - 4:25ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
66
Q3 - 4:26TORMISS Weems 20' Jump Shot59
66
Q3 - 4:49ATLJohnson 1' Dunk (23 PTS) (Horford 7 AST)59
66
Q3 - 5:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)59
64
Q3 - 5:07TORMISS Bargnani 1' Putback Layup59
64
Q3 - 5:09TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
64
Q3 - 5:10TORMISS Bargnani 4' Turnaround Jump Shot59
64
Q3 - 5:26TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
64
Q3 - 5:28ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
64
Q3 - 5:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
64
Q3 - 5:43TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
64
Q3 - 6:01ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)59
64
Q3 - 6:24TORDeRozan 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Weems 3 AST)59
61
Q3 - 6:39ATLBibby P.FOUL (P1.T2)57
61
Q3 - 6:47TORRaptors Rebound57
61
Q3 - 6:47ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
61
Q3 - 7:08TORBargnani Backcourt Turnover (P1.T8)57
61
Q3 - 7:25TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
61
Q3 - 7:26ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
61
Q3 - 7:47TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Weems 2 AST)57
61
Q3 - 7:59TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)55
61
Q3 - 7:59ATLJohnson Running Layup (21 PTS)55
61
Q3 - 8:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
59
Q3 - 8:06TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
59
Q3 - 8:19ATLEvans 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)55
59
Q3 - 8:23TORHorford STEAL (1 STL)55
57
Q3 - 8:40ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)55
57
Q3 - 8:59TORCalderon 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)55
54
Q3 - 9:20TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
54
Q3 - 9:22ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
54
Q3 - 9:39TORWeems 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)53
54
Q3 - 9:46ATLHorford P.FOUL (P2.T1)51
54
Q3 - 9:55TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
54
Q3 - 9:56ATLMISS Horford 5' Hook Shot51
54
Q3 - 10:16ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)51
54
Q3 - 10:16TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)51
54
Q3 - 10:26TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
54
Q3 - 10:28ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot49
54
Q3 - 10:54TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
54
Q3 - 11:14TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
54
Q3 - 11:17ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot47
54
Q3 - 11:40TORDeRozan 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)47
54
Q3 - 12:0045
54
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR45
54
Q2 - 0:01.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
54
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
54
Q2 - 0:10.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
54
Q2 - 0:11.0TORMISS Davis 2' Layup45
54
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLJohnson 3' Layup (19 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)45
54
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLHAWKS Rebound45
52
Q2 - 0:35.0TORJohnson L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)45
52
Q2 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
52
Q2 - 0:58.0TORJohnson Running Layup (12 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)45
52
Q2 - 1:15ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)43
52
Q2 - 1:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
52
Q2 - 1:25TORMISS Weems 20' Jump Shot43
52
Q2 - 1:39ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)43
52
Q2 - 1:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
50
Q2 - 1:56TORMISS Weems Free Throw 1 of 143
50
Q2 - 1:56ATLSmith S.FOUL (P1.PN)43
50
Q2 - 1:56TORWeems 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)43
50
Q2 - 2:21ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
50
Q2 - 2:21ATLHorford 1' Putback Layup (12 PTS)41
50
Q2 - 2:22ATLMISS Horford 4' Driving Jump Shot41
48
Q2 - 2:33TORSUB: Davis FOR Bargnani41
48
Q2 - 2:33TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)41
48
Q2 - 2:33TORWeems P.FOUL (P1.T3)41
48
Q2 - 2:44ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
48
Q2 - 2:45TORMISS Bayless 18' Jump Shot41
48
Q2 - 2:53TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
48
Q2 - 2:54ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot41
48
Q2 - 3:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
48
Q2 - 3:10TORMISS Weems 20' Jump Shot41
48
Q2 - 3:26ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)41
48
Q2 - 3:42TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)41
45
Q2 - 3:42ATLEvans S.FOUL (P1.PN)40
45
Q2 - 3:42TORCalderon 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)40
45
Q2 - 3:51ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)38
45
Q2 - 4:01TORCalderon P.FOUL (P1.T2)38
43
Q2 - 4:14TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
43
Q2 - 4:14TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
43
Q2 - 4:14ATLHorford S.FOUL (P1.T4)36
43
Q2 - 4:30ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)36
43
Q2 - 4:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
41
Q2 - 4:39ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot36
41
Q2 - 4:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
41
Q2 - 4:46TORMISS Bayless 1' Driving Layup36
41
Q2 - 4:53TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
41
Q2 - 4:55ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot36
41
Q2 - 5:09ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
41
Q2 - 5:11TORHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)36
41
Q2 - 5:19TORSUB: Weems FOR Wright36
41
Q2 - 5:19ATLSUB: Evans FOR Crawford36
41
Q2 - 5:19ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
41
Q2 - 5:19TORRaptors Rebound36
41
Q2 - 5:19ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
41
Q2 - 5:42TORJohnson 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)36
41
Q2 - 5:51TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
41
Q2 - 5:53ATLMISS Bibby 3' Driving Jump Shot34
41
Q2 - 6:0634
41
Q2 - 6:06ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)34
41
Q2 - 6:06ATLHAWKS Rebound34
40
Q2 - 6:06ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw Technical34
40
Q2 - 6:06TORSUB: Johnson FOR Davis34
40
Q2 - 6:06TORSUB: Calderon FOR DeRozan34
40
Q2 - 6:06ATLSUB: Bibby FOR Teague34
40
Q2 - 6:06ATLSUB: Horford FOR Pachulia34
40
Q2 - 6:06TORDeRozan T.FOUL (P3.T1)34
40
Q2 - 6:06TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P3.T6)34
40
Q2 - 6:06TORDeRozan Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T1)34
40
Q2 - 6:21ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)34
40
Q2 - 6:32TORBayless 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)34
38
Q2 - 6:37ATLCrawford Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)32
38
Q2 - 7:00TORBayless 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
38
Q2 - 7:16ATLSmith Running Slam Dunk (10 PTS)30
38
Q2 - 7:20TORSmith STEAL (2 STL)30
36
Q2 - 7:27TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
36
Q2 - 7:28ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot30
36
Q2 - 7:40ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
36
Q2 - 7:42TORMISS Davis 2' Driving Layup30
36
Q2 - 7:57ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Wilkins30
36
Q2 - 7:57ATLWilkins Foul Turnover (P1.T6)30
36
Q2 - 7:57ATLWilkins Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T3)30
36
Q2 - 8:00ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
36
Q2 - 8:01TORMISS DeRozan 1' Running Layup30
36
Q2 - 8:23ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
36
Q2 - 8:3730
34
Q2 - 8:37TORBayless Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
34
Q2 - 8:53ATLPachulia 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)30
34
Q2 - 9:11TORBargnani 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)30
32
Q2 - 9:26TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
32
Q2 - 9:28TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot28
32
Q2 - 9:39ATLWilkins P.FOUL (P1.T2)28
32
Q2 - 9:39TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
32
Q2 - 9:42TORSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)28
32
Q2 - 9:58TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Weems28
32
Q2 - 9:58TORRaptors Rebound28
32
Q2 - 9:58ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup28
32
Q2 - 10:16TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
32
Q2 - 10:16TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
32
Q2 - 10:16ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P2.T1)26
32
Q2 - 10:31ATLTeague Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)26
32
Q2 - 10:37ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
32
Q2 - 10:38TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
32
Q2 - 11:06ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)26
32
Q2 - 11:18ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)26
29
Q2 - 11:18TORRaptors T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Davis )26
28
Q2 - 11:40TORBargnani 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)26
28
Q2 - 12:0024
28
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR24
28
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL24
28
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)24
28
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
25
Q1 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Crawford 2' Driving Layup24
25
Q1 - 0:27.0TORJohnson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)24
25
Q1 - 0:38.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
25
Q1 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Wilkins 17' Jump Shot22
25
Q1 - 0:52.0TORJohnson 1' Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)22
25
Q1 - 0:56.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
25
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
25
Q1 - 1:10ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
25
Q1 - 1:12TORMISS Weems 14' Driving Jump Shot20
25
Q1 - 1:28ATLCrawford 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
25
Q1 - 1:43TORSUB: Wright FOR DeRozan20
23
Q1 - 1:43TORDeRozan P.FOUL (P2.T3)20
23
Q1 - 1:43ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
23
Q1 - 1:44TORMISS DeRozan 1' Putback Layup20
23
Q1 - 1:45TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
23
Q1 - 1:46TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup20
23
Q1 - 1:54ATLHorford 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)20
23
Q1 - 2:14TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
21
Q1 - 2:14TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
21
Q1 - 2:14ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P1.T2)18
21
Q1 - 2:25TORSUB: Bayless FOR Calderon18
21
Q1 - 2:25ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Smith18
21
Q1 - 2:25TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)18
21
Q1 - 2:25ATLHAWKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Smith )17
21
Q1 - 2:44ATLHorford 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)17
21
Q1 - 2:53TORSUB: Davis FOR Bargnani17
19
Q1 - 2:53ATLSUB: Wilkins FOR Evans17
19
Q1 - 2:53ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
19
Q1 - 3:01TORWeems 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)17
19
Q1 - 3:12TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
19
Q1 - 3:13ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot15
19
Q1 - 3:35TORJohnson Putback Layup (2 PTS)15
19
Q1 - 3:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
19
Q1 - 3:37TORMISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot13
19
Q1 - 3:52ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)13
19
Q1 - 4:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
16
Q1 - 4:02TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
16
Q1 - 4:02TORMISS Bargnani 1' Tip Shot13
16
Q1 - 4:04TORMISS Bargnani 16' Turnaround Jump Shot13
16
Q1 - 4:25ATLJohnson 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)13
16
Q1 - 4:39TORWeems Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)13
14
Q1 - 4:42TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
14
Q1 - 4:46ATLMISS Horford 16' Turnaround Hook Shot11
14
Q1 - 5:09TORWeems 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
14
Q1 - 5:26ATLSUB: Crawford FOR Bibby9
14
Q1 - 5:26ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)9
14
Q1 - 5:42TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)9
14
Q1 - 5:46TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
14
Q1 - 5:47TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot6
14
Q1 - 5:59ATLJohnson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
14
Q1 - 6:05TORJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T2)6
12
Q1 - 6:14ATLHAWKS Rebound6
12
Q1 - 6:14ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical6
12
Q1 - 6:14TORRaptors T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec DeRozan )6
12
Q1 - 6:26TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P2.T3)6
12
Q1 - 6:26TORDeRozan Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1)6
12
Q1 - 6:32ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)6
12
Q1 - 6:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
12
Q1 - 6:40TORMISS Calderon 17' Jump Shot6
12
Q1 - 6:58ATLHorford 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)6
12
Q1 - 7:11TORDeRozan 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
10
Q1 - 7:23ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
10
Q1 - 7:37TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
10
Q1 - 7:47ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)4
10
Q1 - 7:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
8
Q1 - 7:58TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 8:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
8
Q1 - 8:12ATLSmith 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)4
8
Q1 - 8:14ATLMISS Johnson 1' Driving Dunk4
6
Q1 - 8:31ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 8:32TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 8:38TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 8:40ATLMISS Evans 18' Fadeaway Jumper4
6
Q1 - 8:57ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 8:58TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:13ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)4
6
Q1 - 9:26TORDeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
4
Q1 - 9:41ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 9:58TORBargnani Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 10:08TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:10ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:16TORSmith STEAL (1 STL)2
2
Q1 - 10:25ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 10:40TORDeRozan 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:09ATLHorford Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:30TORMISS Weems 21' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:46ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Bargnani: Tip to Horford0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORATL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.97 48.3%
ATL
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
16
30
53%
ATL
19
26
73%
Midrange
TOR
17
43
40%
ATL
13
26
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
1
1.5
5
20%
30%
ATL
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
TOR
18
21
86%
ATL
6
9
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Johnson2077%10.0 / 13
D. DeRozan1647%8.0 / 17
S. Weems1240%6.0 / 15
A. Bargnani1243%6.0 / 14
J. Calderon1142%5.5 / 13
J. Bayless660%3.0 / 5
A. Ajinca467%2.0 / 3
E. Davis338%1.5 / 4
T. Johnson350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3784%18.5 / 22
J. Smith1864%9.0 / 14
A. Horford1246%6.0 / 13
M. Evans1286%6.0 / 7
J. Crawford758%3.5 / 6
M. Bibby633%3.0 / 9
Z. Pachulia6100%3.0 / 3
J. Teague250%1.0 / 2
D. Wilkins0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
76
+12
-9
88
ATL
73
+7
-13
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.97 48.3%
ATL
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
105.9
TOR 102.4
ATL 116.3 +13.9
Pace
93.1
89.5
TOR 89.7 +8.0
ATL 81.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.4
TOR 16.0 −1.6
ATL 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
50.1%
TOR 44.2%
ATL 61.8% +17.6%
TO %
15.0%
14.2%
TOR 9.4% −5.5%
ATL 14.9%
ORB %
28.3%
23.5%
TOR 24.4% +5.0%
ATL 19.4%
FTrt
29.3
26.9
TOR 26.9 +15.1
ATL 11.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
60.7%
TOR 64.7%
ATL 71.4% +6.7%
STL %
7.6%
6.8%
TOR 4.7%
ATL 4.7%
BLK %
6.7%
6.6%
TOR 5.8%
ATL 6.8% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.8%
TOR 48.3%
ATL 62.5% +14.2%
Rim FG%
58.9%
60.0%
TOR 53.3%
ATL 73.1% +19.8%
Mid FG%
41.2%
42.5%
TOR 39.5%
ATL 50.0% +10.5%
3P %
31.6%
35.2%
TOR 20.0%
ATL 41.7% +21.7%
FT %
75.5%
78.0%
TOR 85.7% +19.0%
ATL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
30.4%
TOR 38.5% +4.3%
ATL 34.2%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
47.4%
TOR 55.1%
ATL 34.2% −20.9%
3P Att. %
16.2%
22.2%
TOR 6.4%
ATL 31.6% +25.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsTORATL
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points87100
Rebounds3640
Assists2230
Steals44
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)34 (0)
Field Goals34-7842-76
At-the-Rim FG16-3019-26
Midrange FG17-4313-26
2-Point FG33-7332-52
3-Point FG1-510-24
Free Throws18-216-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
40.7
20
77%
14
1
1
2
1
3
5
9
4-4
100%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
38.7
11
42%
2
10
1
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-9
22%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 205 · 25
35.8
12
40%
6
3
0
0
1
2
0
6
2-3
67%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 21
33.8
16
47%
4
1
0
0
4
4
2
2
0-0
-
8-17
47%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
30.2
12
43%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
4-4
100%
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22
20.9
3
38%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
15.1
6
60%
0
3
0
0
2
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
12.6
0
0%
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 26
8.0
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 248 · 23
4.2
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
· 6'8" 268 · 27
C · 7'1" 252 · 23
#11 · F · 6'8" 234 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'3" 194 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
48%
36
22
4
3
9
0
11
25
18-21
86%
33-73
45%
1-5
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.