| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128.2 | 85 | 86.2 | |
| 111.5 | 87 | 86.9 |
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | CHA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 109 | 97 | |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | CHA | Henderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 109 | 97 |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | CHA | Henderson 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS) | 109 | 97 |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | CHA | MISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 109 | 95 |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 109 | 95 |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 109 | 95 |
| Q4 - 0:34.0 | CHA | Jackson 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS) | 109 | 95 |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12) | 109 | 93 |
| Q4 - 0:45.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 109 | 93 |
| Q4 - 0:45.0 | MIA | Henderson BLOCK (3 BLK) | 109 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:04 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 109 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:06 | CHA | MISS Diaw 6' Hook Shot | 109 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:11 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 109 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:12 | CHA | MISS Wallace 1' Layup | 109 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:16 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 109 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:18 | CHA | MISS Diaw 19' Jump Shot | 109 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:31 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 109 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:31 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 108 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:31 | MIA | MISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 | 108 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:31 | MIA | Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0) | 108 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:31 | CHA | Diaw L.B.FOUL (P3.PN) | 108 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:31 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 108 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:32 | MIA | MISS James 32' 3PT Jump Shot | 108 | 93 |
| Q4 - 1:53 | CHA | Diaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16) | 108 | 93 |
| Q4 - 2:04 | MIA | Wade 4' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 108 | 93 |
| Q4 - 2:24 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 106 | 93 |
| Q4 - 2:25 | CHA | MISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 106 | 93 |
| Q4 - 2:48 | MIA | Bosh 3' Driving Layup (14 PTS) | 106 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:07 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8) | 104 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:08 | CHA | MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 104 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:22 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 104 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:22 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 103 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:22 | CHA | Wallace S.FOUL (P5.PN) | 102 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:22 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 102 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:22 | MIA | MISS House 17' Jump Shot | 102 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:46 | CHA | Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 102 | 93 |
| Q4 - 3:46 | CHA | Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 102 | 92 |
| Q4 - 3:46 | MIA | Wade S.FOUL (P4.PN) | 102 | 91 |
| Q4 - 3:51 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 102 | 91 |
| Q4 - 3:52 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 102 | 91 |
| Q4 - 4:16 | CHA | Henderson 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST) | 102 | 91 |
| Q4 - 4:34 | MIA | Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 102 | 89 |
| Q4 - 4:57 | CHA | Henderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15) | 100 | 89 |
| Q4 - 5:13 | MIA | James 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS) | 100 | 89 |
| Q4 - 5:27 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 98 | 89 |
| Q4 - 5:28 | CHA | MISS Henderson 22' Jump Shot | 98 | 89 |
| Q4 - 5:46 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 98 | 89 |
| Q4 - 5:48 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 | 98 | 89 |
| Q4 - 5:48 | 98 | 89 | ||
| Q4 - 5:48 | CHA | Wallace S.FOUL (P4.T4) | 98 | 89 |
| Q4 - 5:48 | MIA | Bosh 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 10 AST) | 98 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:01 | CHA | Henderson P.FOUL (P3.T3) | 96 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:02 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 96 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:04 | CHA | MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 96 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:22 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P4.T11) | 96 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:22 | MIA | Wade OFF.Foul (P3) | 96 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:22 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 96 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:23 | MIA | Henderson BLOCK (2 BLK) | 96 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:38 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 96 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:40 | CHA | MISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 96 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:40 | CHA | Henderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 96 | 89 |
| Q4 - 6:40 | MIA | House L.B.FOUL (P2.PN) | 96 | 88 |
| Q4 - 6:40 | CHA | BOBCATS Rebound | 96 | 88 |
| Q4 - 6:40 | CHA | MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 96 | 88 |
| Q4 - 6:45 | CHA | Henderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 96 | 88 |
| Q4 - 6:46 | MIA | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 96 | 88 |
| Q4 - 6:53 | CHA | Jackson Personal Take Foul (P3.T2) | 96 | 88 |
| Q4 - 6:55 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 96 | 88 |
| Q4 - 6:56 | CHA | MISS Augustin 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 96 | 88 |
| Q4 - 7:12 | MIA | Bosh 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST) | 96 | 88 |
| Q4 - 7:26 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 94 | 88 |
| Q4 - 7:28 | CHA | MISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot | 94 | 88 |
| Q4 - 7:34 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 94 | 88 |
| Q4 - 7:36 | MIA | Henderson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 94 | 88 |
| Q4 - 8:01 | CHA | Wallace 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Augustin 8 AST) | 94 | 88 |
| Q4 - 8:16 | MIA | Jackson STEAL (2 STL) | 94 | 85 |
| Q4 - 8:18 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 94 | 85 |
| Q4 - 8:20 | MIA | Diaw BLOCK (1 BLK) | 94 | 85 |
| Q4 - 8:26 | CHA | Henderson P.FOUL (P2.T1) | 94 | 85 |
| Q4 - 8:42 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 94 | 85 |
| Q4 - 8:43 | CHA | MISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 94 | 85 |
| Q4 - 8:58 | MIA | Wade P.FOUL (P2.T4) | 94 | 85 |
| Q4 - 9:14 | MIA | House 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 9 AST) | 94 | 85 |
| Q4 - 9:25 | CHA | Henderson Layup (9 PTS) | 92 | 85 |
| Q4 - 9:30 | MIA | Jackson STEAL (1 STL) | 92 | 83 |
| Q4 - 9:41 | CHA | Diaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS) | 92 | 83 |
| Q4 - 9:41 | MIA | Bosh S.FOUL (P2.T3) | 92 | 82 |
| Q4 - 9:41 | CHA | Diaw 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST) | 92 | 82 |
| Q4 - 9:48 | CHA | SUB: Wallace FOR Brown | 92 | 80 |
| Q4 - 9:48 | CHA | SUB: Augustin FOR Collins | 92 | 80 |
| Q4 - 9:48 | CHA | SUB: Diaw FOR Mohammed | 92 | 80 |
| Q4 - 9:48 | CHA | BOBCATS Rebound | 92 | 80 |
| Q4 - 9:51 | CHA | MISS Collins 19' Jump Shot | 92 | 80 |
| Q4 - 10:03 | CHA | BOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1) | 92 | 80 |
| Q4 - 10:09 | MIA | House 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 8 AST) | 92 | 80 |
| Q4 - 10:14 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 89 | 80 |
| Q4 - 10:16 | MIA | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 | 80 |
| Q4 - 10:27 | CHA | Henderson Foul Turnover (P1.T14) | 89 | 80 |
| Q4 - 10:27 | CHA | Henderson OFF.Foul (P1) | 89 | 80 |
| Q4 - 10:32 | MIA | SUB: Wade FOR Miller | 89 | 80 |
| Q4 - 10:32 | MIA | House P.FOUL (P1.T2) | 89 | 80 |
| Q4 - 10:35 | CHA | Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 89 | 80 |
| Q4 - 10:36 | MIA | MISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 | 80 |
| Q4 - 10:51 | CHA | Collins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST) | 89 | 80 |
| Q4 - 11:14 | MIA | House 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 8 AST) | 89 | 77 |
| Q4 - 11:20 | CHA | Collins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13) | 86 | 77 |
| Q4 - 11:27 | MIA | Miller P.FOUL (P4.T1) | 86 | 77 |
| Q4 - 11:47 | MIA | House 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 86 | 77 |
| Q4 - 12:00 | 83 | 77 | ||
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 83 | 77 | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 83 | 77 |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS James 39' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 | 77 |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 83 | 77 |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | CHA | MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 | 83 | 77 |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | MIA | SUB: James FOR Anthony | 83 | 77 |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | CHA | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 83 | 77 |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | MIA | Wade P.FOUL (P1.PN) | 83 | 76 |
| Q3 - 0:13.0 | MIA | Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 83 | 76 |
| Q3 - 0:13.0 | MIA | SUB: Wade FOR James | 82 | 76 |
| Q3 - 0:13.0 | MIA | Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 82 | 76 |
| Q3 - 0:13.0 | CHA | Augustin S.FOUL (P3.PN) | 81 | 76 |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | CHA | Augustin Foul Turnover (P5.T12) | 81 | 76 |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | CHA | Augustin Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN) | 81 | 76 |
| Q3 - 0:37.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS) | 81 | 76 |
| Q3 - 0:37.0 | CHA | Wallace S.FOUL (P3.PN) | 80 | 76 |
| Q3 - 0:37.0 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 80 | 76 |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | CHA | Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 78 | 76 |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | CHA | Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 78 | 75 |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | MIA | Miller Shooting Block Foul (P3.T2) | 78 | 74 |
| Q3 - 0:58.0 | MIA | Henderson STEAL (1 STL) | 78 | 74 |
| Q3 - 1:01 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 78 | 74 |
| Q3 - 1:03 | MIA | MISS James 18' Jump Shot | 78 | 74 |
| Q3 - 1:14 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 78 | 74 |
| Q3 - 1:15 | CHA | MISS Diaw 6' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 78 | 74 |
| Q3 - 1:41 | MIA | Miller 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 78 | 74 |
| Q3 - 2:09 | CHA | Jackson 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Augustin 7 AST) | 76 | 74 |
| Q3 - 2:16 | MIA | Jones P.FOUL (P2.T1) | 76 | 71 |
| Q3 - 2:29 | MIA | Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 76 | 71 |
| Q3 - 2:44 | CHA | Jackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11) | 73 | 71 |
| Q3 - 2:53 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 73 | 71 |
| Q3 - 2:55 | CHA | MISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot | 73 | 71 |
| Q3 - 3:12 | MIA | SUB: Miller FOR Wade | 73 | 71 |
| Q3 - 3:12 | MIA | Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0) | 73 | 71 |
| Q3 - 3:12 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7) | 73 | 71 |
| Q3 - 3:37 | CHA | Wallace 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST) | 73 | 71 |
| Q3 - 3:53 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 73 | 69 |
| Q3 - 3:53 | MIA | SUB: Jones FOR Bosh | 72 | 69 |
| Q3 - 3:53 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 72 | 69 |
| Q3 - 3:53 | CHA | Diaw S.FOUL (P2.T4) | 71 | 69 |
| Q3 - 4:16 | CHA | Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST) | 71 | 69 |
| Q3 - 4:36 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 71 | 66 |
| Q3 - 4:38 | MIA | MISS James 17' Jump Shot | 71 | 66 |
| Q3 - 4:48 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 71 | 66 |
| Q3 - 4:49 | CHA | MISS Wallace 3' Layup | 71 | 66 |
| Q3 - 4:55 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 71 | 66 |
| Q3 - 4:56 | CHA | MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 | 66 |
| Q3 - 5:14 | CHA | SUB: Henderson FOR Brown | 71 | 66 |
| Q3 - 5:14 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas | 71 | 66 |
| Q3 - 5:14 | CHA | BOBCATS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1) | 71 | 66 |
| Q3 - 5:19 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 71 | 66 |
| Q3 - 5:27 | CHA | Jackson P.FOUL (P2.T3) | 69 | 66 |
| Q3 - 5:40 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 69 | 66 |
| Q3 - 5:42 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 | 66 |
| Q3 - 6:00 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 69 | 66 |
| Q3 - 6:00 | CHA | Diaw 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS) | 69 | 66 |
| Q3 - 6:01 | CHA | MISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot | 69 | 64 |
| Q3 - 6:29 | MIA | Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST) | 69 | 64 |
| Q3 - 6:48 | CHA | Brown 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST) | 67 | 64 |
| Q3 - 6:59 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 67 | 62 |
| Q3 - 7:11 | CHA | Wallace 9' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) | 67 | 62 |
| Q3 - 7:34 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 67 | 60 |
| Q3 - 7:34 | MIA | Chalmers Reverse Layup (4 PTS) | 67 | 60 |
| Q3 - 7:37 | MIA | Wallace BLOCK (1 BLK) | 65 | 60 |
| Q3 - 7:59 | CHA | Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST) | 65 | 60 |
| Q3 - 8:16 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 65 | 57 |
| Q3 - 8:17 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 65 | 57 |
| Q3 - 8:17 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 65 | 57 |
| Q3 - 8:17 | CHA | Brown S.FOUL (P3.T2) | 64 | 57 |
| Q3 - 8:23 | CHA | Augustin P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 64 | 57 |
| Q3 - 8:33 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 64 | 57 |
| Q3 - 8:37 | CHA | MISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 | 57 |
| Q3 - 8:43 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 64 | 57 |
| Q3 - 8:44 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 64 | 57 |
| Q3 - 9:10 | CHA | Jackson 2' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Brown 1 AST) | 64 | 57 |
| Q3 - 9:34 | CHA | BOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0) | 64 | 55 |
| Q3 - 9:39 | MIA | Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 64 | 55 |
| Q3 - 9:48 | CHA | Augustin Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10) | 61 | 55 |
| Q3 - 9:56 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 61 | 55 |
| Q3 - 9:57 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 61 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:07 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 61 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:09 | CHA | MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:30 | MIA | James 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 61 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:43 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 59 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:44 | CHA | MISS Jackson 1' Layup | 59 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:52 | CHA | Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 59 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:53 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Layup | 59 | 55 |
| Q3 - 11:05 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 59 | 55 |
| Q3 - 11:07 | CHA | MISS Augustin 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 | 55 |
| Q3 - 11:22 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5) | 59 | 55 |
| Q3 - 11:45 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 59 | 55 |
| Q3 - 11:46 | CHA | MISS Diaw 17' Jump Shot | 59 | 55 |
| Q3 - 12:00 | 59 | 55 | ||
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 59 | 55 | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 59 | 55 |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | CHA | MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 1 | 59 | 55 |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Chalmers S.FOUL (P3.PN) | 59 | 55 |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | CHA | Brown 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Augustin 6 AST) | 59 | 55 |
| Q2 - 0:09.0 | MIA | Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 59 | 53 |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | CHA | Jackson 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 56 | 53 |
| Q2 - 0:50.0 | MIA | Bosh 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 56 | 51 |
| Q2 - 1:07 | CHA | Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 54 | 51 |
| Q2 - 1:07 | CHA | Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 54 | 50 |
| Q2 - 1:07 | MIA | Miller S.FOUL (P2.PN) | 54 | 49 |
| Q2 - 1:20 | MIA | Chalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 54 | 49 |
| Q2 - 1:43 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 52 | 49 |
| Q2 - 1:45 | CHA | MISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 52 | 49 |
| Q2 - 1:45 | CHA | Henderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 52 | 49 |
| Q2 - 1:45 | MIA | Bosh S.FOUL (P1.PN) | 52 | 48 |
| Q2 - 2:06 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS) | 52 | 48 |
| Q2 - 2:22 | CHA | Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 50 | 48 |
| Q2 - 2:22 | CHA | Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 50 | 47 |
| Q2 - 2:22 | CHA | SUB: Brown FOR Wallace | 50 | 46 |
| Q2 - 2:22 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Dampier | 50 | 46 |
| Q2 - 2:22 | MIA | Chalmers P.FOUL (P2.PN) | 50 | 46 |
| Q2 - 2:24 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 50 | 46 |
| Q2 - 2:26 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 50 | 46 |
| Q2 - 2:38 | CHA | Augustin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9) | 50 | 46 |
| Q2 - 2:53 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 50 | 46 |
| Q2 - 2:55 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 | 50 | 46 |
| Q2 - 2:55 | CHA | SUB: Diaw FOR Brown | 50 | 46 |
| Q2 - 2:55 | CHA | BOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0) | 50 | 46 |
| Q2 - 2:55 | CHA | Wallace S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 50 | 46 |
| Q2 - 2:55 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 50 | 46 |
| Q2 - 3:10 | MIA | SUB: Chalmers FOR House | 48 | 46 |
| Q2 - 3:10 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 48 | 46 |
| Q2 - 3:10 | CHA | MISS Wallace 2' Driving Layup | 48 | 46 |
| Q2 - 3:31 | CHA | BOBCATS Rebound | 48 | 46 |
| Q2 - 3:32 | MIA | MISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot | 48 | 46 |
| Q2 - 3:52 | CHA | Henderson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST) | 48 | 46 |
| Q2 - 4:07 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 48 | 44 |
| Q2 - 4:07 | MIA | Dampier 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 48 | 44 |
| Q2 - 4:10 | MIA | MISS Bosh 1' Layup | 46 | 44 |
| Q2 - 4:29 | CHA | Augustin Free Throw Technical (4 PTS) | 46 | 44 |
| Q2 - 4:29 | 46 | 43 | ||
| Q2 - 4:32 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 46 | 43 |
| Q2 - 4:32 | CHA | MISS Wallace 2' Layup | 46 | 43 |
| Q2 - 4:50 | MIA | Bosh 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 46 | 43 |
| Q2 - 4:59 | MIA | Heat Violation: Delay of game Violation | 44 | 43 |
| Q2 - 4:59 | MIA | Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0) | 44 | 43 |
| Q2 - 5:10 | CHA | Wallace 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST) | 44 | 43 |
| Q2 - 5:15 | CHA | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 44 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:16 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Jump Shot | 44 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:27 | CHA | Henderson 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST) | 44 | 41 |
| Q2 - 5:46 | MIA | Wade 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 44 | 39 |
| Q2 - 5:52 | CHA | Wallace Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8) | 42 | 39 |
| Q2 - 5:59 | MIA | SUB: Miller FOR James | 42 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:05 | CHA | SUB: Jackson FOR Brown | 42 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:05 | MIA | James Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 42 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:05 | MIA | James OFF.Foul (P3) | 42 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:17 | CHA | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 42 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:17 | CHA | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 42 | 38 |
| Q2 - 6:17 | MIA | James P.FOUL (P2.PN) | 42 | 37 |
| Q2 - 6:27 | CHA | SUB: Augustin FOR Livingston | 42 | 37 |
| Q2 - 6:27 | CHA | BOBCATS Rebound | 42 | 37 |
| Q2 - 6:29 | MIA | MISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 | 37 |
| Q2 - 6:47 | MIA | SUB: James FOR Miller | 42 | 37 |
| Q2 - 6:51 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 | 37 |
| Q2 - 6:51 | CHA | MISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot | 42 | 37 |
| Q2 - 7:06 | MIA | House 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 42 | 37 |
| Q2 - 7:17 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 39 | 37 |
| Q2 - 7:18 | CHA | MISS Brown 18' Jump Shot | 39 | 37 |
| Q2 - 7:31 | MIA | Wade 2' Layup (7 PTS) | 39 | 37 |
| Q2 - 7:42 | CHA | BOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7) | 37 | 37 |
| Q2 - 7:42 | CHA | BOBCATS Rebound | 37 | 37 |
| Q2 - 7:42 | CHA | MISS Henderson 15' Jump Shot | 37 | 37 |
| Q2 - 8:10 | MIA | House 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 37 | 37 |
| Q2 - 8:23 | CHA | Henderson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST) | 35 | 37 |
| Q2 - 8:35 | MIA | SUB: Dampier FOR Ilgauskas | 35 | 35 |
| Q2 - 8:35 | MIA | Ilgauskas L.B.FOUL (P3.T4) | 35 | 35 |
| Q2 - 8:35 | CHA | BOBCATS Rebound | 35 | 35 |
| Q2 - 8:35 | MIA | MISS Bosh 11' Fadeaway Jumper | 35 | 35 |
| Q2 - 8:43 | 35 | 35 | ||
| Q2 - 8:58 | CHA | Wallace 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS) | 35 | 35 |
| Q2 - 9:11 | MIA | Ilgauskas P.FOUL (P2.T3) | 35 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:14 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 35 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:15 | MIA | MISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot | 35 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:27 | MIA | Wade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 35 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:27 | CHA | SUB: Wallace FOR Jackson | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:27 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:27 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:27 | CHA | Jackson FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P1.T1) | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:30 | CHA | Jackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:46 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3) | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:59 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 10:01 | CHA | MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 1 | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 10:01 | MIA | SUB: Ilgauskas FOR Anthony | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 10:01 | CHA | SUB: Livingston FOR Augustin | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 10:01 | MIA | Anthony S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 10:01 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 10:01 | CHA | Brown 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS) | 34 | 33 |
| Q2 - 10:01 | CHA | MISS Augustin 2' Layup | 34 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:14 | CHA | SUB: Brown FOR Wallace | 34 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:14 | CHA | SUB: Brown FOR Diaw | 34 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:14 | MIA | Miller P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 34 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:27 | MIA | Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 34 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:47 | CHA | Jackson 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 31 | 31 |
| Q2 - 11:07 | MIA | Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 31 | 29 |
| Q2 - 11:35 | CHA | Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 29 | 29 |
| Q2 - 12:00 | 29 | 26 | ||
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | CHA | 29 | 26 | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 | 26 |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | CHA | McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 29 | 26 |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | CHA | MISS McGuire 2' Tip Shot | 29 | 26 |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | CHA | MISS Jackson 2' Layup | 29 | 26 |
| Q1 - 0:17.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 29 | 26 |
| Q1 - 0:17.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 28 | 26 |
| Q1 - 0:17.0 | CHA | Diaw Shooting Block Foul (P1.PN) | 27 | 26 |
| Q1 - 0:19.0 | CHA | Diaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 27 | 26 |
| Q1 - 0:25.0 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 27 | 26 |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 | 26 |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | CHA | Diaw 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST) | 27 | 26 |
| Q1 - 1:02 | MIA | Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 27 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:16 | CHA | Diaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 24 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:16 | CHA | Diaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 24 | 23 |
| Q1 - 1:16 | MIA | Anthony S.FOUL (P1.PN) | 24 | 22 |
| Q1 - 1:34 | MIA | James 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 24 | 22 |
| Q1 - 1:47 | CHA | Wallace Foul Turnover (P2.T4) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 1:47 | CHA | Wallace Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:06 | MIA | Jones P.FOUL (P1.T4) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:06 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:06 | MIA | MISS Jones 17' Jump Shot | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:18 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:19 | CHA | MISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 2:42 | MIA | Jones 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 22 | 22 |
| Q1 - 3:04 | CHA | Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST) | 20 | 22 |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | SUB: Jones FOR Wade | 20 | 19 |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas | 20 | 19 |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | SUB: Miller FOR Bosh | 20 | 19 |
| Q1 - 3:15 | CHA | BOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0) | 20 | 19 |
| Q1 - 3:21 | MIA | Ilgauskas 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 20 | 19 |
| Q1 - 3:33 | CHA | Augustin Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3) | 18 | 19 |
| Q1 - 3:58 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 18 | 19 |
| Q1 - 3:58 | CHA | SUB: McGuire FOR Mohammed | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 3:58 | CHA | Mohammed S.FOUL (P2.T4) | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 3:58 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 17 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:11 | CHA | Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 15 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:11 | CHA | Mohammed 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 15 | 19 |
| Q1 - 4:13 | CHA | MISS Wallace 2' Layup | 15 | 17 |
| Q1 - 4:36 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 15 | 17 |
| Q1 - 4:40 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 | 17 |
| Q1 - 4:42 | CHA | MISS Mohammed 4' Hook Shot | 13 | 17 |
| Q1 - 5:07 | MIA | James 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 13 | 17 |
| Q1 - 5:25 | CHA | Mohammed P.FOUL (P1.T3) | 11 | 17 |
| Q1 - 5:25 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 | 17 |
| Q1 - 5:25 | CHA | MISS Mohammed 2' Layup | 11 | 17 |
| Q1 - 5:46 | MIA | Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 11 | 17 |
| Q1 - 5:54 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 | 17 |
| Q1 - 5:55 | CHA | MISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot | 9 | 17 |
| Q1 - 6:10 | MIA | James P.FOUL (P1.T3) | 9 | 17 |
| Q1 - 6:19 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 9 | 17 |
| Q1 - 6:20 | MIA | MISS Wade 7' Jump Shot | 9 | 17 |
| Q1 - 6:24 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 9 | 17 |
| Q1 - 6:27 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 9 | 17 |
| Q1 - 6:34 | CHA | SUB: Mohammed FOR Brown | 9 | 17 |
| Q1 - 6:34 | CHA | Brown P.FOUL (P2.T2) | 9 | 17 |
| Q1 - 6:43 | MIA | Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0) | 9 | 17 |
| Q1 - 6:49 | CHA | Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST) | 9 | 17 |
| Q1 - 6:55 | CHA | Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 | 14 |
| Q1 - 6:57 | MIA | MISS Wade 10' Jump Shot | 9 | 14 |
| Q1 - 7:11 | CHA | Brown 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST) | 9 | 14 |
| Q1 - 7:24 | CHA | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 9 | 12 |
| Q1 - 7:25 | MIA | MISS Bosh 6' Turnaround Bank Shot | 9 | 12 |
| Q1 - 7:49 | CHA | Brown 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST) | 9 | 12 |
| Q1 - 8:02 | CHA | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 | 10 |
| Q1 - 8:02 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 9 | 10 |
| Q1 - 8:16 | CHA | Augustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 9 | 10 |
| Q1 - 8:20 | MIA | Diaw STEAL (1 STL) | 9 | 10 |
| Q1 - 8:38 | CHA | Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 9 | 10 |
| Q1 - 8:38 | CHA | Diaw 1' Layup (5 PTS) | 9 | 10 |
| Q1 - 8:40 | CHA | MISS Wallace 2' Layup | 9 | 8 |
| Q1 - 8:56 | MIA | Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 9 | 8 |
| Q1 - 8:56 | CHA | Brown S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 8 | 8 |
| Q1 - 8:56 | MIA | Ilgauskas 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 8 | 8 |
| Q1 - 9:06 | CHA | Wallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 6 | 8 |
| Q1 - 9:29 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1) | 6 | 8 |
| Q1 - 9:29 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 6 | 8 |
| Q1 - 9:29 | MIA | MISS Wade 7' Jump Shot | 6 | 8 |
| Q1 - 9:53 | CHA | Wallace 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST) | 6 | 8 |
| Q1 - 10:02 | CHA | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 | 6 |
| Q1 - 10:04 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Turnaround Jump Shot | 6 | 6 |
| Q1 - 10:20 | CHA | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 6 | 6 |
| Q1 - 10:20 | MIA | Ilgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 6 | 5 |
| Q1 - 10:20 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 | 5 |
| Q1 - 10:20 | CHA | Wallace 2' Layup (2 PTS) | 6 | 5 |
| Q1 - 10:20 | CHA | MISS Wallace 2' Layup | 6 | 3 |
| Q1 - 10:39 | MIA | James 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 6 | 3 |
| Q1 - 10:47 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 | 3 |
| Q1 - 10:48 | CHA | MISS Augustin 18' Jump Shot | 4 | 3 |
| Q1 - 11:06 | MIA | Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 4 | 3 |
| Q1 - 11:21 | CHA | Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST) | 2 | 3 |
| Q1 - 11:30 | MIA | Chalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:42 | MIA | Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | CHA | Jump Ball Brown vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Bosh | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | CHA |
Score / WinProb | ||||
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
Scoring by Shot Type
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 22 | 50% | 11.0 / 22 | |
| L. James | 19 | 63% | 9.5 / 15 | |
| E. House | 16 | 100% | 8.0 / 8 | |
| C. Bosh | 14 | 41% | 7.0 / 17 | |
| Z. Ilgauskas | 13 | 93% | 6.5 / 7 | |
| M. Miller | 13 | 130% | 6.5 / 5 | |
| M. Chalmers | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| J. Jones | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| E. Dampier | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| J. Anthony | 1 | 50% | 0.5 / 1 |
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jackson | 25 | 60% | 12.5 / 21 | |
| G. Wallace | 25 | 57% | 12.5 / 22 | |
| B. Diaw | 14 | 64% | 7.0 / 11 | |
| G. Henderson | 14 | 58% | 7.0 / 12 | |
| K. Brown | 6 | 100% | 3.0 / 3 | |
| D. Augustin | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| D. Brown | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| S. Collins | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| N. Mohammed | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| D. McGuire | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 111.4 103.6 | MIA 128.2 +16.7 CHA 111.5 |
| Pace | 91.3 89.5 | MIA 86.2 CHA 86.9 +0.7 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.2 16.2 | MIA 16.7 CHA 16.6 −0.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 52.4% 48.2% | MIA 60.9% +7.5% CHA 53.4% |
| TO % | 14.4% 15.2% | MIA 12.2% −3.8% CHA 16.0% |
| ORB % | 25.2% 25.7% | MIA 29.0% +0.1% CHA 28.9% |
| FTrt | 36.3 31.4 | MIA 24.4 CHA 31.1 +6.7 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 54.1% 60.1% | MIA 55.8% CHA 62.9% +7.1% |
| STL % | 7.3% 7.1% | MIA 14.1% +9.5% CHA 4.6% |
| BLK % | 8.5% 8.9% | MIA 5.6% CHA 8.5% +2.9% |
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 55.7% 51.3% | MIA 59.9% +4.2% CHA 55.7% |
| Rim FG% | 64.7% 55.8% | MIA 79.2% +18.6% CHA 60.6% |
| Mid FG% | 42.2% 40.3% | MIA 42.9% +14.3% CHA 28.6% |
| 3P % | 37.0% 32.7% | MIA 47.4% +2.4% CHA 45.0% |
| FT % | 76.9% 75.6% | MIA 73.7% CHA 78.3% +4.6% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 31.6% 40.6% | MIA 30.8% CHA 44.6% +13.8% |
| Mid Att. % | 44.9% 40.5% | MIA 44.9% CHA 28.4% −16.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 23.5% 18.9% | MIA 24.4% CHA 27.0% +2.7% |
| Game Totals | MIA | CHA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 85 | 87 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.7 | 24.0 |
| Points | 109 | 97 |
| Rebounds | 36 | 33 |
| Assists | 24 | 22 |
| Steals | 12 | 4 |
| Blocks | 3 | 5 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 8 (4) | 15 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 9 (4) | 11 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 27 (3) | 22 (3) |
| Field Goals | 43-78 | 35-74 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 19-24 | 20-33 |
| Midrange FG | 15-35 | 6-21 |
| 2-Point FG | 34-59 | 26-54 |
| 3-Point FG | 9-19 | 9-20 |
| Free Throws | 14-19 | 18-23 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.