Final Win Prob. pScore
169%97
109
2331%90
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
128.28586.2
CHA logo Bobcats
111.58786.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA109
97
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)109
97
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAHenderson 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)109
97
Q4 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
95
Q4 - 0:11.0CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)109
95
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
95
Q4 - 0:34.0CHAJackson 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS)109
95
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)109
93
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Rebound109
93
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHenderson BLOCK (3 BLK)109
93
Q4 - 1:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)109
93
Q4 - 1:06CHAMISS Diaw 6' Hook Shot109
93
Q4 - 1:11CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)109
93
Q4 - 1:12CHAMISS Wallace 1' Layup109
93
Q4 - 1:16CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)109
93
Q4 - 1:18CHAMISS Diaw 19' Jump Shot109
93
Q4 - 1:31MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)109
93
Q4 - 1:31MIAHeat Rebound108
93
Q4 - 1:31MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2108
93
Q4 - 1:31MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)108
93
Q4 - 1:31CHADiaw L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)108
93
Q4 - 1:31MIAHeat Rebound108
93
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS James 32' 3PT Jump Shot108
93
Q4 - 1:53CHADiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)108
93
Q4 - 2:04MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)108
93
Q4 - 2:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)106
93
Q4 - 2:25CHAMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
93
Q4 - 2:48MIABosh 3' Driving Layup (14 PTS)106
93
Q4 - 3:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)104
93
Q4 - 3:08CHAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
93
Q4 - 3:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)104
93
Q4 - 3:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)103
93
Q4 - 3:22CHAWallace S.FOUL (P5.PN)102
93
Q4 - 3:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)102
93
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot102
93
Q4 - 3:46CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)102
93
Q4 - 3:46CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)102
92
Q4 - 3:46MIAWade S.FOUL (P4.PN)102
91
Q4 - 3:51CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)102
91
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
91
Q4 - 4:16CHAHenderson 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)102
91
Q4 - 4:34MIABosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)102
89
Q4 - 4:57CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)100
89
Q4 - 5:13MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)100
89
Q4 - 5:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
89
Q4 - 5:28CHAMISS Henderson 22' Jump Shot98
89
Q4 - 5:46CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)98
89
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 198
89
Q4 - 5:4898
89
Q4 - 5:48CHAWallace S.FOUL (P4.T4)98
89
Q4 - 5:48MIABosh 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)98
89
Q4 - 6:01CHAHenderson P.FOUL (P3.T3)96
89
Q4 - 6:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
89
Q4 - 6:04CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
89
Q4 - 6:22MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T11)96
89
Q4 - 6:22MIAWade OFF.Foul (P3)96
89
Q4 - 6:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
89
Q4 - 6:23MIAHenderson BLOCK (2 BLK)96
89
Q4 - 6:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
89
Q4 - 6:40CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 296
89
Q4 - 6:40CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)96
89
Q4 - 6:40MIAHouse L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)96
88
Q4 - 6:40CHABOBCATS Rebound96
88
Q4 - 6:40CHAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
88
Q4 - 6:45CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
88
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot96
88
Q4 - 6:53CHAJackson Personal Take Foul (P3.T2)96
88
Q4 - 6:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)96
88
Q4 - 6:56CHAMISS Augustin 28' 3PT Jump Shot96
88
Q4 - 7:12MIABosh 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)96
88
Q4 - 7:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)94
88
Q4 - 7:28CHAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot94
88
Q4 - 7:34CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
88
Q4 - 7:36MIAHenderson BLOCK (1 BLK)94
88
Q4 - 8:01CHAWallace 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Augustin 8 AST)94
88
Q4 - 8:16MIAJackson STEAL (2 STL)94
85
Q4 - 8:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
85
Q4 - 8:20MIADiaw BLOCK (1 BLK)94
85
Q4 - 8:26CHAHenderson P.FOUL (P2.T1)94
85
Q4 - 8:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
85
Q4 - 8:43CHAMISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
85
Q4 - 8:58MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T4)94
85
Q4 - 9:14MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 9 AST)94
85
Q4 - 9:25CHAHenderson Layup (9 PTS)92
85
Q4 - 9:30MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)92
83
Q4 - 9:41CHADiaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)92
83
Q4 - 9:41MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T3)92
82
Q4 - 9:41CHADiaw 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)92
82
Q4 - 9:48CHASUB: Wallace FOR Brown92
80
Q4 - 9:48CHASUB: Augustin FOR Collins92
80
Q4 - 9:48CHASUB: Diaw FOR Mohammed92
80
Q4 - 9:48CHABOBCATS Rebound92
80
Q4 - 9:51CHAMISS Collins 19' Jump Shot92
80
Q4 - 10:03CHABOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)92
80
Q4 - 10:09MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)92
80
Q4 - 10:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
80
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
80
Q4 - 10:27CHAHenderson Foul Turnover (P1.T14)89
80
Q4 - 10:27CHAHenderson OFF.Foul (P1)89
80
Q4 - 10:32MIASUB: Wade FOR Miller89
80
Q4 - 10:32MIAHouse P.FOUL (P1.T2)89
80
Q4 - 10:35CHACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
80
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
80
Q4 - 10:51CHACollins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)89
80
Q4 - 11:14MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 8 AST)89
77
Q4 - 11:20CHACollins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)86
77
Q4 - 11:27MIAMiller P.FOUL (P4.T1)86
77
Q4 - 11:47MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)86
77
Q4 - 12:0083
77
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA83
77
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound83
77
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 39' 3PT Jump Shot83
77
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
77
Q3 - 0:04.0CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 283
77
Q3 - 0:04.0MIASUB: James FOR Anthony83
77
Q3 - 0:04.0CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)83
77
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.PN)83
76
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
76
Q3 - 0:13.0MIASUB: Wade FOR James82
76
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)82
76
Q3 - 0:13.0CHAAugustin S.FOUL (P3.PN)81
76
Q3 - 0:31.0CHAAugustin Foul Turnover (P5.T12)81
76
Q3 - 0:31.0CHAAugustin Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN)81
76
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)81
76
Q3 - 0:37.0CHAWallace S.FOUL (P3.PN)80
76
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)80
76
Q3 - 0:46.0CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)78
76
Q3 - 0:46.0CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)78
75
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMiller Shooting Block Foul (P3.T2)78
74
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAHenderson STEAL (1 STL)78
74
Q3 - 1:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
74
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot78
74
Q3 - 1:14MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
74
Q3 - 1:15CHAMISS Diaw 6' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot78
74
Q3 - 1:41MIAMiller 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)78
74
Q3 - 2:09CHAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Augustin 7 AST)76
74
Q3 - 2:16MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T1)76
71
Q3 - 2:29MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 5 AST)76
71
Q3 - 2:44CHAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)73
71
Q3 - 2:53CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
71
Q3 - 2:55CHAMISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot73
71
Q3 - 3:12MIASUB: Miller FOR Wade73
71
Q3 - 3:12MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)73
71
Q3 - 3:12MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)73
71
Q3 - 3:37CHAWallace 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)73
71
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)73
69
Q3 - 3:53MIASUB: Jones FOR Bosh72
69
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)72
69
Q3 - 3:53CHADiaw S.FOUL (P2.T4)71
69
Q3 - 4:16CHAWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)71
69
Q3 - 4:36CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
66
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot71
66
Q3 - 4:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
66
Q3 - 4:49CHAMISS Wallace 3' Layup71
66
Q3 - 4:55CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
66
Q3 - 4:56CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
66
Q3 - 5:14CHASUB: Henderson FOR Brown71
66
Q3 - 5:14MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas71
66
Q3 - 5:14CHABOBCATS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)71
66
Q3 - 5:19MIABosh 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)71
66
Q3 - 5:27CHAJackson P.FOUL (P2.T3)69
66
Q3 - 5:40MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
66
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
66
Q3 - 6:00CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
66
Q3 - 6:00CHADiaw 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)69
66
Q3 - 6:01CHAMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot69
64
Q3 - 6:29MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)69
64
Q3 - 6:48CHABrown 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)67
64
Q3 - 6:59MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)67
62
Q3 - 7:11CHAWallace 9' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)67
62
Q3 - 7:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
60
Q3 - 7:34MIAChalmers Reverse Layup (4 PTS)67
60
Q3 - 7:37MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)65
60
Q3 - 7:59CHAJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)65
60
Q3 - 8:16CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
57
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 265
57
Q3 - 8:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)65
57
Q3 - 8:17CHABrown S.FOUL (P3.T2)64
57
Q3 - 8:23CHAAugustin P.FOUL (P1.T1)64
57
Q3 - 8:33MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
57
Q3 - 8:37CHAMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
57
Q3 - 8:43CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
57
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot64
57
Q3 - 9:10CHAJackson 2' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)64
57
Q3 - 9:34CHABOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)64
55
Q3 - 9:39MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
55
Q3 - 9:48CHAAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)61
55
Q3 - 9:56CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
55
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot61
55
Q3 - 10:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
55
Q3 - 10:09CHAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
55
Q3 - 10:30MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
55
Q3 - 10:43MIAHeat Rebound59
55
Q3 - 10:44CHAMISS Jackson 1' Layup59
55
Q3 - 10:52CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
55
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup59
55
Q3 - 11:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
55
Q3 - 11:07CHAMISS Augustin 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
55
Q3 - 11:22MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)59
55
Q3 - 11:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
55
Q3 - 11:46CHAMISS Diaw 17' Jump Shot59
55
Q3 - 12:0059
55
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA59
55
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
55
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 159
55
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.PN)59
55
Q2 - 0:00.0CHABrown 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Augustin 6 AST)59
55
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)59
53
Q2 - 0:34.0CHAJackson 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
53
Q2 - 0:50.0MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)56
51
Q2 - 1:07CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
51
Q2 - 1:07CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
50
Q2 - 1:07MIAMiller S.FOUL (P2.PN)54
49
Q2 - 1:20MIAChalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS)54
49
Q2 - 1:43MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
49
Q2 - 1:45CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw 2 of 252
49
Q2 - 1:45CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
49
Q2 - 1:45MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.PN)52
48
Q2 - 2:06MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)52
48
Q2 - 2:22CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
48
Q2 - 2:22CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
47
Q2 - 2:22CHASUB: Brown FOR Wallace50
46
Q2 - 2:22MIASUB: Anthony FOR Dampier50
46
Q2 - 2:22MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.PN)50
46
Q2 - 2:24CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
46
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot50
46
Q2 - 2:38CHAAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)50
46
Q2 - 2:53CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
46
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 150
46
Q2 - 2:55CHASUB: Diaw FOR Brown50
46
Q2 - 2:55CHABOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)50
46
Q2 - 2:55CHAWallace S.FOUL (P2.T2)50
46
Q2 - 2:55MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
46
Q2 - 3:10MIASUB: Chalmers FOR House48
46
Q2 - 3:10MIAHeat Rebound48
46
Q2 - 3:10CHAMISS Wallace 2' Driving Layup48
46
Q2 - 3:31CHABOBCATS Rebound48
46
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot48
46
Q2 - 3:52CHAHenderson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)48
46
Q2 - 4:07MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
44
Q2 - 4:07MIADampier 1' Layup (2 PTS)48
44
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup46
44
Q2 - 4:29CHAAugustin Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)46
44
Q2 - 4:2946
43
Q2 - 4:32MIAHeat Rebound46
43
Q2 - 4:32CHAMISS Wallace 2' Layup46
43
Q2 - 4:50MIABosh 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)46
43
Q2 - 4:59MIAHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation44
43
Q2 - 4:59MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)44
43
Q2 - 5:10CHAWallace 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)44
43
Q2 - 5:15CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
41
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot44
41
Q2 - 5:27CHAHenderson 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)44
41
Q2 - 5:46MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
39
Q2 - 5:52CHAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)42
39
Q2 - 5:59MIASUB: Miller FOR James42
39
Q2 - 6:05CHASUB: Jackson FOR Brown42
39
Q2 - 6:05MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T4)42
39
Q2 - 6:05MIAJames OFF.Foul (P3)42
39
Q2 - 6:17CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
39
Q2 - 6:17CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
38
Q2 - 6:17MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.PN)42
37
Q2 - 6:27CHASUB: Augustin FOR Livingston42
37
Q2 - 6:27CHABOBCATS Rebound42
37
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
37
Q2 - 6:47MIASUB: James FOR Miller42
37
Q2 - 6:51MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
37
Q2 - 6:51CHAMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot42
37
Q2 - 7:06MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
37
Q2 - 7:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
37
Q2 - 7:18CHAMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot39
37
Q2 - 7:31MIAWade 2' Layup (7 PTS)39
37
Q2 - 7:42CHABOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)37
37
Q2 - 7:42CHABOBCATS Rebound37
37
Q2 - 7:42CHAMISS Henderson 15' Jump Shot37
37
Q2 - 8:10MIAHouse 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
37
Q2 - 8:23CHAHenderson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)35
37
Q2 - 8:35MIASUB: Dampier FOR Ilgauskas35
35
Q2 - 8:35MIAIlgauskas L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)35
35
Q2 - 8:35CHABOBCATS Rebound35
35
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Bosh 11' Fadeaway Jumper35
35
Q2 - 8:4335
35
Q2 - 8:58CHAWallace 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)35
35
Q2 - 9:11MIAIlgauskas P.FOUL (P2.T3)35
33
Q2 - 9:14CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
33
Q2 - 9:15MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot35
33
Q2 - 9:27MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
33
Q2 - 9:27CHASUB: Wallace FOR Jackson34
33
Q2 - 9:27MIAHeat Rebound34
33
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 234
33
Q2 - 9:27CHAJackson FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P1.T1)34
33
Q2 - 9:30CHAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
33
Q2 - 9:46MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)34
33
Q2 - 9:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
33
Q2 - 10:01CHAMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 134
33
Q2 - 10:01MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Anthony34
33
Q2 - 10:01CHASUB: Livingston FOR Augustin34
33
Q2 - 10:01MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T2)34
33
Q2 - 10:01CHABrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
33
Q2 - 10:01CHABrown 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)34
33
Q2 - 10:01CHAMISS Augustin 2' Layup34
31
Q2 - 10:14CHASUB: Brown FOR Wallace34
31
Q2 - 10:14CHASUB: Brown FOR Diaw34
31
Q2 - 10:14MIAMiller P.FOUL (P1.T1)34
31
Q2 - 10:27MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)34
31
Q2 - 10:47CHAJackson 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)31
31
Q2 - 11:07MIAWade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
29
Q2 - 11:35CHAWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
29
Q2 - 12:0029
26
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA29
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
26
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAMcGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
26
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAMISS McGuire 2' Tip Shot29
26
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Jackson 2' Layup29
26
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
26
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
26
Q1 - 0:17.0CHADiaw Shooting Block Foul (P1.PN)27
26
Q1 - 0:19.0CHADiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
26
Q1 - 0:25.0CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
26
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
26
Q1 - 0:46.0CHADiaw 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)27
26
Q1 - 1:02MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)27
24
Q1 - 1:16CHADiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)24
24
Q1 - 1:16CHADiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
23
Q1 - 1:16MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
22
Q1 - 1:34MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)24
22
Q1 - 1:47CHAWallace Foul Turnover (P2.T4)22
22
Q1 - 1:47CHAWallace Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN)22
22
Q1 - 2:06MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T4)22
22
Q1 - 2:06CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
22
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot22
22
Q1 - 2:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
22
Q1 - 2:19CHAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot22
22
Q1 - 2:42MIAJones 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)22
22
Q1 - 3:04CHAAugustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)20
22
Q1 - 3:15MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade20
19
Q1 - 3:15MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas20
19
Q1 - 3:15MIASUB: Miller FOR Bosh20
19
Q1 - 3:15CHABOBCATS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)20
19
Q1 - 3:21MIAIlgauskas 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)20
19
Q1 - 3:33CHAAugustin Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)18
19
Q1 - 3:58MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
19
Q1 - 3:58CHASUB: McGuire FOR Mohammed17
19
Q1 - 3:58CHAMohammed S.FOUL (P2.T4)17
19
Q1 - 3:58MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
19
Q1 - 4:11CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
19
Q1 - 4:11CHAMohammed 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)15
19
Q1 - 4:13CHAMISS Wallace 2' Layup15
17
Q1 - 4:36MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 4:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17
Q1 - 4:42CHAMISS Mohammed 4' Hook Shot13
17
Q1 - 5:07MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
17
Q1 - 5:25CHAMohammed P.FOUL (P1.T3)11
17
Q1 - 5:25MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17
Q1 - 5:25CHAMISS Mohammed 2' Layup11
17
Q1 - 5:46MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 2 AST)11
17
Q1 - 5:54MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
17
Q1 - 5:55CHAMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot9
17
Q1 - 6:10MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T3)9
17
Q1 - 6:19CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
17
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot9
17
Q1 - 6:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
17
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
17
Q1 - 6:34CHASUB: Mohammed FOR Brown9
17
Q1 - 6:34CHABrown P.FOUL (P2.T2)9
17
Q1 - 6:43MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)9
17
Q1 - 6:49CHAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)9
17
Q1 - 6:55CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
14
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot9
14
Q1 - 7:11CHABrown 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)9
14
Q1 - 7:24CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
12
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Bosh 6' Turnaround Bank Shot9
12
Q1 - 7:49CHABrown 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)9
12
Q1 - 8:02CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
10
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot9
10
Q1 - 8:16CHAAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
10
Q1 - 8:20MIADiaw STEAL (1 STL)9
10
Q1 - 8:38CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
10
Q1 - 8:38CHADiaw 1' Layup (5 PTS)9
10
Q1 - 8:40CHAMISS Wallace 2' Layup9
8
Q1 - 8:56MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)9
8
Q1 - 8:56CHABrown S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
8
Q1 - 8:56MIAIlgauskas 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)8
8
Q1 - 9:06CHAWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
8
Q1 - 9:29MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)6
8
Q1 - 9:29MIAHeat Rebound6
8
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot6
8
Q1 - 9:53CHAWallace 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)6
8
Q1 - 10:02CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Bosh 18' Turnaround Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 10:20CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 10:20MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
5
Q1 - 10:20CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
5
Q1 - 10:20CHAWallace 2' Layup (2 PTS)6
5
Q1 - 10:20CHAMISS Wallace 2' Layup6
3
Q1 - 10:39MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
3
Q1 - 10:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
3
Q1 - 10:48CHAMISS Augustin 18' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 11:06MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
3
Q1 - 11:21CHADiaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)2
3
Q1 - 11:30MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:42MIAIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Brown vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Bosh0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
CHA
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
24
79%
CHA
20
33
61%
Midrange
MIA
15
35
43%
CHA
6
21
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
CHA
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
14
19
74%
CHA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2250%11.0 / 22
L. James1963%9.5 / 15
E. House16100%8.0 / 8
C. Bosh1441%7.0 / 17
Z. Ilgauskas1393%6.5 / 7
M. Miller13130%6.5 / 5
M. Chalmers770%3.5 / 5
J. Jones233%1.0 / 3
E. Dampier2100%1.0 / 1
J. Anthony150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2560%12.5 / 21
G. Wallace2557%12.5 / 22
B. Diaw1464%7.0 / 11
G. Henderson1458%7.0 / 12
K. Brown6100%3.0 / 3
D. Augustin433%2.0 / 6
D. Brown450%2.0 / 4
S. Collins375%1.5 / 2
N. Mohammed233%1.0 / 3
D. McGuire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+13
-8
90
CHA
72
+14
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
CHA
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
103.6
MIA 128.2 +16.7
CHA 111.5
Pace
91.3
89.5
MIA 86.2
CHA 86.9 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
MIA 16.7
CHA 16.6 −0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
48.2%
MIA 60.9% +7.5%
CHA 53.4%
TO %
14.4%
15.2%
MIA 12.2% −3.8%
CHA 16.0%
ORB %
25.2%
25.7%
MIA 29.0% +0.1%
CHA 28.9%
FTrt
36.3
31.4
MIA 24.4
CHA 31.1 +6.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
60.1%
MIA 55.8%
CHA 62.9% +7.1%
STL %
7.3%
7.1%
MIA 14.1% +9.5%
CHA 4.6%
BLK %
8.5%
8.9%
MIA 5.6%
CHA 8.5% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
51.3%
MIA 59.9% +4.2%
CHA 55.7%
Rim FG%
64.7%
55.8%
MIA 79.2% +18.6%
CHA 60.6%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.3%
MIA 42.9% +14.3%
CHA 28.6%
3P %
37.0%
32.7%
MIA 47.4% +2.4%
CHA 45.0%
FT %
76.9%
75.6%
MIA 73.7%
CHA 78.3% +4.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
40.6%
MIA 30.8%
CHA 44.6% +13.8%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
40.5%
MIA 44.9%
CHA 28.4% −16.5%
3P Att. %
23.5%
18.9%
MIA 24.4%
CHA 27.0% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8587
Possession Minutes23.724.0
Points10997
Rebounds3633
Assists2422
Steals124
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)8 (4)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)22 (3)
Field Goals43-7835-74
At-the-Rim FG19-2420-33
Midrange FG15-356-21
2-Point FG34-5926-54
3-Point FG9-199-20
Free Throws14-1918-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
40.9
14
41%
5
1
3
1
0
2
0
5
0-1
0%
7-16
44%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
40.3
22
50%
12
10
0
0
4
4
4
8
5-7
71%
7-16
44%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
36.6
19
63%
8
9
0
0
3
3
1
7
5-6
83%
7-10
70%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
27.2
7
70%
2
4
3
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
16.9
13
93%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
24.8
1
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
20.8
16
100%
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
19.1
13
130%
2
0
0
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
7.1
2
33%
1
0
2
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
6.2
2
100%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 32
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F · 6'9" 250 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
60%
36
24
12
3
8
0
9
27
14-19
74%
34-59
58%
9-19
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.