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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 4, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Jazz27%98113
6Nuggets73%106106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
41.0
13.5
26
51%
2
12
0
0
0
4
0
2
6-6
100%
7-13
2-4
54%
51%
2-10
20%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.4
40.9
29.0
20
73%
7
4
2
1
0
0
1
6
5-6
83%
6-6
2-4
100%
46%
1-5
20%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.0
37.0
35.1
6
30%
6
3
2
1
3
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-10
7-14
30%
53%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.1
33.1
34.1
28
64%
10
0
0
1
3
0
3
7
4-4
100%
12-20
8-15
60%
50%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.9
9.2
10.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
25.1
28.2
13
59%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
3-6
50%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.6
23.3
30.9
8
57%
6
6
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
2-3
67%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.3
11.0
7.5
6
75%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
53%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.9
9.4
7.6
2
26%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.1
5.4
5.1
2
33%
3
1
0
0
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.6
4.5
17.9
2
33%
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
24.8
1
3-6
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.7
39.1
35.0
31
54%
6
1
2
1
0
4
2
4
17-18
94%
7-20
7-15
35%
49%
0-1
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
36.9
33.8
13
55%
10
2
1
1
0
2
1
9
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
2-6
33%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.4
35.3
29.8
28
90%
5
1
0
1
3
2
4
1
8-8
100%
10-12
5-9
83%
60%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.4
34.5
32.2
13
47%
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
1-6
17%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 33.1
28.1
26.4
5
51%
9
4
0
1
1
2
2
7
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
20.4
25.9
5
36%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.0
18.2
24.0
3
21%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.3
15.6
20.4
8
67%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.6
11.8
11.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.3
7.7
0
1-2
48%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.9
5.3
0
1-1
50%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.6
2.9
0
0-0
47%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.