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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 9, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bobcats38%93103
16Pacers62%97104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
42.7
38.9
22
62%
9
6
2
1
1
0
3
6
4-6
67%
9-15
5-10
60%
49%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.8
41.6
29.4
27
60%
4
3
2
1
1
3
1
3
5-6
83%
5-12
4-9
42%
45%
4-8
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.2
35.6
29.0
14
45%
3
4
0
1
1
3
0
3
5-6
83%
3-10
3-7
30%
45%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.8
30.7
31.7
8
50%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
54%
0-3
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
26.8
13.6
9
46%
8
0
2
0
1
2
5
3
1-2
50%
4-9
3-5
44%
51%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
24.9
15.5
8
90%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
23.7
26.0
9
51%
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
3-7
3-8
43%
45%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.4
9.8
16.9
6
51%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.9
2.6
1.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
1.6
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.4
6.9
0
1-2
50%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.5
2.6
0
0-1
43%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.0
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.8
39.5
33.2
25
67%
3
4
2
1
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
6-14
4-9
43%
47%
3-3
100%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 24.2
33.9
26.9
29
66%
10
2
0
0
2
1
3
7
5-7
71%
12-19
6-12
63%
48%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
32.8
31.3
15
54%
2
5
2
1
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
6-13
5-9
46%
50%
1-1
100%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 23.9
32.3
24.5
12
59%
9
7
0
1
0
0
2
7
4-5
80%
4-8
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.4
31.3
21.2
5
51%
5
1
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
16.8
23.3
7
47%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
0-2
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.3
15.7
23.1
2
18%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-5
4-9
20%
46%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.3
15.2
15.3
7
52%
6
2
3
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34.1
13.9
18.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
8.5
16.2
2
26%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 34.1
4.3
0
0-0
47%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.9
4.1
0
1-1
48%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.4
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.6
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.