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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 9, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hornets60%95101
28Nets40%91103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.4
52.5
32.7
32
61%
15
5
3
1
0
4
5
10
6-7
86%
13-23
7-14
57%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.8
50.7
36.0
9
30%
5
11
2
2
0
7
2
3
0-0
-
3-12
4-8
25%
52%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.2
40.3
16.8
10
57%
11
1
0
0
0
0
2
9
2-4
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
53%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
34.8
17.3
19
64%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
6-10
2-4
60%
49%
2-4
50%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.2
14.1
16.4
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
29.9
12.2
12
58%
1
5
1
0
0
3
1
0
3-3
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
23.9
22.8
17
85%
3
1
2
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
5-7
71%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.6
6.3
12.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.7
6.3
16.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.9
5.8
18.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.1
0.5
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
15.3
0
1-3
48%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.9
40.6
31.9
20
52%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
8-10
80%
6-15
7-14
40%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
37.9
30.4
15
50%
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-10
3-6
30%
49%
3-5
60%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
31.9
31.1
2
33%
2
6
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.4
20.6
26.9
11
58%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.6
20.4
20.1
4
34%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.9
35.2
21.7
25
84%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
43%
5-7
71%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
32.6
23.3
14
72%
15
2
0
1
0
1
4
11
2-4
50%
6-8
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
26.6
9.1
8
44%
2
11
2
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
2-7
29%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.0
11.7
12.3
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.8
7.4
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
13.8
0
2-4
42%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
6.9
0
1-1
46%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.8
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 29.0
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.