Final Win Prob. pScore
473%105
111
2627%96
100
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
120.79285.1
TOR logo Raptors
109.99199.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RaptorsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS111
100
Q4 - 0:21.0TORBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)111
100
Q4 - 0:21.0SASSUB: Quinn FOR Parker111
99
Q4 - 0:21.0TORBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)111
99
Q4 - 0:21.0SASJefferson S.FOUL (P4.PN)111
98
Q4 - 0:24.0SASBlair 2' Tip Shot (28 PTS)111
98
Q4 - 0:24.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)109
98
Q4 - 0:24.0SASMISS Blair 2' Layup109
98
Q4 - 0:27.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)109
98
Q4 - 0:28.0SASMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot109
98
Q4 - 0:50.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)109
98
Q4 - 0:52.0TORMISS Calderon 18' Pullup Jump Shot109
98
Q4 - 1:03SASBlair 15' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)109
98
Q4 - 1:19TORWeems 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)107
98
Q4 - 1:24SASBlair 1' Layup (24 PTS)107
96
Q4 - 1:24SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)105
96
Q4 - 1:25SASMISS Parker 2' Layup105
96
Q4 - 1:35TORCalderon P.FOUL (P4.T4)105
96
Q4 - 1:56TORBarbosa 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)105
96
Q4 - 2:11SASParker Foul Turnover (P4.T13)105
94
Q4 - 2:11SASParker OFF.Foul (P2)105
94
Q4 - 2:27SASSUB: Novak FOR Ginobili105
94
Q4 - 2:27SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Duncan105
94
Q4 - 2:27TORSUB: Weems FOR Johnson105
94
Q4 - 2:27SAS105
94
Q4 - 2:27SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)105
94
Q4 - 2:27TORBarbosa 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)105
94
Q4 - 2:31TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)105
92
Q4 - 2:33SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup105
92
Q4 - 2:40SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)105
92
Q4 - 2:41TORMISS Johnson 2' Running Layup105
92
Q4 - 2:54SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)105
92
Q4 - 3:20SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)105
92
Q4 - 3:20TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1105
92
Q4 - 3:20SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T4)105
92
Q4 - 3:20TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS)105
92
Q4 - 3:25SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Neal105
90
Q4 - 3:37SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)105
90
Q4 - 3:49TORDeRozan P.FOUL (P3.T3)103
90
Q4 - 3:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
90
Q4 - 3:53TORMISS Johnson 2' Layup103
90
Q4 - 3:55TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)103
90
Q4 - 3:56TORMISS Bargnani 2' Driving Layup103
90
Q4 - 4:08SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)103
90
Q4 - 4:33SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
90
Q4 - 4:34TORMISS Bargnani 17' Pullup Jump Shot103
90
Q4 - 4:49SASBlair 2' Slam Dunk (22 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)103
90
Q4 - 5:03SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)101
90
Q4 - 5:04TORMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
90
Q4 - 5:13SASNeal Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)101
90
Q4 - 5:13SASSpurs Rebound100
90
Q4 - 5:13SASMISS Neal Free Throw 2 of 3100
90
Q4 - 5:13SASSpurs Rebound100
90
Q4 - 5:13SASMISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 3100
90
Q4 - 5:13TORBarbosa S.FOUL (P1.T2)100
90
Q4 - 5:30SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
90
Q4 - 5:31TORMISS Barbosa 12' Pullup Jump Shot100
90
Q4 - 5:43SASBlair 5' Jump Bank Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Hill 6 AST)100
90
Q4 - 5:54SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
90
Q4 - 5:57TORMISS Barbosa 2' Driving Layup98
90
Q4 - 6:08SASHill P.FOUL (P2.T3)98
90
Q4 - 6:30SASDuncan 2' Tip Shot (14 PTS)98
90
Q4 - 6:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
90
Q4 - 6:34SASMISS Blair 4' Running Jump Shot96
90
Q4 - 6:57SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)96
90
Q4 - 6:57SASSpurs Rebound96
90
Q4 - 6:58TORMISS Johnson 2' Layup96
90
Q4 - 7:01TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)96
90
Q4 - 7:02TORMISS DeRozan 9' Running Jump Shot96
90
Q4 - 7:08SASNeal Personal Block Foul (P3.T2)96
90
Q4 - 7:22TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)96
90
Q4 - 7:23SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
90
Q4 - 7:44TORBargnani 2' Driving Layup (29 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)96
90
Q4 - 7:51SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili96
88
Q4 - 7:51TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Davis96
88
Q4 - 7:51TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Weems96
88
Q4 - 7:51SASSUB: Duncan FOR Bonner96
88
Q4 - 7:51SASGinobili P.FOUL (P3.T1)96
88
Q4 - 8:02TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)96
88
Q4 - 8:04SASMISS Blair 2' Reverse Layup96
88
Q4 - 8:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
88
Q4 - 8:13TORMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot96
88
Q4 - 8:24SASHill 7' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)96
88
Q4 - 8:44SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
88
Q4 - 8:46TORMISS Barbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
88
Q4 - 8:50TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
88
Q4 - 8:52TORMISS Weems 3' Driving Layup94
88
Q4 - 9:06SASBlair 2' Layup (18 PTS)94
88
Q4 - 9:08SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
88
Q4 - 9:09SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup92
88
Q4 - 9:30TORBarbosa 23' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)92
88
Q4 - 9:47SASGinobili 19' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)92
86
Q4 - 10:05SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
86
Q4 - 10:07TORMISS Weems 22' Jump Shot90
86
Q4 - 10:20TORSUB: Calderon FOR Bayless90
86
Q4 - 10:20TORSUB: Johnson FOR Bargnani90
86
Q4 - 10:20TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)90
86
Q4 - 10:22SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)90
86
Q4 - 10:33TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)87
86
Q4 - 10:46SASBlair 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 9 AST)87
86
Q4 - 10:53TORDavis P.FOUL (P3.T1)85
86
Q4 - 10:59TORBarbosa Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)85
86
Q4 - 11:15SASBlair 6' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)85
86
Q4 - 11:30TORBargnani 14' Pullup Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)83
86
Q4 - 11:45SASGinobili 2' Driving Dunk (10 PTS)83
84
Q4 - 12:0081
84
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS81
84
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound81
84
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot81
84
Q3 - 0:07.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)81
84
Q3 - 0:07.0TORSUB: Wright FOR Johnson81
83
Q3 - 0:07.0TORRAPTORS Rebound81
83
Q3 - 0:07.0TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 281
83
Q3 - 0:07.0SASBonner S.FOUL (P2.PN)81
83
Q3 - 0:10.0SASDavis STEAL (1 STL)81
83
Q3 - 0:30.0TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)81
83
Q3 - 0:34.0SASSUB: Blair FOR Splitter81
81
Q3 - 0:34.0TORBarbosa Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)81
81
Q3 - 0:34.0SASSpurs T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bonner )81
80
Q3 - 0:43.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
80
Q3 - 0:43.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)80
80
Q3 - 0:43.0TORBayless S.FOUL (P2.PN)79
80
Q3 - 0:46.0TORBarbosa Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)79
80
Q3 - 0:59.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
80
Q3 - 1:00SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 179
80
Q3 - 1:00TORJohnson S.FOUL (P3.PN)79
80
Q3 - 1:00SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)79
80
Q3 - 1:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
80
Q3 - 1:09TORMISS Barbosa 14' Jump Shot77
80
Q3 - 1:24TORSUB: Bayless FOR Calderon77
80
Q3 - 1:24SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)77
80
Q3 - 1:28TORCalderon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)77
80
Q3 - 1:36TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
80
Q3 - 1:38SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 177
80
Q3 - 1:38TORSUB: Johnson FOR Bargnani77
80
Q3 - 1:38TORDavis S.FOUL (P2.T4)77
80
Q3 - 1:38SASSplitter 1' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)77
80
Q3 - 1:51TORBarbosa 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)75
80
Q3 - 2:11TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
77
Q3 - 2:12SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 275
77
Q3 - 2:12SASSpurs Rebound75
77
Q3 - 2:12SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 275
77
Q3 - 2:12TORCalderon S.FOUL (P3.T3)75
77
Q3 - 2:34TORCalderon 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)75
77
Q3 - 2:47SASNeal 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)75
75
Q3 - 3:01SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
75
Q3 - 3:02TORMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 273
75
Q3 - 3:02SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Parker73
75
Q3 - 3:02SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)73
75
Q3 - 3:02TORRAPTORS Rebound73
75
Q3 - 3:02TORMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 273
75
Q3 - 3:02SASNeal S.FOUL (P2.PN)73
75
Q3 - 3:11TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
75
Q3 - 3:12SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 273
75
Q3 - 3:12SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)73
75
Q3 - 3:12TORSUB: Davis FOR Johnson72
75
Q3 - 3:12TORSUB: Barbosa FOR Weems72
75
Q3 - 3:12TORWeems Shooting Block Foul (P2.T2)72
75
Q3 - 3:28TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
75
Q3 - 3:28SASSUB: Neal FOR Jefferson72
74
Q3 - 3:28TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
74
Q3 - 3:28SASBonner S.FOUL (P1.PN)72
73
Q3 - 3:39TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
73
Q3 - 3:40TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot72
73
Q3 - 3:55TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
73
Q3 - 3:56SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
73
Q3 - 4:15TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)72
73
Q3 - 4:23TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
70
Q3 - 4:24SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Driving Jump Shot72
70
Q3 - 4:27SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)72
70
Q3 - 4:30SASJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)72
70
Q3 - 4:46TORWeems 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)72
70
Q3 - 4:51TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
68
Q3 - 4:52SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot72
68
Q3 - 5:03TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)72
68
Q3 - 5:03SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan72
67
Q3 - 5:03TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)72
67
Q3 - 5:03SASJefferson P.FOUL (P3.PN)72
66
Q3 - 5:16SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
66
Q3 - 5:16SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
66
Q3 - 5:16TORCalderon S.FOUL (P2.T1)70
66
Q3 - 5:35SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)70
66
Q3 - 5:37TORBargnani 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)70
66
Q3 - 5:49TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
64
Q3 - 5:49TORMISS DeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot70
64
Q3 - 6:05SASSUB: Bonner FOR Blair70
64
Q3 - 6:05SASBlair P.FOUL (P2.T4)70
64
Q3 - 6:25TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
64
Q3 - 6:25SASMISS Blair 3' Layup70
64
Q3 - 6:45TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)70
64
Q3 - 6:45TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
63
Q3 - 6:45SASJefferson S.FOUL (P2.T3)70
62
Q3 - 6:49TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)70
62
Q3 - 6:49SASSUB: Hill FOR Ginobili70
62
Q3 - 6:49SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.T2)70
62
Q3 - 6:55SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)70
62
Q3 - 7:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
62
Q3 - 7:04TORMISS Calderon 19' Jump Shot68
62
Q3 - 7:08SASGinobili L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)68
62
Q3 - 7:08TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)68
62
Q3 - 7:09TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot68
62
Q3 - 7:25TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
62
Q3 - 7:27SASMISS Ginobili 15' Fadeaway Jumper68
62
Q3 - 7:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
62
Q3 - 7:34TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot68
62
Q3 - 7:53SASDuncan 1' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)68
62
Q3 - 8:10SASSpurs Rebound66
62
Q3 - 8:11TORMISS Johnson 3' Layup66
62
Q3 - 8:33SASBlair 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)66
62
Q3 - 8:36TORJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)64
62
Q3 - 8:37TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
62
Q3 - 8:39SASJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)64
62
Q3 - 8:58TORJohnson 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)64
62
Q3 - 9:17SASDuncan 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)64
60
Q3 - 9:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
60
Q3 - 9:30TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot62
60
Q3 - 9:42SASParker Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)62
60
Q3 - 9:55TORBargnani 23' Jump Shot (20 PTS)62
60
Q3 - 10:15TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
58
Q3 - 10:16SASMISS Blair 3' Reverse Layup62
58
Q3 - 10:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
58
Q3 - 10:30SASMISS Duncan 5' Turnaround Jump Shot62
58
Q3 - 10:41SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
58
Q3 - 10:43TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup62
58
Q3 - 10:49SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)62
58
Q3 - 11:05TORWeems Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)60
58
Q3 - 11:29TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
58
Q3 - 11:31SASMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot60
58
Q3 - 11:48TORCalderon 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)60
58
Q3 - 12:0060
56
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR60
56
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound60
56
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Barbosa 6' Running Jump Shot60
56
Q2 - 0:04.0SASParker 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)60
56
Q2 - 0:27.0TORBarbosa 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)58
56
Q2 - 0:37.0SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Ginobili58
54
Q2 - 0:37.0TORRAPTORS Rebound58
54
Q2 - 0:37.0SASJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)58
54
Q2 - 0:51.0TORBarbosa 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)58
54
Q2 - 1:01SASParker 6' Driving Hook Shot (12 PTS)58
52
Q2 - 1:17TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)56
52
Q2 - 1:39SASBlair 4' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)56
49
Q2 - 2:01SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)54
49
Q2 - 2:03TORDeRozan 9' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
49
Q2 - 2:18SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan54
47
Q2 - 2:18TORRAPTORS Rebound54
47
Q2 - 2:19SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot54
47
Q2 - 2:30TORDeRozan 1' Reverse Dunk (14 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)54
47
Q2 - 2:34TORBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
45
Q2 - 2:37SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot54
45
Q2 - 2:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
45
Q2 - 2:56TORMISS Calderon 16' Pullup Jump Shot54
45
Q2 - 3:10SASBlair 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)54
45
Q2 - 3:35TORDeRozan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
45
Q2 - 3:47TORSUB: Barbosa FOR Weems52
43
Q2 - 3:47TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)52
43
Q2 - 3:55SASBlair 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)52
43
Q2 - 4:01SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
43
Q2 - 4:02TORMISS Bargnani 9' Running Jump Shot50
43
Q2 - 4:25SASDuncan 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)50
43
Q2 - 4:41TORDeRozan 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)48
43
Q2 - 4:47SASBlair P.FOUL (P1.T4)48
41
Q2 - 5:02TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
41
Q2 - 5:03SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot48
41
Q2 - 5:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
41
Q2 - 5:20TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
41
Q2 - 5:39TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Barbosa48
41
Q2 - 5:39SASSUB: Parker FOR Neal48
41
Q2 - 5:39TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)48
41
Q2 - 5:39SASBlair Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)48
41
Q2 - 5:55SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
41
Q2 - 5:56TORMISS Barbosa 12' Pullup Jump Shot48
41
Q2 - 6:13SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)48
41
Q2 - 6:34TORBargnani 12' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)45
41
Q2 - 6:48SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)45
39
Q2 - 6:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
39
Q2 - 6:53TORMISS Calderon 1' Driving Layup43
39
Q2 - 6:59SASHill P.FOUL (P1.T3)43
39
Q2 - 7:12SASHill 2' Running Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)43
39
Q2 - 7:23TORWeems Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T2)41
39
Q2 - 7:24SASWeems STEAL (2 STL)41
39
Q2 - 7:31SASSUB: Blair FOR Bonner41
39
Q2 - 7:31SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Jefferson41
39
Q2 - 7:31TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Davis41
39
Q2 - 7:31TORDavis L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)41
39
Q2 - 7:31SASSpurs Rebound41
39
Q2 - 7:31SASMISS Neal 3PT Jump Shot41
39
Q2 - 7:50TORJohnson 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)41
39
Q2 - 8:04TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
37
Q2 - 8:05SASMISS Hill 14' Pullup Jump Shot41
37
Q2 - 8:13SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
37
Q2 - 8:14TORMISS Weems 18' Pullup Jump Shot41
37
Q2 - 8:35SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)41
37
Q2 - 8:36TORJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T3)41
37
Q2 - 8:56TORBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
37
Q2 - 8:56TORBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
36
Q2 - 8:56SASSUB: Duncan FOR Splitter41
35
Q2 - 8:5641
35
Q2 - 8:56SASSplitter S.FOUL (P1.T2)41
35
Q2 - 9:06TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
35
Q2 - 9:08TORMISS Barbosa 5' Reverse Layup41
35
Q2 - 9:19SASNeal Foul Turnover (P1.T4)41
35
Q2 - 9:19SASNeal Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1)41
35
Q2 - 9:29SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
35
Q2 - 9:30TORMISS Barbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
35
Q2 - 9:38SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
35
Q2 - 9:38SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
35
Q2 - 9:38TORSUB: Calderon FOR Bayless39
35
Q2 - 9:38TORJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T2)39
35
Q2 - 9:54TORJohnson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)39
35
Q2 - 10:06SASNeal 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)39
33
Q2 - 10:22SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
33
Q2 - 10:24SASMISS Splitter 2' Tip Shot36
33
Q2 - 10:26SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
33
Q2 - 10:27SASMISS Neal 7' Driving Hook Shot36
33
Q2 - 10:41SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Ginobili36
33
Q2 - 10:41TORWeems Foul Turnover (P1.T1)36
33
Q2 - 10:41TORWeems Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1)36
33
Q2 - 11:00SASNeal 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)36
33
Q2 - 11:19TORJohnson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)33
33
Q2 - 11:35SASHill 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)33
31
Q2 - 11:46TORBarbosa 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)31
31
Q2 - 12:0031
29
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS31
29
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound31
29
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
29
Q1 - 0:03.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
29
Q1 - 0:06.0TORMISS Bayless 3' Driving Layup31
29
Q1 - 0:29.0SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
29
Q1 - 0:29.0TORSUB: Weems FOR DeRozan30
29
Q1 - 0:29.0SASSpurs Rebound30
29
Q1 - 0:29.0SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 230
29
Q1 - 0:29.0TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P2.PN)30
29
Q1 - 0:29.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
29
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Hill 15' Pullup Jump Shot30
29
Q1 - 0:40.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
29
Q1 - 0:41.0TORMISS Ajinca 19' Jump Shot30
29
Q1 - 0:54.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
29
Q1 - 0:54.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)29
29
Q1 - 0:54.0TORSUB: Ajinca FOR Bargnani28
29
Q1 - 0:54.0SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Jefferson28
29
Q1 - 0:54.0TORBayless S.FOUL (P1.T3)28
29
Q1 - 1:00TORBargnani 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)28
29
Q1 - 1:24SASSplitter 2' Layup (2 PTS)28
27
Q1 - 1:46TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)26
27
Q1 - 1:46TORRAPTORS Rebound26
26
Q1 - 1:46TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 226
26
Q1 - 1:46SASSUB: Bonner FOR Parker26
26
Q1 - 1:46TORSUB: Barbosa FOR Calderon26
26
Q1 - 1:46TORSUB: Bayless FOR Weems26
26
Q1 - 1:46SASSUB: Neal FOR Blair26
26
Q1 - 1:46SASJefferson S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
26
Q1 - 1:50SASBargnani STEAL (1 STL)26
26
Q1 - 2:03TORCalderon 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
26
Q1 - 2:16SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)26
24
Q1 - 2:33TORDeRozan 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)23
24
Q1 - 2:47SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)23
22
Q1 - 3:09SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22
Q1 - 3:10TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
22
Q1 - 3:18TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22
Q1 - 3:19SASMISS Blair 2' Reverse Layup20
22
Q1 - 3:36TORBargnani 18' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
22
Q1 - 3:58SASParker 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)20
20
Q1 - 4:09SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20
Q1 - 4:10TORMISS Calderon 22' Jump Shot18
20
Q1 - 4:25SASParker 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)18
20
Q1 - 4:51TORWeems 2' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 4:56SASWeems STEAL (1 STL)16
18
Q1 - 5:16TORBargnani 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
18
Q1 - 5:28SASSUB: Splitter FOR Ginobili16
16
Q1 - 5:28SASSUB: Hill FOR Duncan16
16
Q1 - 5:28TORSUB: Davis FOR Johnson16
16
Q1 - 5:28TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
16
Q1 - 5:34TORJohnson Violation:Defensive Goaltending16
16
Q1 - 5:34SASBlair 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)16
16
Q1 - 5:54TORBargnani 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)14
16
Q1 - 6:00TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
14
Q1 - 6:02SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup14
14
Q1 - 6:18TORDeRozan 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
14
Q1 - 6:31TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
12
Q1 - 6:33TORMISS Weems 18' Jump Shot14
12
Q1 - 6:49SASParker 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)14
12
Q1 - 7:03TORDeRozan 5' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
12
Q1 - 7:16SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
10
Q1 - 7:22SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Hill12
10
Q1 - 7:22SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
10
Q1 - 7:30TORBargnani 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)12
10
Q1 - 7:45SASGinobili 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)12
8
Q1 - 7:51SASSUB: Hill FOR Jefferson10
8
Q1 - 7:51TORDeRozan P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
8
Q1 - 7:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
8
Q1 - 7:57TORMISS DeRozan 22' Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 8:05TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
8
Q1 - 8:06TORMISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 8:21SASBlair 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)10
8
Q1 - 8:38TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)8
8
Q1 - 8:43TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
6
Q1 - 8:44SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 8:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
6
Q1 - 8:52TORMISS Weems 1' Driving Reverse Layup8
6
Q1 - 9:06SASDuncan 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)8
6
Q1 - 9:21TORJohnson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)6
6
Q1 - 9:35SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 9:47TORWeems 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 10:01SASParker 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 10:18SASSpurs Rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:18TORMISS Bargnani 2' Driving Layup2
2
Q1 - 10:34SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 10:44TORCalderon P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:55SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:57TORMISS Bargnani 2' Driving Layup0
2
Q1 - 11:13TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:15SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Bank Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:28TORDeRozan 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:39TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Blair 11' Pullup Bank Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bargnani vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASTOR
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.18 59.0%
TOR
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
29
44
66%
TOR
20
34
59%
Midrange
SAS
12
23
52%
TOR
19
41
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
TOR
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
11
19
58%
TOR
13
18
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Blair2867%14.0 / 21
G. Hill1875%9.0 / 12
T. Parker1653%8.0 / 15
T. Duncan1667%8.0 / 12
M. Ginobili1255%6.0 / 11
G. Neal975%4.5 / 6
T. Splitter650%3.0 / 6
R. Jefferson375%1.5 / 2
M. Bonner338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani2969%14.5 / 21
D. DeRozan2560%12.5 / 21
L. Barbosa2056%10.0 / 18
A. Johnson1255%6.0 / 11
S. Weems844%4.0 / 9
J. Calderon633%3.0 / 9
E. Davis0-0.0 / 1
J. Bayless0-0.0 / 1
A. Ajinca0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
81
+13
-11
94
TOR
83
+10
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.18 59.0%
TOR
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
105.9
SAS 120.7 +10.8
TOR 109.9
Pace
92.7
93.1
SAS 85.1
TOR 99.0 +13.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.1
SAS 16.9
TOR 14.5 −2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
49.1%
SAS 61.7% +9.9%
TOR 51.8%
TO %
13.8%
15.0%
SAS 12.7%
TOR 8.0% −4.7%
ORB %
25.0%
28.3%
SAS 30.3% +7.8%
TOR 22.5%
FTrt
29.9
29.3
SAS 23.5 +2.1
TOR 21.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
57.1%
SAS 63.8% +11.4%
TOR 52.4%
STL %
7.9%
7.6%
SAS 6.5% +2.1%
TOR 4.4%
BLK %
6.7%
6.7%
SAS 9.3% +4.8%
TOR 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
52.1%
SAS 59.0% +5.2%
TOR 53.8%
Rim FG%
60.3%
58.9%
SAS 65.9% +7.1%
TOR 58.8%
Mid FG%
41.6%
41.2%
SAS 52.2% +5.9%
TOR 46.3%
3P %
39.7%
31.6%
SAS 42.9% +9.6%
TOR 33.3%
FT %
76.7%
75.5%
SAS 57.9%
TOR 72.2% +14.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
39.1%
SAS 54.3% +13.8%
TOR 40.5%
Mid Att. %
39.7%
44.7%
SAS 28.4% −20.4%
TOR 48.8%
3P Att. %
26.1%
16.2%
SAS 17.3% +6.6%
TOR 10.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsSASTOR
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points111100
Rebounds4132
Assists3022
Steals64
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)23 (2)
Field Goals47-8142-84
At-the-Rim FG29-4420-34
Midrange FG12-2319-41
2-Point FG41-6739-75
3-Point FG6-143-9
Free Throws11-1913-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'7" 270 · 22
36.2
28
67%
11
0
1
2
1
2
4
7
0-0
-
14-21
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
32.4
16
53%
3
8
0
0
4
2
0
3
0-0
-
8-14
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 34
29.0
12
55%
4
9
1
0
3
3
1
3
0-1
0%
6-8
75%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 35
25.5
16
67%
7
6
1
5
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 233 · 31
25.4
3
75%
1
0
1
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
36.8
18
75%
5
6
2
0
1
2
0
5
6-6
100%
3-7
43%
2-2
100%
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
20.2
9
75%
2
0
0
0
2
3
0
2
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31
16.5
3
38%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26
15.3
6
50%
8
0
0
0
0
1
4
4
2-7
29%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36
#25 · G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
59%
41
30
6
7
11
0
10
31
11-19
58%
41-67
61%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.