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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 11, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Nets38%9194
23Bobcats62%9589
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.9
41.3
33.6
31
52%
11
1
1
1
1
2
2
9
3-6
50%
14-27
7-15
52%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
35.2
31.4
5
26%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
32.8
29.7
16
59%
4
8
0
1
0
0
0
4
7-8
88%
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.4
29.8
22.8
3
16%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
1-3
33%
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.6
15.9
19.0
4
67%
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
31.8
25.8
15
57%
14
2
0
1
1
2
7
7
5-7
71%
5-10
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.9
25.7
26.0
10
47%
3
3
2
1
2
1
0
3
3-6
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
1-5
20%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
15.3
15.4
8
48%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.8
6.2
8.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.0
6.1
11.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
8.0
0
1-2
44%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
5.1
0
0-1
47%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.8
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
40.6
39.6
20
67%
9
3
1
1
2
0
2
7
8-11
73%
6-9
5-10
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.9
39.6
33.5
21
62%
3
4
0
1
3
5
0
3
8-11
73%
2-7
5-10
29%
47%
3-5
60%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.9
29.9
25.4
8
58%
8
0
0
1
0
2
0
8
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.8
29.9
30.8
12
45%
6
4
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-1
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
56%
1-4
25%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.3
28.3
31.1
4
20%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.4
20.0
13.9
10
73%
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
17.1
24.8
11
65%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
5-8
63%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
16.6
18.8
2
20%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
53%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
10.2
3.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
7.9
18.4
1
28%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-4
25%
0-0
3-6
-
53%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.4
5.2
0
1-1
53%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.5
2.4
0
0-1
44%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.0
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.