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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings22%95113
9Suns78%106108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.4
43.5
41.0
21
52%
4
7
0
2
0
6
0
4
5-5
100%
5-15
7-16
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.6
42.8
38.0
12
43%
3
7
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-10
4-8
20%
52%
2-3
67%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
31.7
29.2
10
36%
7
2
0
1
2
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
46%
0-4
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.8
30.9
24.4
18
70%
15
0
1
0
3
2
4
11
2-2
100%
8-12
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.6
18.9
19.6
8
44%
7
1
1
0
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.4
39.5
18.2
20
54%
10
2
2
0
0
3
6
4
6-8
75%
7-15
3-6
47%
52%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.0
26.0
12.1
19
78%
4
0
2
0
0
1
1
3
4-5
80%
6-8
1-3
75%
46%
1-2
50%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.3
6.6
3.9
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.1
30.2
1
3-6
49%
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.2
10.4
0
1-3
44%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
8.1
0
1-2
46%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
2.5
0
0-1
46%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.5
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.0
37.1
31.2
22
55%
2
18
0
1
0
3
1
1
6-7
86%
8-15
4-6
53%
56%
0-2
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.4
32.9
29.3
13
69%
3
3
1
1
2
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.7
32.6
29.4
15
68%
7
0
0
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
3-6
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.0
15.4
21.3
7
34%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
49%
0-3
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.9
13.9
16.0
8
43%
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1
2-3
67%
3-8
3-6
38%
56%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
33.8
27.3
20
80%
12
0
1
1
3
1
3
9
8-8
100%
6-9
5-8
67%
57%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.6
32.6
22.2
13
55%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
5-6
2-4
83%
53%
1-5
20%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
15.6
20.4
2
33%
2
1
1
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.6
15.1
16.7
4
41%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.4
10.9
15.1
4
25%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.7
6.5
0
1-1
58%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.3
2.4
0
0-1
53%
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.3
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.