Final Win Prob. pScore
1361%97
94
2439%93
79
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
120.57874.4
DET logo Pistons
100.07983.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET94
100%
79
0%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLPowell 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETMISS Summers 20' Jump Shot92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0ATLMonroe BLOCK (1 BLK)92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01ATLTeague Violation:Defensive Goaltending92
79
Q4 - 1:01DETBynum 1' Layup (8 PTS)92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04ATLBynum STEAL (3 STL)92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17DETMISS Summers Free Throw 2 of 292
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17DETPISTONS Rebound92
77
Q4 - 1:17DETMISS Summers Free Throw 1 of 292
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17ATLSUB: Powell FOR Smith92
77
Q4 - 1:17ATLSmith P.FOUL (P3.PN)92
77
Q4 - 1:27ATLSUB: Teague FOR Bibby92
77
Q4 - 1:27ATLSUB: Wilkins FOR Johnson92
77
Q4 - 1:27ATLWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44ATLBynum STEAL (2 STL)92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04DETSummers 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22ATLCrawford Palming Turnover (P3.T14)92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40DETSummers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53DETSUB: Summers FOR Gordon92
75
Q4 - 2:53DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)92
75
Q4 - 2:55ATLSmith Dunk (27 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17DETMISS Daye 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24ATLBynum STEAL (1 STL)90
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)90
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 3:45ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot90
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 3:56DETDaye P.FOUL (P3.T4)90
75
Q4 - 4:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)90
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 4:13DETMISS Bynum Layup90
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 4:17DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 4:18ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 4:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)90
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 4:43DETMISS Bynum 12' Jump Shot90
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 5:04ATLWilliams 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)90
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 5:26DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Villanueva88
75
Q4 - 5:26DETSUB: Monroe FOR Wilcox88
75
Q4 - 5:26ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)88
75
Q4 - 5:26ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)88
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 5:27DETMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 5:32DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 5:33ATLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot88
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 5:47DETWilcox Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)88
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 6:09ATLSmith Layup (25 PTS)88
98.6%
75
1.4%
Q4 - 6:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q4 - 6:11ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot86
97.6%
75
2.4%
Q4 - 6:32DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q4 - 6:32DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 6:32ATLBibby S.FOUL (P3.PN)86
73
Q4 - 6:45DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
98.6%
73
1.4%
Q4 - 6:46ATLMISS Johnson 4' Hook Shot86
98.7%
73
1.3%
Q4 - 7:05DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)86
98.6%
73
1.4%
Q4 - 7:05DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)86
98.6%
72
1.4%
Q4 - 7:05ATLWilliams S.FOUL (P3.PN)86
71
Q4 - 7:22ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)86
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q4 - 7:22ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)85
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q4 - 7:22DETDaye S.FOUL (P2.T3)84
71
Q4 - 7:26DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)84
98.6%
71
1.4%
Q4 - 7:30ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)84
98.1%
71
1.9%
Q4 - 7:56ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
97.6%
71
2.4%
Q4 - 7:58DETMISS Wilcox Layup82
97.4%
71
2.6%
Q4 - 8:03DETGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
96.1%
71
3.9%
Q4 - 8:04DETMISS Gordon 5' Jump Shot82
96.7%
71
3.3%
Q4 - 8:19ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
96.1%
71
3.9%
Q4 - 8:19ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
96.0%
71
4.0%
Q4 - 8:19DETVillanueva S.FOUL (P1.T2)80
71
Q4 - 8:37DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
95.0%
71
5.0%
Q4 - 8:37DETPISTONS Rebound80
70
Q4 - 8:37DETMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 280
95.2%
70
4.8%
Q4 - 8:37ATLBibby S.FOUL (P2.T4)80
70
Q4 - 8:41ATLBibby L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)80
70
Q4 - 8:41DETPISTONS Rebound80
95.0%
70
5.0%
Q4 - 8:42DETMISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot80
95.8%
70
4.2%
Q4 - 8:5680
70
Q4 - 8:56ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)80
95.1%
70
4.9%
Q4 - 8:56ATLHawks Rebound80
96.1%
70
3.9%
Q4 - 8:57ATLWilcox BLOCK (1 BLK)80
95.4%
70
4.6%
Q4 - 9:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
95.4%
70
4.6%
Q4 - 9:21DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
95.0%
70
5.0%
Q4 - 9:34ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)80
94.2%
70
5.8%
Q4 - 9:34ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)79
93.8%
70
6.2%
Q4 - 9:34DETBynum S.FOUL (P1.T1)78
70
Q4 - 9:46ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
92.7%
70
7.3%
Q4 - 9:47DETMISS Bynum 16' Fadeaway Jumper78
92.2%
70
7.8%
Q4 - 9:53DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
91.0%
70
9.0%
Q4 - 9:54DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
92.2%
70
7.8%
Q4 - 10:04ATLJohnson L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)78
70
Q4 - 10:04DETPISTONS Rebound78
90.0%
70
10.0%
Q4 - 10:05DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
91.3%
70
8.7%
Q4 - 10:10ATLWilcox STEAL (1 STL)78
90.0%
70
10.0%
Q4 - 10:22ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
91.9%
70
8.1%
Q4 - 10:23DETMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot78
91.4%
70
8.6%
Q4 - 10:32ATLWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T1)78
70
Q4 - 10:53ATLBibby 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)78
90.1%
70
9.9%
Q4 - 11:19DETVillanueva Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Bynum 7 AST)76
87.0%
70
13.0%
Q4 - 11:40ATLSmith 18' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)76
89.3%
68
10.7%
Q4 - 12:0074
68
Q3 - 0:00.0DET74
87.0%
68
13.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET74
68
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound74
84.4%
68
15.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Stuckey 5' Jump Shot74
86.3%
68
13.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLSUB: Wilkins FOR Horford74
68
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHorford Personal Take Foul (P4.T4)74
68
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)74
83.7%
68
16.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETPrince 6' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)74
86.1%
68
13.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)74
88.6%
66
11.4%
Q3 - 1:00DETBynum 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)71
83.5%
66
16.5%
Q3 - 1:13DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
88.0%
63
12.0%
Q3 - 1:14ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot71
88.6%
63
11.4%
Q3 - 1:31DETMonroe Dunk (4 PTS) (Bynum 6 AST)71
89.8%
63
10.2%
Q3 - 1:42ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
91.6%
61
8.4%
Q3 - 1:42ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
91.4%
61
8.6%
Q3 - 1:42DETSUB: Bynum FOR McGrady69
61
Q3 - 1:42ATLSUB: Collins FOR Smith69
61
Q3 - 1:42DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)69
61
Q3 - 1:42DETStuckey S.FOUL (P2.PN)69
61
Q3 - 1:45DETDaye Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)69
89.8%
61
10.2%
Q3 - 1:58DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
88.1%
61
11.9%
Q3 - 1:59ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
88.6%
61
11.4%
Q3 - 2:25DETPrince 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)69
89.1%
61
10.9%
Q3 - 2:31ATLStuckey STEAL (1 STL)69
90.9%
59
9.1%
Q3 - 2:39ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
92.3%
59
7.7%
Q3 - 2:40DETMISS Daye 3PT Jump Shot69
91.9%
59
8.1%
Q3 - 2:57DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
90.9%
59
9.1%
Q3 - 3:01ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 169
90.6%
59
9.4%
Q3 - 3:01DETPrince S.FOUL (P3.T4)69
59
Q3 - 3:01ATLBibby 7' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)69
59
Q3 - 3:07DETDaye P.FOUL (P1.T3)67
59
Q3 - 3:24ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
88.8%
59
11.2%
Q3 - 3:25DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 267
88.5%
59
11.5%
Q3 - 3:25DETSUB: Daye FOR Wallace67
59
Q3 - 3:25DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
87.1%
59
12.9%
Q3 - 3:25ATLSUB: Bibby FOR Johnson67
58
Q3 - 3:25ATLCrawford S.FOUL (P1.T3)67
58
Q3 - 3:29DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
88.7%
58
11.3%
Q3 - 3:30ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
89.3%
58
10.7%
Q3 - 3:36ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
90.5%
58
9.5%
Q3 - 3:37DETMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot67
90.0%
58
10.0%
Q3 - 3:52ATLSmith 1' Tip Shot (17 PTS)67
88.7%
58
11.3%
Q3 - 3:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
86.9%
58
13.1%
Q3 - 3:55ATLMISS Smith Layup65
85.3%
58
14.7%
Q3 - 4:18DETStuckey 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)65
86.6%
58
13.4%
Q3 - 4:45ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)65
88.2%
56
11.8%
Q3 - 4:59DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
86.6%
56
13.4%
Q3 - 4:59DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
87.0%
55
13.0%
Q3 - 4:59ATLSUB: Crawford FOR Bibby63
54
Q3 - 4:59ATLHorford S.FOUL (P3.T2)63
54
Q3 - 5:14DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
87.4%
54
12.6%
Q3 - 5:16ATLMISS Johnson Layup63
88.0%
54
12.0%
Q3 - 5:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
89.4%
54
10.6%
Q3 - 5:26ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot63
88.1%
54
11.9%
Q3 - 5:48ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
89.4%
54
10.6%
Q3 - 5:49DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot63
88.8%
54
11.2%
Q3 - 6:07ATLHorford 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)63
87.0%
54
13.0%
Q3 - 6:18ATLSUB: Williams FOR Collins61
54
Q3 - 6:18ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)61
54
Q3 - 6:26DETMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)61
85.3%
54
14.7%
Q3 - 6:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)61
88.7%
51
11.3%
Q3 - 6:44ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot61
89.3%
51
10.7%
Q3 - 7:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
89.6%
51
10.4%
Q3 - 7:11DETMISS Wallace Layup61
89.1%
51
10.9%
Q3 - 7:32DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
88.0%
51
12.0%
Q3 - 7:35ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
88.6%
51
11.4%
Q3 - 7:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
89.7%
51
10.3%
Q3 - 7:45ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
88.6%
51
11.4%
Q3 - 7:52ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
89.7%
51
10.3%
Q3 - 7:54DETMISS Stuckey 1' Layup61
89.2%
51
10.8%
Q3 - 7:55DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
88.1%
51
11.9%
Q3 - 7:57DETMISS Stuckey Layup61
89.2%
51
10.8%
Q3 - 8:14ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)61
87.7%
51
12.3%
Q3 - 8:14ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
87.3%
51
12.7%
Q3 - 8:14DETPrince S.FOUL (P2.T2)59
51
Q3 - 8:36DETMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)59
86.1%
51
13.9%
Q3 - 9:03ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)59
83.8%
51
16.2%
Q3 - 9:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
79.4%
51
20.6%
Q3 - 9:19DETMISS Stuckey 19' Pullup Jump Shot56
78.7%
51
21.3%
Q3 - 9:35ATLSmith P.FOUL (P2.T1)56
51
Q3 - 10:01ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)56
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q3 - 10:22ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
71.4%
51
28.6%
Q3 - 10:23DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
70.5%
51
29.5%
Q3 - 10:45ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)53
68.3%
51
31.7%
Q3 - 10:52ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
71.4%
51
28.6%
Q3 - 10:53DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup53
70.5%
51
29.5%
Q3 - 11:15DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
68.4%
51
31.6%
Q3 - 11:16ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot53
69.4%
51
30.6%
Q3 - 11:39DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T5)53
71.5%
51
28.5%
Q3 - 11:39DETStuckey Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1)53
51
Q3 - 12:0053
51
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL53
68.4%
51
31.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound53
71.5%
51
28.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot53
69.4%
51
30.6%
Q2 - 0:13.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
71.0%
51
29.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot53
70.4%
51
29.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T2)53
51
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLSmith 17' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)53
68.8%
51
31.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
65.3%
51
34.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup51
64.5%
51
35.5%
Q2 - 1:03ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)51
63.2%
51
36.8%
Q2 - 1:25ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
59.3%
51
40.7%
Q2 - 1:26DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
58.6%
51
41.4%
Q2 - 1:42ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
57.0%
51
43.0%
Q2 - 1:42ATLSUB: Collins FOR Horford48
51
Q2 - 1:42ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
56.5%
51
43.5%
Q2 - 1:42DETMcGrady S.FOUL (P1.T2)47
51
Q2 - 1:46DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)47
52.9%
51
47.1%
Q2 - 1:57ATLJohnson 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)47
50.5%
51
49.5%
Q2 - 2:21DETVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)45
47.3%
51
52.7%
Q2 - 2:4045
48
Q2 - 2:40DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)45
48
Q2 - 2:42ATLHorford Layup (8 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)45
53.6%
48
46.4%
Q2 - 2:48DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)43
50.5%
48
49.5%
Q2 - 3:02ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)43
48.0%
48
52.0%
Q2 - 3:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
42.3%
48
57.7%
Q2 - 3:13DETMISS McGrady 14' Fadeaway Jumper40
41.3%
48
58.7%
Q2 - 3:37ATLBibby 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)40
38.8%
48
61.2%
Q2 - 3:49DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
36.3%
48
63.7%
Q2 - 3:49DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
36.7%
47
63.3%
Q2 - 3:49ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T1)38
46
Q2 - 4:12ATLHorford Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)38
39.6%
46
60.4%
Q2 - 4:19ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
37.0%
46
63.0%
Q2 - 4:20ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot36
34.9%
46
65.1%
Q2 - 4:41DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)36
37.0%
46
63.0%
Q2 - 4:54DETSUB: Monroe FOR Wilcox36
43
Q2 - 4:54DETSUB: Prince FOR Bynum36
43
Q2 - 4:54DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Gordon36
43
Q2 - 4:54DETSUB: McGrady FOR Daye36
43
Q2 - 4:54ATLSUB: Williams FOR Crawford36
43
Q2 - 4:54DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
43
Q2 - 5:00ATLBibby 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)36
42.5%
43
57.5%
Q2 - 5:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
40.7%
43
59.3%
Q2 - 5:07DETMISS Daye 10' Jump Bank Shot34
39.8%
43
60.2%
Q2 - 5:33ATLSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)34
37.8%
43
62.2%
Q2 - 5:53DETGordon 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bynum 5 AST)31
32.4%
43
67.6%
Q2 - 6:08ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)31
35.7%
41
64.3%
Q2 - 6:21DETBynum Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)28
31.0%
41
69.0%
Q2 - 6:31DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
28.2%
41
71.8%
Q2 - 6:32ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot28
29.1%
41
70.9%
Q2 - 6:44ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)28
41
Q2 - 6:58ATLHawks Rebound28
31.0%
41
69.0%
Q2 - 6:59DETMISS Bynum 6' Fadeaway Jumper28
30.1%
41
69.9%
Q2 - 7:11ATLJohnson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)28
29.5%
41
70.5%
Q2 - 7:28DETVillanueva Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)26
27.3%
41
72.7%
Q2 - 7:41ATLVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)26
29.4%
39
70.6%
Q2 - 7:57ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Williams26
39
Q2 - 7:57DETWilcox Foul Turnover (P1.T1)26
31.9%
39
68.1%
Q2 - 7:57DETWilcox OFF.Foul (P1)26
39
Q2 - 8:14ATLSmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)26
30.7%
39
69.3%
Q2 - 8:17ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
28.5%
39
71.5%
Q2 - 8:18DETMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot24
27.8%
39
72.2%
Q2 - 8:23ATLSUB: Smith FOR Wilkins24
39
Q2 - 8:23ATLSUB: Horford FOR Pachulia24
39
Q2 - 8:41DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
26.2%
39
73.8%
Q2 - 8:42DETMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot24
27.8%
39
72.2%
Q2 - 9:03ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)24
27.2%
39
72.8%
Q2 - 9:11ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
29.4%
39
70.6%
Q2 - 9:12ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot24
27.9%
39
72.1%
Q2 - 9:28ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)24
39
Q2 - 9:30DETVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)24
29.4%
39
70.6%
Q2 - 9:47DETPISTONS Rebound24
33.8%
36
66.2%
Q2 - 9:48ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot24
34.5%
36
65.5%
Q2 - 10:14DETDaye 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)24
36.6%
36
63.4%
Q2 - 10:38ATLWilkins 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)24
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q2 - 11:05DETGordon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)22
39.3%
33
60.7%
Q2 - 11:22ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 11:22ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
43.7%
30
56.3%
Q2 - 11:22DETGordon S.FOUL (P1.T1)20
30
Q2 - 11:46DETDaye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)20
41.7%
30
58.3%
Q2 - 12:0020
27
Q1 - 0:00.0DET20
46.5%
27
53.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET20
27
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLDaye STEAL (1 STL)20
47.3%
27
52.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
49.2%
27
50.8%
Q1 - 0:21.0DETMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot20
48.6%
27
51.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P3.T4)20
47.2%
27
52.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0ATLSmith Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3)20
27
Q1 - 0:56.0DETDaye 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)20
49.2%
27
50.8%
Q1 - 1:17ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
55.2%
24
44.8%
Q1 - 1:17DETSUB: Daye FOR Monroe19
24
Q1 - 1:17ATLHawks Rebound19
24
Q1 - 1:17ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 219
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q1 - 1:17DETPrince S.FOUL (P1.T2)19
24
Q1 - 1:37DETStuckey 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)19
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q1 - 1:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)19
57.5%
22
42.5%
Q1 - 1:50ATLMISS Pachulia 7' Jump Bank Shot19
58.0%
22
42.0%
Q1 - 2:08DETStuckey 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)19
59.6%
22
40.4%
Q1 - 2:21ATLWilliams 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)19
62.1%
20
37.9%
Q1 - 2:41DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)17
59.6%
20
40.4%
Q1 - 2:41DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)17
60.1%
19
39.9%
Q1 - 2:41ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Johnson17
18
Q1 - 2:41ATLSUB: Wilkins FOR Horford17
18
Q1 - 2:41ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
18
Q1 - 2:41ATLHorford S.FOUL (P2.T2)17
18
Q1 - 3:05ATLCrawford 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
62.3%
18
37.7%
Q1 - 3:24DETPrince 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
60.2%
18
39.8%
Q1 - 3:43DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
62.2%
16
37.8%
Q1 - 3:45DETMISS McGrady 2' Layup15
63.8%
16
36.2%
Q1 - 4:09ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)15
62.3%
16
37.7%
Q1 - 4:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
64.3%
16
35.7%
Q1 - 4:15DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot15
63.7%
16
36.3%
Q1 - 4:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)15
62.3%
16
37.7%
Q1 - 4:22DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot15
63.7%
16
36.3%
Q1 - 4:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)15
62.3%
16
37.7%
Q1 - 4:27DETMISS McGrady 13' Fadeaway Jumper15
63.7%
16
36.3%
Q1 - 4:44ATLMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)15
62.3%
16
37.7%
Q1 - 5:04DETMonroe 1' Layup (2 PTS)15
64.1%
16
35.9%
Q1 - 5:05DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
65.6%
14
34.4%
Q1 - 5:07DETMISS McGrady 1' Layup15
66.9%
14
33.1%
Q1 - 5:14ATLMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)15
65.6%
14
34.4%
Q1 - 5:28DETMcGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)15
67.4%
14
32.6%
Q1 - 5:39ATLSUB: Crawford FOR Bibby15
11
Q1 - 5:39DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
11
Q1 - 5:39DETPISTONS Rebound15
70.4%
11
29.6%
Q1 - 5:40DETMISS Stuckey 1' Layup15
71.6%
11
28.4%
Q1 - 5:49DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
70.3%
11
29.7%
Q1 - 5:50ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot15
70.8%
11
29.2%
Q1 - 6:07DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
71.7%
11
28.3%
Q1 - 6:07ATLSUB: Williams FOR Collins15
10
Q1 - 6:07DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
72.0%
10
28.0%
Q1 - 6:07ATLHorford S.FOUL (P1.T1)15
9
Q1 - 6:25ATLBibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)15
72.8%
9
27.2%
Q1 - 6:30ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
70.0%
9
30.0%
Q1 - 6:31ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
69.0%
9
31.0%
Q1 - 6:45ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
69.9%
9
30.1%
Q1 - 6:46DETMISS Prince Layup12
69.4%
9
30.6%
Q1 - 7:08ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)12
68.2%
9
31.8%
Q1 - 7:21DETPrince 1' Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)10
66.8%
9
33.2%
Q1 - 7:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
67.9%
7
32.1%
Q1 - 7:37DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot10
68.9%
7
31.1%
Q1 - 7:48DETStuckey Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)10
67.8%
7
32.2%
Q1 - 7:48ATLHawks T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Collins )10
6
Q1 - 8:02ATLCollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
69.1%
6
30.9%
Q1 - 8:02ATLCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
68.6%
6
31.4%
Q1 - 8:02DETMonroe S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
6
Q1 - 8:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
67.6%
6
32.4%
Q1 - 8:19DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot8
67.2%
6
32.8%
Q1 - 8:44ATLJohnson 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
66.1%
6
33.9%
Q1 - 8:51ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
64.8%
6
35.2%
Q1 - 8:52DETMISS Wallace 2' Tip Shot6
64.5%
6
35.5%
Q1 - 8:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
63.7%
6
36.3%
Q1 - 8:53DETMISS Wallace Layup6
64.5%
6
35.5%
Q1 - 9:12ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
63.8%
6
36.2%
Q1 - 9:35DETStuckey 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)4
62.6%
6
37.4%
Q1 - 9:58ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
63.3%
4
36.7%
Q1 - 10:24DETMcGrady Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
62.4%
4
37.6%
Q1 - 10:38DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 10:39ATLMISS Johnson 13' Running Jump Shot2
63.0%
2
37.0%
Q1 - 10:58DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)2
63.0%
2
37.0%
Q1 - 11:22ATLHorford Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
62.7%
0
37.3%
Q1 - 11:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 11:39ATLMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot0
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Smith: Tip to Horford0
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLDET
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.29 64.4%
DET
0.96 48.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
19
79%
DET
9
24
38%
Midrange
ATL
13
27
48%
DET
8
27
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
DET
10
15.0
19
53%
79%
Free Throws
ATL
17
19
89%
DET
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2771%13.5 / 19
M. Bibby1771%8.5 / 12
M. Williams1575%7.5 / 10
J. Johnson1454%7.0 / 13
A. Horford1063%5.0 / 8
J. Crawford467%2.0 / 3
J. Collins2100%1.0 / 1
D. Wilkins2100%1.0 / 1
J. Powell2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Pachulia125%0.5 / 2
J. Teague0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady1458%7.0 / 12
C. Villanueva1372%6.5 / 9
R. Stuckey1255%6.0 / 11
A. Daye1179%5.5 / 7
T. Prince1038%5.0 / 13
W. Bynum844%4.0 / 9
B. Gordon536%2.5 / 7
G. Monroe450%2.0 / 4
D. Summers233%1.0 / 3
B. Wallace0-0.0 / 3
C. Wilcox0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
62
+11
-16
73
DET
68
+14
-11
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.29 64.4%
DET
0.96 48.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
107.5
ATL 120.5 +20.5
DET 100.0
Pace
89.5
89.3
ATL 74.4
DET 83.0 +8.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
16.6
ATL 19.3
DET 17.4 −2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
49.5%
ATL 62.1% +16.4%
DET 45.7%
TO %
14.2%
13.5%
ATL 19.5%
DET 12.3% −7.2%
ORB %
23.5%
27.4%
ATL 36.0% +11.0%
DET 25.0%
FTrt
26.9
27.9
ATL 30.6 +3.5
DET 27.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
56.6%
ATL 74.3% +0.2%
DET 74.1%
STL %
6.8%
8.0%
ATL 9.0%
DET 11.4% +2.4%
BLK %
6.6%
6.6%
ATL 3.9%
DET 4.3% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
51.9%
ATL 64.4% +16.2%
DET 48.2%
Rim FG%
60.0%
59.2%
ATL 78.9% +41.4%
DET 37.5%
Mid FG%
42.5%
38.8%
ATL 48.1% +18.5%
DET 29.6%
3P %
35.2%
37.6%
ATL 43.8%
DET 52.6% +8.8%
FT %
78.0%
73.7%
ATL 89.5% +10.6%
DET 78.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
36.3%
ATL 30.6%
DET 34.3% +3.6%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
44.8%
ATL 43.5%
DET 38.6% −5.0%
3P Att. %
22.2%
18.9%
ATL 25.8%
DET 27.1% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDET
Possessions7879
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9479
Rebounds3926
Assists2620
Steals79
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)16 (1)
Field Goals35-6227-70
At-the-Rim FG15-199-24
Midrange FG13-278-27
2-Point FG28-4617-51
3-Point FG7-1610-19
Free Throws17-1915-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
41.4
27
71%
14
3
3
0
5
3
4
10
4-4
100%
10-14
71%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
39.3
17
71%
6
7
1
0
2
3
0
6
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
G · 6'7" 240 · 30
36.4
14
54%
2
6
0
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
40%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
28.0
10
63%
4
5
0
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
15.0
2
100%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 25
33.4
15
75%
8
1
2
1
1
3
1
7
8-8
100%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 185 · 31
29.7
4
67%
2
2
1
0
3
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
· 6'6" 225 · 31
7.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 27
6.3
1
25%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 23
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
1.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32
#19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · · 6'4" 195 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#36 · C · 6'10" 260 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
64%
39
26
7
2
16
0
9
30
17-19
89%
28-46
61%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.