for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Final Win Prob. pScore
1
Heat
79%106
103
25
Raptors
21%95
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
107.396100.8
TOR logo Raptors
101.19490.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA103
95
Q4 - 0:11.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)103
95
Q4 - 0:13.0TORMISS Barbosa 3' Driving Layup103
95
Q4 - 0:18.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)103
95
Q4 - 0:18.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)102
95
Q4 - 0:18.0TORJohnson P.FOUL (P5.PN)101
95
Q4 - 0:21.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)101
95
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot101
95
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)101
95
Q4 - 0:47.0TORMISS Johnson 4' Layup101
95
Q4 - 0:48.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)101
95
Q4 - 0:49.0TORMISS Bargnani 10' Running Jump Shot101
95
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAJames 2' Tip Shot (23 PTS)101
95
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)99
95
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup99
95
Q4 - 1:12TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Calderon 14 AST)99
95
Q4 - 1:16MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)99
93
Q4 - 1:27TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS) (Calderon 13 AST)97
93
Q4 - 1:33TORSUB: Barbosa FOR Bayless97
90
Q4 - 1:33TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 3)97
90
Q4 - 1:34TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
90
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
90
Q4 - 1:42MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
90
Q4 - 1:44TORMISS Bayless 2' Driving Layup97
90
Q4 - 1:49MIADampier 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)97
90
Q4 - 1:50MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)95
90
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot95
90
Q4 - 2:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)95
90
Q4 - 2:08TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Reverse Layup95
90
Q4 - 2:27TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)95
90
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 295
90
Q4 - 2:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)95
90
Q4 - 2:28TORBayless P.FOUL (P2.PN)94
90
Q4 - 2:42TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Calderon 12 AST)94
90
Q4 - 3:02TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
87
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 294
87
Q4 - 3:03TORSUB: Bayless FOR Davis94
87
Q4 - 3:03MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)94
87
Q4 - 3:03TORJohnson S.FOUL (P4.PN)93
87
Q4 - 3:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
87
Q4 - 3:15TORMISS Calderon 17' Pullup Jump Shot93
87
Q4 - 3:22TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)93
87
Q4 - 3:24MIAJohnson BLOCK (5 BLK)93
87
Q4 - 3:40MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
87
Q4 - 3:41TORMISS Calderon 20' Pullup Jump Shot93
87
Q4 - 3:53MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)93
87
Q4 - 3:53MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)92
87
Q4 - 3:53TORBargnani S.FOUL (P4.PN)91
87
Q4 - 4:06MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo91
87
Q4 - 4:06MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)91
87
Q4 - 4:06TORDeRozan Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)91
87
Q4 - 4:18TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
87
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot91
87
Q4 - 4:41TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)91
87
Q4 - 4:41MIADampier S.FOUL (P3.T2)91
86
Q4 - 4:41TORBargnani 17' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)91
86
Q4 - 4:56TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)91
84
Q4 - 4:57MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 291
84
Q4 - 4:57MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)91
84
Q4 - 4:57TORBargnani S.FOUL (P3.PN)90
84
Q4 - 5:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)90
84
Q4 - 5:13TORMISS Davis 3' Running Layup90
84
Q4 - 5:28MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
84
Q4 - 5:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
84
Q4 - 5:28TORSUB: Davis FOR Ajinca88
84
Q4 - 5:28TORSUB: Johnson FOR Barbosa88
84
Q4 - 5:28TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)88
84
Q4 - 5:28TORDeRozan P.FOUL (P4.PN)88
84
Q4 - 5:47TORDeRozan 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)88
84
Q4 - 5:54MIADeRozan STEAL (2 STL)88
82
Q4 - 6:13TORBargnani 17' Pullup Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Barbosa 4 AST)88
82
Q4 - 6:23TORBargnani Free Throw Technical (27 PTS)88
80
Q4 - 6:23MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec James )88
79
Q4 - 6:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)88
79
Q4 - 6:37TORBarbosa S.FOUL (P1.PN)87
79
Q4 - 6:37MIAWade 5' Floating Jump Shot (27 PTS)87
79
Q4 - 6:58TORBargnani 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (26 PTS)85
79
Q4 - 7:20TORAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
77
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 285
77
Q4 - 7:20MIASUB: James FOR House85
77
Q4 - 7:20MIADampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
77
Q4 - 7:20TORAjinca S.FOUL (P2.T4)84
77
Q4 - 7:34MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
77
Q4 - 7:35TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot84
77
Q4 - 7:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
77
Q4 - 7:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
77
Q4 - 7:50TORAjinca P.FOUL (P1.T3)82
77
Q4 - 7:54TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)82
77
Q4 - 7:58MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)82
77
Q4 - 8:08TORSUB: Calderon FOR Bayless82
77
Q4 - 8:08TORBargnani L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)82
77
Q4 - 8:08MIAHeat Rebound82
77
Q4 - 8:08TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup82
77
Q4 - 8:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)82
77
Q4 - 8:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
77
Q4 - 8:29TORMISS Ajinca 2' Dunk82
77
Q4 - 8:44TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
77
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot82
77
Q4 - 8:4782
77
Q4 - 9:04TORAjinca 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)82
77
Q4 - 9:06TORAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
75
Q4 - 9:08TORMISS Bargnani 8' Turnaround Jump Shot82
75
Q4 - 9:27MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (23 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)82
75
Q4 - 9:32MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
75
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot80
75
Q4 - 9:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
75
Q4 - 9:43TORMISS Bayless 22' Jump Shot80
75
Q4 - 10:03TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
75
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Bosh 7' Turnaround Jump Shot80
75
Q4 - 10:20TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)80
75
Q4 - 10:36MIADampier L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)80
72
Q4 - 10:36TORRAPTORS Rebound80
72
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper80
72
Q4 - 10:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
72
Q4 - 10:39MIAAjinca BLOCK (1 BLK)80
72
Q4 - 10:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
72
Q4 - 10:51TORMISS Barbosa 3PT Jump Shot80
72
Q4 - 11:02TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
72
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
72
Q4 - 11:06MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
72
Q4 - 11:08MIADeRozan BLOCK (1 BLK)80
72
Q4 - 11:16TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Davis80
72
Q4 - 11:16TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Weems80
72
Q4 - 11:16TORDavis P.FOUL (P4.T1)80
72
Q4 - 11:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
72
Q4 - 11:26TORMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
72
Q4 - 11:42TORBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
72
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Bosh 16' Step Back Jump Shot80
72
Q4 - 12:0080
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
72
Q3 - 0:01.0TORMISS Ajinca 20' Jump Shot80
72
Q3 - 0:19.0TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
72
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
72
Q3 - 0:33.0TORBarbosa Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)80
72
Q3 - 0:33.0TORBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)80
71
Q3 - 0:33.0TORBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)80
70
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.PN)80
69
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)80
69
Q3 - 1:06TORDavis 1' Putback Dunk (8 PTS)77
69
Q3 - 1:08TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
67
Q3 - 1:10TORMISS Barbosa 16' Jump Shot77
67
Q3 - 1:27MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)77
67
Q3 - 1:33TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)75
67
Q3 - 1:35TORSUB: Weems FOR DeRozan75
67
Q3 - 1:35TORSUB: Bayless FOR Calderon75
67
Q3 - 1:35MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T4)75
67
Q3 - 1:49MIAJames 1' Running Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)75
67
Q3 - 1:53TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)73
67
Q3 - 2:00MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)73
67
Q3 - 2:16TORAjinca 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)73
67
Q3 - 2:30TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
65
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS James 20' Step Back Jump Shot73
65
Q3 - 2:50MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)73
65
Q3 - 2:58TORDavis 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)73
65
Q3 - 3:07TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
63
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
63
Q3 - 3:25MIASUB: Jones FOR Bosh73
63
Q3 - 3:26MIAHeat Rebound73
63
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot73
63
Q3 - 3:45TORAjinca 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Barbosa 3 AST)73
63
Q3 - 4:00MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)73
61
Q3 - 4:00MIASUB: House FOR Wade72
61
Q3 - 4:00MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)72
61
Q3 - 4:00TORSUB: Barbosa FOR Weems71
61
Q3 - 4:00TORSUB: Ajinca FOR Bargnani71
61
Q3 - 4:00TORDavis S.FOUL (P3.T4)71
61
Q3 - 4:19TORDeRozan 1' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)71
61
Q3 - 4:27TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
59
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot71
59
Q3 - 4:40MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
59
Q3 - 4:41TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup71
59
Q3 - 4:49MIAWade 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)71
59
Q3 - 4:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
59
Q3 - 4:57TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
59
Q3 - 5:12MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (19 PTS)69
59
Q3 - 5:30TORBargnani 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)67
59
Q3 - 5:46TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
57
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 167
57
Q3 - 5:46MIASUB: Dampier FOR Ilgauskas67
57
Q3 - 5:46TORWeems S.FOUL (P1.T3)67
57
Q3 - 5:46MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)67
57
Q3 - 5:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
57
Q3 - 5:55TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
57
Q3 - 6:04TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
57
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS James 9' Running Jump Shot65
57
Q3 - 6:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
57
Q3 - 6:18TORMISS Bargnani 7' Pullup Jump Shot65
57
Q3 - 6:26TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)65
57
Q3 - 6:40TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
57
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot65
57
Q3 - 6:54TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)65
57
Q3 - 6:54TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)65
56
Q3 - 6:54MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P3.T3)65
55
Q3 - 7:12MIAWade 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (17 PTS)65
55
Q3 - 7:15TORDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)63
55
Q3 - 7:18MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)63
55
Q3 - 7:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
55
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot63
55
Q3 - 7:42TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)63
55
Q3 - 7:42TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)63
54
Q3 - 7:42MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T2)63
53
Q3 - 7:47TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
53
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot63
53
Q3 - 8:09TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)63
53
Q3 - 8:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)63
50
Q3 - 8:22TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P3.T2)62
50
Q3 - 8:22MIAWade 11' Running Bank Shot (14 PTS) (James 8 AST)62
50
Q3 - 8:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
50
Q3 - 8:28TORMISS Calderon 16' Pullup Jump Shot60
50
Q3 - 8:43MIABosh 2' Running Reverse Layup (20 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)60
50
Q3 - 8:55TORWeems Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)58
50
Q3 - 8:55TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
49
Q3 - 8:55MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T1)58
48
Q3 - 9:16TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)58
48
Q3 - 9:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
48
Q3 - 9:16TORSUB: Davis FOR Johnson57
48
Q3 - 9:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
48
Q3 - 9:16TORJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T1)56
48
Q3 - 9:26TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)56
48
Q3 - 9:26TORJohnson OFF.Foul (P2)56
48
Q3 - 9:41MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 7 AST)56
48
Q3 - 9:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
48
Q3 - 9:52TORMISS DeRozan 22' Jump Shot54
48
Q3 - 10:08MIABosh 5' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS)54
48
Q3 - 10:29MIAHeat Rebound52
48
Q3 - 10:29TORMISS Calderon Free Throw Technical52
48
Q3 - 10:29MIAJames T.FOUL (P0.T0)52
48
Q3 - 10:32TORBargnani 13' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)52
48
Q3 - 10:53MIAIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)52
46
Q3 - 11:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
46
Q3 - 11:06TORMISS Johnson 4' Turnaround Hook Shot52
46
Q3 - 11:33MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 6 AST)52
46
Q3 - 11:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
46
Q3 - 11:46TORMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot50
46
Q3 - 12:0050
46
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR50
46
Q2 - 0:00.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
46
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
46
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup50
46
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
46
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAJohnson BLOCK (4 BLK)50
46
Q2 - 0:43.0TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)50
46
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)50
44
Q2 - 1:18TORJohnson 3' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)48
44
Q2 - 1:39MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)48
42
Q2 - 1:56TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)48
42
Q2 - 1:56TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)48
42
Q2 - 1:56TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
42
Q2 - 2:16MIASUB: Wade FOR Bosh48
42
Q2 - 2:16MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)48
42
Q2 - 2:16TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)48
42
Q2 - 2:26MIAHouse 23' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)48
42
Q2 - 2:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
42
Q2 - 2:32TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Reverse Layup46
42
Q2 - 2:51MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 4 AST)46
42
Q2 - 3:06TORBargnani 1' Reverse Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)43
42
Q2 - 3:18TORRAPTORS Rebound43
40
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
40
Q2 - 3:37TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)43
40
Q2 - 3:37TORRAPTORS Rebound43
39
Q2 - 3:37TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 243
39
Q2 - 3:37MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T2)43
39
Q2 - 3:54MIAHouse Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)43
39
Q2 - 3:57MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
39
Q2 - 3:59TORMISS DeRozan 4' Running Jump Shot43
39
Q2 - 4:12MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
39
Q2 - 4:12TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Davis42
39
Q2 - 4:12MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
39
Q2 - 4:12MIASUB: House FOR Wade41
39
Q2 - 4:12TORSUB: Calderon FOR Bayless41
39
Q2 - 4:12MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo41
39
Q2 - 4:12TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P2.T4)41
39
Q2 - 4:20MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
39
Q2 - 4:21TORMISS Barbosa 1' Driving Layup41
39
Q2 - 4:42TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
39
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot41
39
Q2 - 4:56TORJohnson Personal Block Foul (P1.T3)41
39
Q2 - 5:06MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
39
Q2 - 5:07TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot41
39
Q2 - 5:22TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
39
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
39
Q2 - 5:40TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Bargnani41
39
Q2 - 5:40TORSUB: Johnson FOR Weems41
39
Q2 - 5:4041
39
Q2 - 5:40TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)41
39
Q2 - 5:45MIABayless STEAL (1 STL)41
39
Q2 - 6:06TORDavis Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)41
39
Q2 - 6:18MIASUB: James FOR House41
37
Q2 - 6:18MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)41
37
Q2 - 6:20TORBargnani Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)41
37
Q2 - 6:42MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (House 2 AST)41
37
Q2 - 7:03TORDavis 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)39
37
Q2 - 7:06TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
35
Q2 - 7:07TORMISS Bargnani 6' Running Jump Shot39
35
Q2 - 7:30MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)39
35
Q2 - 7:45TORBarbosa 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)37
35
Q2 - 8:01TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
33
Q2 - 8:02TORMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
33
Q2 - 8:15TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
33
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 237
33
Q2 - 8:15MIAHeat Rebound37
33
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 237
33
Q2 - 8:15MIASUB: Anthony FOR Dampier37
33
Q2 - 8:15TORBayless Shooting Block Foul (P1.T2)37
33
Q2 - 8:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
33
Q2 - 8:24TORMISS Bargnani 13' Jump Shot37
33
Q2 - 8:41MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T7)37
33
Q2 - 8:41MIABosh OFF.Foul (P1)37
33
Q2 - 8:52MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
33
Q2 - 8:53TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
33
Q2 - 9:13TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
33
Q2 - 9:18MIABosh 2' Driving Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)37
33
Q2 - 9:28TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
33
Q2 - 9:28TORSUB: Weems FOR DeRozan35
32
Q2 - 9:28TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
32
Q2 - 9:28MIAArroyo S.FOUL (P1.T1)35
31
Q2 - 9:52MIAWade Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)35
31
Q2 - 10:10TORDavis Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)33
31
Q2 - 10:17TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
31
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot33
31
Q2 - 10:33TORBargnani 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)33
31
Q2 - 10:54MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
29
Q2 - 10:54MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
29
Q2 - 10:54TORDavis S.FOUL (P2.T1)31
29
Q2 - 11:15TORDeRozan 6' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)31
29
Q2 - 11:39MIADampier 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (House 1 AST)31
27
Q2 - 11:45MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
27
Q2 - 11:46TORMISS Barbosa 2' Driving Layup29
27
Q2 - 12:0029
27
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR29
27
Q1 - 0:00.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup29
27
Q1 - 0:04.0TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)29
27
Q1 - 0:04.0TORRAPTORS Rebound29
27
Q1 - 0:05.0TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot29
27
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAJames 21' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)29
27
Q1 - 0:41.0TORDeRozan 2' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)27
27
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS)27
25
Q1 - 1:05TORJohnson 2' Hook Shot (2 PTS)25
25
Q1 - 1:06TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)25
23
Q1 - 1:07TORMISS Johnson 2' Tip Shot25
23
Q1 - 1:09TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)25
23
Q1 - 1:10TORMISS Johnson 2' Layup25
23
Q1 - 1:32TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
23
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 225
23
Q1 - 1:33MIADampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
23
Q1 - 1:33TORDavis S.FOUL (P1.T4)24
23
Q1 - 1:50TORDeRozan 1' Putback Dunk (8 PTS)24
23
Q1 - 1:52TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
21
Q1 - 1:53TORMISS Johnson 2' Jump Hook Shot24
21
Q1 - 2:06MIABarbosa STEAL (1 STL)24
21
Q1 - 2:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
21
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot24
21
Q1 - 2:16MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)24
21
Q1 - 2:16TORRAPTORS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Johnson )23
21
Q1 - 2:24TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
21
Q1 - 2:24TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
20
Q1 - 2:24MIASUB: House FOR Wade23
19
Q1 - 2:24TORSUB: Barbosa FOR Bargnani23
19
Q1 - 2:24TORSUB: Davis FOR Weems23
19
Q1 - 2:24MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)23
19
Q1 - 2:24MIADampier S.FOUL (P1.T4)23
19
Q1 - 2:42MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)23
19
Q1 - 3:06TORDeRozan 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)21
19
Q1 - 3:28MIADampier 2' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)21
17
Q1 - 3:41TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)19
17
Q1 - 3:41MIASUB: Jones FOR Bosh19
16
Q1 - 3:41MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
16
Q1 - 3:41TORBargnani 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)19
16
Q1 - 3:44TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
14
Q1 - 3:46MIAJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)19
14
Q1 - 4:02TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)19
14
Q1 - 4:06TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
14
Q1 - 4:07TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
14
Q1 - 4:12TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
14
Q1 - 4:13TORMISS Calderon 2' Running Finger Roll Layup19
14
Q1 - 4:28MIABosh 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)19
14
Q1 - 4:30MIAHeat Rebound17
14
Q1 - 4:30MIAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)17
14
Q1 - 4:41MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
14
Q1 - 4:42TORMISS Bargnani 7' Jump Shot17
14
Q1 - 4:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
14
Q1 - 4:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
14
Q1 - 4:58TORCalderon P.FOUL (P1.T3)15
14
Q1 - 5:01MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
14
Q1 - 5:02TORMISS Bargnani 2' Driving Reverse Layup15
14
Q1 - 5:09MIACalderon STEAL (1 STL)15
14
Q1 - 5:31TORDeRozan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)15
14
Q1 - 5:43MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
12
Q1 - 5:43MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
12
Q1 - 5:43TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
12
Q1 - 5:43TORBargnani S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
12
Q1 - 5:58MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
12
Q1 - 5:59TORMISS Weems 7' Jump Hook Shot13
12
Q1 - 6:11MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 6:11MIASUB: Dampier FOR Ilgauskas12
12
Q1 - 6:11TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
12
Q1 - 6:11MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)12
12
Q1 - 6:13MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
12
Q1 - 6:16TORMISS Weems 15' Jump Shot10
12
Q1 - 6:30MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)10
12
Q1 - 6:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
12
Q1 - 6:41TORMISS Johnson 4' Jump Bank Shot8
12
Q1 - 6:53MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T4)8
12
Q1 - 6:53MIAIlgauskas Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T2)8
12
Q1 - 6:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
12
Q1 - 6:59TORMISS Bargnani 2' Alley Oop Layup8
12
Q1 - 7:11TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
12
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot8
12
Q1 - 7:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
12
Q1 - 7:21TORMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot8
12
Q1 - 7:35MIAIlgauskas 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
12
Q1 - 7:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
12
Q1 - 7:46TORMISS Bargnani 17' Jump Shot6
12
Q1 - 8:01MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)6
12
Q1 - 8:21TORCalderon 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
12
Q1 - 8:25MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)6
10
Q1 - 8:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10
Q1 - 8:32TORMISS Bargnani 17' Pullup Jump Shot6
10
Q1 - 8:52MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
10
Q1 - 9:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10
Q1 - 9:14TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 14
10
Q1 - 9:14MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
10
Q1 - 9:14TORBargnani 17' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)4
10
Q1 - 9:39MIAIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
8
Q1 - 9:54TORBargnani 2' Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)2
8
Q1 - 10:16MIAChalmers 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 10:36TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)0
6
Q1 - 10:47TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
3
Q1 - 10:49MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)0
3
Q1 - 11:15TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)0
3
Q1 - 11:33TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS James 20' Fadeaway Jumper0
0
Q1 - 11:41MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:43TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:48MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)0
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bargnani vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Chalmers0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.6%
TOR
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
32
72%
TOR
19
40
48%
Midrange
MIA
11
30
37%
TOR
11
33
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
TOR
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
MIA
29
37
78%
TOR
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2864%14.0 / 22
C. Bosh2557%12.5 / 22
L. James2352%11.5 / 22
E. Dampier880%4.0 / 5
E. House850%4.0 / 8
Z. Ilgauskas675%3.0 / 4
M. Chalmers563%2.5 / 4
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani3873%19.0 / 26
D. DeRozan2452%12.0 / 23
E. Davis880%4.0 / 5
A. Ajinca660%3.0 / 5
J. Calderon528%2.5 / 9
A. Johnson523%2.5 / 11
L. Barbosa531%2.5 / 8
S. Weems233%1.0 / 3
J. Bayless225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+12
-17
91
TOR
84
+12
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.6%
TOR
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
105.9
MIA 107.3 +6.2
TOR 101.1
Pace
91.3
93.1
MIA 100.8 +10.0
TOR 90.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.1
MIA 14.3 −1.6
TOR 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.1%
MIA 50.7% +5.9%
TOR 44.8%
TO %
14.4%
15.0%
MIA 16.0%
TOR 11.1% −4.9%
ORB %
25.2%
28.3%
MIA 25.0% +3.0%
TOR 22.0%
FTrt
36.3
29.3
MIA 50.7 +27.7
TOR 23.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
57.1%
MIA 61.1%
TOR 72.2% +11.1%
STL %
7.3%
7.6%
MIA 5.2%
TOR 9.6% +4.4%
BLK %
8.5%
6.7%
MIA 8.2%
TOR 11.3% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.1%
MIA 56.6% +8.1%
TOR 48.5%
Rim FG%
64.7%
58.9%
MIA 71.9% +24.4%
TOR 47.5%
Mid FG%
42.2%
41.2%
MIA 36.7% +3.4%
TOR 33.3%
3P %
37.0%
31.6%
MIA 18.2%
TOR 42.9% +24.7%
FT %
76.9%
75.5%
MIA 78.4%
TOR 85.0% +6.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
39.1%
MIA 43.8%
TOR 46.0% +2.1%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.7%
MIA 41.1%
TOR 37.9% −3.2%
3P Att. %
23.5%
16.2%
MIA 15.1%
TOR 16.1% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9694
Possession Minutes22.924.9
Points10395
Rebounds4941
Assists2226
Steals59
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (1)30 (2)
Field Goals36-7336-87
At-the-Rim FG23-3219-40
Midrange FG11-3011-33
2-Point FG34-6230-73
3-Point FG2-116-14
Free Throws29-3717-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

1 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
39.7
28
64%
7
1
1
2
5
0
2
5
8-10
80%
10-18
56%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
38.6
25
57%
6
2
1
0
2
2
0
6
11-12
92%
7-15
47%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
37.6
23
52%
13
8
0
0
5
1
3
10
7-10
70%
8-16
50%
0-2
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
28.2
5
63%
3
6
2
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
12.1
6
75%
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
27.7
8
80%
10
0
0
2
0
3
3
7
2-4
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
25.1
8
50%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 32
15.7
0
0%
3
3
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
8.3
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
Dexter Pittman
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Mike Miller
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Udonis Haslem
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
 57%
49
22
5
6
17
0
10
39
29-37
78%
34-62
55%
2-11
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.