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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 27, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Suns49%102110
18Pacers51%103108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.4
43.5
25.4
34
63%
9
4
1
1
1
2
3
6
2-2
100%
10-19
3-6
53%
50%
4-7
57%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
42.9
29.6
14
59%
10
1
1
1
1
0
0
10
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.1
42.9
31.5
10
36%
5
13
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-10
4-7
50%
53%
0-4
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.1
22.4
24.1
7
24%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
2-10
3-6
20%
47%
1-4
25%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.9
14.8
14.0
8
58%
2
2
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
38.2
30.5
17
54%
11
2
1
1
1
2
4
7
1-4
25%
8-14
5-9
57%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.6
29.2
23.9
15
73%
2
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
1-3
33%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
10.8
19.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-2
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.1
10.1
22.1
3
61%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
42%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.6
10.1
16.8
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-4
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.5
11.3
0
2-4
44%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.7
5.0
0
1-1
57%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.3
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.9
39.7
31.9
25
62%
4
6
3
1
1
1
0
4
6-7
86%
5-10
5-9
50%
49%
3-7
43%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.6
32.5
22.8
11
47%
8
1
0
0
2
1
1
7
4-6
67%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.0
30.4
23.2
6
68%
3
0
0
1
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
58%
1-1
100%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 24.2
30.1
29.7
8
50%
6
1
0
0
4
2
2
4
0-0
-
4-8
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
23.9
29.5
7
64%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
50%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.4
24.8
16.9
18
70%
5
1
1
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
49%
4-6
67%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34.1
22.9
16.4
4
50%
12
0
1
0
0
0
4
8
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.3
22.6
22.7
13
51%
5
0
1
1
1
1
3
2
3-4
75%
5-11
4-9
45%
46%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
20.5
21.5
7
50%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
1-4
25%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
13.3
12.6
7
35%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.5
4.3
4.0
2
114%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 34.1
3.9
0
0-0
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.9
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.5
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.