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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 1, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Knicks30%100110
4Magic70%107116
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
38.1
34.1
25
45%
4
2
0
1
0
1
3
1
8-8
100%
7-19
7-16
37%
45%
1-5
20%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.3
37.8
37.0
30
65%
2
1
1
1
0
2
2
0
10-14
71%
10-17
10-18
59%
52%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.7
35.0
30.1
6
47%
11
1
1
1
0
0
1
10
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
1-5
20%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.4
33.6
29.2
30
72%
6
6
3
1
0
1
2
4
18-20
90%
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
4-9
44%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.0
30.9
23.7
8
44%
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
0-3
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
19.1
21.0
2
17%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.7
16.5
10.3
2
26%
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.1
13.3
17.0
2
35%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
11.3
18.7
5
42%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
1-3
33%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
4.3
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
4.7
0
0-1
51%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
2.6
0
0-0
39%
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.2
43.0
36.2
30
67%
16
2
0
1
5
6
4
12
12-17
71%
9-15
9-14
60%
61%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.1
35.3
30.0
26
70%
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
4-6
67%
8-14
3-7
57%
50%
2-2
100%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
34.3
32.7
8
43%
7
0
2
1
1
2
1
6
1-3
33%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
1-5
20%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.8
18.4
25.0
8
84%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
4-4
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.0
12.1
35.3
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
32.8
24.5
12
56%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.8
23.9
20.8
16
116%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
4-5
80%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.9
16.8
2.8
10
57%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-4
25%
3-4
0-0
75%
45%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.5
12.8
1.5
2
57%
0
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.1
10.6
11.7
4
53%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.1
17.4
1
2-4
47%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.7
3.4
0
0-1
44%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.