Final Win Prob. pScore
144%95
95
456%97
125
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
102.29392.5
SAS logo Spurs
133.09494.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
125
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
125
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot95
125
Q4 - 0:24.0SASNeal 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)95
125
Q4 - 0:44.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
123
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot95
123
Q4 - 0:47.0SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)95
123
Q4 - 1:01SASNovak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Neal 4 AST)95
123
Q4 - 1:16MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)95
120
Q4 - 1:32SASNovak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Neal 3 AST)93
120
Q4 - 1:45SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
117
Q4 - 1:47SASMISS Jeffers 14' Jump Shot93
117
Q4 - 2:06MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 3 AST)93
117
Q4 - 2:24SASSplitter 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)91
117
Q4 - 2:39MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)91
115
Q4 - 2:52MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
115
Q4 - 2:54SASMISS Novak 16' Jump Shot89
115
Q4 - 3:13MIAIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)89
115
Q4 - 3:29SASJeffers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)87
115
Q4 - 3:42MIASUB: Jones FOR Miller87
115
Q4 - 3:4287
115
Q4 - 3:42MIAHoward P.FOUL (P1.T3)87
115
Q4 - 3:47SASJeffers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
115
Q4 - 3:49MIAMISS Miller 13' Jump Shot87
115
Q4 - 3:57MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
115
Q4 - 3:59SASMISS Splitter 6' Jump Shot87
115
Q4 - 4:23MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (House 2 AST)87
115
Q4 - 4:34MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
115
Q4 - 4:36SASMISS Novak 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
115
Q4 - 4:48SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
115
Q4 - 4:50MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
115
Q4 - 4:53MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
115
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot84
115
Q4 - 5:02MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
115
Q4 - 5:04SASMISS Jeffers 2' Driving Layup84
115
Q4 - 5:16SASJeffers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
115
Q4 - 5:17MIAMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot84
115
Q4 - 5:43SASNeal 7' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
115
Q4 - 5:54SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
113
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot84
113
Q4 - 6:14SASJeffers 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)84
113
Q4 - 6:35MIAHoward 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)84
111
Q4 - 6:55MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
111
Q4 - 6:56SASMISS Neal Free Throw 2 of 282
111
Q4 - 6:56SASSUB: Blair FOR Hill82
111
Q4 - 6:56SASSPURS Rebound82
111
Q4 - 6:56SASMISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 282
111
Q4 - 6:56MIABibby S.FOUL (P4.T2)82
111
Q4 - 7:13MIASUB: Bibby FOR Chalmers82
111
Q4 - 7:13MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)82
111
Q4 - 7:29SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jeffers 1 AST)82
111
Q4 - 7:47MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)82
108
Q4 - 7:58SASJeffers P.FOUL (P1.T3)79
108
Q4 - 8:11SASSUB: Novak FOR Bonner79
108
Q4 - 8:11SASSUB: Jeffers FOR Jefferson79
108
Q4 - 8:11MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Bosh79
108
Q4 - 8:11MIASUB: Howard FOR James79
108
Q4 - 8:11MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)79
108
Q4 - 8:12SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)79
108
Q4 - 8:29MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)79
105
Q4 - 8:47SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)79
105
Q4 - 9:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)79
102
Q4 - 9:02MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
102
Q4 - 9:02SASSplitter S.FOUL (P1.T2)77
102
Q4 - 9:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
102
Q4 - 9:16SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 277
102
Q4 - 9:16SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Ginobili77
102
Q4 - 9:16SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
102
Q4 - 9:16MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.T1)77
101
Q4 - 9:33MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)77
101
Q4 - 10:00SASGinobili 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)74
101
Q4 - 10:20MIAJames 2' Running Dunk (23 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)74
99
Q4 - 10:40SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)72
99
Q4 - 10:53MIABonner STEAL (1 STL)72
96
Q4 - 11:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)72
96
Q4 - 11:09SASMISS Neal 16' Jump Shot72
96
Q4 - 11:22SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
96
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot72
96
Q4 - 11:31SASNeal L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)72
96
Q4 - 11:31MIAHeat Rebound72
96
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Driving Bank Shot72
96
Q4 - 11:47SASSplitter 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)72
96
Q4 - 12:0072
94
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS72
94
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound72
94
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Bank Shot72
94
Q3 - 0:08.0MIASplitter STEAL (1 STL)72
94
Q3 - 0:30.0SASHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)72
94
Q3 - 0:44.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
91
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 272
91
Q3 - 0:45.0SASSUB: Splitter FOR Blair72
91
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Rebound72
91
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 272
91
Q3 - 0:45.0SASBlair S.FOUL (P4.PN)72
91
Q3 - 0:57.0SASNeal 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
91
Q3 - 1:04SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
89
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS James 2' Finger Roll Layup72
89
Q3 - 1:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)72
89
Q3 - 1:14SASMISS Blair 7' Jump Shot72
89
Q3 - 1:29MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
89
Q3 - 1:29MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
89
Q3 - 1:29SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.PN)70
89
Q3 - 1:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)70
89
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot70
89
Q3 - 1:38MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
89
Q3 - 1:39SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot70
89
Q3 - 1:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)70
89
Q3 - 1:53MIASUB: House FOR Wade69
89
Q3 - 1:53SASSUB: Blair FOR Duncan69
89
Q3 - 1:53MIAHeat Rebound69
89
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 269
89
Q3 - 1:53SASDuncan S.FOUL (P3.T4)69
89
Q3 - 2:03SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)69
89
Q3 - 2:13SASSUB: Neal FOR Parker69
89
Q3 - 2:13SASParker Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
89
Q3 - 2:13SASParker Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
88
Q3 - 2:13MIASUB: Bosh FOR Dampier69
87
Q3 - 2:13MIADampier Ejection:First Flagrant Type 269
87
Q3 - 2:13MIA69
87
Q3 - 2:13MIADampier FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE2 (P3.PN)69
87
Q3 - 2:19SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
87
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot69
87
Q3 - 2:37SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)69
87
Q3 - 2:37MIADampier S.FOUL (P2.PN)69
86
Q3 - 2:37SASParker 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)69
86
Q3 - 2:49MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (James 7 AST)69
84
Q3 - 3:03SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
84
Q3 - 3:03SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Jefferson67
83
Q3 - 3:03MIASUB: Miller FOR Bosh67
83
Q3 - 3:03SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
83
Q3 - 3:03MIABosh P.FOUL (P2.PN)67
82
Q3 - 3:19MIAWade 7' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) (James 6 AST)67
82
Q3 - 3:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
82
Q3 - 3:33SASMISS Hill 9' Jump Shot65
82
Q3 - 3:50MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
82
Q3 - 3:50MIAHeat Rebound64
82
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 264
82
Q3 - 3:50SASJefferson S.FOUL (P3.T3)64
82
Q3 - 4:00MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)64
82
Q3 - 4:00SASParker T.FOUL (P1.T2)63
82
Q3 - 4:00SASParker Foul Turnover (P4.T6)63
82
Q3 - 4:00SASParker Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T2)63
82
Q3 - 4:13MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)63
82
Q3 - 4:27SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T5)60
82
Q3 - 4:27SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P2)60
82
Q3 - 4:38MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST)60
82
Q3 - 4:55SASParker 1' Layup (8 PTS)58
82
Q3 - 4:59MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)58
80
Q3 - 5:14SASJefferson 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)58
80
Q3 - 5:30MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)58
78
Q3 - 5:47MIASUB: Dampier FOR Miller58
78
Q3 - 5:47MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Bibby58
78
Q3 - 5:47SASSUB: Hill FOR Ginobili58
78
Q3 - 5:47MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)58
78
Q3 - 5:49SASParker 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)58
78
Q3 - 6:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
76
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot58
76
Q3 - 6:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)58
76
Q3 - 6:10SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
76
Q3 - 6:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)58
76
Q3 - 6:19MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot58
76
Q3 - 6:32SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)58
76
Q3 - 6:32SASSUB: Bonner FOR Blair58
75
Q3 - 6:32SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)58
75
Q3 - 6:32MIAMiller P.FOUL (P2.PN)58
74
Q3 - 6:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)58
74
Q3 - 6:45MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
74
Q3 - 6:55SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)58
74
Q3 - 7:06MIAMiller P.FOUL (P1.T4)58
74
Q3 - 7:06SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
74
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Bank Shot58
74
Q3 - 7:31SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Blair 3 AST)58
74
Q3 - 7:44SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)58
72
Q3 - 7:44MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)58
72
Q3 - 7:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
72
Q3 - 7:53SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot56
72
Q3 - 8:16MIAWade 3' Layup (15 PTS)56
72
Q3 - 8:32SASBlair L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)54
72
Q3 - 8:32MIAHeat Rebound54
72
Q3 - 8:32SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup54
72
Q3 - 8:36MIAGinobili STEAL (2 STL)54
72
Q3 - 8:49SASJefferson 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)54
72
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)54
70
Q3 - 9:28SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
70
Q3 - 9:28SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
69
Q3 - 9:28MIABibby S.FOUL (P3.T3)52
68
Q3 - 9:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)52
68
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
68
Q3 - 9:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)52
68
Q3 - 9:58SASDuncan 2' Putback Layup (11 PTS)52
68
Q3 - 10:00SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
66
Q3 - 10:04SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
66
Q3 - 10:06SASMISS Duncan 1' Dunk52
66
Q3 - 10:09MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T2)52
66
Q3 - 10:19MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)52
66
Q3 - 10:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)50
66
Q3 - 10:33SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 150
66
Q3 - 10:33MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T1)50
66
Q3 - 10:33SASBlair 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)50
66
Q3 - 10:39SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
64
Q3 - 10:40MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
64
Q3 - 10:47MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
64
Q3 - 10:48SASMISS Duncan 2' Running Layup50
64
Q3 - 11:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)50
64
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot50
64
Q3 - 11:22SASGinobili 9' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)50
64
Q3 - 11:45MIABosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)50
62
Q3 - 12:0050
62
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
62
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
62
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 10' Running Bank Shot50
62
Q2 - 0:07.0SASSUB: Hill FOR Parker50
62
Q2 - 0:07.0SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)50
62
Q2 - 0:07.0MIASUB: Jones FOR James50
62
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T3)50
62
Q2 - 0:09.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)50
62
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 250
62
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)50
62
Q2 - 0:10.0SASSUB: Parker FOR Hill50
62
Q2 - 0:10.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade50
62
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)50
62
Q2 - 0:10.0SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.PN)49
62
Q2 - 0:31.0SASNeal 7' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
62
Q2 - 0:38.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
60
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
60
Q2 - 0:46.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)49
60
Q2 - 0:47.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
60
Q2 - 1:07MIAJames 2' Reverse Layup (16 PTS)49
60
Q2 - 1:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
60
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot47
60
Q2 - 1:32SASHill 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)47
60
Q2 - 1:50MIAJames 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS)47
58
Q2 - 2:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
58
Q2 - 2:03SASMISS Hill 3' Jump Shot45
58
Q2 - 2:28MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
58
Q2 - 2:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
58
Q2 - 2:37SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
58
Q2 - 2:53MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)43
58
Q2 - 2:53SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Parker42
58
Q2 - 2:53SASSUB: Neal FOR Jefferson42
58
Q2 - 2:5342
58
Q2 - 2:53SASBonner S.FOUL (P1.PN)42
58
Q2 - 2:53MIAJames 1' Layup (11 PTS)42
58
Q2 - 2:56SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)40
58
Q2 - 3:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
58
Q2 - 3:10MIAJames 3' Layup (9 PTS)40
58
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot38
58
Q2 - 3:30SASParker 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)38
58
Q2 - 3:49SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
56
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
56
Q2 - 4:14SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)38
56
Q2 - 4:37MIAWade 2' Layup (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)38
53
Q2 - 4:42SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)36
53
Q2 - 4:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
53
Q2 - 4:55MIAJames 2' Layup (7 PTS)36
53
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot34
53
Q2 - 5:14SASDuncan 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)34
53
Q2 - 5:27MIABibby 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)34
51
Q2 - 5:46MIASUB: Wade FOR House32
51
Q2 - 5:46SASSUB: Hill FOR Ginobili32
51
Q2 - 5:46MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)32
51
Q2 - 5:47SASDuncan 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)32
51
Q2 - 5:55SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
49
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS James 2' Layup32
49
Q2 - 6:03SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)32
49
Q2 - 6:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)32
46
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot32
46
Q2 - 6:36SASSUB: Bonner FOR Neal32
46
Q2 - 6:36SASNeal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)32
46
Q2 - 6:36SASNeal Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T4)32
46
Q2 - 6:48MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
46
Q2 - 6:48SASSUB: Parker FOR Hill31
46
Q2 - 6:48MIAHeat Rebound31
46
Q2 - 6:48MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 231
46
Q2 - 6:48SASJefferson S.FOUL (P2.T3)31
46
Q2 - 7:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
46
Q2 - 7:02SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 231
46
Q2 - 7:02SASSUB: Duncan FOR Blair31
46
Q2 - 7:02SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)31
46
Q2 - 7:02MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T2)31
45
Q2 - 7:21MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)31
45
Q2 - 7:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)28
45
Q2 - 7:35SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot28
45
Q2 - 7:56MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)28
45
Q2 - 8:01SASJefferson L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)25
45
Q2 - 8:01MIAHeat Rebound25
45
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
45
Q2 - 8:24SASBlair 4' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
45
Q2 - 8:44MIAJames 7' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)25
43
Q2 - 8:59SASBlair Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)23
43
Q2 - 9:06SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
41
Q2 - 9:07SASMISS Jefferson 11' Jump Shot23
41
Q2 - 9:24MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)23
41
Q2 - 9:24SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)22
41
Q2 - 9:24SASBlair S.FOUL (P2.T1)22
41
Q2 - 9:24MIABosh 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)22
41
Q2 - 9:28MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
41
Q2 - 9:29SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
41
Q2 - 9:47MIABosh 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)20
41
Q2 - 10:03SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)18
41
Q2 - 10:03SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bonner18
40
Q2 - 10:03MIABibby S.FOUL (P2.T1)18
40
Q2 - 10:03SASNeal 11' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)18
40
Q2 - 10:16MIABibby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
38
Q2 - 10:36SASNeal 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)16
38
Q2 - 11:04MIAMiller 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)16
36
Q2 - 11:11MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
36
Q2 - 11:12SASMISS Blair 1' Driving Dunk14
36
Q2 - 11:36MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)14
36
Q2 - 12:0012
36
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS12
36
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound12
36
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
36
Q1 - 0:04.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
36
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot12
36
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
36
Q1 - 0:27.0SASMISS Parker 14' Turnaround Jump Shot12
36
Q1 - 0:43.0MIASUB: House FOR Wade12
36
Q1 - 0:43.0MIABibby P.FOUL (P1.PN)12
36
Q1 - 0:47.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
36
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot12
36
Q1 - 1:12SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)12
36
Q1 - 1:23SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
33
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade 14' Pullup Jump Shot12
33
Q1 - 1:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
33
Q1 - 1:39SASMISS Blair 14' Jump Shot12
33
Q1 - 1:48SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
33
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot12
33
Q1 - 2:01SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
33
Q1 - 2:01SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
32
Q1 - 2:01MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.PN)12
31
Q1 - 2:05MIABlair STEAL (1 STL)12
31
Q1 - 2:24SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)12
31
Q1 - 2:30SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
28
Q1 - 2:32MIABlair BLOCK (1 BLK)12
28
Q1 - 2:38MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Dampier12
28
Q1 - 2:38SASSUB: Blair FOR Duncan12
28
Q1 - 2:38MIAMiller Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)12
28
Q1 - 2:38SASSPURS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Duncan )11
28
Q1 - 2:55SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)11
28
Q1 - 3:10MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T5)11
25
Q1 - 3:10MIAWade Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN)11
25
Q1 - 3:15MIASUB: Jones FOR Chalmers11
25
Q1 - 3:15MIASUB: Bibby FOR Bosh11
25
Q1 - 3:15MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)11
25
Q1 - 3:22SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)11
25
Q1 - 3:34SASSUB: Parker FOR Jefferson11
22
Q1 - 3:34MIASUB: Miller FOR James11
22
Q1 - 3:34MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T4)11
22
Q1 - 3:34MIAJames Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T4)11
22
Q1 - 3:37MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
22
Q1 - 3:38SASMISS Jefferson 22' Jump Shot11
22
Q1 - 3:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)11
22
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot11
22
Q1 - 4:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)11
22
Q1 - 4:04SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot11
22
Q1 - 4:19SASSUB: Neal FOR Ginobili11
22
Q1 - 4:19MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T3)11
22
Q1 - 4:19MIAWade Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3)11
22
Q1 - 4:29SASDuncan 8' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)11
22
Q1 - 4:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)11
20
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot11
20
Q1 - 5:00SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)11
20
Q1 - 5:25SASSUB: Bonner FOR Blair11
17
Q1 - 5:25MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T2)11
17
Q1 - 5:25MIAJames OFF.Foul (P1)11
17
Q1 - 5:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)11
17
Q1 - 5:31SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
17
Q1 - 5:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
17
Q1 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
17
Q1 - 5:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17
Q1 - 5:45SASMISS Blair 7' Jump Shot11
17
Q1 - 6:03MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
17
Q1 - 6:14SASSUB: Hill FOR Parker8
17
Q1 - 6:14MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)8
17
Q1 - 6:22SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)8
17
Q1 - 6:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
14
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup8
14
Q1 - 6:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
14
Q1 - 6:50SASDuncan 2' Layup (3 PTS)8
14
Q1 - 6:51SASMISS Parker 2' Layup8
12
Q1 - 7:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
12
Q1 - 7:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
12
Q1 - 7:13SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
12
Q1 - 7:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)6
12
Q1 - 7:21SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 26
12
Q1 - 7:21SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
12
Q1 - 7:21MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
11
Q1 - 7:43MIAJames 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)6
11
Q1 - 7:48MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11
Q1 - 7:49SASMISS Blair 6' Floating Jump Shot4
11
Q1 - 8:08SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
11
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
11
Q1 - 8:29SASBlair P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
11
Q1 - 8:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
11
Q1 - 8:29SASMISS Parker Layup4
11
Q1 - 8:34MIAGinobili STEAL (1 STL)4
11
Q1 - 8:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
11
Q1 - 8:42SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
11
Q1 - 8:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot4
11
Q1 - 9:11SASBlair Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)4
11
Q1 - 9:30MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
9
Q1 - 9:49SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)2
9
Q1 - 10:11MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
6
Q1 - 10:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
6
Q1 - 10:31SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 20
6
Q1 - 10:31SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
6
Q1 - 10:31MIADampier S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
5
Q1 - 10:37SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
5
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 10:55SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
5
Q1 - 11:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:16SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:34SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:36MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:52SASGinobili Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Dampier: Tip to Ginobili0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
SAS
1.34 67.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
18
67%
SAS
18
26
69%
Midrange
MIA
18
40
45%
SAS
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
SAS
17
25.5
28
61%
91%
Free Throws
MIA
14
20
70%
SAS
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2659%13.0 / 22
D. Wade1950%9.5 / 19
C. Bosh1765%8.5 / 13
M. Miller1275%6.0 / 8
M. Chalmers770%3.5 / 5
Z. Ilgauskas660%3.0 / 5
M. Bibby433%2.0 / 6
J. Howard250%1.0 / 2
J. Jones250%1.0 / 2
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 0
E. House0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2059%10.0 / 17
M. Bonner18129%9.0 / 7
G. Neal1689%8.0 / 9
T. Parker1575%7.5 / 10
R. Jefferson1169%5.5 / 8
T. Duncan1155%5.5 / 10
G. Hill1161%5.5 / 9
D. Blair1050%5.0 / 10
S. Novak675%3.0 / 4
T. Splitter563%2.5 / 4
O. Jeffers233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+8
-14
87
SAS
86
+7
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
SAS
1.34 67.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
111.5
MIA 102.2
SAS 133.0 +30.8
Pace
91.3
92.7
MIA 92.5
SAS 94.5 +1.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.7
MIA 15.6
SAS 15.2 −0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
52.7%
MIA 51.9%
SAS 66.5% +14.6%
TO %
14.4%
13.8%
MIA 13.9%
SAS 8.0% −5.9%
ORB %
25.2%
25.0%
MIA 14.6% +1.8%
SAS 12.8%
FTrt
36.3
29.9
MIA 25.6
SAS 28.0 +2.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
58.3%
MIA 62.2%
SAS 63.0% +0.8%
STL %
7.3%
7.9%
MIA 3.2%
SAS 7.4% +4.2%
BLK %
8.5%
6.7%
MIA 3.7% +2.0%
SAS 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
55.3%
MIA 54.0%
SAS 67.2% +13.2%
Rim FG%
64.7%
60.3%
MIA 66.7%
SAS 69.2% +2.5%
Mid FG%
42.2%
41.6%
MIA 45.0% +5.7%
SAS 39.3%
3P %
37.0%
39.7%
MIA 35.0%
SAS 60.7% +25.7%
FT %
76.9%
76.7%
MIA 70.0% +0.4%
SAS 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
34.3%
MIA 23.1%
SAS 31.7% +8.6%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
39.7%
MIA 51.3%
SAS 34.1% −17.1%
3P Att. %
23.5%
26.1%
MIA 25.6%
SAS 34.1% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points95125
Rebounds4040
Assists2329
Steals37
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)35 (0)
Field Goals37-7846-82
At-the-Rim FG12-1818-26
Midrange FG18-4011-28
2-Point FG30-5829-54
3-Point FG7-2017-28
Free Throws14-2016-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
36.1
26
59%
8
7
1
0
4
2
3
5
3-7
43%
10-16
63%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
35.7
17
65%
14
2
2
1
2
2
1
13
7-9
78%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
27.0
19
50%
3
1
0
0
5
3
0
3
2-2
100%
7-15
47%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
19.5
7
70%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
12.9
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
33.1
12
75%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
28.7
4
33%
2
5
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
20.8
0
0%
2
3
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
10.8
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
8.2
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
7.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
54%
40
23
3
2
14
0
6
34
14-20
70%
30-58
52%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.