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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 5, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors42%99136
23Nets58%101137
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.6
53.9
32.7
30
52%
5
5
1
1
0
1
2
3
7-7
100%
10-24
7-14
42%
50%
1-2
50%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
51.7
33.0
35
54%
12
3
0
1
0
1
2
10
10-10
100%
8-21
7-13
38%
49%
3-7
43%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
40.4
33.3
9
45%
3
9
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
50%
3-6
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
38.9
30.0
10
43%
6
0
1
1
3
0
2
4
4-4
100%
3-10
5-8
30%
59%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
19.1
22.0
4
29%
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
36.3
14.1
10
63%
5
6
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
45%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
31.1
23.4
12
63%
15
1
2
1
0
0
7
8
4-8
50%
4-6
3-5
67%
57%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.3
28.6
20.2
22
77%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
3-5
60%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.7
11.8
19.6
4
40%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.8
3.3
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
3.0
0
0-1
52%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.2
2.9
0
0-0
51%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.2
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.0
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
53.8
32.1
20
49%
17
2
1
1
0
3
6
11
4-8
50%
8-17
5-10
47%
51%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
52.8
34.2
21
48%
4
18
2
1
1
6
1
3
4-4
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
52%
3-9
33%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.0
47.5
27.6
25
67%
5
3
0
1
1
1
0
5
5-6
83%
1-7
2-5
14%
46%
6-9
67%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.9
47.0
36.0
34
62%
14
3
0
1
8
2
4
10
6-8
75%
14-24
9-17
58%
52%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.4
21.8
23.5
4
67%
3
0
3
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.5
35.0
23.6
14
61%
7
3
0
0
2
0
5
2
6-8
75%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.9
23.4
6.7
5
40%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
23.3
12.5
12
64%
5
3
0
0
2
2
3
2
1-1
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
3-5
60%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.1
6.8
9.6
2
29%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
3.7
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
4.3
0
1-1
46%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
2.9
0
1-1
54%
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.