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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 5, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pacers28%9995
12Rockets72%107112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.9
30.0
30.3
16
48%
4
3
1
1
0
2
2
2
8-8
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.0
28.6
22.1
12
55%
8
1
0
1
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
6-11
3-4
55%
56%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 24.2
27.0
29.2
15
48%
6
1
2
0
3
1
2
4
3-4
75%
6-14
5-11
43%
47%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
21.9
25.8
6
36%
3
0
0
1
0
4
2
1
2-3
67%
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
20.5
22.5
2
20%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
26.4
21.8
8
82%
6
2
2
1
1
4
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.3
24.9
25.7
17
45%
10
0
0
1
1
1
5
5
1-2
50%
8-18
5-11
44%
44%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.5
21.7
13.1
5
34%
2
5
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-7
2-3
29%
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
15.8
14.2
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34.1
12.3
16.0
2
25%
10
0
0
0
1
0
5
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.4
11.0
15.4
8
68%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 34.1
3.8
0
0-0
47%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.9
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.8
34.3
28.2
18
54%
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
6-12
3-7
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.9
28.6
34.4
18
77%
3
6
2
1
1
3
1
2
5-6
83%
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
3-6
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.1
27.4
32.6
20
55%
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
3-3
100%
7-13
5-9
54%
48%
1-4
25%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.8
27.2
32.2
16
48%
7
1
0
1
2
1
3
4
2-4
50%
7-15
7-14
47%
52%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.7
22.9
29.5
2
17%
10
5
0
1
1
0
3
7
0-0
-
1-6
4-7
17%
54%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.4
30.3
25.8
13
55%
2
1
1
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
1-2
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
19.4
11.2
12
52%
2
5
2
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.9
19.0
15.4
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.0
17.1
10.6
9
77%
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
1
1-2
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.6
6.1
6.0
4
100%
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
5.5
5.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.0
2.2
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
54%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.