Final Win Prob. pScore
835%91
87
165%96
86
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo Bulls
101.28676.2
MIA logo Heat
100.08698.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI87
86
Q4 - 0:00.0CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)87
86
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot87
86
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
86
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup87
86
Q4 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Dampier87
86
Q4 - 0:15.0CHISUB: Bogans FOR Gibson87
86
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)87
86
Q4 - 0:15.0CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
86
Q4 - 0:15.0CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)86
86
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMiller P.FOUL (P5.PN)85
86
Q4 - 0:16.0CHIBulls Rebound85
86
Q4 - 0:17.0CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 285
86
Q4 - 0:17.0CHISUB: Brewer FOR Korver85
86
Q4 - 0:17.0CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)85
86
Q4 - 0:17.0MIASUB: Dampier FOR Chalmers84
86
Q4 - 0:17.0CHISUB: Gibson FOR Boozer84
86
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P5.PN)84
86
Q4 - 0:25.0CHIBulls Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)84
86
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)84
86
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
84
Q4 - 0:46.0CHIMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
84
Q4 - 1:05CHIBulls Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)84
84
Q4 - 1:05MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)84
84
Q4 - 1:25MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
81
Q4 - 1:26CHIMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot84
81
Q4 - 1:47MIAJames 10' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)84
81
Q4 - 1:58CHIBulls Turnover: Backcourt (T#16)84
79
Q4 - 2:11CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
79
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot84
79
Q4 - 2:30CHIDeng 10' Driving Jump Shot (15 PTS)84
79
Q4 - 2:52CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)82
79
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 282
79
Q4 - 2:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)82
79
Q4 - 2:53CHIKorver S.FOUL (P4.T4)82
78
Q4 - 2:56CHIMiller STEAL (2 STL)82
78
Q4 - 3:17MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)82
78
Q4 - 3:30MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)82
76
Q4 - 3:30CHIRose 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS)82
76
Q4 - 3:46MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T16)80
76
Q4 - 3:56CHIDeng P.FOUL (P3.T3)80
76
Q4 - 4:16CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)80
76
Q4 - 4:16CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)79
76
Q4 - 4:16MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.PN)78
76
Q4 - 4:29CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
76
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot78
76
Q4 - 4:52CHIRose 3' Layup (23 PTS)78
76
Q4 - 5:04CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)76
76
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup76
76
Q4 - 5:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
76
Q4 - 5:15CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
76
Q4 - 5:23CHIBulls Rebound76
76
Q4 - 5:24CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)76
76
Q4 - 5:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
76
Q4 - 5:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
75
Q4 - 5:4276
74
Q4 - 5:4276
74
Q4 - 5:42CHIRose S.FOUL (P2.T2)76
74
Q4 - 5:58CHIBoozer 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
74
Q4 - 5:59CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
74
Q4 - 6:01CHIMISS Noah 3' Layup74
74
Q4 - 6:16MIAWade 8' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
74
Q4 - 6:30MIAHEAT Rebound74
72
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 274
72
Q4 - 6:32CHISUB: Boozer FOR Gibson74
72
Q4 - 6:32MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)74
72
Q4 - 6:32CHISUB: Noah FOR Asik74
71
Q4 - 6:32CHIKorver S.FOUL (P3.T1)74
71
Q4 - 6:35CHIBosh STEAL (1 STL)74
71
Q4 - 6:54CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
71
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot74
71
Q4 - 7:12CHIAsik Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)74
71
Q4 - 7:12CHIBulls Rebound73
71
Q4 - 7:12CHIMISS Asik Free Throw 1 of 273
71
Q4 - 7:12CHISUB: Deng FOR Brewer73
71
Q4 - 7:12MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.PN)73
71
Q4 - 7:21CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
71
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot73
71
Q4 - 7:34MIAHEAT Rebound73
71
Q4 - 7:35CHIMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
71
Q4 - 8:03MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
71
Q4 - 8:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
69
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup73
69
Q4 - 8:22CHIRose 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)73
69
Q4 - 8:31CHISUB: Rose FOR Watson71
69
Q4 - 8:31CHISUB: Korver FOR Deng71
69
Q4 - 8:31MIAMiller P.FOUL (P4.T4)71
69
Q4 - 8:49MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)71
69
Q4 - 9:08CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)71
67
Q4 - 9:27MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)69
67
Q4 - 9:47MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Ilgauskas69
65
Q4 - 9:47MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)69
65
Q4 - 9:47CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
65
Q4 - 9:47CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
65
Q4 - 9:47MIAMiller S.FOUL (P3.T3)67
65
Q4 - 9:52MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)67
65
Q4 - 10:05CHIAsik 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)67
65
Q4 - 10:25MIASUB: Wade FOR Bibby67
65
Q4 - 10:25MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T14)67
65
Q4 - 10:25MIAIlgauskas OFF.Foul (P4)67
65
Q4 - 10:36CHIDeng 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)67
65
Q4 - 10:49MIAMiller P.FOUL (P2.T2)65
65
Q4 - 10:49CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
65
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Ilgauskas 3' Layup65
65
Q4 - 11:04CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
65
Q4 - 11:04CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
65
Q4 - 11:04MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P3.T1)63
65
Q4 - 11:17CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
65
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot63
65
Q4 - 11:37MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
65
Q4 - 11:38CHIMISS Gibson 18' Jump Shot63
65
Q4 - 12:0063
65
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI63
65
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound63
65
Q3 - 0:01.0CHIMISS Rose 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
65
Q3 - 0:08.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
65
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 263
65
Q3 - 0:09.0CHISUB: Korver FOR Brewer63
65
Q3 - 0:09.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Bibby63
65
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)63
65
Q3 - 0:09.0CHIDeng S.FOUL (P2.T2)63
64
Q3 - 0:28.0MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
64
Q3 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Boozer 3' Tip Shot63
64
Q3 - 0:30.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
64
Q3 - 0:32.0CHIMISS Boozer 4' Jump Shot63
64
Q3 - 0:33.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
64
Q3 - 0:35.0CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot63
64
Q3 - 0:52.0MIABibby Foul Turnover (P3.T13)63
64
Q3 - 0:52.0MIABibby OFF.Foul (P3)63
64
Q3 - 1:00CHIRose 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)63
64
Q3 - 1:24MIAJames 11' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)61
64
Q3 - 1:38MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Wade61
62
Q3 - 1:38MIASUB: Jones FOR Dampier61
62
Q3 - 1:38MIASUB: Bibby FOR Bosh61
62
Q3 - 1:38CHISUB: Brewer FOR Bogans61
62
Q3 - 1:38CHIBulls Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)61
62
Q3 - 1:38MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)61
62
Q3 - 1:48CHIBoozer 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)61
62
Q3 - 1:59CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
62
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot59
62
Q3 - 2:20CHIRose 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)59
62
Q3 - 2:45CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
62
Q3 - 2:46MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot57
62
Q3 - 2:52MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
62
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
62
Q3 - 2:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
62
Q3 - 2:58CHIMISS Boozer 14' Fadeaway Jumper57
62
Q3 - 3:15CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
62
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Miller 3' Driving Layup57
62
Q3 - 3:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
62
Q3 - 3:26CHIDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)57
62
Q3 - 3:49CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)57
62
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot57
62
Q3 - 4:12CHIBoozer 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)57
62
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
62
Q3 - 4:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
60
Q3 - 4:53CHIMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
60
Q3 - 5:06MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)55
60
Q3 - 5:14CHIRose P.FOUL (P1.T1)55
58
Q3 - 5:33CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
58
Q3 - 5:33CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
58
Q3 - 5:33MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.PN)53
58
Q3 - 5:41CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
58
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot53
58
Q3 - 6:02CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
58
Q3 - 6:02MIAMiller S.FOUL (P1.T4)52
58
Q3 - 6:02CHINoah 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)52
58
Q3 - 6:13MIASUB: Miller FOR Chalmers50
58
Q3 - 6:13MIAChalmers L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)50
58
Q3 - 6:13CHIBulls Rebound50
58
Q3 - 6:14CHIMISS Rose 15' Floating Jump Shot50
58
Q3 - 6:28MIAJames Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)50
58
Q3 - 6:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
58
Q3 - 6:31CHIMISS Deng 6' Running Jump Shot50
58
Q3 - 6:37MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T2)50
58
Q3 - 6:42MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T11)50
58
Q3 - 6:53MIAHEAT Rebound50
58
Q3 - 6:54CHIMISS Deng 12' Floating Jump Shot50
58
Q3 - 7:02CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)50
58
Q3 - 7:03CHIMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot50
58
Q3 - 7:21MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)50
58
Q3 - 7:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
56
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
56
Q3 - 7:52CHIJames STEAL (2 STL)50
56
Q3 - 7:55CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
56
Q3 - 7:56CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
56
Q3 - 8:23MIABosh 2' Dunk (19 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)50
56
Q3 - 8:40MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)50
54
Q3 - 8:41CHIRose 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)50
54
Q3 - 8:46MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)48
54
Q3 - 9:02CHIBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)48
54
Q3 - 9:23MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 4 AST)45
54
Q3 - 9:40CHIRose 7' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS)45
52
Q3 - 9:46CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
52
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot43
52
Q3 - 10:02MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)43
52
Q3 - 10:02CHIBulls T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Boozer )43
51
Q3 - 10:20CHIDeng 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)43
51
Q3 - 10:34CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
51
Q3 - 10:35CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 2 of 241
51
Q3 - 10:35CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)41
51
Q3 - 10:35MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T1)40
51
Q3 - 10:35CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
51
Q3 - 10:36CHIMISS Rose 11' Jump Bank Shot40
51
Q3 - 10:56CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
51
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot40
51
Q3 - 11:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
51
Q3 - 11:04CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot40
51
Q3 - 11:20MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T9)40
51
Q3 - 11:20MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)40
51
Q3 - 11:24CHIChalmers STEAL (2 STL)40
51
Q3 - 11:36MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)40
51
Q3 - 11:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
49
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot40
49
Q3 - 12:0040
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound40
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
49
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)40
49
Q2 - 0:03.0CHISUB: Bogans FOR Boozer39
49
Q2 - 0:03.0CHISUB: Brewer FOR Korver39
49
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T2)39
49
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIRose 8' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
49
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)37
49
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)37
48
Q2 - 0:24.0CHINoah L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)37
47
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAHEAT Rebound37
47
Q2 - 0:25.0CHIMISS Korver 8' Jump Bank Shot37
47
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)37
47
Q2 - 0:58.0CHIDeng Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T10)37
44
Q2 - 1:07CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
44
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup37
44
Q2 - 1:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
44
Q2 - 1:19CHIMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot37
44
Q2 - 1:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)37
44
Q2 - 1:42CHISUB: Noah FOR Gibson37
43
Q2 - 1:42MIAHEAT Rebound37
43
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 237
43
Q2 - 1:42CHIGibson S.FOUL (P3.PN)37
43
Q2 - 1:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
43
Q2 - 1:47CHIBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)37
43
Q2 - 2:06MIAMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)37
43
Q2 - 2:06MIAHEAT Rebound37
42
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 237
42
Q2 - 2:06MIASUB: Bosh FOR Dampier37
42
Q2 - 2:0637
42
Q2 - 2:06CHIGibson L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)37
42
Q2 - 2:06MIAHEAT Rebound37
42
Q2 - 2:07CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
42
Q2 - 2:26MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
42
Q2 - 2:49CHIRose 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
40
Q2 - 3:12MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)35
40
Q2 - 3:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
38
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper35
38
Q2 - 3:31CHIRose 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
38
Q2 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)33
38
Q2 - 3:52CHISUB: Gibson FOR Noah33
37
Q2 - 3:52MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Bibby33
37
Q2 - 3:52MIASUB: Miller FOR Bosh33
37
Q2 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
37
Q2 - 3:52CHIKorver S.FOUL (P2.T4)33
36
Q2 - 3:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
36
Q2 - 3:53CHIDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)33
36
Q2 - 4:10MIABibby Foul Turnover (P2.T8)33
36
Q2 - 4:10MIABibby OFF.Foul (P2)33
36
Q2 - 4:24CHIDeng 3' Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)33
36
Q2 - 4:28MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)31
36
Q2 - 4:47CHIBoozer 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
36
Q2 - 5:03MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)29
36
Q2 - 5:03MIASUB: Dampier FOR Ilgauskas29
35
Q2 - 5:03MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)29
35
Q2 - 5:03CHINoah S.FOUL (P1.T3)29
34
Q2 - 5:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
34
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot29
34
Q2 - 5:17MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
34
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot29
34
Q2 - 5:34CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)29
34
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: James FOR Miller27
34
Q2 - 5:50CHISUB: Rose FOR Watson27
34
Q2 - 5:50CHISUB: Deng FOR Brewer27
34
Q2 - 5:50MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T6)27
34
Q2 - 5:50MIAIlgauskas OFF.Foul (P2)27
34
Q2 - 6:08CHIBoozer 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)27
34
Q2 - 6:15MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)25
34
Q2 - 6:24CHIIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)25
34
Q2 - 6:44MIAIlgauskas 3' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)25
34
Q2 - 7:05CHIWatson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
32
Q2 - 7:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)23
32
Q2 - 7:21MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
32
Q2 - 7:22CHIMISS Boozer 3' Driving Dunk23
32
Q2 - 7:32CHISUB: Noah FOR Asik23
32
Q2 - 7:32MIABibby P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
32
Q2 - 7:43MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
32
Q2 - 7:53CHIKorver P.FOUL (P1.T2)23
30
Q2 - 7:59MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones23
30
Q2 - 7:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)23
30
Q2 - 8:09CHIKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)23
30
Q2 - 8:18CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
30
Q2 - 8:19CHIMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
30
Q2 - 8:40MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)20
30
Q2 - 8:58CHIBrewer 3' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)20
28
Q2 - 9:01MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
28
Q2 - 9:10MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
28
Q2 - 9:11CHIMISS Boozer 15' Jump Shot18
28
Q2 - 9:28CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
28
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot18
28
Q2 - 9:47CHIKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)18
28
Q2 - 9:55CHISUB: Korver FOR Gibson18
28
Q2 - 9:55CHISUB: Boozer FOR Deng18
28
Q2 - 9:55CHIBulls Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)18
28
Q2 - 10:01MIABosh 2' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)18
28
Q2 - 10:15MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
26
Q2 - 10:16CHIMISS Watson 22' Jump Shot18
26
Q2 - 10:32MIABosh 15' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)18
26
Q2 - 10:51CHIMiller STEAL (1 STL)18
24
Q2 - 11:14MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
24
Q2 - 11:14MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
23
Q2 - 11:14CHIGibson S.FOUL (P1.T1)18
22
Q2 - 11:22MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
22
Q2 - 11:23CHIMISS Deng 9' Jump Shot18
22
Q2 - 11:41CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
22
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
22
Q2 - 12:0018
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
22
Q1 - 0:03.0CHIDeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)18
22
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAJames 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)15
22
Q1 - 0:24.0CHISUB: Asik FOR Noah15
20
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAHEAT Rebound15
20
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup15
20
Q1 - 0:42.0CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
20
Q1 - 0:42.0CHIBulls Rebound14
20
Q1 - 0:42.0CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 214
20
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
20
Q1 - 1:03MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
20
Q1 - 1:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17
Q1 - 1:12CHIMISS Noah 4' Jump Bank Shot14
17
Q1 - 1:17CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
17
Q1 - 1:18CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot14
17
Q1 - 1:38MIAChalmers 3' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
17
Q1 - 1:42CHIJames STEAL (1 STL)14
15
Q1 - 1:56CHIBulls Rebound14
15
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot14
15
Q1 - 2:15CHIGibson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)14
15
Q1 - 2:37CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
15
Q1 - 2:38MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot12
15
Q1 - 2:55MIASUB: Miller FOR Wade12
15
Q1 - 2:55MIASUB: Jones FOR Dampier12
15
Q1 - 2:55MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Bosh12
15
Q1 - 2:55CHISUB: Brewer FOR Bogans12
15
Q1 - 2:55CHIBulls Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
15
Q1 - 2:55CHIBogans P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
15
Q1 - 3:04MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
15
Q1 - 3:05CHIMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot12
15
Q1 - 3:25MIABosh 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)12
15
Q1 - 3:51CHIRose 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
13
Q1 - 4:10MIAJames 20' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)10
13
Q1 - 4:36CHIBogans Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)10
11
Q1 - 4:55MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)10
11
Q1 - 5:14MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
9
Q1 - 5:14CHIGibson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)10
9
Q1 - 5:25CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup8
9
Q1 - 5:39CHIRose 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
9
Q1 - 5:57MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
9
Q1 - 6:10CHIDeng L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)6
7
Q1 - 6:10MIAHEAT Rebound6
7
Q1 - 6:10CHIMISS Deng 5' Running Hook Shot6
7
Q1 - 6:23CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
7
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS Bosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper6
7
Q1 - 6:43MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
7
Q1 - 6:44CHIMISS Rose 4' Jump Shot6
7
Q1 - 6:50MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
7
Q1 - 7:02CHISUB: Gibson FOR Boozer6
7
Q1 - 7:02CHIBoozer Foul Turnover (P2.T4)6
7
Q1 - 7:02CHIBoozer OFF.Foul (P2)6
7
Q1 - 7:06CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
7
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot6
7
Q1 - 7:25CHIBoozer 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)6
7
Q1 - 7:48MIAHEAT Rebound4
7
Q1 - 7:48MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)4
7
Q1 - 7:48MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 24
6
Q1 - 7:48CHIBoozer S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 8:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 8:03CHIMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 8:23MIAJames 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 8:26MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 8:27CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 8:43CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
4
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper4
4
Q1 - 8:53CHIBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
4
Q1 - 9:06MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 9:06MIAChalmers OFF.Foul (P1)4
4
Q1 - 9:14CHIBoozer 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)4
4
Q1 - 9:43MIAWade 2' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)4
4
Q1 - 9:47CHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)4
2
Q1 - 10:05CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:06MIAMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:30CHINoah 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)4
2
Q1 - 10:36CHIBulls Rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:37CHIMISS Noah 2' Layup2
2
Q1 - 10:50MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:58CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 10:59CHIMISS Rose 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:23MIABosh 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:42CHINoah 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Dampier vs. Noah: Tip to Deng0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.01 50.6%
MIA
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
14
24
58%
MIA
14
22
64%
Midrange
CHI
17
36
47%
MIA
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
CHI
16
20
80%
MIA
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Rose2756%13.5 / 24
L. Deng1853%9.0 / 17
C. Boozer1240%6.0 / 15
J. Noah1161%5.5 / 9
T. Gibson880%4.0 / 5
K. Bogans338%1.5 / 4
K. Korver330%1.5 / 5
R. Brewer2100%1.0 / 1
C. Watson250%1.0 / 2
O. Asik150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2662%13.0 / 21
C. Bosh2368%11.5 / 17
D. Wade2045%10.0 / 22
M. Chalmers1192%5.5 / 6
J. Jones3150%1.5 / 1
Z. Ilgauskas220%1.0 / 5
M. Miller18%0.5 / 6
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 0
M. Bibby0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
71
+15
-15
86
MIA
70
+11
-16
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.01 50.6%
MIA
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
111.4
CHI 101.2 +1.2
MIA 100.0
Pace
90.5
91.3
CHI 76.2
MIA 98.8 +22.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.2
CHI 18.9
MIA 14.6 −4.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
52.4%
CHI 48.0%
MIA 50.7% +2.7%
TO %
14.8%
14.4%
CHI 16.2% −0.8%
MIA 17.0%
ORB %
29.4%
25.2%
CHI 31.3% +7.8%
MIA 23.5%
FTrt
30.5
36.3
CHI 27.0
MIA 33.8 +6.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
54.1%
CHI 47.1%
MIA 54.5% +7.4%
STL %
8.0%
7.3%
CHI 8.1%
MIA 9.3% +1.2%
BLK %
9.0%
8.5%
CHI 8.5% +1.8%
MIA 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
55.7%
CHI 50.6%
MIA 53.1% +2.5%
Rim FG%
58.2%
64.7%
CHI 58.3%
MIA 63.6% +5.3%
Mid FG%
39.9%
42.2%
CHI 47.2% +4.0%
MIA 43.2%
3P %
36.1%
37.0%
CHI 21.4%
MIA 33.3% +11.9%
FT %
74.4%
76.9%
CHI 80.0% +6.1%
MIA 73.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
31.6%
CHI 32.4% +0.1%
MIA 32.4%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
44.9%
CHI 48.6% −5.8%
MIA 54.4%
3P Att. %
21.5%
23.5%
CHI 18.9% +5.7%
MIA 13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes27.120.9
Points8786
Rebounds3630
Assists1618
Steals78
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)22 (6)
Field Goals34-7433-68
At-the-Rim FG14-2414-22
Midrange FG17-3616-37
2-Point FG31-6030-59
3-Point FG3-143-9
Free Throws16-2017-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 26
42.6
18
53%
2
3
1
2
3
3
0
2
3-4
75%
6-12
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 190 · 22
38.4
27
56%
1
5
1
0
3
2
0
1
3-3
100%
12-20
60%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 230 · 26
35.5
11
61%
8
1
0
2
1
2
3
5
5-7
71%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 258 · 29
33.0
12
40%
10
2
0
0
3
2
4
6
0-0
-
6-15
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 31
19.8
3
38%
6
0
2
0
2
1
3
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
G · 6'7" 212 · 30
18.3
3
30%
2
0
2
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
16.8
8
80%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 26
15.7
2
100%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
10.4
1
50%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
9.7
2
50%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 38
F · 6'9" 235 · 33
#45 · F · 6'7" 215 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
51%
36
16
7
5
15
0
10
26
16-20
80%
31-60
52%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.