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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 6, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Knicks40%9892
15Hawks60%10279
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.3
39.8
36.0
26
57%
7
2
3
1
1
2
2
5
6-6
100%
10-20
10-19
50%
53%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.7
39.3
31.2
15
63%
4
4
2
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
55%
2-4
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
33.1
26.5
10
51%
5
7
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
30.9
35.3
14
35%
7
7
1
1
0
5
1
6
2-5
40%
6-15
7-16
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.3
26.6
16.3
0
0%
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.0
27.7
25.1
12
75%
6
0
2
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
4-6
67%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
25.1
3.1
5
50%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.7
14.9
17.0
10
100%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
2.7
7.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
3.4
0
0-1
52%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.5
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.1
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
40.2
34.8
4
25%
7
5
1
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
2-8
7-12
25%
56%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.7
36.5
37.2
14
47%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
7-11
7-14
64%
50%
0-4
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.2
36.3
28.5
17
50%
11
1
0
1
0
4
3
8
0-0
-
7-15
5-10
47%
52%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.2
34.1
25.8
15
83%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
3-4
75%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.7
30.0
31.9
8
46%
6
0
0
1
3
1
3
3
4-4
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.0
27.3
30.5
14
50%
0
1
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.1
11.8
12.4
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.3
11.5
1.9
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.7
11.2
15.9
4
45%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.1
1.1
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.3
14.0
0
1-2
44%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.1
6.8
0
1-2
45%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.9
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.