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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 7, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Mavericks66%105108
26Timberwolves34%99105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.0
31.5
31.8
13
70%
2
9
4
2
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
41%
2-6
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.3
29.4
28.7
8
75%
10
0
1
0
1
3
1
9
2-3
67%
3-4
3-6
75%
56%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.7
27.0
33.3
25
76%
6
2
0
1
1
1
0
6
10-10
100%
6-10
7-13
60%
52%
1-2
50%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.0
17.5
15.0
9
45%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.7
15.9
17.5
9
50%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
1-4
25%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.8
32.1
29.0
9
38%
10
4
1
1
1
1
5
5
1-2
50%
4-11
6-11
36%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
30.8
31.0
11
43%
2
4
0
1
0
4
1
1
4-4
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
50%
1-6
17%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.8
17.1
3.1
12
75%
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
4-8
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.3
16.5
13.0
2
33%
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
57%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.7
16.2
18.2
8
57%
2
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.0
5.9
9.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.9
6.8
0
0-1
43%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 31.0
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.4
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
37.7
31.5
20
39%
9
1
1
1
2
5
3
6
4-9
44%
8-21
7-14
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.5
35.6
35.2
23
69%
17
5
1
1
1
3
6
11
5-6
83%
3-8
5-10
38%
49%
4-6
67%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.1
35.0
29.3
9
43%
2
4
4
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
48%
2-3
67%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.7
19.4
9.7
6
60%
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
14.3
16.9
5
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.3
31.6
27.4
12
86%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
44%
2-3
67%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
17.3
18.7
8
63%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-3
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
1-1
100%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 25.2
13.5
16.6
6
52%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.1
13.1
17.4
11
69%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
44%
1-4
25%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
12.5
10.2
3
28%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.6
10.1
17.0
2
26%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
19.5
1
2-4
45%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.