| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 27% | 91 | 105 | ||
| 1 | 73% | 99 | 96 | ||
| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126.5 | 83 | 74.3 | |
| 114.3 | 84 | 95.1 |
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | POR | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | POR | 105 | 96 | |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 105 | 96 |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 105 | 96 |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | POR | Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 105 | 96 |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | POR | Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 104 | 96 |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | MIA | Chalmers P.FOUL (P2.PN) | 103 | 96 |
| Q4 - 0:26.0 | POR | Trail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1) | 103 | 96 |
| Q4 - 0:26.0 | MIA | Wade P.FOUL (P4.T4) | 103 | 96 |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | MIA | James 3' Driving Dunk (31 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 103 | 96 |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 103 | 94 |
| Q4 - 0:40.0 | POR | MISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 103 | 94 |
| Q4 - 1:02 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14) | 103 | 94 |
| Q4 - 1:05 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 103 | 94 |
| Q4 - 1:06 | POR | MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot | 103 | 94 |
| Q4 - 1:24 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 103 | 94 |
| Q4 - 1:25 | MIA | MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 103 | 94 |
| Q4 - 1:34 | POR | Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 103 | 94 |
| Q4 - 2:00 | MIA | Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS) | 100 | 94 |
| Q4 - 2:07 | POR | Aldridge 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 100 | 91 |
| Q4 - 2:26 | MIA | Bosh Foul Turnover (P2.T13) | 98 | 91 |
| Q4 - 2:26 | MIA | Bosh OFF.Foul (P2) | 98 | 91 |
| Q4 - 2:26 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 98 | 91 |
| Q4 - 2:27 | MIA | MISS James 3' Jump Shot | 98 | 91 |
| Q4 - 2:33 | POR | Wallace P.FOUL (P3.T2) | 98 | 91 |
| Q4 - 2:43 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2) | 98 | 91 |
| Q4 - 2:52 | POR | Miller 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 98 | 91 |
| Q4 - 3:05 | POR | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 96 | 91 |
| Q4 - 3:06 | MIA | MISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot | 96 | 91 |
| Q4 - 3:25 | POR | Roy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST) | 96 | 91 |
| Q4 - 3:37 | MIA | Wade P.FOUL (P3.T3) | 93 | 91 |
| Q4 - 3:59 | MIA | Wade 8' Running Jump Shot (35 PTS) | 93 | 91 |
| Q4 - 4:15 | POR | Wallace 4' Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 93 | 89 |
| Q4 - 4:35 | POR | Trail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1) | 91 | 89 |
| Q4 - 4:35 | MIA | James 2' Dunk (29 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 91 | 89 |
| Q4 - 4:38 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 91 | 87 |
| Q4 - 4:39 | POR | MISS Miller 12' Jump Shot | 91 | 87 |
| Q4 - 4:53 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 91 | 87 |
| Q4 - 4:54 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 91 | 87 |
| Q4 - 5:05 | POR | SUB: Matthews FOR Fernandez | 91 | 87 |
| Q4 - 5:05 | POR | Roy P.FOUL (P2.T1) | 91 | 87 |
| Q4 - 5:05 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 91 | 87 |
| Q4 - 5:06 | POR | MISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot | 91 | 87 |
| Q4 - 5:25 | MIA | Wade 8' Driving Jump Shot (33 PTS) | 91 | 87 |
| Q4 - 5:39 | POR | Miller 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 91 | 85 |
| Q4 - 6:07 | MIA | Wade 3' Driving Layup (31 PTS) | 89 | 85 |
| Q4 - 6:20 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 89 | 83 |
| Q4 - 6:21 | POR | MISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 | 83 |
| Q4 - 6:43 | MIA | Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST) | 89 | 83 |
| Q4 - 6:59 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1) | 89 | 80 |
| Q4 - 6:59 | POR | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS) | 89 | 80 |
| Q4 - 6:59 | MIA | James S.FOUL (P3.T2) | 88 | 80 |
| Q4 - 6:59 | POR | Wallace 3' Layup (19 PTS) (Miller 5 AST) | 88 | 80 |
| Q4 - 7:20 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 86 | 80 |
| Q4 - 7:21 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 | 80 |
| Q4 - 7:33 | POR | Miller 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 86 | 80 |
| Q4 - 7:49 | POR | SUB: Miller FOR Mills | 84 | 80 |
| Q4 - 7:49 | MIA | Bibby P.FOUL (P3.T1) | 84 | 80 |
| Q4 - 8:04 | MIA | Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 84 | 80 |
| Q4 - 8:25 | MIA | SUB: Chalmers FOR Miller | 84 | 77 |
| Q4 - 8:25 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1) | 84 | 77 |
| Q4 - 8:25 | POR | Wallace 3' Layup (17 PTS) | 84 | 77 |
| Q4 - 8:40 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 8:41 | POR | MISS Mills 20' Jump Shot | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:05 | MIA | James Foul Turnover (P4.T12) | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:05 | MIA | James OFF.Foul (P2) | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:18 | POR | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:34 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:35 | MIA | MISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:52 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:53 | POR | MISS Roy 17' Jump Shot | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 10:08 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 10:09 | MIA | MISS Miller 7' Hook Shot | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 10:11 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 10:13 | MIA | MISS Miller 17' Jump Shot | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 10:44 | POR | Aldridge 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST) | 82 | 77 |
| Q4 - 10:59 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 80 | 77 |
| Q4 - 11:00 | MIA | MISS Bosh 12' Jump Bank Shot | 80 | 77 |
| Q4 - 11:17 | POR | Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mills 4 AST) | 80 | 77 |
| Q4 - 11:33 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Dunk (26 PTS) | 77 | 77 |
| Q4 - 11:37 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 77 | 75 |
| Q4 - 11:38 | POR | Wade BLOCK (2 BLK) | 77 | 75 |
| Q4 - 12:00 | 77 | 75 | ||
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 77 | 75 | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 77 | 75 |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 76' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 | 75 |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | POR | Mills 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) | 77 | 75 |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 75 | 75 |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 75 | 74 |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | POR | SUB: Aldridge FOR Camby | 75 | 73 |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | POR | SUB: Roy FOR Matthews | 75 | 73 |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | POR | Matthews P.FOUL (P4.PN) | 75 | 73 |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 75 | 73 |
| Q3 - 0:16.0 | POR | MISS Matthews 11' Floating Jump Shot | 75 | 73 |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 75 | 73 |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 75 | 72 |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | POR | Camby S.FOUL (P3.PN) | 75 | 71 |
| Q3 - 0:48.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 75 | 71 |
| Q3 - 0:49.0 | POR | MISS Matthews 3PT Jump Shot | 75 | 71 |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2) | 75 | 71 |
| Q3 - 0:54.0 | POR | MISS Fernandez 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 | 71 |
| Q3 - 1:09 | POR | Fernandez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 75 | 71 |
| Q3 - 1:10 | POR | MISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 | 71 |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 75 | 71 |
| Q3 - 1:30 | POR | SUB: Camby FOR Aldridge | 75 | 70 |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Bosh | 75 | 70 |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 75 | 70 |
| Q3 - 1:30 | POR | Matthews S.FOUL (P3.T4) | 75 | 69 |
| Q3 - 1:38 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 75 | 69 |
| Q3 - 1:39 | POR | MISS Mills 20' Jump Shot | 75 | 69 |
| Q3 - 1:48 | POR | Mills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 75 | 69 |
| Q3 - 1:49 | MIA | MISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 75 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:09 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 75 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:09 | MIA | SUB: Bibby FOR Chalmers | 74 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:09 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 74 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:09 | MIA | Miller S.FOUL (P3.T4) | 73 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:23 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 73 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:24 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 73 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:24 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 73 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:24 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 73 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:24 | POR | SUB: Mills FOR Miller | 73 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:24 | POR | Matthews S.FOUL (P2.T3) | 73 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:40 | POR | Miller 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 73 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:50 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 71 | 69 |
| Q3 - 2:51 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 | 69 |
| Q3 - 3:08 | POR | SUB: Fernandez FOR Batum | 71 | 69 |
| Q3 - 3:08 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 71 | 69 |
| Q3 - 3:09 | MIA | MISS Miller 3' Layup | 71 | 69 |
| Q3 - 3:13 | POR | Chalmers STEAL (2 STL) | 71 | 69 |
| Q3 - 3:35 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) | 71 | 69 |
| Q3 - 3:48 | MIA | SUB: Miller FOR Anthony | 71 | 67 |
| Q3 - 3:48 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1) | 71 | 67 |
| Q3 - 3:50 | POR | Aldridge 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 71 | 67 |
| Q3 - 4:11 | MIA | James 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS) | 69 | 67 |
| Q3 - 4:34 | POR | Aldridge 3' Tip Shot (18 PTS) | 69 | 65 |
| Q3 - 4:34 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 67 | 65 |
| Q3 - 4:35 | POR | MISS Aldridge 4' Dunk | 67 | 65 |
| Q3 - 4:53 | MIA | James 9' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS) | 67 | 65 |
| Q3 - 5:14 | POR | Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 5:17 | MIA | Anthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11) | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 5:33 | POR | Trail Blazers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7) | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 5:33 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 5:34 | POR | MISS Miller 2' Driving Layup | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 5:58 | POR | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 5:59 | MIA | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 6:01 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 6:02 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Jump Shot | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 6:12 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Dampier | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 6:12 | POR | SUB: Wallace FOR Camby | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 6:12 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 6:13 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 6:34 | POR | Aldridge 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Matthews 5 AST) | 67 | 63 |
| Q3 - 7:01 | MIA | James 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 65 | 63 |
| Q3 - 7:08 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 65 | 61 |
| Q3 - 7:10 | POR | MISS Camby 18' Jump Shot | 65 | 61 |
| Q3 - 7:17 | POR | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 65 | 61 |
| Q3 - 7:18 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Jump Shot | 65 | 61 |
| Q3 - 7:43 | POR | Aldridge 9' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Matthews 4 AST) | 65 | 61 |
| Q3 - 8:03 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 63 | 61 |
| Q3 - 8:12 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 63 | 59 |
| Q3 - 8:13 | POR | MISS Aldridge 21' Jump Shot | 63 | 59 |
| Q3 - 8:37 | POR | Trail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1) | 63 | 59 |
| Q3 - 8:38 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 63 | 59 |
| Q3 - 8:53 | POR | Camby P.FOUL (P2.T2) | 63 | 57 |
| Q3 - 8:55 | POR | James STEAL (1 STL) | 63 | 57 |
| Q3 - 9:14 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS) | 63 | 57 |
| Q3 - 9:25 | POR | Batum 3' Tip Shot (11 PTS) | 63 | 55 |
| Q3 - 9:26 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 61 | 55 |
| Q3 - 9:27 | POR | MISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot | 61 | 55 |
| Q3 - 9:40 | POR | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 61 | 55 |
| Q3 - 9:41 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:07 | POR | Batum Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 61 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:07 | POR | Batum Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 60 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:07 | MIA | James S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 59 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:23 | MIA | Chalmers 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 59 | 55 |
| Q3 - 10:27 | POR | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 59 | 53 |
| Q3 - 10:37 | POR | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 59 | 53 |
| Q3 - 10:38 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot | 59 | 53 |
| Q3 - 10:51 | POR | Matthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 59 | 53 |
| Q3 - 10:51 | POR | Matthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 58 | 53 |
| Q3 - 10:51 | MIA | Wade S.FOUL (P2.T2) | 57 | 53 |
| Q3 - 11:03 | MIA | Wade P.FOUL (P1.T1) | 57 | 53 |
| Q3 - 11:17 | MIA | Dampier 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 57 | 53 |
| Q3 - 11:19 | POR | Miller P.FOUL (P2.T1) | 57 | 51 |
| Q3 - 11:22 | POR | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 57 | 51 |
| Q3 - 11:35 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 57 | 51 |
| Q3 - 11:36 | MIA | MISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot | 57 | 51 |
| Q3 - 12:00 | 57 | 51 | ||
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 57 | 51 | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 57 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 22' Jump Shot | 57 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | POR | 57 | 51 | |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | POR | Aldridge 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Roy 1 AST) | 57 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:14.0 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Miller | 55 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:14.0 | POR | SUB: Fernandez FOR Miller | 55 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:14.0 | POR | SUB: Roy FOR Camby | 55 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:14.0 | POR | Trail Blazers Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1) | 55 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 55 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:27.0 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 | 51 |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | POR | Matthews Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 55 | 51 |
| Q2 - 1:08 | MIA | James 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 55 | 51 |
| Q2 - 1:17 | POR | SUB: Camby FOR Wallace | 55 | 49 |
| Q2 - 1:17 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1) | 55 | 49 |
| Q2 - 1:24 | POR | Matthews 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 4 AST) | 55 | 49 |
| Q2 - 1:47 | MIA | Chalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10) | 52 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:04 | POR | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 52 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:04 | POR | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 51 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:04 | MIA | SUB: Bosh FOR Anthony | 50 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:04 | MIA | Chalmers P.FOUL (P1.PN) | 50 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:27 | MIA | James 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 50 | 49 |
| Q2 - 2:53 | POR | Wallace 3' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 3 AST) | 50 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:02 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 48 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:09 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 48 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:10 | POR | MISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:14 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 48 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:15 | POR | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 48 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:44 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 48 | 47 |
| Q2 - 3:54 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 48 | 45 |
| Q2 - 3:55 | POR | MISS Wallace 3' Driving Layup | 48 | 45 |
| Q2 - 4:12 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 48 | 45 |
| Q2 - 4:28 | POR | Batum Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 48 | 42 |
| Q2 - 4:28 | POR | SUB: Matthews FOR Roy | 47 | 42 |
| Q2 - 4:28 | MIA | Miller S.FOUL (P2.PN) | 47 | 42 |
| Q2 - 4:28 | POR | Batum 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 47 | 42 |
| Q2 - 4:41 | MIA | SUB: Chalmers FOR Bibby | 45 | 42 |
| Q2 - 4:41 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Bosh | 45 | 42 |
| Q2 - 4:41 | POR | SUB: Miller FOR Mills | 45 | 42 |
| Q2 - 4:41 | POR | SUB: Batum FOR Fernandez | 45 | 42 |
| Q2 - 4:41 | POR | Trail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0) | 45 | 42 |
| Q2 - 4:47 | MIA | James 3' Dunk (15 PTS) (Miller 2 AST) | 45 | 42 |
| Q2 - 4:50 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 45 | 40 |
| Q2 - 4:51 | MIA | MISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot | 45 | 40 |
| Q2 - 5:00 | MIA | Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 45 | 40 |
| Q2 - 5:01 | POR | MISS Aldridge 2' Layup | 45 | 40 |
| Q2 - 5:21 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 45 | 40 |
| Q2 - 5:21 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 45 | 39 |
| Q2 - 5:21 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 45 | 39 |
| Q2 - 5:21 | POR | Wallace S.FOUL (P2.T4) | 45 | 39 |
| Q2 - 5:21 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 45 | 39 |
| Q2 - 5:22 | MIA | MISS James 5' Jump Shot | 45 | 39 |
| Q2 - 5:41 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 45 | 39 |
| Q2 - 5:41 | POR | Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 44 | 39 |
| Q2 - 5:41 | MIA | SUB: James FOR Anthony | 43 | 39 |
| Q2 - 5:41 | 43 | 39 | ||
| Q2 - 5:41 | MIA | Anthony S.FOUL (P2.PN) | 43 | 39 |
| Q2 - 5:46 | MIA | Bibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 43 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:00 | POR | Roy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mills 3 AST) | 43 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:23 | MIA | Bibby P.FOUL (P2.T4) | 40 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 40 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:31 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 40 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:32 | POR | MISS Aldridge 13' Jump Shot | 40 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:40 | MIA | Miller P.FOUL (P1.T3) | 40 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:50 | MIA | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 40 | 39 |
| Q2 - 6:57 | POR | Roy P.FOUL (P1.T3) | 40 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:10 | POR | Roy 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fernandez 2 AST) | 40 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:28 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 37 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:29 | MIA | MISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:40 | POR | Wallace Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS) | 37 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:40 | POR | Trail Blazers Rebound | 36 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:40 | POR | MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 3 | 36 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:40 | POR | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS) | 36 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:40 | MIA | Bosh S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 35 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:56 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 35 | 39 |
| Q2 - 7:56 | POR | Aldridge S.FOUL (P1.T2) | 35 | 38 |
| Q2 - 7:56 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 1 AST) | 35 | 38 |
| Q2 - 8:09 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas | 35 | 36 |
| Q2 - 8:09 | MIA | SUB: Wade FOR James | 35 | 36 |
| Q2 - 8:09 | POR | SUB: Aldridge FOR Camby | 35 | 36 |
| Q2 - 8:09 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0) | 35 | 36 |
| Q2 - 8:09 | POR | Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mills 2 AST) | 35 | 36 |
| Q2 - 8:18 | POR | Fernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 | 36 |
| Q2 - 8:19 | MIA | MISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 | 36 |
| Q2 - 8:27 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 | 36 |
| Q2 - 8:28 | POR | MISS Camby 3' Tip Shot | 32 | 36 |
| Q2 - 8:29 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2) | 32 | 36 |
| Q2 - 8:30 | POR | MISS Roy 7' Jump Shot | 32 | 36 |
| Q2 - 8:53 | MIA | Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 32 | 36 |
| Q2 - 9:15 | POR | Wallace 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 32 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:16 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 30 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:17 | POR | MISS Wallace 3' Driving Layup | 30 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:32 | MIA | James 2' Driving Dunk (13 PTS) | 30 | 33 |
| Q2 - 9:50 | POR | Roy 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Mills 1 AST) | 30 | 31 |
| Q2 - 9:55 | POR | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 | 31 |
| Q2 - 9:56 | MIA | MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:07 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:08 | POR | MISS Fernandez 2' Dunk | 28 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:10 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 28 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:11 | POR | MISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:27 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST) | 28 | 31 |
| Q2 - 10:51 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 28 | 28 |
| Q2 - 10:52 | POR | MISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:05 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5) | 28 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:05 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 28 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:06 | MIA | MISS James 21' Jump Shot | 28 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:29 | POR | Roy Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 28 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:29 | MIA | SUB: Ilgauskas FOR Anthony | 27 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:29 | MIA | Bibby S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 27 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:29 | POR | Roy 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 27 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:47 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 25 | 28 |
| Q2 - 11:47 | POR | Camby S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 25 | 27 |
| Q2 - 11:47 | MIA | Bosh 3' Layup (4 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 25 | 27 |
| Q2 - 12:00 | 25 | 25 | ||
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 25 | 25 | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 | 25 |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | POR | MISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 | 25 |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | MIA | James 3' Layup (8 PTS) | 25 | 25 |
| Q1 - 0:25.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 25 | 23 |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | MIA | MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot | 25 | 23 |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | POR | Miller STEAL (1 STL) | 25 | 23 |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Miller 3' Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 25 | 23 |
| Q1 - 0:56.0 | POR | Wallace 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST) | 25 | 21 |
| Q1 - 1:05 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 23 | 21 |
| Q1 - 1:06 | POR | MISS Camby 2' Layup | 23 | 21 |
| Q1 - 1:07 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 23 | 21 |
| Q1 - 1:08 | POR | MISS Wallace 3' Layup | 23 | 21 |
| Q1 - 1:30 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 23 | 21 |
| Q1 - 1:31 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 23 | 21 |
| Q1 - 1:31 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 23 | 21 |
| Q1 - 1:31 | POR | SUB: Mills FOR Aldridge | 23 | 20 |
| Q1 - 1:31 | POR | SUB: Camby FOR Miller | 23 | 20 |
| Q1 - 1:31 | MIA | SUB: Jones FOR Wade | 23 | 20 |
| Q1 - 1:31 | POR | Miller S.FOUL (P1.T4) | 23 | 20 |
| Q1 - 1:43 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 | 20 |
| Q1 - 1:44 | POR | MISS Aldridge 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 23 | 20 |
| Q1 - 2:04 | MIA | Wade 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 23 | 20 |
| Q1 - 2:22 | POR | Aldridge 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST) | 23 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:44 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4) | 21 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:49 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 21 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:51 | POR | MISS Fernandez 21' Jump Shot | 21 | 18 |
| Q1 - 3:06 | POR | SUB: Roy FOR Matthews | 21 | 18 |
| Q1 - 3:06 | POR | Trail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0) | 21 | 18 |
| Q1 - 3:12 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 21 | 18 |
| Q1 - 3:12 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 21 | 17 |
| Q1 - 3:12 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw Technical (5 PTS) | 21 | 16 |
| Q1 - 3:12 | POR | Miller T.FOUL (P0.T3) | 21 | 15 |
| Q1 - 3:12 | POR | Wallace S.FOUL (P1.T3) | 21 | 15 |
| Q1 - 3:31 | POR | Wallace 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 21 | 15 |
| Q1 - 3:39 | MIA | Anthony P.FOUL (P1.T3) | 19 | 15 |
| Q1 - 3:44 | MIA | SUB: Anthony FOR Bosh | 19 | 15 |
| Q1 - 3:44 | POR | SUB: Fernandez FOR Batum | 19 | 15 |
| Q1 - 3:54 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 19 | 15 |
| Q1 - 4:14 | POR | Matthews 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 19 | 13 |
| Q1 - 4:34 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 17 | 13 |
| Q1 - 4:58 | POR | Miller 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Matthews 3 AST) | 17 | 13 |
| Q1 - 5:12 | MIA | SUB: Miller FOR Dampier | 15 | 13 |
| Q1 - 5:12 | MIA | Dampier P.FOUL (P2.T2) | 15 | 13 |
| Q1 - 5:26 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 15 | 13 |
| Q1 - 5:36 | POR | SUB: Wallace FOR Camby | 15 | 11 |
| Q1 - 5:36 | MIA | HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0) | 15 | 11 |
| Q1 - 5:36 | POR | Matthews P.FOUL (P1.T2) | 15 | 11 |
| Q1 - 5:48 | POR | Aldridge 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Batum 1 AST) | 15 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:06 | POR | Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 13 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:07 | POR | MISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 13 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:22 | MIA | James 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 13 | 11 |
| Q1 - 6:43 | POR | Miller 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Matthews 2 AST) | 13 | 8 |
| Q1 - 7:00 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2) | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 7:05 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 7:06 | POR | MISS Camby 2' Tip Shot | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 7:07 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 7:08 | POR | MISS Aldridge 15' Jump Shot | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 7:29 | POR | Batum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 7:30 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 7:48 | POR | Batum Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 8:02 | MIA | Wade 3' Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 11 | 8 |
| Q1 - 8:22 | POR | Camby Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 11 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:22 | MIA | Dampier S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 10 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:22 | POR | Camby 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 10 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:34 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 8 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:34 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 8 | 5 |
| Q1 - 8:34 | POR | Batum S.FOUL (P1.T1) | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 8:40 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 8:41 | POR | MISS Matthews 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:00 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:02 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:03 | POR | MISS Camby 20' Jump Shot | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:16 | POR | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:17 | MIA | MISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:34 | POR | Aldridge 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 8 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:51 | POR | Camby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:52 | MIA | MISS James 15' Jump Shot | 6 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:58 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:59 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot | 6 | 4 |
| Q1 - 10:06 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 6 | 4 |
| Q1 - 10:07 | MIA | MISS Dampier 3' Layup | 6 | 4 |
| Q1 - 10:25 | POR | Batum 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST) | 6 | 4 |
| Q1 - 10:40 | MIA | Chalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 4 | 4 |
| Q1 - 11:06 | POR | Batum 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST) | 4 | 2 |
| Q1 - 11:29 | MIA | Chalmers 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 11:47 | POR | Aldridge 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST) | 2 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Dampier vs. Camby: Tip to Aldridge | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Clock | Team | Event | POR | MIA |
Score / WinProb | ||||
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
Scoring by Shot Type
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Aldridge | 26 | 59% | 13.0 / 22 | |
| G. Wallace | 22 | 69% | 11.0 / 16 | |
| A. Miller | 14 | 78% | 7.0 / 9 | |
| B. Roy | 14 | 88% | 7.0 / 8 | |
| N. Batum | 11 | 110% | 5.5 / 5 | |
| W. Matthews | 10 | 63% | 5.0 / 8 | |
| M. Camby | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| R. Fernandez | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| P. Mills | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 |
Total Points
|| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 38 | 70% | 19.0 / 27 | |
| L. James | 31 | 70% | 15.5 / 22 | |
| M. Chalmers | 10 | 71% | 5.0 / 7 | |
| C. Bosh | 7 | 32% | 3.5 / 11 | |
| M. Bibby | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| E. Dampier | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| M. Miller | 2 | 14% | 1.0 / 7 |
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 108.7 111.4 | POR 126.5 +12.2 MIA 114.3 |
| Pace | 88.1 91.3 | POR 74.3 MIA 95.1 +20.8 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 17.0 16.2 | POR 19.4 MIA 15.1 −4.2 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 48.6% 52.4% | POR 55.1% MIA 56.3% +1.2% |
| TO % | 14.0% 14.4% | POR 10.3% −4.5% MIA 14.8% |
| ORB % | 29.5% 25.2% | POR 32.4% +11.0% MIA 21.4% |
| FTrt | 27.8 36.3 | POR 24.1 MIA 26.4 +2.3 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.8% 54.1% | POR 52.5% MIA 54.1% +1.6% |
| STL % | 9.1% 7.3% | POR 9.6% +2.5% MIA 7.1% |
| BLK % | 7.5% 8.5% | POR 6.0% +2.8% MIA 3.2% |
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 51.8% 55.7% | POR 59.7% +2.6% MIA 57.1% |
| Rim FG% | 59.3% 64.7% | POR 57.7% MIA 83.3% +25.6% |
| Mid FG% | 37.7% 42.2% | POR 50.0% +11.5% MIA 38.5% |
| 3P % | 34.5% 37.0% | POR 41.2% +9.4% MIA 31.8% |
| FT % | 80.4% 76.9% | POR 94.7% +15.8% MIA 78.9% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 35.8% 31.6% | POR 32.9% MIA 33.3% +0.4% |
| Mid Att. % | 41.4% 44.9% | POR 45.6% MIA 36.1% −9.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 22.8% 23.5% | POR 21.5% MIA 30.6% +9.0% |
| Game Totals | POR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 83 | 84 |
| Possession Minutes | 26.8 | 21.2 |
| Points | 105 | 96 |
| Rebounds | 34 | 31 |
| Assists | 21 | 20 |
| Steals | 8 | 6 |
| Blocks | 3 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 9 (1) | 13 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 12 (2) | 6 (7) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 22 (2) | 25 (0) |
| Field Goals | 40-79 | 37-72 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 15-26 | 20-24 |
| Midrange FG | 18-36 | 10-26 |
| 2-Point FG | 33-62 | 30-50 |
| 3-Point FG | 7-17 | 7-22 |
| Free Throws | 18-19 | 15-19 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.