Final Win Prob. pScore
338%95
80
262%99
110
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
86.09396.1
MIA logo Heat
117.09491.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
110
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
110
Q4 - 0:20.0SASMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
110
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)80
110
Q4 - 0:43.0SASSplitter 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)80
110
Q4 - 0:44.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
110
Q4 - 0:46.0SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
110
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAHoward 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)78
110
Q4 - 1:10SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
108
Q4 - 1:10SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
108
Q4 - 1:10MIAMiller P.FOUL (P2.PN)76
108
Q4 - 1:19MIAHoward 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)76
108
Q4 - 1:44SASNovak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)76
106
Q4 - 1:50MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)73
106
Q4 - 2:01MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
103
Q4 - 2:02SASMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot73
103
Q4 - 2:18MIAMagloire 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)73
103
Q4 - 2:40SASSUB: Blair FOR Parker73
101
Q4 - 2:40SASParker P.FOUL (P3.T3)73
101
Q4 - 2:42MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
101
Q4 - 2:43SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 273
101
Q4 - 2:43SASSpurs Rebound73
101
Q4 - 2:43SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 273
101
Q4 - 2:43MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade73
101
Q4 - 2:43MIASUB: Miller FOR Bosh73
101
Q4 - 2:43MIASUB: Howard FOR James73
101
Q4 - 2:43SASSUB: Neal FOR Hill73
101
Q4 - 2:4373
101
Q4 - 2:43MIAJames P.FOUL (P3.PN)73
101
Q4 - 2:48MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)73
101
Q4 - 3:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)73
99
Q4 - 3:04SASMISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot73
99
Q4 - 3:11MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)73
99
Q4 - 3:28MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
97
Q4 - 3:29SASMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot73
97
Q4 - 3:46SASSUB: Splitter FOR Ginobili73
97
Q4 - 3:46SASSUB: Anderson FOR McDyess73
97
Q4 - 3:46SASSUB: Novak FOR Duncan73
97
Q4 - 3:46SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)73
97
Q4 - 3:46MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (James 8 AST)73
97
Q4 - 4:02MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
95
Q4 - 4:03SASJames BLOCK (2 BLK)73
95
Q4 - 4:09MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)73
95
Q4 - 4:09MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)73
94
Q4 - 4:09SASMcDyess S.FOUL (P3.T2)73
93
Q4 - 4:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
93
Q4 - 4:21SASMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)73
93
Q4 - 4:39MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)73
93
Q4 - 4:52SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
93
Q4 - 4:52SASSpurs Rebound72
93
Q4 - 4:52SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 272
93
Q4 - 4:52MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T4)72
93
Q4 - 4:56MIAWade 3' Running Dunk (29 PTS) (James 7 AST)72
93
Q4 - 4:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
91
Q4 - 5:00SASMISS Parker 9' Floating Jump Shot72
91
Q4 - 5:08MIAMagloire P.FOUL (P4.T3)72
91
Q4 - 5:18SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
91
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot72
91
Q4 - 5:29MIASUB: Magloire FOR Anthony72
91
Q4 - 5:29SASParker P.FOUL (P2.T1)72
91
Q4 - 5:40SASChalmers STEAL (3 STL)72
91
Q4 - 5:59MIAAnthony 3' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)72
91
Q4 - 6:18SASChalmers STEAL (2 STL)72
89
Q4 - 6:32MIAJames 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)72
89
Q4 - 6:56MIASUB: Wade FOR Miller72
87
Q4 - 6:56SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Anderson72
87
Q4 - 6:56SASSUB: McDyess FOR Novak72
87
Q4 - 6:56MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)72
87
Q4 - 6:56SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
87
Q4 - 7:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
87
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot70
87
Q4 - 7:31SASSUB: Parker FOR Neal70
87
Q4 - 7:31MIAHEAT Rebound70
87
Q4 - 7:32SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
87
Q4 - 7:38SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
87
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot70
87
Q4 - 7:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)70
87
Q4 - 8:00MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot70
87
Q4 - 8:18SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
87
Q4 - 8:18SASSUB: Anderson FOR Ginobili69
87
Q4 - 8:18MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade69
87
Q4 - 8:18SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
87
Q4 - 8:18MIAJames S.FOUL (P2.T2)68
87
Q4 - 8:37SASNovak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
87
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup68
87
Q4 - 8:52SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)68
87
Q4 - 9:13MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)65
87
Q4 - 9:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
85
Q4 - 9:38MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
85
Q4 - 9:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
85
Q4 - 9:45SASMISS Neal 3' Driving Layup65
85
Q4 - 9:55SASSUB: Duncan FOR Blair65
85
Q4 - 9:55SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)65
85
Q4 - 9:57MIAWade 2' Running Dunk (27 PTS)65
85
Q4 - 10:02SASWade STEAL (2 STL)65
83
Q4 - 10:14MIAJames 2' Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)65
83
Q4 - 10:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
81
Q4 - 10:19SASMISS Neal 4' Driving Layup65
81
Q4 - 10:22SASSpurs Rebound65
81
Q4 - 10:23SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 165
81
Q4 - 10:23SASSUB: Novak FOR Jefferson65
81
Q4 - 10:23MIASUB: Anthony FOR Magloire65
81
Q4 - 10:23MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P3.T1)65
81
Q4 - 10:23SASGinobili 4' Driving Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
81
Q4 - 10:34MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS)63
81
Q4 - 10:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)63
79
Q4 - 10:47SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot63
79
Q4 - 11:03MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 6 AST)63
79
Q4 - 11:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
77
Q4 - 11:18SASMISS Neal 3PT Jump Shot63
77
Q4 - 11:24SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
77
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS James 5' Running Hook Shot63
77
Q4 - 11:47MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
77
Q4 - 11:48SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
77
Q4 - 12:0063
77
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
77
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Rebound63
77
Q3 - 0:04.0SASMISS Neal 18' Turnaround Jump Shot63
77
Q3 - 0:27.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
77
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot63
77
Q3 - 0:39.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
77
Q3 - 0:39.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
77
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMiller P.FOUL (P1.PN)61
77
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAWade 3' Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)61
77
Q3 - 0:51.0SASMiller STEAL (1 STL)61
75
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
75
Q3 - 1:07MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Blair: Tip to James61
73
Q3 - 1:27SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)61
73
Q3 - 1:36MIAMagloire 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)58
73
Q3 - 1:37MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
71
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot58
71
Q3 - 1:53SASSUB: Blair FOR Duncan58
71
Q3 - 1:53SASSUB: Hill FOR Parker58
71
Q3 - 1:53MIAHEAT Rebound58
71
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot58
71
Q3 - 2:17SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)58
71
Q3 - 2:34MIAWade 2' Layup (19 PTS) (James 5 AST)55
71
Q3 - 2:58MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
69
Q3 - 2:59SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 255
69
Q3 - 2:59SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)55
69
Q3 - 2:59MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.PN)54
69
Q3 - 3:01SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
69
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot54
69
Q3 - 3:17MIASUB: Magloire FOR Dampier54
69
Q3 - 3:17MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh54
69
Q3 - 3:17SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Hill54
69
Q3 - 3:17SASSUB: Jefferson FOR McDyess54
69
Q3 - 3:17MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)54
69
Q3 - 3:17SASParker 8' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)54
69
Q3 - 3:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
69
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
69
Q3 - 3:53SASParker 3' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)52
69
Q3 - 4:09MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)50
69
Q3 - 4:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
67
Q3 - 4:15MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup50
67
Q3 - 4:28SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
67
Q3 - 4:28MIASUB: Miller FOR Bibby49
67
Q3 - 4:28SASSpurs Rebound49
67
Q3 - 4:28SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 249
67
Q3 - 4:28MIABibby S.FOUL (P4.T4)49
67
Q3 - 4:43MIASUB: Bibby FOR Chalmers49
67
Q3 - 4:43MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)49
67
Q3 - 4:52SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)49
67
Q3 - 5:17MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T8)49
67
Q3 - 5:17MIAChalmers OFF.Foul (P4)49
67
Q3 - 5:32SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)49
67
Q3 - 5:32SASSpurs Rebound49
67
Q3 - 5:33SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot49
67
Q3 - 5:40SASSpurs Rebound49
67
Q3 - 5:41SASJames BLOCK (1 BLK)49
67
Q3 - 5:47SASSUB: Neal FOR Jefferson49
67
Q3 - 5:47MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T3)49
67
Q3 - 5:56MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
67
Q3 - 5:56MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
66
Q3 - 5:56SASDuncan P.FOUL (P4.PN)49
65
Q3 - 5:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
65
Q3 - 5:57SASMISS Duncan 13' Turnaround Hook Shot49
65
Q3 - 6:18SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)49
65
Q3 - 6:20MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)49
65
Q3 - 6:34SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)49
63
Q3 - 6:34MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T2)48
63
Q3 - 6:34MIADampier Violation:Defensive Goaltending48
63
Q3 - 6:34SASParker 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)48
63
Q3 - 6:51MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)46
63
Q3 - 7:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)46
61
Q3 - 7:08SASMISS Parker 8' Hook Shot46
61
Q3 - 7:22MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)46
61
Q3 - 7:22MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)46
60
Q3 - 7:22SASSUB: Hill FOR Ginobili46
59
Q3 - 7:22SASDuncan S.FOUL (P3.T4)46
59
Q3 - 7:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
59
Q3 - 7:36SASWade BLOCK (2 BLK)46
59
Q3 - 7:45SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
59
Q3 - 7:46MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot46
59
Q3 - 7:59SASGinobili P.FOUL (P3.T3)46
59
Q3 - 8:01SASChalmers STEAL (1 STL)46
59
Q3 - 8:21MIADampier L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)46
59
Q3 - 8:21SASSpurs Rebound46
59
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot46
59
Q3 - 8:42SASBosh STEAL (2 STL)46
59
Q3 - 8:46SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
59
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot46
59
Q3 - 9:14SASGinobili 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)46
59
Q3 - 9:30MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)44
59
Q3 - 9:30SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T2)44
58
Q3 - 9:30MIAJames 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)44
58
Q3 - 9:55SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)44
56
Q3 - 10:15MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)41
56
Q3 - 10:35SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)41
53
Q3 - 10:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
53
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot39
53
Q3 - 10:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)39
53
Q3 - 10:58SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
53
Q3 - 11:10MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)39
53
Q3 - 11:10MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)39
52
Q3 - 11:10SASMcDyess S.FOUL (P2.T1)39
51
Q3 - 11:25MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
51
Q3 - 11:26SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot39
51
Q3 - 11:46MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 2 AST)39
51
Q3 - 12:0039
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
49
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
49
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Jefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
49
Q2 - 0:07.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
49
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot39
49
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
49
Q2 - 0:33.0SASMISS Duncan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot39
49
Q2 - 0:48.0MIABosh 10' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)39
49
Q2 - 1:09SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)39
47
Q2 - 1:21SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
47
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot37
47
Q2 - 1:37SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
47
Q2 - 1:37MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P2.PN)36
47
Q2 - 1:37SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
47
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)34
47
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)34
46
Q2 - 1:48SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Hill34
45
Q2 - 1:48SASHill P.FOUL (P1.PN)34
45
Q2 - 1:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
45
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Magloire 7' Hook Shot34
45
Q2 - 2:16MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
45
Q2 - 2:17SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 234
45
Q2 - 2:17SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
45
Q2 - 2:17MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P1.PN)33
45
Q2 - 2:28MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Bibby33
45
Q2 - 2:28MIABibby P.FOUL (P3.T4)33
45
Q2 - 2:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)33
45
Q2 - 2:37SASJefferson S.FOUL (P2.PN)33
44
Q2 - 2:37MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)33
44
Q2 - 2:45MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard33
42
Q2 - 2:45MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
42
Q2 - 2:54SASJefferson 5' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS)33
42
Q2 - 3:09MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T3)31
42
Q2 - 3:25MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)31
42
Q2 - 3:30SASBibby STEAL (1 STL)31
42
Q2 - 3:36MIAJames Violation:Kicked Ball31
42
Q2 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
42
Q2 - 3:52MIASUB: Magloire FOR Anthony31
41
Q2 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
41
Q2 - 3:52SASJefferson S.FOUL (P1.PN)31
40
Q2 - 3:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
40
Q2 - 3:55SASWade BLOCK (1 BLK)31
40
Q2 - 4:03SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
40
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot31
40
Q2 - 4:23SASMcDyess 2' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
40
Q2 - 4:24SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
40
Q2 - 4:25SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot29
40
Q2 - 4:44SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
40
Q2 - 4:45SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
40
Q2 - 4:58SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
40
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot29
40
Q2 - 5:18SASDuncan 3' Tip Shot (8 PTS)29
40
Q2 - 5:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
40
Q2 - 5:20SASMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot27
40
Q2 - 5:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
40
Q2 - 5:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
39
Q2 - 5:39SASSUB: Duncan FOR Blair27
38
Q2 - 5:39MIASUB: Howard FOR Miller27
38
Q2 - 5:39MIASUB: James FOR Bosh27
38
Q2 - 5:39SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Neal27
38
Q2 - 5:39SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili27
38
Q2 - 5:3927
38
Q2 - 5:39SASNeal S.FOUL (P1.PN)27
38
Q2 - 5:45MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
38
Q2 - 5:46SASMISS Neal 8' Jump Shot27
38
Q2 - 6:10MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)27
38
Q2 - 6:29SASHill 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
36
Q2 - 6:36MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)25
36
Q2 - 6:38MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
36
Q2 - 6:39SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot25
36
Q2 - 6:55MIABosh 3' Tip Shot (14 PTS)25
36
Q2 - 6:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)25
34
Q2 - 6:57MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot25
34
Q2 - 7:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)25
34
Q2 - 7:03SASMISS Neal 7' Running Jump Shot25
34
Q2 - 7:17SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
34
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
34
Q2 - 7:21MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
34
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper25
34
Q2 - 7:35SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P2.T4)25
34
Q2 - 7:35SASGinobili OFF.Foul (P2)25
34
Q2 - 7:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
34
Q2 - 7:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
33
Q2 - 7:51SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.T4)25
32
Q2 - 7:59SASBosh STEAL (1 STL)25
32
Q2 - 8:12MIAWade Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T5)25
32
Q2 - 8:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
32
Q2 - 8:23SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
32
Q2 - 8:35MIABibby P.FOUL (P2.T2)25
32
Q2 - 8:46MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)25
32
Q2 - 8:46SASSUB: McDyess FOR Bonner25
31
Q2 - 8:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)25
31
Q2 - 8:46SASBlair S.FOUL (P2.T3)25
30
Q2 - 8:59SASGinobili 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
30
Q2 - 9:15MIASUB: Wade FOR James23
30
Q2 - 9:15SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)23
30
Q2 - 9:18MIABosh 2' Layup (10 PTS) (James 1 AST)23
30
Q2 - 9:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
28
Q2 - 9:31SASMISS Ginobili 20' Fadeaway Jumper23
28
Q2 - 9:40SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
28
Q2 - 9:41MIAMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
28
Q2 - 9:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
28
Q2 - 9:49SASMISS Blair 2' Layup23
28
Q2 - 9:57MIABibby P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
28
Q2 - 10:03SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
28
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot23
28
Q2 - 10:15MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
28
Q2 - 10:16SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
28
Q2 - 10:33MIAAnthony 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)23
28
Q2 - 10:51SASBlair 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)23
26
Q2 - 10:52SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
26
Q2 - 10:53SASMISS Bonner 12' Floating Jump Shot21
26
Q2 - 11:12MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
26
Q2 - 11:20SASBonner P.FOUL (P2.T2)21
24
Q2 - 11:37SASBlair 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)21
24
Q2 - 11:48MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
24
Q2 - 11:48MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
23
Q2 - 11:48SASBonner S.FOUL (P1.T1)19
22
Q2 - 12:0019
22
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
22
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22
Q1 - 0:03.0SASMISS Blair 2' Hook Shot19
22
Q1 - 0:10.0SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Jefferson19
22
Q1 - 0:10.0MIASUB: Wade FOR James19
22
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T2)19
22
Q1 - 0:25.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
22
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
22
Q1 - 0:45.0SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)19
22
Q1 - 1:02MIAMiller 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)16
22
Q1 - 1:19MIAHEAT Rebound16
20
Q1 - 1:20SASMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot16
20
Q1 - 1:46SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
20
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot16
20
Q1 - 1:59MIASUB: Miller FOR Wade16
20
Q1 - 1:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
20
Q1 - 1:59SASBlair L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)16
20
Q1 - 1:59MIAHEAT Rebound16
20
Q1 - 2:00SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot16
20
Q1 - 2:22MIAJames 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 2:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
18
Q1 - 2:45SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
18
Q1 - 3:05MIAChalmers 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
18
Q1 - 3:07SASWade STEAL (1 STL)16
16
Q1 - 3:09MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)16
16
Q1 - 3:26SASSUB: Blair FOR Duncan16
16
Q1 - 3:26MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh16
16
Q1 - 3:26SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)16
16
Q1 - 3:26MIAHEAT Rebound16
16
Q1 - 3:27SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
16
Q1 - 3:47MIAWade 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)16
16
Q1 - 3:58SASJefferson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)16
14
Q1 - 4:19SASSUB: Bonner FOR Ginobili16
14
Q1 - 4:19SASSUB: Hill FOR McDyess16
14
Q1 - 4:19SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)16
14
Q1 - 4:22MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
14
Q1 - 4:39SASMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)16
11
Q1 - 4:53MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
11
Q1 - 5:06SASParker 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)14
9
Q1 - 5:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
9
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot12
9
Q1 - 5:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
9
Q1 - 5:32SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Bank Shot12
9
Q1 - 5:55MIASUB: Magloire FOR Dampier12
9
Q1 - 5:55SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
9
Q1 - 5:58MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
9
Q1 - 6:09MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
7
Q1 - 6:10SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup12
7
Q1 - 6:16SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
7
Q1 - 6:17MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup12
7
Q1 - 6:33SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)12
7
Q1 - 6:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
7
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 210
7
Q1 - 6:52MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
7
Q1 - 6:52SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
6
Q1 - 7:05SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)10
6
Q1 - 7:24MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
6
Q1 - 7:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
6
Q1 - 7:30SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 7:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
6
Q1 - 7:33SASMISS Duncan 4' Dunk8
6
Q1 - 7:49SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
6
Q1 - 7:50MIAMISS James 3' Layup8
6
Q1 - 7:57SASMcDyess L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)8
6
Q1 - 7:57MIAHEAT Rebound8
6
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 8:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
6
Q1 - 8:09SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 8:27MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
6
Q1 - 8:43SASMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)8
4
Q1 - 9:00MIABosh 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
4
Q1 - 9:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
2
Q1 - 9:09SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 9:20MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
2
Q1 - 9:37SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)6
2
Q1 - 9:45MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 9:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 9:46SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:10SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:23MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:36SASParker 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:42SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:43MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:59MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:00SASMISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:18MIADampier 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:20MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
0
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:44SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Dampier vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.87 43.5%
MIA
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
25
52%
MIA
18
25
72%
Midrange
SAS
12
34
35%
MIA
21
44
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
12
19
63%
MIA
23
24
96%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1847%9.0 / 19
T. Duncan1454%7.0 / 13
M. Ginobili1255%6.0 / 11
A. McDyess1063%5.0 / 8
G. Neal829%4.0 / 14
R. Jefferson536%2.5 / 7
D. Blair450%2.0 / 4
S. Novak3150%1.5 / 1
G. Hill217%1.0 / 6
J. Anderson225%1.0 / 4
T. Splitter2100%1.0 / 1
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh3071%15.0 / 21
D. Wade2956%14.5 / 26
L. James2150%10.5 / 21
M. Chalmers11110%5.5 / 5
J. Magloire467%2.0 / 3
J. Anthony467%2.0 / 3
J. Howard467%2.0 / 3
J. Jones3150%1.5 / 1
E. Dampier2100%1.0 / 1
M. Miller233%1.0 / 3
M. Bibby0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
82
+10
-11
92
MIA
83
+10
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.87 43.5%
MIA
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
111.4
SAS 86.0
MIA 117.0 +31.0
Pace
92.7
91.3
SAS 96.1 +5.1
MIA 91.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.2
SAS 15.0 −0.8
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
52.4%
SAS 42.0%
MIA 55.8% +13.8%
TO %
13.8%
14.4%
SAS 12.7%
MIA 11.0% −1.7%
ORB %
25.0%
25.2%
SAS 15.2%
MIA 23.5% +8.3%
FTrt
29.9
36.3
SAS 23.5
MIA 30.8 +7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
54.1%
SAS 54.8%
MIA 59.5% +4.7%
STL %
7.9%
7.3%
SAS 5.4%
MIA 9.6% +4.2%
BLK %
6.7%
8.5%
SAS 2.9%
MIA 8.5% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
55.7%
SAS 43.5%
MIA 59.1% +15.6%
Rim FG%
60.3%
64.7%
SAS 52.0%
MIA 72.0% +20.0%
Mid FG%
41.6%
42.2%
SAS 35.3%
MIA 47.7% +12.4%
3P %
39.7%
37.0%
SAS 27.3%
MIA 33.3% +6.0%
FT %
76.7%
76.9%
SAS 63.2%
MIA 95.8% +32.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
31.6%
SAS 30.9%
MIA 32.1% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
39.7%
44.9%
SAS 42.0% −14.4%
MIA 56.4%
3P Att. %
26.1%
23.5%
SAS 27.2% +15.6%
MIA 11.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points80110
Rebounds3347
Assists1725
Steals59
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)39 (5)
Field Goals31-8142-78
At-the-Rim FG13-2518-25
Midrange FG12-3421-44
2-Point FG25-5939-69
3-Point FG6-223-9
Free Throws12-1923-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
32.6
18
47%
1
5
0
0
1
3
0
1
2-5
40%
5-14
36%
2-2
100%
G · 6'6" 205 · 34
30.8
12
55%
6
5
1
1
3
3
1
5
4-6
67%
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 35
30.5
14
54%
6
1
1
0
1
4
2
4
2-4
50%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 233 · 31
28.6
5
36%
5
1
0
0
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
C · 6'9" 245 · 37
28.3
10
63%
5
1
1
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
29.8
2
17%
0
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
19.3
8
29%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-6
0%
2-7
29%
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22
16.4
4
50%
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 225 · 28
7.2
3
150%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22
5.1
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26
3.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
44%
33
17
5
2
11
0
7
26
12-19
63%
25-59
42%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.