Final Win Prob. pScore
1045%96
114
1455%98
103
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
121.394100.9
Hornets
112.09286.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HornetsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN114
103
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHPaul 3' Driving Layup (27 PTS)114
103
Q4 - 0:13.0DENFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)114
101
Q4 - 0:13.0DENNuggets Rebound113
101
Q4 - 0:13.0DENMISS Felton Free Throw 1 of 2113
101
Q4 - 0:13.0NOHBelinelli P.FOUL (P1.PN)113
101
Q4 - 0:16.0NOHGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)113
101
Q4 - 0:20.0DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Felton 12 AST)113
98
Q4 - 0:41.0NOHPaul 10' Floating Jump Shot (25 PTS)110
98
Q4 - 0:51.0DENFelton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)110
96
Q4 - 1:11DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)107
96
Q4 - 1:12NOHMISS Belinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
96
Q4 - 1:25NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)107
96
Q4 - 1:26DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot107
96
Q4 - 1:47DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)107
96
Q4 - 1:47NOHPaul L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)107
96
Q4 - 1:47DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)107
96
Q4 - 1:49NOHMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
96
Q4 - 1:55DENOkafor STEAL (2 STL)107
96
Q4 - 2:22NOHGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)107
96
Q4 - 2:29NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)107
93
Q4 - 2:30DENMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
93
Q4 - 2:51DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)107
93
Q4 - 2:54NOHMISS Green 13' Jump Shot107
93
Q4 - 3:04NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)107
93
Q4 - 3:05DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
93
Q4 - 3:27NOHPaul 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS)107
93
Q4 - 3:35DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#21)107
91
Q4 - 3:35DENNuggets Rebound107
91
Q4 - 3:36DENMISS Felton 3PT Jump Shot107
91
Q4 - 3:58DENNene REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)107
91
Q4 - 4:00DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
91
Q4 - 4:09NOHSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)107
91
Q4 - 4:11NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)107
91
Q4 - 4:13NOHMISS Green 4' Jump Shot107
91
Q4 - 4:44DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Felton 11 AST)107
91
Q4 - 4:56NOHPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)104
91
Q4 - 5:06DENSUB: Martin FOR Andersen104
91
Q4 - 5:06NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)104
91
Q4 - 5:06DENAndersen P.FOUL (P4.T4)104
91
Q4 - 5:15NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)104
91
Q4 - 5:16DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
91
Q4 - 5:29NOHSmith 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)104
91
Q4 - 5:36NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)104
89
Q4 - 5:38NOHMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot104
89
Q4 - 5:51DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)104
89
Q4 - 6:04NOHSmith 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)101
89
Q4 - 6:14NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)101
87
Q4 - 6:15NOHMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
87
Q4 - 6:26DENNene Foul Turnover (P3.T20)101
87
Q4 - 6:26DENNene OFF.Foul (P3)101
87
Q4 - 6:34NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Jack101
87
Q4 - 6:34NOHGreen P.FOUL (P4.T2)101
87
Q4 - 6:51NOHGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)101
87
Q4 - 7:06DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Felton 10 AST)101
84
Q4 - 7:17DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)98
84
Q4 - 7:18NOHMISS Green 2' Layup98
84
Q4 - 7:26NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)98
84
Q4 - 7:29NOHMISS Jack 17' Jump Shot98
84
Q4 - 7:43DENSUB: Nene FOR Harrington98
84
Q4 - 7:43NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Landry98
84
Q4 - 7:43DENAndersen L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)98
84
Q4 - 7:43NOHHORNETS Rebound98
84
Q4 - 7:43DENMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot98
84
Q4 - 8:08NOHSmith 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)98
84
Q4 - 8:31DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)98
82
Q4 - 8:31DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)97
82
Q4 - 8:3196
82
Q4 - 8:31NOHGreen S.FOUL (P3.T1)96
82
Q4 - 8:32NOHGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)96
82
Q4 - 8:46NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
82
Q4 - 8:47DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot96
82
Q4 - 9:15NOHGreen 19' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)96
82
Q4 - 9:37DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P4.T19)96
80
Q4 - 9:37DENHarrington OFF.Foul (P1)96
80
Q4 - 9:45NOHLandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)96
80
Q4 - 9:45NOHHORNETS Rebound96
79
Q4 - 9:45NOHMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 296
79
Q4 - 9:45DENSmith S.FOUL (P2.T2)96
79
Q4 - 9:57NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)96
79
Q4 - 9:59NOHMISS Jack 3PT Jump Shot96
79
Q4 - 10:13DENLawson Personal Block Foul (P2.T1)96
79
Q4 - 10:31DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)96
79
Q4 - 10:46DENSUB: Lawson FOR Chandler94
79
Q4 - 10:46NOHSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)94
79
Q4 - 10:59NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
79
Q4 - 11:00DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup94
79
Q4 - 11:12NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)94
79
Q4 - 11:12NOHLandry 3' Putback Layup (4 PTS)94
79
Q4 - 11:14NOHMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot94
77
Q4 - 11:20DENJack STEAL (1 STL)94
77
Q4 - 11:39NOHSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)94
77
Q4 - 11:51DENPaul STEAL (7 STL)94
75
Q4 - 12:0094
75
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN94
75
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound94
75
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Felton 58' 3PT Jump Shot94
75
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)94
75
Q3 - 0:20.0DENFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)94
73
Q3 - 0:20.0DENNuggets Rebound93
73
Q3 - 0:20.0DENMISS Felton Free Throw 1 of 293
73
Q3 - 0:20.0NOHLandry S.FOUL (P3.T2)93
73
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHPaul Free Throw 3 of 3 (19 PTS)93
73
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)93
72
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHHORNETS Rebound93
71
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 393
71
Q3 - 0:27.0DENFelton S.FOUL (P2.PN)93
71
Q3 - 0:29.0NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor93
71
Q3 - 0:29.0NOHSUB: Landry FOR West93
71
Q3 - 0:29.0DENMartin P.FOUL (P3.T3)93
71
Q3 - 0:33.0DENMartin 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Felton 9 AST)93
71
Q3 - 0:44.0NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)91
71
Q3 - 0:52.0DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Felton 8 AST)91
68
Q3 - 1:08DENSmith Violation:Defensive Goaltending88
68
Q3 - 1:08NOHJack 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS)88
68
Q3 - 1:39DENFelton 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)88
66
Q3 - 1:54DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
66
Q3 - 1:55NOHMISS Jack 19' Jump Shot86
66
Q3 - 2:14DENChandler 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
66
Q3 - 2:36DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)84
66
Q3 - 2:37NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot84
66
Q3 - 2:51DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)84
66
Q3 - 2:51DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)83
66
Q3 - 2:51DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)82
66
Q3 - 2:51NOHWest S.FOUL (P1.T1)82
66
Q3 - 3:06DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
66
Q3 - 3:07NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 182
66
Q3 - 3:07DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.T2)82
66
Q3 - 3:07NOHPaul 2' Layup (14 PTS)82
66
Q3 - 3:19DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
64
Q3 - 3:19DENMartin 1' Putback Slam Dunk (8 PTS)82
64
Q3 - 3:20DENOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)80
64
Q3 - 3:40NOHJack 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (West 6 AST)80
64
Q3 - 3:51NOHSUB: Green FOR Ariza80
61
Q3 - 3:51DENSUB: Smith FOR Lawson80
61
Q3 - 3:51DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene80
61
Q3 - 3:51NOHPaul Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)80
61
Q3 - 3:51DENNuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Nene )80
60
Q3 - 4:09DENFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)80
60
Q3 - 4:16DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
60
Q3 - 4:17NOHMISS Paul 2' Layup77
60
Q3 - 4:33DENChandler 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)77
60
Q3 - 5:02NOHAriza 5' Driving Bank Shot (10 PTS)74
60
Q3 - 5:13NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
58
Q3 - 5:14DENMISS Martin 11' Jump Shot74
58
Q3 - 5:34NOHPaul 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)74
58
Q3 - 5:46DENPaul STEAL (6 STL)74
56
Q3 - 5:48DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
56
Q3 - 5:49NOHMISS Okafor 9' Jump Shot74
56
Q3 - 5:55NOHSUB: Jack FOR Belinelli74
56
Q3 - 5:55NOHHORNETS Rebound74
56
Q3 - 5:57NOHMISS West 21' Jump Shot74
56
Q3 - 6:04NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
56
Q3 - 6:05DENMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
56
Q3 - 6:10DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)74
56
Q3 - 6:11NOHMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Bank Shot74
56
Q3 - 6:29DENFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)74
56
Q3 - 6:40NOHBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)71
56
Q3 - 6:50NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
53
Q3 - 6:51DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Bank Shot71
53
Q3 - 7:04DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)71
53
Q3 - 7:06NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot71
53
Q3 - 7:22NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)71
53
Q3 - 7:22DENLawson 3' Layup (16 PTS)71
53
Q3 - 7:27DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)69
53
Q3 - 7:29NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
53
Q3 - 7:57DENMartin 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)69
53
Q3 - 8:15NOHAriza 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)67
53
Q3 - 8:29DENChandler 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)67
51
Q3 - 8:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)64
51
Q3 - 8:51DENMISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot64
51
Q3 - 9:00NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)64
51
Q3 - 9:26DENFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)64
49
Q3 - 9:33DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
49
Q3 - 9:36NOHMISS Ariza 3' Layup61
49
Q3 - 9:54DENLawson Foul Turnover (P4.T15)61
49
Q3 - 9:54DENLawson OFF.Foul (P1)61
49
Q3 - 10:12DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
49
Q3 - 10:13NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 161
49
Q3 - 10:13DENChandler S.FOUL (P2.T1)61
49
Q3 - 10:13NOHAriza 2' Layup (6 PTS) (West 5 AST)61
49
Q3 - 10:31DENChandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Felton 7 AST)61
47
Q3 - 10:56NOHOkafor 5' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (West 4 AST)58
47
Q3 - 11:07NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
45
Q3 - 11:08DENMISS Felton 21' Jump Shot58
45
Q3 - 11:14DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
45
Q3 - 11:15NOHMISS Belinelli 28' 3PT Jump Shot58
45
Q3 - 11:25NOHJump Ball Ariza vs. Martin: Tip to58
45
Q3 - 11:40DENFelton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)58
45
Q3 - 11:43NOHWest Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)58
45
Q3 - 12:0058
45
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH58
45
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN58
45
Q2 - 0:00.0DENLawson 29' 3PT Running Bank Shot (14 PTS)58
45
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHPaul Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)55
45
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHSUB: Jack FOR Green55
44
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)55
44
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHSUB: Smith FOR Landry55
43
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)55
43
Q2 - 0:04.0DENFelton S.FOUL (P1.T3)55
42
Q2 - 0:14.0DENGreen STEAL (1 STL)55
42
Q2 - 0:37.0NOHLandry 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)55
42
Q2 - 0:52.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)55
40
Q2 - 0:52.0NOHGreen Shooting Block Foul (P2.PN)54
40
Q2 - 0:52.0DENLawson 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
40
Q2 - 0:56.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
40
Q2 - 0:58.0NOHMISS Belinelli 9' Jump Shot52
40
Q2 - 1:09DENFelton Violation:Kicked Ball52
40
Q2 - 1:15NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
40
Q2 - 1:16DENMISS Nene 2' Layup52
40
Q2 - 1:26DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
40
Q2 - 1:27DENMISS Chandler 16' Jump Shot52
40
Q2 - 1:46DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
40
Q2 - 1:47NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot52
40
Q2 - 2:09DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)52
40
Q2 - 2:09NOHGreen S.FOUL (P1.PN)51
40
Q2 - 2:09DENLawson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)51
40
Q2 - 2:12NOHBelinelli Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)49
40
Q2 - 2:27NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
40
Q2 - 2:29DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 249
40
Q2 - 2:29DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
40
Q2 - 2:29DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)48
40
Q2 - 2:29NOHLandry S.FOUL (P2.PN)48
40
Q2 - 2:35DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
40
Q2 - 2:36NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
40
Q2 - 2:40NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
40
Q2 - 2:42NOHMISS Green 3' Jump Shot48
40
Q2 - 3:03DENMartin Dunk (4 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)48
40
Q2 - 3:22NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
40
Q2 - 3:32DENPaul STEAL (5 STL)46
37
Q2 - 3:34DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)46
37
Q2 - 3:36DENWest BLOCK (2 BLK)46
37
Q2 - 3:48NOHBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 3 AST)46
37
Q2 - 3:56NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Ariza46
34
Q2 - 3:56NOHHORNETS Rebound46
34
Q2 - 3:56NOHMISS West 4' Jump Shot46
34
Q2 - 4:10DENLawson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
34
Q2 - 4:17DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
34
Q2 - 4:19NOHMISS Green 17' Jump Shot44
34
Q2 - 4:25DENNene P.FOUL (P2.T2)44
34
Q2 - 4:33NOHPaul Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)44
34
Q2 - 4:33DENNuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Chandler )44
33
Q2 - 4:45DENMartin 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)44
33
Q2 - 4:52NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)42
33
Q2 - 5:05DENNene 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)42
33
Q2 - 5:15DENSUB: Lawson FOR Smith40
33
Q2 - 5:15DENSUB: Martin FOR Andersen40
33
Q2 - 5:15NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)40
33
Q2 - 5:39DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
33
Q2 - 5:39DENNuggets Rebound39
33
Q2 - 5:39DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 239
33
Q2 - 5:39NOHSUB: Landry FOR Okafor39
33
Q2 - 5:3939
33
Q2 - 5:39NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P3.T4)39
33
Q2 - 5:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
33
Q2 - 5:44NOHMISS Green 16' Jump Shot39
33
Q2 - 5:50NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
33
Q2 - 5:52DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot39
33
Q2 - 5:56DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
33
Q2 - 5:58NOHMISS Ariza 2' Layup39
33
Q2 - 6:17DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)39
33
Q2 - 6:30NOHGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)39
33
Q2 - 6:30NOHSUB: Paul FOR Jack39
32
Q2 - 6:30DENAndersen S.FOUL (P2.T1)39
32
Q2 - 6:30NOHGreen 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (West 2 AST)39
32
Q2 - 6:45DENNene 1' Putback Slam Dunk (7 PTS)39
30
Q2 - 6:47DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
30
Q2 - 6:48DENMISS Chandler 5' Jump Shot37
30
Q2 - 6:58NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Landry37
30
Q2 - 6:58DENSUB: Nene FOR Harrington37
30
Q2 - 6:58NOHAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)37
30
Q2 - 7:19DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
30
Q2 - 7:19DENNuggets Rebound36
30
Q2 - 7:19DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 236
30
Q2 - 7:19NOHAriza S.FOUL (P2.T3)36
30
Q2 - 7:27NOHAriza L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)36
30
Q2 - 7:27DENNuggets Rebound36
30
Q2 - 7:27DENMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot36
30
Q2 - 7:34NOHSUB: West FOR Gray36
30
Q2 - 7:34NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Pondexter36
30
Q2 - 7:48DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
30
Q2 - 7:49NOHMISS Pondexter 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
30
Q2 - 8:09DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)36
30
Q2 - 8:09NOHPondexter S.FOUL (P1.T1)35
30
Q2 - 8:09DENAndersen 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)35
30
Q2 - 8:26NOHPondexter 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)33
30
Q2 - 8:32NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
27
Q2 - 8:41DENAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)33
27
Q2 - 8:57NOHGray 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)31
27
Q2 - 8:58NOHGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
25
Q2 - 8:59NOHMISS Green 6' Jump Shot31
25
Q2 - 9:24DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)31
25
Q2 - 9:37NOHGreen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pondexter 1 AST)28
25
Q2 - 9:54DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)28
23
Q2 - 10:02DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
23
Q2 - 10:03NOHMISS Pondexter 4' Jump Shot25
23
Q2 - 10:24DENAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)25
23
Q2 - 10:31DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
23
Q2 - 10:32NOHMISS Green 19' Jump Shot23
23
Q2 - 10:45NOHGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
23
Q2 - 10:46DENMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot23
23
Q2 - 11:12NOHGreen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
23
Q2 - 11:21NOHGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
21
Q2 - 11:23DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
21
Q2 - 11:39NOHJack Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)23
21
Q2 - 12:0023
21
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN23
21
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound23
21
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 48' 3PT Jump Shot23
21
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHJack 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
21
Q1 - 0:10.0DENFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)23
19
Q1 - 0:32.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
19
Q1 - 0:32.0NOHSUB: Pondexter FOR Paul20
18
Q1 - 0:32.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
18
Q1 - 0:32.0DENAndersen S.FOUL (P1.PN)20
17
Q1 - 0:53.0DENLawson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)20
17
Q1 - 0:59.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
17
Q1 - 1:01DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot20
17
Q1 - 1:12DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
17
Q1 - 1:13NOHMISS Paul 2' Layup20
17
Q1 - 1:17DENPaul STEAL (4 STL)20
17
Q1 - 1:32DENNuggets Rebound20
17
Q1 - 1:32NOHSUB: Green FOR Ariza20
17
Q1 - 1:32NOHMISS West 2' Layup20
17
Q1 - 1:52DENLawson 2' Layup (2 PTS)20
17
Q1 - 1:57NOHJack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)18
17
Q1 - 2:11DENFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)18
17
Q1 - 2:19NOHJack 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)15
17
Q1 - 2:27DENPaul STEAL (3 STL)15
15
Q1 - 2:37DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
15
Q1 - 2:39NOHMISS Jack 23' Jump Shot15
15
Q1 - 2:42DENPaul STEAL (2 STL)15
15
Q1 - 2:45NOHAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)15
15
Q1 - 2:59NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
15
Q1 - 3:00DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
15
Q1 - 3:00DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
15
Q1 - 3:00DENSUB: Smith FOR Chandler13
15
Q1 - 3:00DENSUB: Harrington FOR Nene13
15
Q1 - 3:00NOHPaul S.FOUL (P1.T4)13
15
Q1 - 3:18DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
15
Q1 - 3:19NOHMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot13
15
Q1 - 3:25DENPaul STEAL (1 STL)13
15
Q1 - 3:41DENAndersen Violation:Defensive Goaltending13
15
Q1 - 3:41NOHWest 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)13
15
Q1 - 3:46NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
13
Q1 - 3:47NOHMISS Landry 15' Jump Shot13
13
Q1 - 4:08DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
13
Q1 - 4:08NOHLandry S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
13
Q1 - 4:08DENNene 1' Layup (4 PTS)12
13
Q1 - 4:08DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
13
Q1 - 4:10DENWest BLOCK (1 BLK)10
13
Q1 - 4:22NOHSUB: Landry FOR Okafor10
13
Q1 - 4:22NOHOkafor L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)10
13
Q1 - 4:22DENNuggets Rebound10
13
Q1 - 4:23NOHMISS Ariza 15' Jump Shot10
13
Q1 - 4:41DENChandler 8' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
13
Q1 - 4:55NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)8
13
Q1 - 4:59NOHNuggets Violation: Delay of game Violation8
13
Q1 - 4:59NOHSUB: Jack FOR Belinelli8
13
Q1 - 4:59DENSUB: Andersen FOR Martin8
13
Q1 - 4:59DENMartin Personal Block Foul (P2.T4)8
13
Q1 - 5:18DENNene Dunk (2 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)8
13
Q1 - 5:26DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13
Q1 - 5:27NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
13
Q1 - 5:39DENMartin P.FOUL (P1.T3)6
13
Q1 - 5:59DENChandler 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)6
13
Q1 - 6:18NOHAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
13
Q1 - 6:18NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
12
Q1 - 6:18DENSUB: Felton FOR Forbes4
11
Q1 - 6:18DENChandler S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
11
Q1 - 6:24DENOkafor STEAL (1 STL)4
11
Q1 - 6:28DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
11
Q1 - 6:29NOHMISS West 2' Layup4
11
Q1 - 6:35NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11
Q1 - 6:36DENMISS Nene 13' Jump Shot4
11
Q1 - 6:41DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
11
Q1 - 6:44NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
11
Q1 - 6:50DENWest STEAL (1 STL)4
11
Q1 - 6:57NOHWest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
11
Q1 - 7:13DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
11
Q1 - 7:13DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
11
Q1 - 7:13NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
11
Q1 - 7:15DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
11
Q1 - 7:16DENMISS Lawson 3' Jump Shot2
11
Q1 - 7:22DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
11
Q1 - 7:23DENMISS Chandler 16' Jump Shot2
11
Q1 - 7:27DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
11
Q1 - 7:28NOHMISS Ariza 3' Jump Shot2
11
Q1 - 7:35DENAriza STEAL (1 STL)2
11
Q1 - 7:36DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11
Q1 - 7:37NOHMISS Paul 14' Jump Shot2
11
Q1 - 7:49DENNene P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
11
Q1 - 8:05DENForbes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)2
11
Q1 - 8:09DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)2
11
Q1 - 8:16NOHOkafor 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
11
Q1 - 8:36NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
9
Q1 - 8:39NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot2
9
Q1 - 8:50NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
9
Q1 - 8:52DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
9
Q1 - 9:03NOHAriza 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)2
9
Q1 - 9:19NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7
Q1 - 9:20DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
7
Q1 - 9:32NOHOkafor 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)2
7
Q1 - 9:55DENForbes 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)2
5
Q1 - 9:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5
Q1 - 10:00NOHMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 10:08NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5
Q1 - 10:09DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 10:27NOHAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
5
Q1 - 10:42NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5
Q1 - 10:43DENMISS Chandler 16' Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 10:53NOHWest 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)0
5
Q1 - 11:11NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
3
Q1 - 11:12DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Bank Shot0
3
Q1 - 11:32NOHBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)0
3
Q1 - 11:43DENForbes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Nene: Tip to Lawson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENNOH
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.30 64.8%
NOH
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
25
72%
NOH
16
29
55%
Midrange
DEN
5
21
24%
NOH
14
34
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
17
25.5
29
59%
88%
NOH
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
Free Throws
DEN
17
22
77%
NOH
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson2377%11.5 / 15
R. Felton2279%11.0 / 14
W. Chandler2170%10.5 / 15
J. Smith1864%9.0 / 14
K. Martin1056%5.0 / 9
Nene964%4.5 / 7
C. Andersen9113%4.5 / 4
G. Forbes2100%1.0 / 1
A. Harrington0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2775%13.5 / 18
W. Green1856%9.0 / 16
T. Ariza1050%5.0 / 10
M. Belinelli945%4.5 / 10
J. Jack956%4.5 / 8
J. Smith867%4.0 / 6
D. West630%3.0 / 10
E. Okafor675%3.0 / 4
C. Landry563%2.5 / 4
Q. Pondexter350%1.5 / 3
A. Gray2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
73
+14
-21
87
NOH
78
+12
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.30 64.8%
NOH
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
106.0
DEN 121.3 +9.3
NOH 112.0
Pace
95.2
88.9
DEN 100.9 +14.7
NOH 86.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
16.2
DEN 14.3 −2.4
NOH 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.3%
DEN 64.7% +11.8%
NOH 52.9%
TO %
14.5%
13.6%
DEN 20.6%
NOH 14.0% −6.6%
ORB %
23.8%
25.1%
DEN 32.3% +9.0%
NOH 23.3%
FTrt
36.7
29.6
DEN 29.3 +9.3
NOH 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
57.4%
DEN 72.5% +17.5%
NOH 55.0%
STL %
7.7%
8.5%
DEN 9.6%
NOH 14.1% +4.5%
BLK %
6.8%
7.6%
DEN 7.9% +1.4%
NOH 6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
52.0%
DEN 64.8% +8.8%
NOH 56.0%
Rim FG%
58.5%
57.5%
DEN 72.0% +16.8%
NOH 55.2%
Mid FG%
40.0%
42.1%
DEN 23.8%
NOH 41.2% +17.4%
3P %
38.8%
36.0%
DEN 58.6% +13.1%
NOH 45.5%
FT %
76.6%
76.5%
DEN 77.3% +0.8%
NOH 76.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
32.2%
DEN 33.3%
NOH 34.1% +0.8%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
48.6%
DEN 28.0% −12.0%
NOH 40.0%
3P Att. %
25.8%
19.2%
DEN 38.7% +12.8%
NOH 25.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENNOH
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points114103
Rebounds4331
Assists2922
Steals913
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)21 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)21 (1)
Field Goals40-7540-85
At-the-Rim FG18-2516-29
Midrange FG5-2114-34
2-Point FG23-4630-63
3-Point FG17-2910-22
Free Throws17-2213-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
36.2
23
77%
2
10
2
0
4
2
1
1
5-6
83%
6-9
67%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
34.2
21
70%
7
2
0
1
2
2
0
7
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
4-5
80%
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
31.8
9
64%
13
1
0
1
4
3
6
7
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 33
29.4
10
56%
9
4
4
1
1
3
2
7
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 220 · 26
5.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 205 · 27
42.3
22
79%
3
12
1
0
1
2
0
3
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
6-9
67%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26
25.6
18
64%
3
0
2
0
2
2
0
3
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
5-8
63%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
22.5
9
113%
4
0
0
2
0
4
1
3
3-3
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
12.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
4
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 275 · 25
C · 7'0" 265 · 22
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
#6 · G · 6'5" 210 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
65%
43
29
9
5
21
0
10
33
17-22
77%
23-46
50%
17-29
59%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.