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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 14, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Warriors49%102119
28Kings51%103129
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.3
29.1
31.0
18
81%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
6-7
86%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
2-4
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.4
27.6
35.4
15
41%
1
9
0
2
0
2
0
1
3-5
60%
6-13
7-14
46%
49%
0-3
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.9
25.3
34.5
8
50%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
7-13
50%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.0
23.9
34.3
19
68%
3
1
1
2
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
5-9
33%
51%
5-8
63%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.9
15.2
17.3
0
0%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
57%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
29.0
15.1
16
80%
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
4-6
67%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 26.1
24.1
16.4
0
0%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.3
21.5
13.5
23
87%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
9-12
75%
7-8
2-4
88%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.5
20.4
10.3
10
48%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
5-6
1-2
83%
51%
0-4
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
13.0
15.1
10
87%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.3
11.0
12.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-4
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 25.1
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.8
41.5
36.0
42
80%
3
1
4
1
0
0
0
3
12-14
86%
9-13
6-12
69%
49%
4-7
57%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.8
38.8
24.8
27
66%
16
0
0
0
2
5
5
11
7-10
70%
10-16
4-8
63%
52%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.7
31.6
14.0
9
51%
3
9
0
0
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.2
30.8
26.3
13
50%
4
6
2
1
2
3
2
2
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
1-6
17%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.6
25.7
32.9
15
61%
9
4
3
1
0
3
2
7
5-5
100%
5-10
7-14
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.6
29.1
26.2
8
57%
6
2
0
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.3
22.9
21.1
10
83%
4
5
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.7
18.2
20.1
5
83%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.3
1.4
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.3
18.9
1
2-5
48%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
15.1
0
2-5
51%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.1
4.8
0
1-1
49%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.5
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.2
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.