Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 19, 2011

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	8	Nuggets	32%	96	98
	2	Heat	68%	102	103

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Nuggets	107.7	91	105.9
Heat	114.4	90	78.9

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+11

-9

MIA

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.05 52.7%

MIA

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIA
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIA		98 0%	103 100%
Q4 - 0:00.0	DEN	Lawson 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)	98 0.1%	103 99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	96 0.1%	103 99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	96 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0	DEN	Martin P.FOUL (P3.PN)	96	101
Q4 - 0:13.0	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)	96 0.3%	101 99.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)	95 0.2%	101 99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0	MIA	James S.FOUL (P3.PN)	94	101
Q4 - 0:21.0	DEN	SUB: Gallinari FOR Nene	94	101
Q4 - 0:21.0	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)	94	101
Q4 - 0:21.0	MIA	James 9' Running Bank Hook Shot (33 PTS)	94 0.2%	101 99.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0	DEN	Chandler 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	94 1.3%	99 98.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0	MIA	James Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)	92 1.0%	99 99.0%
Q4 - 1:08	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)	92	99
Q4 - 1:08	DEN	Smith 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS)	92 0.7%	99 99.3%
Q4 - 1:14	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	90 0.5%	99 99.5%
Q4 - 1:15	DEN	MISS Chandler 14' Jump Shot	90 0.3%	99 99.7%
Q4 - 1:27	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	90 0.7%	99 99.3%
Q4 - 1:28	MIA	MISS Bosh 15' Fadeaway Jumper	90 0.6%	99 99.4%
Q4 - 1:44	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	90 0.6%	99 99.4%
Q4 - 1:45	DEN	MISS Martin 2' Tip Shot	90 0.7%	99 99.3%
Q4 - 1:46	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	90 1.0%	99 99.0%
Q4 - 1:47	DEN	MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot	90 0.7%	99 99.3%
Q4 - 1:59	MIA	Jump Ball Anthony vs. Chandler: Tip to Smith	90	99
Q4 - 2:08	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	90 1.2%	99 98.8%
Q4 - 2:09	MIA	MISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot	90 0.9%	99 99.1%
Q4 - 2:35	DEN	Smith 21' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)	90 0.6%	99 99.4%
Q4 - 2:56	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	88	99
Q4 - 2:56	MIA	Jump Ball Anthony vs. Nene: Tip to Martin	88 0.7%	99 99.3%
Q4 - 2:56	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)	88	99
Q4 - 2:56	MIA	MISS James 20' Jump Shot	88 0.6%	99 99.4%
Q4 - 3:08	MIA	HEAT Rebound	88 0.4%	99 99.6%
Q4 - 3:09	MIA	MISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot	88 0.5%	99 99.5%
Q4 - 3:23	DEN	Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)	88 0.4%	99 99.6%
Q4 - 3:36	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	85 0.5%	99 99.5%
Q4 - 3:37	MIA	MISS Wade Free Throw 3 of 3	85 0.4%	99 99.6%
Q4 - 3:37	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 3 (32 PTS)	85 0.3%	99 99.7%
Q4 - 3:37	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 3 (31 PTS)	85 0.4%	98 99.6%
Q4 - 3:37	DEN	Smith S.FOUL (P1.PN)	85	97
Q4 - 4:00	DEN	Smith 17' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)	85 0.6%	97 99.4%
Q4 - 4:14	MIA	Wade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (30 PTS)	83 0.4%	97 99.6%
Q4 - 4:37	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	83 0.5%	95 99.5%
Q4 - 4:37	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	82 0.5%	95 99.5%
Q4 - 4:37	MIA	James S.FOUL (P2.PN)	81	95
Q4 - 4:51	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	81 0.4%	95 99.6%
Q4 - 4:52	MIA	MISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2	81 0.4%	95 99.6%
Q4 - 4:52	MIA	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	81 0.3%	95 99.7%
Q4 - 4:52	DEN	Martin S.FOUL (P2.PN)	81	94
Q4 - 5:10	DEN	Bibby STEAL (1 STL)	81 0.7%	94 99.3%
Q4 - 5:27	DEN	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	81 1.0%	94 99.0%
Q4 - 5:28	MIA	MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot	81 0.9%	94 99.1%
Q4 - 5:46	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	81 0.7%	94 99.3%
Q4 - 5:46	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	80	94
Q4 - 5:46	DEN	MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2	80 0.6%	94 99.4%
Q4 - 5:46	MIA	Anthony P.FOUL (P4.PN)	80	94
Q4 - 5:52	DEN	SUB: Smith FOR Gallinari	80	94
Q4 - 5:52	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)	80	94
Q4 - 5:59	MIA	Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)	80 0.7%	94 99.3%
Q4 - 6:18	MIA	HEAT Rebound	80 1.9%	91 98.1%
Q4 - 6:19	DEN	MISS Nene 15' Jump Shot	80 2.1%	91 97.9%
Q4 - 6:45	MIA	James Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)	80 2.6%	91 97.4%
Q4 - 6:45	MIA	James Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)	80 2.8%	90 97.2%
Q4 - 6:45	DEN	Nene S.FOUL (P4.T4)	80	89
Q4 - 6:56	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	80 3.5%	89 96.5%
Q4 - 6:57	DEN	MISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot	80 3.8%	89 96.2%
Q4 - 7:13	MIA	James 1' Dunk (29 PTS) (Bosh 6 AST)	80 5.7%	89 94.3%
Q4 - 7:17	DEN	Wade STEAL (1 STL)	80 7.2%	87 92.8%
Q4 - 7:24	DEN	SUB: Nene FOR Andersen	80	87
Q4 - 7:25	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	80 9.5%	87 90.5%
Q4 - 7:26	DEN	Anthony BLOCK (4 BLK)	80 7.8%	87 92.2%
Q4 - 7:40	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)	80 9.4%	87 90.6%
Q4 - 7:40	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)	80 9.9%	86 90.1%
Q4 - 7:40	DEN	SUB: Martin FOR Forbes	80	85
Q4 - 7:40	DEN	Lawson S.FOUL (P1.T3)	80	85
Q4 - 7:43	DEN	James STEAL (2 STL)	80 11.9%	85 88.1%
Q4 - 7:53	DEN	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	80 15.4%	85 84.6%
Q4 - 7:54	MIA	MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot	80 14.2%	85 85.8%
Q4 - 8:04	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	80 13.2%	85 86.8%
Q4 - 8:05	DEN	MISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot	80 14.1%	85 85.9%
Q4 - 8:15	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	80 16.3%	85 83.7%
Q4 - 8:16	MIA	MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot	80 15.3%	85 84.7%
Q4 - 8:32	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	80 13.1%	85 86.9%
Q4 - 8:33	DEN	Bibby BLOCK (1 BLK)	80 14.0%	85 86.0%
Q4 - 8:38	MIA	Wade P.FOUL (P3.T4)	80	85
Q4 - 8:56	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	80 16.2%	85 83.8%
Q4 - 8:56	MIA	HEAT Rebound	80	84
Q4 - 8:56	MIA	MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2	80 16.8%	84 83.2%
Q4 - 8:56			80	84
Q4 - 8:56	DEN	Chandler S.FOUL (P4.T2)	80	84
Q4 - 9:16	DEN	Gallinari 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)	80 17.3%	84 82.7%
Q4 - 9:36	MIA	Wade 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS)	78 14.0%	84 86.0%
Q4 - 9:47	MIA	SUB: James FOR Miller	78	82
Q4 - 9:47	DEN	Chandler P.FOUL (P3.T1)	78	82
Q4 - 9:48	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	78 17.3%	82 82.7%
Q4 - 9:49	MIA	MISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper	78 19.7%	82 80.3%
Q4 - 10:09	DEN	Forbes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)	78 17.8%	82 82.2%
Q4 - 10:17	MIA	Wade P.FOUL (P2.T3)	75	82
Q4 - 10:28	MIA	Anthony L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)	75	82
Q4 - 10:28	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	75 12.1%	82 87.9%
Q4 - 10:29	DEN	Wade BLOCK (3 BLK)	75 10.5%	82 89.5%
Q4 - 10:32	MIA	Anthony Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)	75 12.1%	82 87.9%
Q4 - 10:49	DEN	Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)	75 9.8%	82 90.2%
Q4 - 11:00	DEN	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	72 6.5%	82 93.5%
Q4 - 11:01	MIA	MISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot	72 6.7%	82 93.3%
Q4 - 11:23	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	72 5.8%	82 94.2%
Q4 - 11:23	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	71	82
Q4 - 11:23	DEN	MISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2	71 5.7%	82 94.3%
Q4 - 11:23	MIA	Miller S.FOUL (P1.T1)	71	82
Q4 - 11:38	MIA	Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)	71 5.8%	82 94.2%
Q4 - 12:00			71	79
Q3 - 0:00.0	MIA		71 8.6%	79 91.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MIA	HEAT Rebound	71 8.6%	79 91.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MIA	MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot	71 9.9%	79 90.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	71 9.4%	79 90.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0	MIA	MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot	71 10.5%	79 89.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	71 9.3%	79 90.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0	MIA	SUB: Bibby FOR Jones	70	79
Q3 - 0:19.0	MIA	SUB: Wade FOR James	70	79
Q3 - 0:19.0	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	70 9.1%	79 90.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0	DEN	SUB: Chandler FOR Smith	69	79
Q3 - 0:19.0	MIA	Jones S.FOUL (P2.T4)	69	79
Q3 - 0:31.0	DEN	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	69 7.6%	79 92.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0	MIA	MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot	69 7.2%	79 92.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0	DEN	Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)	69 6.4%	79 93.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0	DEN	Lawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	66 4.2%	79 95.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0	MIA	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	66 4.0%	79 96.0%
Q3 - 1:08	MIA	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	66 3.9%	79 96.1%
Q3 - 1:09	DEN	MISS Lawson 3PT Jump Shot	66 4.1%	79 95.9%
Q3 - 1:14	DEN	Lawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	66 4.6%	79 95.4%
Q3 - 1:15	DEN	MISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot	66 4.1%	79 95.9%
Q3 - 1:31	MIA	James 1' Driving Dunk (27 PTS)	66 4.6%	79 95.4%
Q3 - 1:50	DEN	House STEAL (1 STL)	66 5.6%	77 94.4%
Q3 - 1:55	DEN	Lawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	66 6.6%	77 93.4%
Q3 - 1:56	MIA	MISS James 16' Jump Shot	66 6.3%	77 93.7%
Q3 - 2:13	MIA	House Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)	66 6.0%	77 94.0%
Q3 - 2:13	DEN	Nuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Martin )	66	76
Q3 - 2:26	MIA	Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	66 7.1%	76 92.9%
Q3 - 2:27	DEN	MISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot	66 7.5%	76 92.5%
Q3 - 2:43	MIA	James L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)	66	76
Q3 - 2:43	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	66 8.4%	76 91.6%
Q3 - 2:43	DEN	MISS Gallinari 21' Jump Shot	66 7.5%	76 92.5%
Q3 - 2:54	DEN	SUB: Andersen FOR Nene	66	76
Q3 - 2:54	MIA	SUB: Jones FOR Wade	66	76
Q3 - 2:54	MIA	Anthony P.FOUL (P2.T2)	66	76
Q3 - 3:05	MIA	James 2' Reverse Layup (25 PTS)	66 9.0%	76 91.0%
Q3 - 3:25	MIA	SUB: House FOR Bibby	66	74
Q3 - 3:25	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)	66 10.5%	74 89.5%
Q3 - 3:25	MIA	James T.FOUL (P0.T1)	65	74
Q3 - 3:27	DEN	Smith 5' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	65 8.9%	74 91.1%
Q3 - 3:33	MIA	James Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)	63 7.6%	74 92.4%
Q3 - 3:42	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	63 6.4%	74 93.6%
Q3 - 3:43	DEN	MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot	63 6.7%	74 93.3%
Q3 - 3:54	DEN	Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	63 7.6%	74 92.4%
Q3 - 3:55	MIA	MISS Wade 2' Driving Layup	63 7.2%	74 92.8%
Q3 - 4:08	MIA	SUB: Anthony FOR Bosh	63	74
Q3 - 4:08	MIA	SUB: Miller FOR Dampier	63	74
Q3 - 4:08	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)	63	74
Q3 - 4:08	DEN	Gallinari 2' Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)	63 6.6%	74 93.4%
Q3 - 4:11	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	61 5.8%	74 94.2%
Q3 - 4:12	MIA	MISS James 21' Jump Shot	61 5.4%	74 94.6%
Q3 - 4:26	DEN	Gallinari P.FOUL (P2.T2)	61	74
Q3 - 4:41	MIA	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	61 4.7%	74 95.3%
Q3 - 4:42	DEN	MISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 5.0%	74 95.0%
Q3 - 4:53	MIA	Wade 12' Jump Shot (21 PTS)	61 5.7%	74 94.3%
Q3 - 5:08	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	61 7.0%	72 93.0%
Q3 - 5:09	MIA	MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot	61 7.9%	72 92.1%
Q3 - 5:29	DEN	Nene 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)	61 7.0%	72 93.0%
Q3 - 5:45	MIA	Wade Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)	59 6.0%	72 94.0%
Q3 - 5:56	DEN	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	59 5.1%	72 94.9%
Q3 - 5:56	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	58	72
Q3 - 5:56	DEN	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2	58 4.9%	72 95.1%
Q3 - 5:56	MIA	Bosh S.FOUL (P3.T1)	58	72
Q3 - 5:58	MIA	Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)	58 5.1%	72 94.9%
Q3 - 6:16	DEN	Martin 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)	58 4.7%	72 95.3%
Q3 - 6:28	DEN	Lawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	56 4.1%	72 95.9%
Q3 - 6:29	MIA	MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot	56 3.9%	72 96.1%
Q3 - 6:49	MIA	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	56 3.4%	72 96.6%
Q3 - 6:50	DEN	MISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup	56 3.6%	72 96.4%
Q3 - 7:06	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)	56 4.4%	72 95.6%
Q3 - 7:06	DEN	SUB: Gallinari FOR Chandler	56	71
Q3 - 7:06	DEN	Chandler S.FOUL (P2.T1)	56	71
Q3 - 7:06	MIA	Bosh 9' Hook Shot (14 PTS)	56	71
Q3 - 7:27	DEN	Lawson 5' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)	56 5.8%	69 94.2%
Q3 - 7:44	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	54 5.1%	69 94.9%
Q3 - 7:45	MIA	MISS James 22' Jump Shot	54 4.8%	69 95.2%
Q3 - 7:51	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	54 4.3%	69 95.7%
Q3 - 7:52	DEN	MISS Smith 20' Fadeaway Jumper	54 4.5%	69 95.5%
Q3 - 8:12	MIA	James 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)	54 5.3%	69 94.7%
Q3 - 8:28	DEN	Smith 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	54 6.0%	67 94.0%
Q3 - 8:44	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)	52	67
Q3 - 8:45	MIA	Wade 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	52 5.3%	67 94.7%
Q3 - 8:49	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	52 6.0%	65 94.0%
Q3 - 8:50	DEN	MISS Chandler 2' Driving Layup	52 6.3%	65 93.7%
Q3 - 9:00	DEN	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	52 7.0%	65 93.0%
Q3 - 9:01	MIA	MISS Wade 1' Driving Layup	52 6.9%	65 93.1%
Q3 - 9:13	MIA	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	52 6.3%	65 93.7%
Q3 - 9:14	DEN	Wade BLOCK (2 BLK)	52 6.5%	65 93.5%
Q3 - 9:28	MIA	Bosh 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	52 7.2%	65 92.8%
Q3 - 9:38	DEN	Chandler Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)	52 8.2%	63 91.8%
Q3 - 9:41	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	52 9.4%	63 90.6%
Q3 - 9:42	DEN	MISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot	52 8.6%	63 91.4%
Q3 - 9:59	MIA	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 2 AST)	52 9.4%	63 90.6%
Q3 - 10:12	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	52 12.5%	60 87.5%
Q3 - 10:13	DEN	MISS Nene 15' Jump Shot	52 13.0%	60 87.0%
Q3 - 10:34	MIA	James 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)	52 14.2%	60 85.8%
Q3 - 10:54	DEN	Lawson 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)	52 15.9%	58 84.1%
Q3 - 10:58	DEN	Lawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	50 14.2%	58 85.8%
Q3 - 10:59	MIA	MISS James 13' Jump Shot	50 13.6%	58 86.4%
Q3 - 11:08	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	50 12.8%	58 87.2%
Q3 - 11:09	DEN	MISS Chandler 18' Jump Shot	50 13.3%	58 86.7%
Q3 - 11:17	MIA	Bosh 14' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)	50 14.5%	58 85.5%
Q3 - 11:39	DEN	Chandler 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)	50 16.1%	56 83.9%
Q3 - 12:00			47	56
Q2 - 0:00.0	DEN		47 12.8%	56 87.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	47 12.8%	56 87.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DEN	Wade BLOCK (1 BLK)	47 11.7%	56 88.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0	DEN	Lawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	47 13.1%	56 86.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0	MIA	MISS James 22' Jump Shot	47 12.7%	56 87.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0	MIA	SUB: Jones FOR Anthony	47	56
Q2 - 0:22.0	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)	47	56
Q2 - 0:26.0	MIA	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	47 11.9%	56 88.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0	DEN	MISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot	47 12.3%	56 87.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	47 13.1%	56 86.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0	MIA	SUB: Anthony FOR Dampier	47	55
Q2 - 0:37.0	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	47 13.4%	55 86.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0	DEN	Mozgov S.FOUL (P1.PN)	47	54
Q2 - 0:53.0	DEN	Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	47 15.0%	54 85.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0	MIA	SUB: Miller FOR Bosh	46	54
Q2 - 0:53.0	DEN	Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	46 14.4%	54 85.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0	MIA	Bosh P.FOUL (P2.PN)	45	54
Q2 - 0:59.0	MIA	Bibby 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 1 AST)	45 13.1%	54 86.9%
Q2 - 1:19	MIA	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	45 17.0%	51 83.0%
Q2 - 1:20	DEN	MISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot	45 17.4%	51 82.6%
Q2 - 1:25	DEN	SUB: Chandler FOR Smith	45	51
Q2 - 1:25	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	45 18.4%	51 81.6%
Q2 - 1:26	DEN	MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot	45 17.4%	51 82.6%
Q2 - 1:45	MIA	James 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)	45 18.4%	51 81.6%
Q2 - 2:00	MIA	SUB: Bosh FOR Miller	45	49
Q2 - 2:00	DEN	Gallinari Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	45 21.0%	49 79.0%
Q2 - 2:00	DEN	Gallinari OFF.Foul (P1)	45	49
Q2 - 2:14	MIA	James 9' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)	45 23.0%	49 77.0%
Q2 - 2:46	DEN	Lawson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)	45 25.2%	47 74.8%
Q2 - 2:47	MIA	Dampier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	42 20.8%	47 79.2%
Q2 - 2:49	DEN	Lawson 12' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)	42 18.7%	47 81.3%
Q2 - 2:58	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	40 16.9%	47 83.1%
Q2 - 2:59	MIA	MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot	40 16.3%	47 83.7%
Q2 - 3:25	DEN	Smith 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	40 15.2%	47 84.8%
Q2 - 3:36	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	38 13.9%	47 86.1%
Q2 - 3:36	DEN	SUB: Mozgov FOR Nene	38	46
Q2 - 3:36	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	38 14.2%	46 85.8%
Q2 - 3:36	DEN	Nene P.FOUL (P3.PN)	38	45
Q2 - 3:50	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	38 15.2%	45 84.8%
Q2 - 3:50	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	37 15.0%	45 85.0%
Q2 - 3:50	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)	36 13.9%	45 86.1%
Q2 - 3:50	MIA	Wade T.FOUL (P1.PN)	35	45
Q2 - 3:50	MIA	Dampier S.FOUL (P2.PN)	35	45
Q2 - 3:54	DEN	Gallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 12.5%	45 87.5%
Q2 - 3:55	MIA	MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot	35 12.0%	45 88.0%
Q2 - 4:11	DEN	Martin P.FOUL (P1.T4)	35	45
Q2 - 4:19	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	35 11.2%	45 88.8%
Q2 - 4:19	MIA	SUB: Dampier FOR Anthony	34	45
Q2 - 4:19	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	34	45
Q2 - 4:19	DEN	MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2	34 10.9%	45 89.1%
Q2 - 4:19	MIA	Anthony S.FOUL (P1.T4)	34	45
Q2 - 4:36	MIA	Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)	34 11.3%	45 88.7%
Q2 - 4:51	DEN	James STEAL (1 STL)	34 12.4%	43 87.6%
Q2 - 4:59	MIA	SUB: Miller FOR Bosh	34	43
Q2 - 4:59	DEN	SUB: Martin FOR Chandler	34	43
Q2 - 4:59	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	34	43
Q2 - 5:08	MIA	Anthony 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)	34 14.1%	43 85.9%
Q2 - 5:14	MIA	Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	34 15.6%	41 84.4%
Q2 - 5:15	MIA	MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot	34 16.7%	41 83.3%
Q2 - 5:24	MIA	Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	34 15.6%	41 84.4%
Q2 - 5:25	DEN	MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot	34 16.1%	41 83.9%
Q2 - 5:36	MIA	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)	34 17.2%	41 82.8%
Q2 - 5:52	DEN	Nuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)	34 20.9%	38 79.1%
Q2 - 6:07	DEN	SUB: Lawson FOR Forbes	34	38
Q2 - 6:07	MIA	Wade P.FOUL (P1.T3)	34	38
Q2 - 6:26	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	34 23.2%	38 76.8%
Q2 - 6:26	MIA	HEAT Rebound	34	37
Q2 - 6:26	MIA	MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2	34 23.6%	37 76.4%
Q2 - 6:26	DEN	SUB: Nene FOR Andersen	34	37
Q2 - 6:26	DEN	Andersen S.FOUL (P2.T3)	34	37
Q2 - 6:39	DEN	Forbes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	34 22.9%	37 77.1%
Q2 - 6:52	MIA	James 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	34 25.3%	37 74.7%
Q2 - 7:12	MIA	SUB: James FOR Miller	34	35
Q2 - 7:12	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)	34	35
Q2 - 7:20	DEN	Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Forbes 2 AST)	34 27.1%	35 72.9%
Q2 - 7:34	DEN	Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	31 23.0%	35 77.0%
Q2 - 7:35	MIA	MISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot	31 22.4%	35 77.6%
Q2 - 7:57	MIA	Anthony Violation:Defensive Goaltending	31	35
Q2 - 7:57	DEN	Gallinari 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)	31 21.0%	35 79.0%
Q2 - 8:01	DEN	Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	29 19.5%	35 80.5%
Q2 - 8:02	MIA	MISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot	29 19.0%	35 81.0%
Q2 - 8:23	DEN	Chandler 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	29 17.8%	35 82.2%
Q2 - 8:40	MIA	SUB: Wade FOR Jones	27	35
Q2 - 8:40	DEN	SUB: Smith FOR Afflalo	27	35
Q2 - 8:40			27	35
Q2 - 8:40	MIA	Anthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)	27 16.3%	35 83.7%
Q2 - 8:54	DEN	Miller STEAL (1 STL)	27 14.9%	35 85.1%
Q2 - 8:58	MIA	Bosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)	27 16.3%	35 83.7%
Q2 - 9:17	DEN	Chandler 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	27 15.1%	35 84.9%
Q2 - 9:34	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	25 13.8%	35 86.2%
Q2 - 9:34	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	25 14.0%	34 86.0%
Q2 - 9:34	DEN	Andersen S.FOUL (P1.T2)	25	33
Q2 - 9:39	MIA	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 15.0%	33 85.0%
Q2 - 9:40	DEN	Anthony BLOCK (3 BLK)	25 15.5%	33 84.5%
Q2 - 9:51	DEN	SUB: Forbes FOR Smith	25	33
Q2 - 9:51	MIA	Bibby P.FOUL (P1.T2)	25	33
Q2 - 9:56	DEN	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 16.5%	33 83.5%
Q2 - 9:57	MIA	MISS Jones 22' Jump Shot	25 16.0%	33 84.0%
Q2 - 10:10	MIA	HEAT Rebound	25 15.2%	33 84.8%
Q2 - 10:11	DEN	Miller BLOCK (1 BLK)	25 15.6%	33 84.4%
Q2 - 10:22	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	25 16.7%	33 83.3%
Q2 - 10:22	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	25 16.9%	32 83.1%
Q2 - 10:22	DEN	Chandler S.FOUL (P1.T1)	25	31
Q2 - 10:34	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	25 18.0%	31 82.0%
Q2 - 10:34	DEN	Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	24 17.9%	31 82.1%
Q2 - 10:34	DEN	SUB: Afflalo FOR Lawson	23	31
Q2 - 10:34	MIA	Jones S.FOUL (P1.T1)	23	31
Q2 - 10:43	MIA	Bibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)	23 16.7%	31 83.3%
Q2 - 11:00	DEN	Lawson 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	23 18.0%	29 82.0%
Q2 - 11:05	DEN	Lawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	21 16.9%	29 83.1%
Q2 - 11:06	DEN	MISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot	21 15.8%	29 84.2%
Q2 - 11:16	DEN	Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	21 16.9%	29 83.1%
Q2 - 11:17	MIA	MISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	21 16.4%	29 83.6%
Q2 - 11:35	MIA	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	21 15.4%	29 84.6%
Q2 - 11:36	DEN	Anthony BLOCK (2 BLK)	21 15.8%	29 84.2%
Q2 - 11:44	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	21 16.8%	29 83.2%
Q2 - 11:45	DEN	Anthony BLOCK (1 BLK)	21 15.8%	29 84.2%
Q2 - 12:00			21	29
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA		21 16.8%	29 83.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 15.4%	29 84.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0	DEN	MISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot	21 16.1%	29 83.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0	MIA	James 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	21 16.8%	29 83.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0	DEN	Chandler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)	21 18.5%	27 81.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0	DEN	Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 15.5%	27 84.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0	MIA	MISS James 19' Jump Shot	18 15.2%	27 84.8%
Q1 - 1:07	MIA	SUB: Bibby FOR Chalmers	18	27
Q1 - 1:07	DEN	SUB: Chandler FOR Martin	18	27
Q1 - 1:07	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)	18	27
Q1 - 1:12	DEN	Lawson 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)	18 14.8%	27 85.2%
Q1 - 1:30	DEN	Andersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 13.3%	27 86.7%
Q1 - 1:31	MIA	MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot	16 13.1%	27 86.9%
Q1 - 1:54	DEN	Martin Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)	16 12.5%	27 87.5%
Q1 - 2:05	MIA	SUB: Anthony FOR Magloire	14	27
Q1 - 2:05	DEN	SUB: Andersen FOR Nene	14	27
Q1 - 2:05	MIA		14	27
Q1 - 2:05	DEN	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 11.7%	27 88.3%
Q1 - 2:06	MIA	MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot	14 11.4%	27 88.6%
Q1 - 2:20	MIA	Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 10.8%	27 89.2%
Q1 - 2:21	DEN	MISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 2	14 10.9%	27 89.1%
Q1 - 2:21	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	14	27
Q1 - 2:21	DEN	MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2	14 11.5%	27 88.5%
Q1 - 2:21	MIA	Magloire S.FOUL (P1.T4)	14	27
Q1 - 2:33	MIA	James 16' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)	14 11.7%	27 88.3%
Q1 - 2:48	MIA	SUB: Jones FOR Wade	14	25
Q1 - 2:48	MIA	SUB: Miller FOR Bosh	14	25
Q1 - 2:48	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	14	25
Q1 - 2:51	DEN	Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)	14 12.8%	25 87.2%
Q1 - 3:00	MIA	James Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)	11 10.7%	25 89.3%
Q1 - 3:26	DEN	Smith 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	11 10.0%	25 90.0%
Q1 - 3:47	MIA	James 1' Driving Dunk (9 PTS)	9 9.3%	25 90.7%
Q1 - 3:59	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	9 10.0%	23 90.0%
Q1 - 4:00	DEN	MISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	9 11.8%	23 88.2%
Q1 - 4:14	MIA	James 2' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)	9 12.6%	23 87.4%
Q1 - 4:24	MIA	Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	9 13.5%	21 86.5%
Q1 - 4:25	DEN	MISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2	9 13.6%	21 86.4%
Q1 - 4:25	DEN	Lawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	9 14.2%	21 85.8%
Q1 - 4:25	DEN	SUB: Smith FOR Afflalo	8	21
Q1 - 4:25	MIA	SUB: Magloire FOR Dampier	8	21
Q1 - 4:25	MIA	Chalmers S.FOUL (P1.T3)	8	21
Q1 - 4:31	MIA	James 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)	8 13.6%	21 86.4%
Q1 - 4:47	DEN	Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)	8 15.5%	18 84.5%
Q1 - 5:02	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	5 14.3%	18 85.7%
Q1 - 5:02	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	5 14.5%	17 85.5%
Q1 - 5:02	DEN	Afflalo S.FOUL (P1.T2)	5	16
Q1 - 5:06	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	5 15.1%	16 84.9%
Q1 - 5:07	DEN	MISS Nene 19' Jump Shot	5 15.4%	16 84.6%
Q1 - 5:24	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	5 16.3%	16 83.7%
Q1 - 5:24	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	5 16.4%	15 83.6%
Q1 - 5:24	DEN	Nene S.FOUL (P1.T1)	5	14
Q1 - 5:41	DEN	Nene 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)	5 17.3%	14 82.7%
Q1 - 5:52	DEN	SUB: Gallinari FOR Chandler	3	14
Q1 - 6:06	MIA	Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)	3 16.9%	14 83.1%
Q1 - 6:25	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	3 18.0%	12 82.0%
Q1 - 6:26	DEN	MISS Afflalo 4' Running Jump Shot	3 18.3%	12 81.7%
Q1 - 6:32	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 19.1%	12 80.9%
Q1 - 6:33	MIA	MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot	3 18.8%	12 81.2%
Q1 - 6:40	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	3 18.2%	12 81.8%
Q1 - 6:41	DEN	MISS Afflalo 2' Driving Layup	3 18.5%	12 81.5%
Q1 - 6:46	MIA	James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)	3 19.3%	12 80.7%
Q1 - 7:01	MIA	HEAT Rebound	3 18.7%	12 81.3%
Q1 - 7:02	MIA	MISS Chalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot	3 19.4%	12 80.6%
Q1 - 7:23	DEN	Nene 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	3 19.1%	12 80.9%
Q1 - 7:38	MIA	James 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	1 18.7%	12 81.3%
Q1 - 7:48	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	1 19.6%	10 80.4%
Q1 - 7:49	DEN	MISS Nene 3' Hook Shot	1 19.9%	10 80.1%
Q1 - 8:07	MIA	James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	1 20.9%	10 79.1%
Q1 - 8:17	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	1 20.4%	10 79.6%
Q1 - 8:18	DEN	MISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 2	1 20.5%	10 79.5%
Q1 - 8:18	DEN	Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	1 21.1%	10 78.9%
Q1 - 8:18	MIA	Bosh S.FOUL (P1.T2)	0	10
Q1 - 8:29	MIA	Bosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	0 20.7%	10 79.3%
Q1 - 8:39	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 20.3%	10 79.7%
Q1 - 8:40	DEN	Dampier BLOCK (2 BLK)	0 20.6%	10 79.4%
Q1 - 8:51	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	0	10
Q1 - 9:01	MIA	Wade 2' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)	0 22.0%	10 78.0%
Q1 - 9:18	MIA	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	0 23.2%	8 76.8%
Q1 - 9:19	DEN	MISS Martin 17' Jump Shot	0 23.4%	8 76.6%
Q1 - 9:43	MIA	Wade 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	0 24.7%	8 75.3%
Q1 - 10:04	MIA	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	0 26.2%	6 73.8%
Q1 - 10:05	DEN	MISS Chandler 1' Driving Layup	0 26.4%	6 73.6%
Q1 - 10:10	DEN	Afflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 27.0%	6 73.0%
Q1 - 10:11	MIA	MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot	0 26.8%	6 73.2%
Q1 - 10:18	DEN	Lawson Violation:Kicked Ball	0	6
Q1 - 10:29	MIA	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	0 27.1%	6 72.9%
Q1 - 10:30	DEN	MISS Chandler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	0 27.3%	6 72.7%
Q1 - 10:44	MIA	Dampier P.FOUL (P1.T1)	0	6
Q1 - 10:53	MIA	Wade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	0 28.6%	6 71.4%
Q1 - 11:01	MIA	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 29.3%	4 70.7%
Q1 - 11:02	DEN	MISS Chandler 19' Jump Shot	0 29.5%	4 70.5%
Q1 - 11:21	MIA	Chalmers 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)	0 30.4%	4 69.6%
Q1 - 11:24	MIA	Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 30.7%	2 69.3%
Q1 - 11:25	DEN	Dampier BLOCK (1 BLK)	0 30.8%	2 69.2%
Q1 - 11:39	MIA	Bosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	0 31.4%	2 68.6%
Q1 - 12:00	MIA	Jump Ball Dampier vs. Nene: Tip to James	0 32.0%	0 68.0%
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIA
			Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.05 52.7%

MIA

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

44%

MIA

73%

Midrange

DEN

44%

MIA

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

15.0

42%

63%

MIA

9.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

DEN

71%

MIA

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Smith	27	68%	13.5 / 20
D. Gallinari	23	68%	11.5 / 17
T. Lawson	16	50%	8.0 / 16
W. Chandler	12	40%	6.0 / 15
Nene	10	42%	5.0 / 12
K. Martin	6	50%	3.0 / 6
G. Forbes	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Afflalo	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	33	63%	16.5 / 26
D. Wade	32	62%	16.0 / 26
C. Bosh	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Bibby	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Anthony	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Chalmers	2	33%	1.0 / 3
E. House	1	-	0.0 / 0
E. Dampier	0	-	0.0 / 0
M. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+11

-9

MIA

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.05 52.7%

MIA

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	112.7 111.4	DEN 107.7 MIA 114.4 +6.8
Pace	95.2 91.3	DEN 105.9 +27.1 MIA 78.9
Avg. Poss. Time	14.3 16.2	DEN 13.6 −4.7 MIA 18.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	52.6% 52.4%	DEN 50.0% MIA 54.9% +4.9%
TO %	14.5% 14.4%	DEN 10.0% −2.5% MIA 12.5%
ORB %	23.8% 25.2%	DEN 10.5% MIA 12.9% +2.4%
FTrt	36.7 36.3	DEN 35.9 MIA 40.8 +4.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	57.6% 54.1%	DEN 41.2% MIA 41.7% +0.5%
STL %	7.7% 7.3%	DEN 8.8% +2.1% MIA 6.7%
BLK %	6.8% 8.5%	DEN 3.9% MIA 20.4% +16.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	56.3% 55.7%	DEN 52.7% MIA 59.2% +6.5%
Rim FG%	58.5% 64.7%	DEN 44.4% MIA 72.7% +28.3%
Mid FG%	40.0% 42.2%	DEN 44.4% MIA 55.0% +10.6%
3P %	38.8% 37.0%	DEN 41.7% +11.7% MIA 30.0%
FT %	76.6% 76.9%	DEN 71.4% MIA 86.2% +14.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	42.5% 31.6%	DEN 34.6% +19.1% MIA 15.5%
Mid Att. %	31.8% 44.9%	DEN 34.6% −21.7% MIA 56.3%
3P Att. %	25.8% 23.5%	DEN 30.8% +2.6% MIA 28.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.

Game Totals	DEN	MIA
Possessions	91	90
Possession Minutes	20.6	27.4
Points	98	103
Rebounds	31	38
Assists	14	15
Steals	8	6
Blocks	2	11
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (7)	4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (3)	34 (2)
Field Goals	34-78	36-71
At-the-Rim FG	12-27	8-11
Midrange FG	12-27	22-40
2-Point FG	24-54	30-51
3-Point FG	10-24	6-20
Free Throws	20-28	25-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 23	43.5	16	50%	7	6	2	0	1	1	2	5	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 33	35.5	6	50%	8	1	1	0	2	3	2	6	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 24	32.9	12	40%	3	1	1	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-11	27%	2-4	50%
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 29	28.9	10	42%	2	2	2	1	0	4	0	2	4-8	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 25	9.5	1	17%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	31.5	23	68%	2	1	0	0	3	2	0	2	11-12	92%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26	31.4	27	68%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	4-9	44%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33	15.2	0	0%	5	1	1	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Forbes F · 6'7" 220 · 26	8.1	3	75%	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 25	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 31
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 22
Melvin Ely #34 · C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raymond Felton #20 · G · 6'1" 205 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	53%	31	14	8	2	9	0	4	27	20-28	71%	24-54	44%	10-24	42%

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8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 23	43.5	16	50%	7	6	2	0	1	1	2	5	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 33	35.5	6	50%	8	1	1	0	2	3	2	6	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 24	32.9	12	40%	3	1	1	1	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-11	27%	2-4	50%
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 29	28.9	10	42%	2	2	2	1	0	4	0	2	4-8	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 25	9.5	1	17%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	31.5	23	68%	2	1	0	0	3	2	0	2	11-12	92%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26	31.4	27	68%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	4-9	44%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33	15.2	0	0%	5	1	1	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gary Forbes F · 6'7" 220 · 26	8.1	3	75%	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 25	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 31
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 22
Melvin Ely #34 · C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raymond Felton #20 · G · 6'1" 205 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	53%	31	14	8	2	9	0	4	27	20-28	71%	24-54	44%	10-24	42%

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2 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 26	40.7	33	63%	6	2	2	0	5	3	0	6	2-2	100%	14-21	67%	1-4	25%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 29	39.3	32	62%	2	2	1	3	2	3	1	1	11-13	85%	9-17	53%	1-3	33%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 27	37.2	18	64%	11	6	0	0	2	3	2	9	10-11	91%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 36	19.1	0	0%	9	1	0	2	1	2	0	9	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 25	10.9	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 33	34.0	14	78%	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 29	26.2	3	75%	3	0	0	4	2	4	1	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31	17.8	0	0%	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30	9.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 33	3.4	1	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 33	2.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 38
Udonis Haslem #40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Zydrunas Ilgauskas #11 · C · 7'3" 260 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dexter Pittman #45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	59%	38	15	6	11	12	0	4	34	25-29	86%	30-51	59%	6-20	30%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

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