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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 20, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Knicks55%9995
18Bucks45%98100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.3
40.1
35.9
25
43%
11
3
0
1
0
1
6
5
3-3
100%
11-27
9-17
41%
52%
0-1
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
36.5
33.7
23
66%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
7-8
88%
5-11
6-14
45%
47%
2-3
67%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.5
30.8
29.2
21
60%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
7-10
70%
4-9
2-5
44%
44%
2-4
50%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.7
21.1
24.8
13
59%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
55%
3-6
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
6.0
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
29.1
29.8
7
27%
2
9
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-10
2-5
20%
48%
1-3
33%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
27.6
24.9
5
50%
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.2
24.9
12.3
0
0%
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
16.1
15.4
1
20%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-2
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.3
7.9
24.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.8
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
3.9
0
0-0
54%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.5
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
45.6
31.1
19
57%
8
1
3
1
3
2
5
3
13-13
100%
3-11
3-7
27%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.6
42.8
30.4
30
86%
11
2
0
1
0
1
3
8
8-10
80%
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
6-11
55%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.5
42.0
35.0
14
45%
11
9
1
1
0
2
0
11
4-6
67%
5-9
4-10
56%
43%
0-4
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.3
40.7
33.2
22
56%
3
3
0
1
1
3
0
3
5-6
83%
7-14
4-9
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.3
39.8
25.9
13
50%
12
3
1
1
2
3
2
10
1-2
50%
6-12
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.9
13.6
19.0
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.3
7.0
15.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.8
4.9
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.0
3.7
16.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.6
9.2
0
1-3
42%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.4
8.6
0
2-3
51%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
7.5
0
1-2
48%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.6
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.