Final Win Prob. pScore
1127%98
119
173%106
125
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo Rockets
122.797104.6
MIA logo Heat
128.99790.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA119
125
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMartin 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (29 PTS)119
125
Q4 - 0:10.0HOURockets Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 1)117
125
Q4 - 0:10.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)117
125
Q4 - 0:10.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)117
124
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Scola117
123
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUScola P.FOUL (P6.PN)117
123
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHEAT Rebound117
123
Q4 - 0:12.0HOUMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot117
123
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)117
123
Q4 - 0:16.0MIASUB: Bibby FOR Anthony117
122
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)117
122
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUBudinger P.FOUL (P3.PN)117
121
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUScola 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS)117
121
Q4 - 0:26.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)115
121
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUSUB: Lee FOR Hayes115
120
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAHEAT Rebound115
120
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2115
120
Q4 - 0:26.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bibby115
120
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUScola P.FOUL (P5.PN)115
120
Q4 - 0:27.0MIASUB: Bibby FOR Anthony115
120
Q4 - 0:27.0HOULowry P.FOUL (P5.T3)115
120
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)115
120
Q4 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Lowry 8' Running Jump Shot115
120
Q4 - 0:33.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bibby115
120
Q4 - 0:33.0HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)115
120
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (30 PTS)115
120
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)115
118
Q4 - 0:51.0HOULowry 2' Tip Shot (25 PTS)115
118
Q4 - 0:52.0HOULowry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)113
118
Q4 - 0:53.0HOUMISS Lowry 2' Driving Layup113
118
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)113
118
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot113
118
Q4 - 1:24HOUBudinger 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Martin 5 AST)113
118
Q4 - 1:39MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T10)110
118
Q4 - 1:39MIAWade OFF.Foul (P4)110
118
Q4 - 1:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)110
118
Q4 - 1:55HOUMISS Scola 8' Turnaround Hook Shot110
118
Q4 - 2:11HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)110
118
Q4 - 2:12MIAWade 5' Running Bank Shot (28 PTS)110
118
Q4 - 2:35HOUScola 4' Finger Roll Layup (26 PTS)110
116
Q4 - 2:48HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)108
116
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade 32' 3PT Jump Shot108
116
Q4 - 3:16HOUScola 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (24 PTS)108
116
Q4 - 3:35MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (31 PTS)106
116
Q4 - 3:55MIAHEAT Rebound106
114
Q4 - 3:55MIAJump Ball James vs. Hayes: Tip to Jones106
114
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup106
114
Q4 - 4:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)106
114
Q4 - 4:02HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot106
114
Q4 - 4:03HOURockets Rebound106
114
Q4 - 4:03HOUBibby BLOCK (1 BLK)106
114
Q4 - 4:21MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)106
114
Q4 - 4:47HOUMartin 14' Jump Shot (27 PTS)106
111
Q4 - 5:06MIAJames 12' Jump Shot (29 PTS)104
111
Q4 - 5:30HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)104
109
Q4 - 5:30MIASUB: Bibby FOR Anthony103
109
Q4 - 5:30HOURockets Rebound103
109
Q4 - 5:30HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2103
109
Q4 - 5:30MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T3)103
109
Q4 - 5:36HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)103
109
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
109
Q4 - 5:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)103
109
Q4 - 5:52HOUMISS Martin 10' Fadeaway Jumper103
109
Q4 - 6:03HOULowry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)103
109
Q4 - 6:05HOUWade BLOCK (2 BLK)103
109
Q4 - 6:08MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)103
109
Q4 - 6:20HOUMartin Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)103
109
Q4 - 6:28HOUSUB: Budinger FOR Lee103
109
Q4 - 6:28HOURockets Rebound103
109
Q4 - 6:29HOUWade BLOCK (1 BLK)103
109
Q4 - 6:46MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (26 PTS)103
109
Q4 - 6:57HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Patterson103
107
Q4 - 6:57HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)103
107
Q4 - 6:57HOULowry Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)103
107
Q4 - 7:11MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)103
107
Q4 - 7:36HOUPatterson 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)103
104
Q4 - 7:37HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)101
104
Q4 - 7:38HOUMISS Scola 9' Jump Shot101
104
Q4 - 7:52MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)101
104
Q4 - 7:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)101
103
Q4 - 7:52HOUScola S.FOUL (P4.T2)101
102
Q4 - 7:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)101
102
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot101
102
Q4 - 8:02MIASUB: James FOR Miller101
102
Q4 - 8:02MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)101
102
Q4 - 8:04MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
102
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot101
102
Q4 - 8:30HOUScola 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS)101
102
Q4 - 8:55MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)99
102
Q4 - 9:14HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)99
100
Q4 - 9:14HOUSUB: Scola FOR Hayes98
100
Q4 - 9:14HOUSUB: Martin FOR Budinger98
100
Q4 - 9:14HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)98
100
Q4 - 9:14MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T2)97
100
Q4 - 9:22MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)97
100
Q4 - 9:22MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)97
99
Q4 - 9:22MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)97
98
Q4 - 9:22HOULowry P.FOUL (P4.T1)97
97
Q4 - 9:36HOULowry 9' Jump Shot (21 PTS)97
97
Q4 - 9:44HOURockets Rebound95
97
Q4 - 9:45HOUAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)95
97
Q4 - 9:59MIABosh 1' Layup (24 PTS)95
97
Q4 - 10:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)95
95
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot95
95
Q4 - 10:18HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)95
95
Q4 - 10:18HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)94
95
Q4 - 10:18MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T1)93
95
Q4 - 10:40MIABosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)93
95
Q4 - 10:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)93
95
Q4 - 10:55HOUMISS Hayes 2' Driving Layup93
95
Q4 - 11:09MIABosh 1' Layup (22 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)93
95
Q4 - 11:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)93
93
Q4 - 11:27HOUMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
93
Q4 - 11:41HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
93
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
93
Q4 - 12:0093
93
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA93
93
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound93
93
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 35' 3PT Jump Shot93
93
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
93
Q3 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Budinger 12' Jump Shot93
93
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (27 PTS)93
93
Q3 - 0:45.0HOUPatterson Foul Turnover (P2.T8)93
91
Q3 - 0:45.0HOUPatterson OFF.Foul (P1)93
91
Q3 - 0:57.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)93
91
Q3 - 0:58.0HOUMISS Lowry 21' Jump Shot93
91
Q3 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)93
91
Q3 - 1:14HOUSUB: Patterson FOR Scola93
90
Q3 - 1:14MIAHEAT Rebound93
90
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 293
90
Q3 - 1:14HOULee S.FOUL (P1.T4)93
90
Q3 - 1:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)93
90
Q3 - 1:24HOUMISS Budinger 4' Jump Shot93
90
Q3 - 1:40MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)93
90
Q3 - 1:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
87
Q3 - 1:49HOUMISS Budinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
87
Q3 - 2:04MIAJames 9' Driving Jump Shot (25 PTS)93
87
Q3 - 2:18MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bosh93
85
Q3 - 2:18HOUSUB: Lee FOR Martin93
85
Q3 - 2:18HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)93
85
Q3 - 2:18HOUMartin P.FOUL (P3.T3)93
85
Q3 - 2:30HOUScola 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Lowry 9 AST)93
85
Q3 - 2:45MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 5 AST)91
85
Q3 - 3:12HOUScola 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Lowry 8 AST)91
83
Q3 - 3:17MIABosh 3' Tip Shot (20 PTS)89
83
Q3 - 3:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)89
81
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot89
81
Q3 - 3:41HOUMartin 9' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS)89
81
Q3 - 3:47HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
81
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot87
81
Q3 - 3:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)87
81
Q3 - 3:56HOUJones BLOCK (1 BLK)87
81
Q3 - 4:01HOULowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
81
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
81
Q3 - 4:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
81
Q3 - 4:12HOUMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
81
Q3 - 4:18MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)87
81
Q3 - 4:30HOUMartin Free Throw 3 of 3 (22 PTS)87
81
Q3 - 4:30HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 3 (21 PTS)86
81
Q3 - 4:30HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 3 (20 PTS)85
81
Q3 - 4:30MIASUB: Wade FOR Miller84
81
Q3 - 4:30MIAMiller S.FOUL (P2.T3)84
81
Q3 - 4:36HOULowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
81
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot84
81
Q3 - 4:51HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)84
81
Q3 - 4:51HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)83
81
Q3 - 4:51MIAMiller S.FOUL (P1.T2)82
81
Q3 - 4:58HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
81
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot82
81
Q3 - 5:20HOUMartin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)82
81
Q3 - 5:35MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)79
81
Q3 - 5:35MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)79
80
Q3 - 5:35HOULowry S.FOUL (P3.T2)79
79
Q3 - 5:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
79
Q3 - 5:43HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot79
79
Q3 - 5:59HOUMartin Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)79
79
Q3 - 5:59MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bibby )78
79
Q3 - 6:19MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)78
79
Q3 - 6:46HOULowry 6' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)78
77
Q3 - 7:03MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)76
77
Q3 - 7:16MIASUB: Jones FOR Dampier76
77
Q3 - 7:16MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)76
77
Q3 - 7:17HOUScola 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)76
77
Q3 - 7:28HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
77
Q3 - 7:29MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
77
Q3 - 7:52HOUHayes 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)74
77
Q3 - 8:02HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
77
Q3 - 8:03MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot72
77
Q3 - 8:26HOUBudinger 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)72
77
Q3 - 8:31HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
77
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot70
77
Q3 - 8:49MIAHEAT Rebound70
77
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS Bosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper70
77
Q3 - 9:00MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
77
Q3 - 9:01HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot70
77
Q3 - 9:19MIAMiller 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)70
77
Q3 - 9:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)70
75
Q3 - 9:28HOUMISS Budinger 2' Layup70
75
Q3 - 9:40MIAJames Driving Dunk (19 PTS)70
75
Q3 - 9:47HOUBudinger Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)70
73
Q3 - 9:58MIAMiller 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)70
73
Q3 - 10:03MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
71
Q3 - 10:04HOUMISS Budinger 3' Layup70
71
Q3 - 10:17HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
71
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 270
71
Q3 - 10:18MIAHEAT Rebound70
71
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 270
71
Q3 - 10:18HOUScola S.FOUL (P3.T1)70
71
Q3 - 10:29HOUScola 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)70
71
Q3 - 10:43MIABosh L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)68
71
Q3 - 10:43HOURockets Rebound68
71
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot68
71
Q3 - 10:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
71
Q3 - 10:52HOUMISS Martin 16' Running Jump Shot68
71
Q3 - 10:59HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
71
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot68
71
Q3 - 11:15HOUHayes 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)68
71
Q3 - 11:29HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
71
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot68
71
Q3 - 11:49HOUDampier STEAL (1 STL)68
71
Q3 - 11:52HOULowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
71
Q3 - 11:53HOUMISS Budinger 20' Jump Shot68
71
Q3 - 12:0068
71
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU68
71
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound68
71
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lowry 55' 3PT Jump Shot68
71
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
71
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
70
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUBudinger S.FOUL (P2.PN)68
69
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
69
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot68
69
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)68
69
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUSUB: Lee FOR Hill68
68
Q2 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bosh68
68
Q2 - 0:29.0HOULowry S.FOUL (P2.PN)68
68
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAJames 2' Layup (16 PTS)68
68
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
66
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
66
Q2 - 0:50.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
66
Q2 - 0:50.0MIASUB: Miller FOR Bibby68
65
Q2 - 0:50.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
65
Q2 - 0:50.0HOULowry S.FOUL (P1.T4)68
64
Q2 - 0:52.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)68
64
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
64
Q2 - 1:07HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)68
64
Q2 - 1:22MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)65
64
Q2 - 1:47HOUScola 2' Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)65
62
Q2 - 2:02MIABosh 2' Dunk (16 PTS)63
62
Q2 - 2:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)63
60
Q2 - 2:04MIAMISS Bosh 2' Dunk63
60
Q2 - 2:21HOUBudinger 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)63
60
Q2 - 2:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)61
60
Q2 - 2:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
59
Q2 - 2:37HOUHill S.FOUL (P2.T3)61
58
Q2 - 2:47HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
58
Q2 - 2:47HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
58
Q2 - 2:47HOUMartin Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)59
58
Q2 - 2:47MIA58
58
Q2 - 2:47MIAJones T.FOUL (P1.PN)58
58
Q2 - 2:47MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.PN)58
58
Q2 - 2:54MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
58
Q2 - 2:54MIAHEAT Rebound58
57
Q2 - 2:54MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 258
57
Q2 - 2:54HOUHill S.FOUL (P1.T2)58
57
Q2 - 3:06HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
57
Q2 - 3:06MIASUB: Jones FOR Ilgauskas57
57
Q2 - 3:06HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
57
Q2 - 3:06MIABibby P.FOUL (P2.PN)56
57
Q2 - 3:07MIAIlgauskas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)56
57
Q2 - 3:26HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
57
Q2 - 3:26HOUSUB: Budinger FOR Lee55
57
Q2 - 3:26HOUSUB: Lowry FOR Dragic55
57
Q2 - 3:26HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
57
Q2 - 3:26MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.PN)54
57
Q2 - 3:44MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)54
57
Q2 - 3:55MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard54
55
Q2 - 3:55MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)54
55
Q2 - 3:55HOUMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)54
55
Q2 - 4:02HOUDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
55
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup51
55
Q2 - 4:10MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
55
Q2 - 4:11HOUMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot51
55
Q2 - 4:22MIAWade 1' Putback Dunk (14 PTS)51
55
Q2 - 4:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)51
53
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot51
53
Q2 - 4:37HOUHill 4' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
53
Q2 - 4:41HOUHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
53
Q2 - 4:42HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
53
Q2 - 4:55MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T4)49
53
Q2 - 4:55MIAJames OFF.Foul (P1)49
53
Q2 - 4:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
53
Q2 - 4:58HOUMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot49
53
Q2 - 5:18MIABibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)49
53
Q2 - 5:37HOUMartin 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)49
50
Q2 - 5:50MIAHoward P.FOUL (P1.T4)47
50
Q2 - 6:04MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)47
50
Q2 - 6:14MIASUB: Bibby FOR House47
48
Q2 - 6:14MIASUB: James FOR Miller47
48
Q2 - 6:14MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)47
48
Q2 - 6:14HOUDragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)47
48
Q2 - 6:23HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
48
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
48
Q2 - 6:38HOUHill 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)44
48
Q2 - 6:56MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)42
48
Q2 - 7:01MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
46
Q2 - 7:02HOUHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)42
46
Q2 - 7:12HOUHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
46
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
46
Q2 - 7:16MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh42
46
Q2 - 7:16HOUScola L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)42
46
Q2 - 7:16MIAHEAT Rebound42
46
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
46
Q2 - 7:26HOUHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
46
Q2 - 7:26HOUSUB: Martin FOR Lowry41
46
Q2 - 7:26HOUSUB: Scola FOR Patterson41
46
Q2 - 7:26HOUHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
46
Q2 - 7:26MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T3)40
46
Q2 - 7:53MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)40
46
Q2 - 7:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
44
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS House 13' Jump Shot40
44
Q2 - 8:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
44
Q2 - 8:04HOUMISS Lowry 2' Driving Layup40
44
Q2 - 8:16MIAIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)40
44
Q2 - 8:19MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
42
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup40
42
Q2 - 8:34MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
42
Q2 - 8:35HOUMISS Lee 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
42
Q2 - 8:48MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)40
42
Q2 - 8:56HOUDragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)40
42
Q2 - 8:56HOURockets Rebound39
42
Q2 - 8:56HOUMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 239
42
Q2 - 8:56MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T2)39
42
Q2 - 8:59HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
42
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup39
42
Q2 - 9:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
42
Q2 - 9:06HOUMISS Patterson 4' Jump Shot39
42
Q2 - 9:07HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
42
Q2 - 9:09HOUMISS Dragic 20' Jump Shot39
42
Q2 - 9:17HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
42
Q2 - 9:18MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot39
42
Q2 - 9:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
42
Q2 - 9:25HOUMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
42
Q2 - 9:41MIABosh 1' Layup (12 PTS)39
42
Q2 - 9:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)39
40
Q2 - 9:43MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup39
40
Q2 - 9:49MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Anthony39
40
Q2 - 9:49MIASUB: Wade FOR James39
40
Q2 - 10:01HOUPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)39
40
Q2 - 10:19HOURockets Rebound39
40
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot39
40
Q2 - 10:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
40
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS House 1' Driving Layup39
40
Q2 - 10:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
40
Q2 - 10:37HOUMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 239
40
Q2 - 10:37HOURockets Rebound39
40
Q2 - 10:37HOUMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 239
40
Q2 - 10:37MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)39
40
Q2 - 10:46HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
40
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
40
Q2 - 11:01HOULowry 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
40
Q2 - 11:19HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
40
Q2 - 11:24MIABosh 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)37
40
Q2 - 11:38HOULee Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)37
38
Q2 - 12:0037
38
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA37
38
Q1 - 0:00.0HOULowry 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
38
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMiller Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T2)35
38
Q1 - 0:37.0HOULee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)35
38
Q1 - 0:38.0HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
38
Q1 - 0:41.0HOUMISS Scola 3' Driving Layup32
38
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAJames 4' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)32
38
Q1 - 1:11MIAHEAT Rebound32
36
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 232
36
Q1 - 1:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
36
Q1 - 1:12MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade32
35
Q1 - 1:12HOUSUB: Patterson FOR Hayes32
35
Q1 - 1:12HOUHayes P.FOUL (P2.PN)32
35
Q1 - 1:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
35
Q1 - 1:13HOUMISS Scola 8' Turnaround Hook Shot32
35
Q1 - 1:27MIABibby 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
35
Q1 - 1:48HOULowry 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
33
Q1 - 1:59MIAJames 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
33
Q1 - 2:13HOUBudinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)30
31
Q1 - 2:24MIAAnthony 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
31
Q1 - 2:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
29
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade 2' Tip Shot27
29
Q1 - 2:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
29
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Bank Shot27
29
Q1 - 2:35HOUSUB: Lee FOR Martin27
29
Q1 - 2:35HOUMartin Foul Turnover (P1.T2)27
29
Q1 - 2:35HOUMartin OFF.Foul (P2)27
29
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
29
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
28
Q1 - 2:40HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)27
27
Q1 - 2:40HOUBudinger S.FOUL (P1.T4)27
27
Q1 - 3:01HOUBudinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)27
27
Q1 - 3:12MIAJames 2' Layup (6 PTS)24
27
Q1 - 3:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
25
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade 12' Running Jump Shot24
25
Q1 - 3:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
25
Q1 - 3:23HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
25
Q1 - 3:36MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bosh24
25
Q1 - 3:36MIABosh L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)24
25
Q1 - 3:36HOURockets Rebound24
25
Q1 - 3:37HOUMISS Martin 11' Jump Shot24
25
Q1 - 3:48HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
25
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot24
25
Q1 - 4:02HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
25
Q1 - 4:02MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T3)23
25
Q1 - 4:02HOUMartin 14' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
25
Q1 - 4:16MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)21
25
Q1 - 4:29HOULowry 8' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
23
Q1 - 4:44MIABibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)19
23
Q1 - 4:58MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20
Q1 - 4:59HOUMISS Scola 6' Turnaround Jump Shot19
20
Q1 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
20
Q1 - 5:13MIASUB: Miller FOR Dampier19
19
Q1 - 5:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
19
Q1 - 5:13HOUScola S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
18
Q1 - 5:29HOULowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Budinger 2 AST)19
18
Q1 - 5:42MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
18
Q1 - 5:42MIABibby L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)16
18
Q1 - 5:42HOURockets Rebound16
18
Q1 - 5:43HOUMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot16
18
Q1 - 5:56MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS)16
18
Q1 - 5:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
16
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot16
16
Q1 - 6:16HOUMartin 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
16
Q1 - 6:28MIADampier 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)14
16
Q1 - 6:45HOUScola 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)14
14
Q1 - 6:52HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
14
Q1 - 6:53HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
14
Q1 - 7:08HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Dampier 2' Tip Shot12
14
Q1 - 7:10MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
14
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup12
14
Q1 - 7:24HOUScola 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)12
14
Q1 - 7:42MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
14
Q1 - 7:51MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12
Q1 - 7:52HOUMISS Martin 10' Jump Shot10
12
Q1 - 8:10MIABosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)10
12
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10
Q1 - 8:22HOUMISS Budinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
10
Q1 - 8:37MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)10
10
Q1 - 8:37HOUMartin S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
9
Q1 - 8:37MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)10
9
Q1 - 8:56HOUScola 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)10
7
Q1 - 9:14MIAJames 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)8
7
Q1 - 9:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
5
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot8
5
Q1 - 9:34HOUHayes 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)8
5
Q1 - 9:50HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
5
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
5
Q1 - 10:01HOUHayes Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
5
Q1 - 10:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
5
Q1 - 10:24HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
5
Q1 - 10:24HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
5
Q1 - 10:24MIADampier S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
5
Q1 - 10:40MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
5
Q1 - 10:40HOUHayes S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 10:40MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:52HOUHayes 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 11:04MIADampier 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:20HOUScola 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Budinger 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:36HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Dampier vs. Scola: Tip to Bosh0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.17 58.3%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
14
27
52%
MIA
28
42
67%
Midrange
HOU
20
41
49%
MIA
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
MIA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
HOU
24
28
86%
MIA
28
34
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin2963%14.5 / 23
L. Scola2858%14.0 / 24
K. Lowry2557%12.5 / 22
C. Budinger1653%8.0 / 15
C. Hayes675%3.0 / 4
J. Hill675%3.0 / 4
G. Dragic450%2.0 / 4
C. Lee350%1.5 / 3
P. Patterson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3366%16.5 / 25
C. Bosh3162%15.5 / 25
D. Wade3050%15.0 / 30
M. Bibby14100%7.0 / 7
J. Jones563%2.5 / 4
E. Dampier467%2.0 / 3
M. Miller440%2.0 / 5
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Ilgauskas2100%1.0 / 1
E. House0-0.0 / 5
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
87
+15
-10
102
MIA
87
+22
-10
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.17 58.3%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
111.4
HOU 122.7
MIA 128.9 +6.2
Pace
94.2
91.3
HOU 104.6 +14.2
MIA 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.2
HOU 13.8 −2.2
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
52.4%
HOU 53.4% +0.7%
MIA 52.7%
TO %
13.4%
14.4%
HOU 9.0%
MIA 8.5% −0.5%
ORB %
27.5%
25.2%
HOU 22.5%
MIA 41.5% +19.0%
FTrt
29.9
36.3
HOU 31.5
MIA 37.0 +5.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.7%
54.1%
HOU 48.8% +14.0%
MIA 34.8%
STL %
7.4%
7.3%
HOU 4.1% +3.1%
MIA 1.0%
BLK %
6.5%
8.5%
HOU 2.7%
MIA 8.8% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
55.7%
HOU 58.3% +1.5%
MIA 56.8%
Rim FG%
58.5%
64.7%
HOU 51.9%
MIA 66.7% +14.8%
Mid FG%
39.6%
42.2%
HOU 48.8% +9.4%
MIA 39.4%
3P %
36.7%
37.0%
HOU 42.9% +13.5%
MIA 29.4%
FT %
80.1%
76.9%
HOU 85.7% +3.3%
MIA 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
31.6%
HOU 30.3%
MIA 45.7% +15.3%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
44.9%
HOU 46.1%
MIA 35.9% −10.2%
3P Att. %
26.4%
23.5%
HOU 23.6% +5.1%
MIA 18.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes22.325.8
Points119125
Rebounds3348
Assists2116
Steals41
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (6)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals43-8946-92
At-the-Rim FG14-2728-42
Midrange FG20-4113-33
2-Point FG34-6841-75
3-Point FG9-215-17
Free Throws24-2828-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 196 · 25
44.0
25
57%
7
9
1
0
2
5
4
3
8-8
100%
7-13
54%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 241 · 31
39.3
28
58%
5
1
0
0
0
6
0
5
2-2
100%
13-23
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 209 · 23
36.7
16
53%
2
2
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-9
22%
4-6
67%
G · 6'7" 199 · 28
35.8
29
63%
5
5
1
0
2
3
0
5
11-12
92%
6-13
46%
2-6
33%
C · 6'6" 240 · 28
32.3
6
75%
7
1
1
1
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 25
19.9
3
50%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 230 · 22
12.0
2
50%
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24
11.5
6
75%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 25
8.6
4
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35
F · 6'6" 242 · 28
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
#11 · C · 7'6" 310 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'3" 263 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
119
58%
33
21
4
2
10
0
9
24
24-28
86%
34-68
50%
9-21
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.