FinalWin Prob.pScore
188%106
90
2912%91
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.38886.2
CLE logo CLE
114.68991.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE90
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS)90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0CLEMISS Hollins Free Throw 2 of 288
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0CLEHollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0CLEHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0CLEHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04CLEHickson 1' Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)85
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot85
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 1:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot85
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 1:35CLEDavis Driving Layup (10 PTS)85
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 1:50MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)85
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 2:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)85
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 2:14CLEMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot85
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 2:38MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)85
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 2:45CLEParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)83
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 3:05CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)83
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 283
3.5%
92
96.5%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 283
4.7%
92
95.3%
Q4 - 3:12MIAHeat Rebound83
5.5%
92
94.5%
Q4 - 3:12CLEMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
4.6%
92
95.4%
Q4 - 3:26CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup83
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 3:42CLEHollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
10.5%
92
89.5%
Q4 - 3:42CLEHollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
11.5%
91
88.5%
Q4 - 3:58CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
13.7%
90
86.3%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
15.2%
90
84.8%
Q4 - 4:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)83
19.1%
90
80.9%
Q4 - 4:07CLEMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
17.2%
90
82.8%
Q4 - 4:30CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
13.1%
90
86.9%
Q4 - 4:31MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
14.6%
90
85.4%
Q4 - 4:49CLEParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)83
18.5%
90
81.5%
Q4 - 4:49CLEParker 1' Layup (16 PTS)83
25.1%
89
74.9%
Q4 - 4:52CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
32.3%
87
67.7%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
35.2%
87
64.8%
Q4 - 5:22CLEHollins Dunk (10 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)83
48.2%
87
51.8%
Q4 - 5:26CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
56.0%
85
44.0%
Q4 - 5:27MIAHollins BLOCK (3 BLK)83
58.7%
85
41.3%
Q4 - 5:42CLEHollins Foul Turnover (P2.T15)83
64.6%
85
35.4%
Q4 - 5:49CLEHarangody REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
55.9%
85
44.1%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS James 29' 3PT Jump Shot83
58.6%
85
41.4%
Q4 - 6:21CLEHarangody 3' Layup (9 PTS) (Hollins 2 AST)83
68.4%
85
31.6%
Q4 - 6:29CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
74.1%
83
25.9%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot83
76.0%
83
24.0%
Q4 - 6:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)83
79.9%
83
20.1%
Q4 - 6:43CLEMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot83
78.2%
83
21.8%
Q4 - 7:02MIABibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 12 AST)83
76.3%
83
23.7%
Q4 - 7:18CLESessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
65.2%
83
34.8%
Q4 - 7:18CLEMISS Sessions Free Throw 1 of 280
66.3%
82
33.7%
Q4 - 7:45MIABosh 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)80
64.6%
82
35.4%
Q4 - 8:11CLESessions Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)78
61.3%
82
38.7%
Q4 - 8:39MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)78
55.0%
82
45.0%
Q4 - 9:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
45.8%
82
54.2%
Q4 - 9:04CLEMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 275
45.0%
82
55.0%
Q4 - 9:04CLESessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
40.9%
82
59.1%
Q4 - 9:13CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
45.8%
81
54.2%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
47.5%
81
52.5%
Q4 - 9:34CLEParker 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Sessions 6 AST)75
51.5%
81
48.5%
Q4 - 9:55CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
57.5%
79
42.5%
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Anthony Layup75
59.3%
79
40.7%
Q4 - 9:58MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
63.2%
79
36.8%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup75
59.3%
79
40.7%
Q4 - 10:05CLESessions Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)75
64.9%
79
35.1%
Q4 - 10:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)75
59.4%
79
40.6%
Q4 - 10:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
58.3%
79
41.7%
Q4 - 10:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)73
53.9%
79
46.1%
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot73
49.9%
79
50.1%
Q4 - 10:39CLESessions 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)73
53.8%
79
46.2%
Q4 - 10:49CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
59.3%
77
40.7%
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
61.0%
77
39.0%
Q4 - 11:07CLESessions 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gibson 5 AST)73
66.0%
77
34.0%
Q4 - 11:33MIABibby 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)73
70.6%
75
29.4%
Q4 - 11:37MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
60.9%
75
39.1%
Q4 - 11:40CLEMISS Eyenga 8' Running Jump Shot70
59.4%
75
40.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE70
55.7%
75
44.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJames 53' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)70
55.7%
75
44.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0CLEEyenga 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gibson 4 AST)67
47.4%
75
52.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)67
57.9%
72
42.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAHeat Rebound67
62.3%
72
37.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAGibson BLOCK (2 BLK)67
59.2%
72
40.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAHeat Rebound67
62.3%
72
37.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0CLEMISS Gibson 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
61.0%
72
39.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
57.8%
72
42.2%
Q3 - 1:04MIAHeat Rebound65
54.3%
72
45.7%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 165
50.4%
72
49.6%
Q3 - 1:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
44.5%
72
55.5%
Q3 - 1:11CLEMISS Hickson 5' Jump Shot63
43.1%
72
56.9%
Q3 - 1:25CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
40.0%
72
60.0%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS James 2' Layup63
41.3%
72
58.7%
Q3 - 1:39CLEGibson Foul Turnover (P1.T12)63
44.3%
72
55.7%
Q3 - 2:00MIAWade Dunk (22 PTS) (James 11 AST)63
39.9%
72
60.1%
Q3 - 2:05CLESessions Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)61
38.2%
72
61.8%
Q3 - 2:19MIAWade 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 10 AST)61
33.8%
72
66.2%
Q3 - 2:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
25.8%
72
74.2%
Q3 - 2:28CLEMISS Harangody 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
24.8%
72
75.2%
Q3 - 2:45MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 9 AST)58
22.4%
72
77.6%
Q3 - 3:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
19.8%
72
80.2%
Q3 - 3:01CLEMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 255
19.4%
72
80.6%
Q3 - 3:01CLESessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
17.6%
72
82.4%
Q3 - 3:08CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
19.6%
71
80.4%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
20.5%
71
79.5%
Q3 - 3:22MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
22.6%
71
77.4%
Q3 - 3:23CLEMISS Eyenga 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
21.6%
71
78.4%
Q3 - 3:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
19.4%
71
80.6%
Q3 - 3:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
18.8%
71
81.2%
Q3 - 3:51CLEEyenga Foul Turnover (P1.T10)53
16.8%
71
83.2%
Q3 - 4:11MIABosh Dunk (8 PTS) (James 8 AST)53
15.6%
71
84.4%
Q3 - 4:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 4:18CLEMISS Sessions 16' Jump Shot51
13.1%
71
86.9%
Q3 - 4:45MIABibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)51
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 5:06CLEHickson 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)48
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q3 - 5:11CLECAVALIERS Rebound48
11.3%
69
88.7%
Q3 - 5:11CLEMISS Hickson 2' Layup48
12.7%
69
87.3%
Q3 - 5:29CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
11.3%
69
88.7%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 248
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 248
12.7%
69
87.3%
Q3 - 5:48CLEHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)48
13.2%
69
86.8%
Q3 - 5:48CLEHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)48
13.7%
68
86.3%
Q3 - 6:04CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
17.8%
67
82.2%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Bank Shot48
18.6%
67
81.4%
Q3 - 6:22CLEParker 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Sessions 5 AST)48
20.4%
67
79.6%
Q3 - 6:26CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
25.8%
64
74.2%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Bosh Layup48
26.9%
64
73.1%
Q3 - 6:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 6:34MIAHollins BLOCK (2 BLK)48
26.8%
64
73.2%
Q3 - 7:01CLEGee 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)48
32.0%
64
68.0%
Q3 - 7:05CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
35.3%
62
64.7%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Wade 13' Step Back Jump Shot48
36.4%
62
63.6%
Q3 - 7:25CLEHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
38.9%
62
61.1%
Q3 - 7:25CLEHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
39.9%
61
60.1%
Q3 - 7:36MIADampier Foul Turnover (P2.T10)48
42.4%
60
57.6%
Q3 - 7:38CLEDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)48
46.4%
60
53.6%
Q3 - 7:51CLEGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
42.4%
60
57.6%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS James 6' Running Jump Shot48
43.6%
60
56.4%
Q3 - 8:25CLEGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
47.9%
60
52.1%
Q3 - 8:25CLEGee 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)48
47.9%
60
52.1%
Q3 - 8:26CLEMISS Hickson 12' Jump Shot48
54.2%
58
45.8%
Q3 - 8:40CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
51.4%
58
48.6%
Q3 - 8:42MIAHickson BLOCK (1 BLK)48
52.6%
58
47.4%
Q3 - 9:00CLEParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)48
55.4%
58
44.6%
Q3 - 9:23CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
63.8%
55
36.2%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 248
64.2%
55
35.8%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 248
66.4%
55
33.6%
Q3 - 9:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
67.2%
55
32.8%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup48
64.8%
55
35.2%
Q3 - 9:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
67.1%
55
32.9%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot48
64.8%
55
35.2%
Q3 - 9:58CLEHickson 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)48
67.1%
55
32.9%
Q3 - 10:22MIABibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)48
71.7%
53
28.3%
Q3 - 10:40MIAHeat Rebound45
65.6%
53
34.4%
Q3 - 10:42CLEMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
64.6%
53
35.4%
Q3 - 10:57MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)45
62.2%
53
37.8%
Q3 - 11:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
57.7%
53
42.3%
Q3 - 11:18CLEMISS Hollins Free Throw 2 of 242
57.2%
53
42.8%
Q3 - 11:18CLEMISS Hollins Free Throw 1 of 242
55.2%
53
44.8%
Q3 - 11:18CLEHollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
54.0%
53
46.0%
Q3 - 11:19CLEMISS Hickson 9' Jump Shot42
56.6%
53
43.4%
Q3 - 11:39CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
54.0%
53
46.0%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Bank Shot42
55.1%
53
44.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
57.5%
53
42.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
57.5%
53
42.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAWade 1' Layup (12 PTS) (James 6 AST)42
65.9%
50
34.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
62.1%
50
37.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0CLEMISS Eyenga 9' Jump Shot40
61.4%
50
38.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0CLEEyenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
59.6%
50
40.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
60.3%
50
39.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0CLEHickson Foul Turnover (P5.T8)40
62.1%
50
37.9%
Q2 - 1:12MIABibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
61.1%
50
38.9%
Q2 - 1:12MIABibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
60.5%
50
39.5%
Q2 - 1:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
57.1%
50
42.9%
Q2 - 1:21CLEMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
56.4%
50
43.6%
Q2 - 1:43MIABosh 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)38
54.7%
50
45.3%
Q2 - 1:54CLEHickson Backcourt Turnover (P4.T7)36
50.6%
50
49.4%
Q2 - 2:13MIAWade 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (James 4 AST)36
49.3%
50
50.7%
Q2 - 2:32CLEParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
46.1%
50
53.9%
Q2 - 2:55MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)34
52.4%
47
47.6%
Q2 - 3:06CLEDavis 6' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
58.1%
47
41.9%
Q2 - 3:16CLECAVALIERS Rebound34
60.4%
45
39.6%
Q2 - 3:16CLEMISS Davis 1' Layup34
62.8%
45
37.2%
Q2 - 3:24CLEHarangody REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
60.4%
45
39.6%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS James 2' Layup34
61.5%
45
38.5%
Q2 - 3:36MIAHeat Rebound34
63.8%
45
36.2%
Q2 - 3:36CLEMISS Harangody 13' Jump Shot34
62.8%
45
37.2%
Q2 - 3:47MIAEyenga STEAL (2 STL)34
60.3%
45
39.7%
Q2 - 4:08CLEHollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
64.9%
45
35.1%
Q2 - 4:08CLEHollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
65.7%
44
34.3%
Q2 - 4:18CLEJump Ball Hollins vs. Bosh: Tip to Eyenga34
67.4%
43
32.6%
Q2 - 4:27MIAHeat Rebound34
70.2%
43
29.8%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
68.2%
43
31.8%
Q2 - 4:51CLEEyenga 7' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gibson 3 AST)34
70.2%
43
29.8%
Q2 - 5:01CLEHarangody REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
73.7%
41
26.3%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot34
74.3%
41
25.7%
Q2 - 5:20CLEHollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
75.8%
41
24.2%
Q2 - 5:20CLEMISS Hollins Free Throw 1 of 234
76.4%
40
23.6%
Q2 - 5:34MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)34
75.8%
40
24.2%
Q2 - 5:56CLEGibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harangody 1 AST)32
73.5%
40
26.5%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
77.9%
37
22.1%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWade Putback Layup (8 PTS)32
77.9%
37
22.1%
Q2 - 6:16MIAHollins BLOCK (1 BLK)30
74.6%
37
25.4%
Q2 - 6:30MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
76.3%
37
23.7%
Q2 - 6:31CLEMISS Harangody 3' Layup30
75.5%
37
24.5%
Q2 - 6:47MIAHoward 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
73.8%
37
26.2%
Q2 - 7:07CLEEyenga 1' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS)28
73.0%
37
27.0%
Q2 - 7:12MIAEyenga STEAL (1 STL)28
75.0%
35
25.0%
Q2 - 7:30CLEHarangody 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)28
77.1%
35
22.9%
Q2 - 7:41CLEHollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
80.7%
32
19.3%
Q2 - 7:43CLEMISS Eyenga Free Throw 2 of 228
82.2%
32
17.8%
Q2 - 7:43CLEMISS Eyenga Free Throw 1 of 228
81.2%
32
18.8%
Q2 - 8:07MIAWade 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)28
81.3%
32
18.7%
Q2 - 8:11MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
79.7%
32
20.3%
Q2 - 8:12CLEMISS Sessions 3' Layup26
79.1%
32
20.9%
Q2 - 8:20CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
77.8%
32
22.2%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot26
78.4%
32
21.6%
Q2 - 8:48CLEHarangody 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)26
79.7%
32
20.3%
Q2 - 9:00MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)26
81.3%
30
18.7%
Q2 - 9:12CLEGibson 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)24
80.1%
30
19.9%
Q2 - 9:15CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
81.7%
28
18.3%
Q2 - 9:17CLEMISS Hollins 5' Jump Shot24
82.8%
28
17.2%
Q2 - 9:39MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T5)24
81.6%
28
18.4%
Q2 - 9:43MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
83.2%
28
16.8%
Q2 - 9:44CLEMISS Gibson 3' Layup24
82.7%
28
17.3%
Q2 - 10:03CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
81.4%
28
18.6%
Q2 - 10:03MIAGibson BLOCK (1 BLK)24
81.9%
28
18.1%
Q2 - 10:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
83.1%
28
16.9%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot24
82.0%
28
18.0%
Q2 - 10:36CLESessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
83.1%
28
16.9%
Q2 - 10:36CLESessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
83.4%
27
16.6%
Q2 - 10:40CLEEyenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
84.4%
26
15.6%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
84.8%
26
15.2%
Q2 - 11:03CLEHarangody 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)24
85.6%
26
14.4%
Q2 - 11:09CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
86.8%
24
13.2%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot24
87.1%
24
12.9%
Q2 - 11:35MIAHeat Rebound24
87.9%
24
12.1%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot24
87.1%
24
12.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE24
88.0%
24
12.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHoward 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)24
86.8%
24
13.2%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
85.6%
24
14.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0CLEMISS Sessions 7' Running Jump Shot22
85.3%
24
14.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0CLEEyenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
84.6%
24
15.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 222
84.7%
24
15.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)22
85.6%
24
14.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
84.4%
24
15.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0CLEMISS Gibson 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
84.0%
24
16.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0CLEHarangody REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
83.3%
24
16.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot21
83.6%
24
16.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0CLEHickson Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)21
84.4%
24
15.6%
Q1 - 1:11MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)21
83.8%
24
16.2%
Q1 - 1:11MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)20
83.5%
24
16.5%
Q1 - 1:31CLESessions Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)19
82.1%
24
17.9%
Q1 - 1:50MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)19
83.8%
22
16.2%
Q1 - 2:15CLEHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)16
81.0%
22
19.0%
Q1 - 2:15CLEHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)16
81.4%
21
18.6%
Q1 - 2:33CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
82.6%
20
17.4%
Q1 - 2:34MIAGee BLOCK (1 BLK)16
82.9%
20
17.1%
Q1 - 2:50CLEHickson 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)16
83.7%
20
16.3%
Q1 - 3:01CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
85.4%
18
14.6%
Q1 - 3:02MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot16
85.8%
18
14.2%
Q1 - 3:23CLEHollins 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gee 1 AST)16
86.5%
18
13.5%
Q1 - 3:38MIAJames 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)16
87.5%
16
12.5%
Q1 - 4:02CLEHickson 6' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)14
86.9%
16
13.1%
Q1 - 4:17MIABosh 13' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
87.8%
14
12.2%
Q1 - 4:35CLEHollins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)12
86.9%
14
13.1%
Q1 - 4:56MIABosh Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)12
85.7%
14
14.3%
Q1 - 5:11CLEHickson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)10
84.7%
14
15.3%
Q1 - 5:26CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
83.4%
14
16.6%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot10
83.8%
14
16.2%
Q1 - 5:44MIAHeat Rebound10
84.7%
14
15.3%
Q1 - 5:45CLEMISS Hollins Free Throw 2 of 210
84.5%
14
15.5%
Q1 - 5:45CLEHollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
83.9%
14
16.1%
Q1 - 5:57MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)10
84.6%
13
15.4%
Q1 - 6:14CLEDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
86.0%
13
14.0%
Q1 - 6:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
84.9%
13
15.1%
Q1 - 6:50CLEHickson 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)7
82.7%
13
17.3%
Q1 - 7:04MIADampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)7
84.3%
11
15.7%
Q1 - 7:14CLEHickson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
85.4%
11
14.6%
Q1 - 7:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
84.3%
11
15.7%
Q1 - 7:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
84.1%
11
15.9%
Q1 - 7:45CLEParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
83.3%
11
16.7%
Q1 - 7:45CLEMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 25
83.5%
10
16.5%
Q1 - 7:54MIAJames 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
83.2%
10
16.8%
Q1 - 8:18CLEParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
82.7%
10
17.3%
Q1 - 8:25CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
83.8%
8
16.2%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot3
84.2%
8
15.8%
Q1 - 8:33MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
84.9%
8
15.1%
Q1 - 8:35CLEMISS Hickson 2' Layup3
84.6%
8
15.4%
Q1 - 8:36CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)3
83.8%
8
16.2%
Q1 - 8:37CLEMISS Hickson 4' Jump Shot3
84.6%
8
15.4%
Q1 - 8:57MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)3
83.8%
8
16.2%
Q1 - 9:11CLEGee 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)3
85.5%
8
14.5%
Q1 - 9:22CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
86.4%
6
13.6%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot3
86.7%
6
13.3%
Q1 - 9:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
87.3%
6
12.7%
Q1 - 9:38CLEMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 23
87.2%
6
12.8%
Q1 - 9:38CLEHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
86.6%
6
13.4%
Q1 - 9:44CLEGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
87.3%
5
12.7%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
87.5%
5
12.5%
Q1 - 10:12CLEHollins 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)3
88.3%
5
11.7%
Q1 - 10:18CLEHollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
88.9%
3
11.1%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot3
89.1%
3
10.9%
Q1 - 10:35CLEGee Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
89.7%
3
10.3%
Q1 - 10:49MIABibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)3
88.9%
3
11.1%
Q1 - 11:01MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
87.9%
3
12.1%
Q1 - 11:05CLEMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot0
87.7%
3
12.3%
Q1 - 11:14MIAHollins STEAL (1 STL)0
87.2%
3
12.8%
Q1 - 11:33CLEDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hollins 1 AST)0
87.8%
3
12.2%
Q1 - 11:41CLEHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
89.2%
0
10.8%
Q1 - 11:43CLEMISS Hickson 13' Jump Shot0
89.6%
0
10.4%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Hollins vs. Dampier: Tip to Hickson0
89.2%
0
10.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
CLE
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
28
50%
CLE
12
21
57%
Midrange
MIA
9
25
36%
CLE
14
25
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
CLE
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
14
22
64%
CLE
23
35
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2756%13.5 / 24
D. Wade2450%12.0 / 24
M. Bibby2396%11.5 / 12
C. Bosh1033%5.0 / 15
J. Howard4100%2.0 / 2
J. Jones217%1.0 / 6
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 0
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 2
Z. Ilgauskas0-0.0 / 1
E. House0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Hickson2158%10.5 / 18
A. Parker2091%10.0 / 11
R. Hollins1365%6.5 / 10
R. Sessions1155%5.5 / 10
B. Davis1050%5.0 / 10
L. Harangody964%4.5 / 7
C. Eyenga750%3.5 / 7
A. Gee6100%3.0 / 3
D. Gibson550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+12
-12
88
CLE
74
+8
-15
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
CLE
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
102.3
MIA 102.3
CLE 114.6 +12.3
Pace
91.3
93.0
MIA 86.2
CLE 91.2 +5.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.1
MIA 16.7
CLE 15.8 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
47.2%
MIA 48.7%
CLE 62.7% +14.0%
TO %
14.4%
14.7%
MIA 12.9% +3.2%
CLE 16.1%
ORB %
25.2%
24.3%
MIA 17.4%
CLE 21.4% +4.0%
FTrt
36.3
31.2
MIA 28.2
CLE 55.6 +27.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
59.6%
MIA 72.7% +1.3%
CLE 71.4%
STL %
7.3%
7.1%
MIA 5.7% +0.1%
CLE 5.6%
BLK %
8.5%
6.6%
MIA 6.5%
CLE 13.2% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
50.5%
MIA 50.6%
CLE 60.7% +10.1%
Rim FG%
64.7%
55.9%
MIA 50.0%
CLE 57.1% +7.1%
Mid FG%
42.2%
37.5%
MIA 36.0%
CLE 56.0% +20.0%
3P %
37.0%
34.2%
MIA 40.0%
CLE 52.9% +12.9%
FT %
76.9%
74.5%
MIA 63.6%
CLE 65.7% +2.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
36.3%
MIA 35.9% +2.6%
CLE 33.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
41.3%
MIA 32.1% +7.6%
CLE 39.7%
3P Att. %
23.5%
22.4%
MIA 32.1% +5.1%
CLE 27.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes24.523.4
Points90102
Rebounds3044
Assists2425
Steals55
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (5)38 (0)
Field Goals33-7835-63
At-the-Rim FG14-2812-21
Midrange FG9-2514-25
2-Point FG23-5326-46
3-Point FG10-259-17
Free Throws14-2223-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
43.3
27
56%
10
12
0
0
3
3
0
10
6-10
60%
9-16
56%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
43.2
24
50%
4
6
3
2
3
3
3
1
6-8
75%
6-16
38%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
42.5
23
96%
2
1
2
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
7-11
64%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
32.7
10
33%
4
4
0
1
1
3
3
1
0-2
0%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
12.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
33.0
2
17%
2
0
0
0
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-5
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
11.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
9.4
4
100%
5
1
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · G · 6'2" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
51%
30
24
5
3
12
0
8
22
14-22
64%
23-53
43%
10-25
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.