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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 29, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Rockets68%103112
27Nets32%9787
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.9
32.8
28.7
10
45%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
51%
2-4
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.8
32.2
32.5
8
34%
14
4
2
1
0
0
7
7
2-2
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.2
31.0
34.4
20
51%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
2-6
33%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.0
29.0
39.5
16
60%
7
10
1
2
0
2
1
6
1-1
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
3-7
43%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.9
22.5
31.9
8
40%
8
4
1
1
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
4-10
7-14
40%
52%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.5
26.3
25.5
9
56%
3
3
3
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.0
22.3
17.9
13
69%
8
2
0
0
0
1
2
6
1-1
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
19.0
11.4
13
108%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
3-4
75%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
15.3
11.0
11
62%
8
1
0
0
1
2
5
3
1-2
50%
5-8
2-3
63%
51%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.0
3.2
4.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 27.8
3.2
3.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
3.2
2.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.5
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.5
31.5
31.8
9
32%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
4-7
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.0
29.2
31.8
22
60%
7
2
1
1
3
2
1
6
2-5
40%
10-16
7-14
63%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.1
28.3
30.6
11
56%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
1-5
20%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
28.0
31.1
12
60%
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
45%
4-6
67%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
23.1
30.8
6
30%
13
1
1
1
2
0
4
9
0-0
-
3-10
5-10
30%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
22.6
11.4
10
71%
2
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.2
21.7
15.9
9
36%
7
1
0
0
0
2
4
3
1-1
100%
4-12
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.5
20.3
22.2
4
29%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
13.5
6.9
2
100%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
12.5
7.4
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
9.4
4.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
9.8
0
1-2
49%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.9
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.